• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time-to-event

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Design and Implementation of Supervisors to Control of a CIM Testbed (CIM Testbed의 제어를 위한 Supervisor의 설계와 구현)

  • Song, Tae-Seung;Lee, Suk
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.478-485
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    • 2000
  • A discrete event systems (DES) is a physical system that is discrete in time and state space, asynchronous (event rather than clock-driven), and in some sense generative(or nondeterministic). This paper presents the design of fifteen modular supervisors to control an experimental CIM testbed. These supervisors are nonblocking, controllable and nonconflicting. After verification of the supervisors by simulation, the supervisors for AGV system have been implemented to demonstrate their efficacy.

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Review of Statistical Methods for Evaluating the Performance of Survival or Other Time-to-Event Prediction Models (from Conventional to Deep Learning Approaches)

  • Seo Young Park;Ji Eun Park;Hyungjin Kim;Seong Ho Park
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.1697-1707
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    • 2021
  • The recent introduction of various high-dimensional modeling methods, such as radiomics and deep learning, has created a much greater diversity in modeling approaches for survival prediction (or, more generally, time-to-event prediction). The newness of the recent modeling approaches and unfamiliarity with the model outputs may confuse some researchers and practitioners about the evaluation of the performance of such models. Methodological literacy to critically appraise the performance evaluation of the models and, ideally, the ability to conduct such an evaluation would be needed for those who want to develop models or apply them in practice. This article intends to provide intuitive, conceptual, and practical explanations of the statistical methods for evaluating the performance of survival prediction models with minimal usage of mathematical descriptions. It covers from conventional to deep learning methods, and emphasis has been placed on recent modeling approaches. This review article includes straightforward explanations of C indices (Harrell's C index, etc.), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, calibration plot, other methods for evaluating the calibration performance, and Brier score.

Semiparametric Bayesian Regression Model for Multiple Event Time Data

  • Kim, Yongdai
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.509-518
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    • 2002
  • This paper is concerned with semiparametric Bayesian analysis of the proportional intensity regression model of the Poisson process for multiple event time data. A nonparametric prior distribution is put on the baseline cumulative intensity function and a usual parametric prior distribution is given to the regression parameter. Also we allow heterogeneity among the intensity processes in different subjects by using unobserved random frailty components. Gibbs sampling approach with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is used to explore the posterior distributions. Finally, the results are applied to a real data set.

Development of an Event Stream Processing System for the Vehicle Telematics Environment

  • Kim, Jong-Ik;Kwon, Oh-Cheon;Kim, Hyun-Suk
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.463-465
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    • 2009
  • In this letter, we present an event stream processing system that can evaluate a pattern query for a data sequence with predicates. We propose a pattern query language and develop a pattern query processing system. In our system, we propose novel techniques for run-time aggregation and negation processing and apply our system to stream data generated from vehicles to monitor unusual driving patterns.

Design and Implementation of Event-driven Real-time Web Crawler to Maintain Reliability (신뢰성 유지를 위한 이벤트 기반 실시간 웹크롤러의 설계 및 구현)

  • Ahn, Yong-Hak
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2022
  • Real-time systems using web cralwing data must provide users with data from the same database as remote data. To do this, the web crawler repeatedly sends HTTP(HtypeText Transfer Protocol) requests to the remote server to see if the remote data has changed. This process causes network load on the crawling server and remote server, causing problems such as excessive traffic generation. To solve this problem, in this paper, based on user events, we propose a real-time web crawling technique that can reduce the overload of the network while securing the reliability of maintaining the sameness between the data of the crawling server and data from multiple remote locations. The proposed method performs a crawling process based on an event that requests unit data and list data. The results show that the proposed method can reduce the overhead of network traffic in existing web crawlers and secure data reliability. In the future, research on the convergence of event-based crawling and time-based crawling is required.

An Implementation of the DEVS Formalism on a Parallel Distributed Environment (병렬 분산 환경에서의 DEVS 형식론의 구현)

  • 성영락
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.64-76
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    • 1992
  • The DEVS(discrete event system specificaition) formalism specifies a discrete event system in a hierarchical, modular form. DEVSIM++ is a C++based general purpose DEVS abstract simulator which can simulate systems modeled by the DEVS formalism in a sequential environment. This paper describes P-DEVSIM++which is a parallel version of DEVSIM++ . In P-DEVSIM++, the external and internal event of DEVS models can by processed in parallel. For such processing, we propose a parallel, distributed optimistic simulation algorithm based on the Time Warp approach. However, the proposed algorithm localizes the rollback of a model within itself, not possible in the standard Time Warp approach. An advantage of such localization is that the simulation time may be reduced. To evaluate its performance, we simulate a single bus multiprocessor architecture system with an external common memory. Simulation result shows that significant speedup is made possible with our algorithm in a parallel environment.

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Promoting Word-of-Mouth communication: The moderating role of leisure sport social media

  • KIM, Min-Soo;Kim, Miok;HUR, Seung-Eun;SEO, Myung-Seok;SEO, Won-Jae
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Usage of leisure-sport social media would lengthen and strengthen the effects of positive event experiences on WOM behavior. This study is to examine the extent to which leisure sport social media use has the moderating potential to enhance the direction of the relationship between post-event emotions and event WOM behavior. Research design, data and methodology: A running event located in a major metropolitan area in the southeastern United States was selected. Participants of the running events completed the survey. Descriptive analysis and correlations between primary variables of interest were conducted. To examine interactions within the context of moderated regression, a hierarchical regression analysis was employed. Results: The results confirmed direct effects of a sense of achievement and event satisfaction on event WOM intention, supporting H 1 and H2. In specific, result revealed that the amount of time spending on social media for running content moderated the effect of a sense of achievement on event WOM intention, supporting H3, however, H4 was rejected. Conclusions: There are managerial implications of these results, particularly which pertain to how organizers may be able to use perceived benefits (i.e., a sense of achievement and satisfaction) and social media to increase positive WOM intention.

A Proposal of Event Stream Processing Frameworks applicable to Asynchronous-based Microservice (비동기 기반 마이크로 서비스에 적용 가능한 이벤트 스트림 처리 프레임워크 제안)

  • Park, Sang Il
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2017
  • Micro-service Architecture is a service architecture optimized for large-scale distributed systems such as real-time realistic broadcasting systems, so that are fiercely adopted by Global leading service platform vendors such as Netflix and Twitter due to the merit of horizontal performance scalability enabling the scale-out technique. In addition, micro-service architecture makes it possible to execute image processing and real-time data analysis using an asynchronous-based processing that are difficult to handle in Web API such as REST. In this paper, an event stream processing framework applicable to asynchronous based micro services is proposed in the sense that the accountability of event processing order is not guaranteed in the events such as IoT sensor data analysis or cloud-based image editing because these are the situations where the real-time media editing generates multiple event streams and asynchronous processes in the platform.

An FMI-based Time Management Scheme for Real-time Co-Simulation (실시간 Co-Simulation을 위한 FMI 기반 시간관리 기법)

  • Kyung, Dong-Gu;Joe, Inwhee;Kim, Wontae
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.426-434
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    • 2020
  • FMI is being researched as a standard for linking large-scale simulation of CPS. In order to guarantee the reliability of the results in large-scale simulations using FMI, event handling through time management techniques is required. This paper aims to guarantee real-time performance and accuracy in large-scale co-simulation environments such as CPS. Synchronize the wallclock time and simulation time to ensure real time. Also, to ensure the accuracy, before the simulation, the event is checked and the simulation is performed with the smallest step size while maintaining the real time until the event occurrence time. As a result, the events occurring in the co-simulation environment are processed immediately and sequentially, ensuring the real-time performance and minimizing the numerical integration error by maximizing the simulation resolution. In the experiment, the proposed method was processed immediately, and it was confirmed that the numerical integration error is reduced by about 1/5 unlike the existing time management method which does not guarantee the resolution.

A Case Study of Coastal Fog Event Causing Flight Cancellation and Traffic Accidents (항공기 결항과 연쇄 교통사고를 야기한 연안안개 사례 연구)

  • Kim, Young Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2017
  • A heavy foggy event accompanying with complex coastal fog was investigated in this study. This heavy foggy event occurred on FEB 11, 2015. Due to reduced visibility with this foggy event induced more than 100times serial traffic accidents over the Young-jong highway, and Flights from 04:30 AM to 10:00 AM were cancelled on Inchon International Airport. This heavy foggy event was occurred in synoptic and mesoscale environments but dense coastal fog were combined with a combination of sea fog, steam fog, and radiation fog. This kind of coastal fog can predicted by accurate analysis of the direction of the air flow, sea surface temperature(SST), and 925hPa isotherms from numerical weather prediction charts and real time analysis charts.