• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time-to-collision

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Analysis and Prediction Methods of Marine Accident Patterns related to Vessel Traffic using Long Short-Term Memory Networks (장단기 기억 신경망을 활용한 선박교통 해양사고 패턴 분석 및 예측)

  • Jang, Da-Un;Kim, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.780-790
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    • 2022
  • Quantitative risk levels must be presented by analyzing the causes and consequences of accidents and predicting the occurrence patterns of the accidents. For the analysis of marine accidents related to vessel traffic, research on the traffic such as collision risk analysis and navigational path finding has been mainly conducted. The analysis of the occurrence pattern of marine accidents has been presented according to the traditional statistical analysis. This study intends to present a marine accident prediction model using the statistics on marine accidents related to vessel traffic. Statistical data from 1998 to 2021, which can be accumulated by month and hourly data among the Korean domestic marine accidents, were converted into structured time series data. The predictive model was built using a long short-term memory network, which is a representative artificial intelligence model. As a result of verifying the performance of the proposed model through the validation data, the RMSEs were noted to be 52.5471 and 126.5893 in the initial neural network model, and as a result of the updated model with observed datasets, the RMSEs were improved to 31.3680 and 36.3967, respectively. Based on the proposed model, the occurrence pattern of marine accidents could be predicted by learning the features of various marine accidents. In further research, a quantitative presentation of the risk of marine accidents and the development of region-based hazard maps are required.

Developing a Program to Pre-process AIS Data and applying to Vung Tau Waterway in Vietnam - Based on the IWRAP Mk2 program - (AIS 데이터 전처리 프로그램의 개발 및 Vung Tau 해역에의 적용 - IWRAP Mk2 프로그램을 기초로 -)

  • Nguyen, Xuan Thanh;Park, Young-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo;Jeong, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.345-351
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    • 2013
  • The IWRAP program (Inland Waterway Risk Assessment Program) is a useful program for risk assessment of a waterway. However, in the basic version, the function which is used to import AIS data is not included. So users have to prepare the data and input to the program manually. And not all waterways have enough statistical data about passing vessels especially in developing countries as Vietnam. This paper studies the development of a program to pre-process AIS data for using the IWRAP Mk2 program basic version. In addition, it provides users basic information about marine traffic in a waterway such as routes layout, number of passages at a gate classified by type, size and time. The developed program, named TOAIS (Total AIS), was successfully used to pre-process AIS data collected in the Vung Tau waterway-Vietnam. As a result, the IWRAP Mk2 program basic version using data pre-processed from TOAIS could effectively assess the risk of collision in this waterway.

A Study on the Improvement of Survival Rate of the Passengers and Crews according to FDS Analysis (FDS 분석을 통한 승객 및 선원 생존율 향상에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Won Ouk;Kim, Jong Su;Park, Woe Chul
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.312-317
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    • 2015
  • Seafarers can confront to evacuate from the ship with many reasons such as collision, grounding and fire accident. It believes that evacuation time from ship is very important element in order to increase survival rate in the contingency circumstance, however narrow and complex structure of ship is one of obstacle element against prompt evacuation. Taking into consideration the unique structure of ship compared to the structure of other facilities, speed of fire propagation on board ship is faster than the same size of other type facilities. Therefore, measures to prompt evacuation are required. But it comes with the behavioral constraints of the crews and passengers of the nature of operating in a complex structure with narrow vessels. Therefore, in this study, we propose a formula to be analyzed by theoretical approach and simulation methods to improve the survival rate for the crew and passenger of the ship through the ship's structural modification. We analyzed the temperature rise and visibility which are the most influential effects on the life safety in the event of fire by using a three-dimensional analysis of sight-only program Fire Dynamic Simulator (FDS) as analytical tools.

Effect of AC Electric Fields on Flow Instability in Laminar Jets (층류제트유동 불안정성에 미치는 교류 전기장 효과)

  • Kim, Gyeong Taek;Lee, Won June;Cha, Min Suk;Park, Jeong;Chung, Suk Ho;Kwon, Oh Boong;Kim, Min Kuk;Lee, Sang Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Combustion
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2016
  • The effect of applied electric fields on jet flow instability was investigated experimentally by varying the direct current (DC) voltage and the alternating current (AC) frequency and voltage applied to a jet nozzle. We aimed to elucidate the origin of the occurrence of twin-lifted jet flames in laminar jet flow configuration, which occur when AC electric fields are applied. The results indicate that a twin-lifted jet flames originates from cold jet instability, caused by interactions between negative ions in the jet flow via electron attachment as $O_2+e{\rightarrow}O_2{^-}$ when AC electric fields are applied. This was confirmed by experiments in which a variety of gaseous jets were ejected from a nozzle to which DC voltages and AC frequencies and voltages were applied, with ambient air between two deflection plates connected to a DC power source. Experiments in which jet flows of several gases were ejected from a nozzle and AC electric fields were applied in coflow-nitrogen provided further evidence. The flow instability occurred only for oxygen and air jets. Additionally, jet instability occurred when the applied frequency was less than 80 Hz, corresponding to the characteristic collision response time. The effect of AC electric fields on the overall structure of the jet flows is also reported. Based on these results, we propose a mechanism to reduce jet flow instability when AC electric fields are applied to the nozzle.

Optimization of the Unducted Auxiliary Ventilation for Large-Opening Underground Limestone Mines (대단면 지하 석회석 광산내 무풍관 국부통기 최적화 연구)

  • Nguyen, Van Duc;Lee, Chang Woo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.480-507
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    • 2019
  • This paper aims at optimizing the auxiliary ventilation system in large-opening limestone mines with unducted fans. An extensive CFD and also site study were carried out for optimization at the blind entries. The fan location, operating mode, and layout are the parameters for optimization. Since the jet stream discharged from the auxiliary fan is flowing faster than 15 m/s in most of the cases, the stream collides with floor, sides or roof and even with the jet stream generated from the other fan placed upstream. Then, it is likely to lose a large portion of its inertial force and then its ventilation efficiency drops considerably. Therefore, the optimal fan installation interval is defined in this study as an interval that maximizes the uninterrupted flowing distance of the jet stream, while the cross-sectional installation location can be optimized to minimize the energy loss due to possible collision with the entry sides. Consequently, the optimization of the fan location will improve ventilation efficiency and subsequently the energy cost. A number of different three-dimensional computational domains representing a full-scale underground space were developed for the CFD study. The velocity profiles and the CO concentrations were studied to design and optimize the auxiliary ventilation system without duct and at the same time mine site experiments were carried out for comparison purposes. The ultimate goal is to optimize the auxiliary ventilation system without tubing to provide a reliable, low-cost and efficient solution to maintain the clean and safe work environment in local large-opening underground limestone mines.

Securing Safety in Collaborative Cyber-Physical Systems Through Fault Criticality Analysis (협업 사이버물리시스템의 결함 치명도 분석을 통한 안전성 확보)

  • Hussain, Manzoor;Ali, Nazakat;Hong, Jang-Eui
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.287-300
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    • 2021
  • Collaborative Cyber-Physical Systems (CCPS) are those systems that contain tightly coupled physical and cyber components, massively interconnected subsystems, and collaborate to achieve a common goal. The safety of a single Cyber-Physical System (CPS) can be achieved by following the safety standards such as ISO 26262 and IEC 61508 or by applying hazard analysis techniques. However, due to the complex, highly interconnected, heterogeneous, and collaborative nature of CCPS, a fault in one CPS's components can trigger many other faults in other collaborating CPSs. Therefore, a safety assurance technique based on fault criticality analysis would require to ensure safety in CCPS. This paper presents a Fault Criticality Matrix (FCM) implemented in our tool called CPSTracer, which contains several data such as identified fault, fault criticality, safety guard, etc. The proposed FCM is based on composite hazard analysis and content-based relationships among the hazard analysis artifacts, and ensures that the safety guard controls the identified faults at design time; thus, we can effectively manage and control the fault at the design phase to ensure the safe development of CPSs. To justify our approach, we introduce a case study on the Platooning system (a collaborative CPS). We perform the criticality analysis of the Platooning system using FCM in our developed tool. After the detailed fault criticality analysis, we investigate the results to check the appropriateness and effectiveness with two research questions. Also, by performing simulation for the Platooning, we showed that the rate of collision of the Platooning system without using FCM was quite high as compared to the rate of collisions of the system after analyzing the fault criticality using FCM.

Automatic Walking Guide for Visually Impaired People Utilizing an Object Recognition Technology (객체 인식 기술을 활용한 시각장애인 자동 보행 안내)

  • Chang, Jae-Young;Lee, Gyu
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2022
  • As city environments have recently become crowded, there are many obstacles that interfere with the walking of the visually impaired on pedestrian roads. Typical examples include ballads, parking breakers and standing signs, which usually do not get in the way, but blind people may be injured by collisions. To solve such a problem, many solutions have been proposed, but they are limited in applied in practical environments due to the several restrictions such as outside use only, inaccurate obstacle sensing and requirement of special devices. In this paper, we propose a new method to automatically detect obstacles while walking on the pedestrian roads and warn the collision risk in advance by using only sensors embedded in typical mobile phones. The proposed method supports the walking of the visually impaired by notifying the type of obstacles appearing in front of them as well as the distance remaining from the obstacles. To accomplish this goal, we utilized an object recognition technology applying the latest deep learning algorithms in order to identify the obstacles appeared in real-time videos. In addition, we also calculate the distance to the obstacles using the number of steps and the pedestrian's stride. Compared to the existing walking support technologies for the visually impaired, our proposed method ensures efficient and safe walking with only simple devices regardless of the places.

The evaluation of effectiveness of 3DCA using vacuum bag(Vac-Lock) for patient immobilization device (3DCA제작을 통한 Vac-Lock 사용시 효율성향상에 대한 연구)

  • Lee YoungChul;Lee ChulBin;Kang NoHyun;Kim DongEuk;Lee JungYong;Jeong InPyo
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2004
  • Purpose : Patient immobilization is crucial factor for radiation therapy. Generally, we have been used vacuum bag immobilization device(Vac-Lock) for whole body immobilization. In order to easily set up of vacuum bag(Vac-Lock), we made a 3DCA(3-Dimensional Conformal Accessary). The purpose of this study is evaluation of effectiveness of 3DCA using Vack-Lock for patient immobilization. Materials and Methods : We made 3DCA(3-Dimensional Conformal Accessary) tool of wooden boards. The reasons to choice of wooden boards are its easily handling nature and cheap expenses. Results : (1) We reduced man power from $5{\sim}6$persons to 1person to make immobilizations, (2) Shortened work time from 1hour to within 10minutes. (3) Avoid a collision to treatment gantry head. (4) Its shapes are smart and clean. Conclusion : We have made and used 3DCA(3-Dimensional Conformal Accessary) tool was very effective and convenience for the patients and users.

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Performance of active PNC Handover and PNC Heart Beat based Beacon Alignment Schemes for Wireless PAN Systems (WPAN에서의 신속한 망 복구를 위한 능동적인 PNC 핸드오버방법 및 PNC Heart Beat 의 비컨 프레임 정렬 방식의 성능분석)

  • Nam Hye-Jin;Kim Jae-Young;Jeon Young-Ae;Lee Hyung-Soo;Kim Se-Han;Yoon Chong-Ho
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.2B
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2006
  • For the legacy IEEE 802.15.3 WPAN protocol, an unpredictable piconet coordinator(PNC) leaving from a piconet without a proper handoff procedure causes an absence of PNC, and thus the piconet gets collapsed. In addition, several beacons from PNCs in adjacent piconets may be collided on a device(DEV) located between those piconets. This beacon collision eventually makes the DEV leave from the piconet. To remedy these two problems, we here propose an Active Seamless Coordinator Switching(ASCS) scheme and a PNC HB based Beacon Alignment(PHBA) one. In the ASCS scheme, a PNC assigns a number of DEVs as next possible PNCs in sequence for provisioning against the abrupt breakdown of the current active PNC. Each nominated DEV proactively sends a probe frame to confirm the operation status of the active PNC. For the case of no response from the PNC, the nominated DEV tries to become a new PNC immediately. In the second PHBA scheme, each PNC is allow to broadcast a special Heart Beat(HB) frame randomly during a superframe period. When a DEV receives a HB frame from other PNC, it promptly sends the related PNCs a special Hiccup Beat(HCB) frame with the superframe information of its associated PNC. As a result, the HCB frame makes both PNCs align their superframe beginning time in order to yield no more beacon collisions. For these two proposed schemes, we show the performance by simulations. We can confirm the enhancement of throughput for each superframe and average frame transfer delay, since each scheme can reduce the duration of piconet collapse. Finally, it is worth while to note that the proposed schemes can be operated with frames those are permitted in the legacy WPAN standard.

Study on the Establishment of the Separation Distance between Anchored Ships in Jinhae Bay Typhoon Refuge (진해만 태풍 피항지 정박 선박간 이격거리 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Won-Sik Kang;Ji-Yoon Kim;Dae-Won Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.338-347
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    • 2023
  • Jinhae Bay, characterized by frequent runaway ships and strong winds during typhoon attacks, poses a high risk of maritime accidents such as ship collisions and groundings. This study aims to determine a safe separation distance between ships in the Jinhae Bay anchorage, considering the unique environmental characteristics of the Korean sea area. Analysis revealed that an average of 100-200 ships anchor in the typhoon avoidance area in Jinhae Bay during typhoon attacks, with approximately 70% of ships experiencing anchor dragging owing to strong external forces exceeding 25 m/s wind speeds. In this study, we analyzed and presented the separation distances between ships during anchoring operations based on domestic and international design standards, separation distances between ships used as actual typhoon shelters in Jinhae Bay, and appropriate safe distances for ships drifting under strong external forces. The analysis indicated that considering the minimum criteria based on the design standards and emergency response time, a minimum safe distance of approximately 400-900 m was required. In cases where ample space was available, the separation distance was recommended to be set between 700 to 900 m. The findings of this study are anticipated to contribute to the development of guidelines for establishing safe separation distances between ships seeking refuge from typhoons in Jinhae Bay in the future.