• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time-varying Failure Rate

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A Study on Failure Rate Extraction of Power Distribution System Equipment (배전기기 고장률 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Jong-Fil;Kim, Jae-Chul;Lee, Hee-Tae;Chu, Cheol-Min;Ahn, Jae-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.366-368
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate (TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential (random failure) and Weibull (aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate (MFR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR.

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A Study on the Failure Effect Analysis of Overhead Transformer Considering Weather (기상요인에 따른 가공변압기의 고장영향 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Do-Eun;Jang, Seung-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.5
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    • pp.857-862
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    • 2017
  • The management of the electric power facilities became important in accordance with the industrial development and electric power facilities were influenced by weather. Even if the same kind of electric power facilities is estimated for extracting the time-varying failure rate, the failure rate could be different depending on external effect such as climate. This research will show the data mining modeling of the weather-related outage and influence of weather on the electric power facility with recent data.

A Study on the Decision Strategy of Investment Priority Focused on Economics in Distribution Network (경제성에 기반한 배전계통 설비투자 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2009
  • This paper shows prioritization process for equipment investment plans considering reliability indices and economical efficiency. To decide prioritization of distribution investment projects, we made a distribution system model using system configuration, it's component and load information and designed several investment alternatives to improve reliability of present system. Lastly, we proposed a evaluation model of economical efficiency assessment on distribution investment alternative projects. To analyze influence by reliability and economical efficiency, we produced economical effects with applying time-varying failure rate of KEPCO's main equipments of distribution system and interruption cost of electric power affected by investment. Finally, in order to insure the validity of this proposed methodology, we compared investment prioritization by economical evaluation with that of real investment alternatives of KEPCO's branch office. In conclusion, this paper shows what and how to interpret the reliability effects of distribution system investments into financial indicators beneficial for power utilities's managers to make decision on the perspective of corporate value.

Stochastic Model for Telecommunication Service Availability (통신 서비스 가용도의 추계적 모델)

  • Ham, Young-Marn;Lee, Kang-Won
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.1B
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    • pp.50-58
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study is to develop the theoretical model of the telecommunication system service availability from the user perspective. We assume non-homogeneous Poisson process for the call arrival process and continuous time Markov chain for the system state. The proposed model effectively describes the user model of the user-perceived service reliability by including the time-varying call arrival rate. We also include the operational failure state where the user cannot receive any service even though the system is functioning.

Determination of optimal maintenance interval at power distribution system equipment using a Markov Model (Markov Model을 이용한 배전계통 기기의 유지보수 최적주기 결정)

  • Park, Geun-Pyo;Moon, Jong-Fil;Yoon, Yong-Tae;Lee, Sang-Seung;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.11b
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    • pp.249-251
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    • 2005
  • 전력 산업구조개편으로 인하여 전력회사의 민영화가 진행됨에 따라 전력회사에서는 한정된 예산으로 배전계통을 운영함으로써 유지보수를 위한 충분한 여유가 없어지게 될 것이다. 이러한 환경에서 한정된 비용으로 계통의 신뢰도를 일정 수준 이상으로 유지해야만 하는 문제에 직면하게 되며, 이는 매우 어려운 일이다. 이를 위해서는 최소의 비용으로 최대의 유지보수 효과를 낼 수 있는 방법을 개발해야 하며, 최적의 유지보수 주기를 찾는 것이 중요한 문제라 할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이런 문제론 해결하기 위해, 유지보수 기기 선정 및 유지보수 주기를 결정하는데 있어 검증된 기법인 Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM) 기법을 이용하였다. 배전계통 기기의 유지보수에 있어서 Four-state Markov 모델을 이용하여 기기의 유지보수에 드는 비용과 기기의 고장에 의한 정전비용 사이의 trade-off를 고려하여 총 비용이 최소가 되는 최적의 유지보수 주기를 찾고자 한다. 이를 위하여 기존의 모델에서 평균고장률(mean failure rate)을 사용한 것과는 달리 시변 고장률(time-varying failure rate)을 적용하였으며, 또한 유지보수에 따른 고장률의 감소도 고려함으로써 최적의 유지보수 주기를 결정할 수 있었다.

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Analysis Method of Ice Load and Ship Structural Response due to Collision of Ice Bergy Bit and Level Ice (유빙 및 평탄빙의 충돌에 의한 빙하중과 선체구조응답 해석기법)

  • Nho, In Sik;Lee, Jae-Man;Oh, Young-Taek;Kim, Sung-Chan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 2016
  • The most important factor in the structural design of ships and offshore structures operating in arctic region is ice load, which results from ice-structure interaction during the ice collision process. The mechanical properties of ice related to strength and failure, however, show very complicated aspect varying with temperature, volume fraction of brine, grain size, strain rate and etc. So it is nearly impossible to establish a perfect material model of ice satisfying all the mechanical characteristics completely. Therefore, in general, ice collision analysis was carried out by relatively simple material models considering only specific aspects of mechanical characteristics of ice and it would be the most significant cause of inevitable errors in the analysis. Especially, it is well-known that the most distinctive mechanical property of ice is high dependency on strain rate. Ice shows brittle attribute in higher strain rate while it becomes ductile in lower strain rate range. In this study, the simulation method of ice collision to ship hull using the nonlinear dynamic FE analysis was dealt with. To consider the strain rate effects of ice during ice-structural interaction, strain rate dependent constitutive model in which yield stress and hardening behaviors vary with strain rate was adopted. To reduce the huge amount of computing time, the modeling range of ice and ship structure were restricted to the confined region of interest. Under the various scenario of ice-ship hull collision, the structural behavior of hull panels and failure modes of ice were examined by nonlinear FE analysis technique.

Optimal Maintenance Cycle for Aviation Oil Testing Equipment under the Consideration of Operational Environment (운용환경을 고려한 항공오일시험장비의 최적정비주기 설정)

  • Kim, In Seok;Jung, Won
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.224-230
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: Military maintenance involves corrective and preventive actions carried out to keep a system in or restore it to a predetermined condition. This research develops an optimal maintenance cycle for aviation oil testing equipment with acceptable reliability level and minimum maintenance cost. Methods: The optimal maintenance policy in this research aims to satisfy the desired reliability level at the lowest cost. We assume that the failure process of equipment follows the power law non-homogeneous Poisson process model and the maintenance system is a minimal repair policy. Estimation and other statistical procedures (trend test and goodness of fit test) are given for this model. Results: With time varying failure rate, we developed reliability-based maintenance cost optimization model. This model will reduce the ownership cost through adopting a proactive reliability focused maintenance system. Conclusion: Based on the analysis, it is recommended to increase the current maintenance cycle by three times which is 0.5 year to 1.5 years. Because of the system's built-in self-checking features, it is not expected to have any problems of preventative maintenance cycle.

Automatic Blood Pressure Control Using PI Controller with $H_{\infty}$ Loop-Shaping

  • Han, Jeong-Yup;Lee, Sang-Kyung;Park, Hong-Bae
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.326-329
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we show a new form of blood pressure controller combined PI control with $H_{\infty}$ loop-shaping. Hypertensive patients or post-operative patients need to maintain normally blood pressure. Exact regulation of blood pressure is needed for maintaining variable blood pressure of preventing complications. The regulation of blood pressure is achieved by injecting drugs, and usually sodium nitroprusside is used as those kinds of drugs. It is necessary to control the infusion rate sodium-nitroprusside carefully to achieve the desired blood pressure. It has been known that regulation of blood pressure by automatic controller is more effective than regulation of blood pressure by human operators. The control of blood pressure has many constraints and uncertainties. Most of biological system has the time-varying variables and the side effects such as increased risk of sepsis and organ failure. To solve such a problem, we design a new robust PI controller using $H_{\infty}$ loop-shaping to decrease noise effects that come out from human body and errors for time delay. The system with designed controller shows more stable control of mean blood pressure and more robust performance for uncertainties. Validation methods for the control performance are confirmed to computer simulations.

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The Investment Scheme of the Maintenance Planning with Limited Investment Budget in the Distribution Systems for Minimizing the Interruption Cost (제한된 투자 예산으로 정전비용 최소화를 위한 배전계통 유지보수 계획의 투자 방안)

  • Hwang, Won-Il;Kim, Kyu-Ho;Kim, Hong-Rae;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2010
  • The reliability of a power system has close relationship with the maintenance of the distribution systems. This paper presents the method of the maintenance planning of the distribution systems by minimizing the interruption cost. The interruption cost for the equipment failures is formulated using time varying failure rate and minimized by optimization of the object function. The proposed method provides the priority list for the investment of the maintenance subject to the limited investment budget by the economic analysis. In order to test the proposed method, the modified distribution system of a rural area is introduced for the testing system. Test results show that the proposed method is good enough by evaluating the improvement of the reliability of the power system.

Adverse effect of IL-6 on the in vitro maturation of porcine oocytes

  • Yi, Young-Joo;Adikari, Adikari Arachchige Dilki Indrachapa;Moon, Seung-Tae;Heo, Jung-Min;Lee, Sang-Myeong
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.607-615
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    • 2021
  • Cytokines are protein mediators that possess the ability to assist cell-to-cell communication in immune system-related activities. In general, pathogen endotoxins activate the release of inflammatory mediators, and with time, there is an increase in the cytokine levels in the body. Interleukin (IL)-6 mediates the acute-phase inflammatory response, and elevated IL-6 levels have been reported in peritoneal fluids of women with pelvic inflammation and endometriosis, thereby associating it with oocyte quality and infertility. To overcome subfertility or infertility in humans and animals, the present study was done to examine the effect of recombinant IL-6 on porcine oocytes matured in vitro and subsequently to determine the fertilization rate and embryo development. Porcine oocytes were incubated with varying concentrations of IL-6 (0 - 2 ㎍·mL-1) for 44 h followed by in vitro fertilization and culturing of the oocytes. The oocytes or embryos were fixed with 3.7% paraformaldehyde (PFA) and stained with fluorescence dyes, and the meiotic spindle, chromosome organization, fertilization status and embryo development were subsequently assessed under a fluorescence microscope. We observed induction of an abnormal meiotic spindle alignment in the oocytes incubated with IL-6 compared to the control oocytes incubated without IL-6. Moreover, significantly decreased fertilization rates and embryo development were observed for oocytes incubated with IL-6 (p < 0.05). Thus, an increased IL-6 level during oocyte maturation could be associated with fertilization failure due to an aberrant chromosomal alignment and a disruption of the cortical granules. Taken together, our results indicate that successful assisted reproduction can be achieved by controlling the levels of inflammatory cytokines.