• 제목/요약/키워드: Time-series Analysis

검색결과 3,215건 처리시간 0.035초

정전류 펄스법을 이용한 콘크리트 내 보강철근의 부식 연구 (The Use of Galvanostatic Pulse Transient Techniques for Assessing of Corrosion Rate of Reinforcing steel in Concrete)

  • 소형석
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.785-793
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 정전류 펄스법을 이용하여 콘크리트 내 보강철근의 부식률을 정량적으로 평가한 실험 결과를 나타낸 것이다. 콘크리트와 보강철근의 부식 경계면에서 미소전류의 인가에 의해 변화되는 부식전위 $({\Delta}E)$를 분석함으로써 보강철근의 분극저항 $R_{ct}$는 저항/커패시턴스 (resistance/capacitance)모델에 기초하여 개별 성분으로 분리되었다. 분리된 각 성분에는 부식 과정과 관련된 저항뿐 아니라 콘크리트 내 이온의 확산저항 등과 같은 부식에 관계없는 저항 성분들도 포함되어 있었다. 참조 전극과 보강철근의 측면 이격 거리에 따른 일련의 실험 결과는 부식 과정에 관계없는 저항 성분들로부터 부식에 관련된 저항 성분을 명확히 구별할 수 있음을 잘 보여주고 있다. 만일 보강철근의 부식률이 부식에 관계없는 저항 성분들까지 포함된 분극저항에 의해 평가된다면, 보강철근의 부식률은 실제의 부식 상태보다 최대 2.3배까지 과소평가될 수 있는 것으로 조사되었다. 측정 시간이 부식률 평가에 미치는 영향은 부식 철근의 경우 크지 않았지만, 측정 시간이 길어짐에 따라 부식에 관계없는 저항성분이 포함될 수 있음을 보였고, 비교적 늦은 시상수 (time constant)를 갖는 부동태 철근의 경우 측정 시간에 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 조사되었다.

1SWASP J093010.78+533859.5: A Possible Hierarchical Quintuple System

  • Koo, Jae-Rim;Lee, Jae Woo;Lee, Byeong-Cheol;Kim, Seung-Lee;Lee, Chung-Uk;Hong, Kyeongsoo;Lee, Dong-Joo;Rey, Soo-Chang
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.71.1-71.1
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    • 2013
  • Among quadruples or higher multiplicity stars, only a few binary systems have been discovered. They are important targets to understand the formation and evolution of multiple stellar systems because we can obtain accurate stellar parameters from photometric and spectroscopic studies. We present the observational results of this kind of rare object 1SWASP J093010.78+533859.5, for which the doubly eclipsing feature had been detected previously from the SuperWASP photometric archive. Individual PSF photometry for two objects with a separation of about 1.9 arcsec was performed for the first time in this study. Our time-series photometric data show that the brighter object A is an Algol-type detached eclipsing binary with an orbital period of 1.3 days and the fainter B is a W UMa-type contact eclipsing binary with a period of 0.23 days. Using the high-resolution optical spectra, we obtained well-defined radial velocity variations of the system A. Furthermore, stationary spectral lines were detected and should have originated from the other stellar component, which was confirmed by the third object contribution from the light curve analysis. No spectral feature of the system B was detected, probably due to its faintness. We obtained the binary parameters and the absolute dimensions from each light curve synthesis. The primary and secondary components of the system A have a spectral type of K1 and K5 main sequences, respectively. Two components of system B have nearly the same type of K3 main sequence. Light variations at out of eclipses were appeared in both systems, interpreting as the effect of stellar spots on these late spectral type stars. We estimated the distances to the systems A and B individually. They may have similar distances of about 70 pc and seem to be gravitationally bound with a separation of about 130 AU. In conclusion, we suggest that 1SWASP J093010.78+533859.5 is a quintuple stellar system with a hierarchical structure of a triple system A(ab)c and a binary system B(ab).

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개방화와 경제성장에 따른 한국, 중국, 일본의 이산화탄소 배출량 비교 분석 (An Empirical Study of the Relationships between CO2 Emissions, Economic Growth and Openness)

  • 최은호;;조용성
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.3-37
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    • 2011
  • 한국과 중국, 일본 세 국가의 1971년부터 2006년까지의 시계열 자료를 바탕으로 이산화탄소 배출량과 경제성장 그리고 경제개방도의 인과관계를 파악하고, 환경 쿠즈네츠 곡선(Envirionmental Kuznets Curve, EKC)의 존재여부에 대해 분석하였다. 경제개방도나 경제성장에 따른 이산화탄소 배출량은 국가별로 상이한 형태를 보였다. 추정된 EKC는 국가별로 다른 패턴을 보이는데, 경제성장과 $CO_2$ 배출량의 경우 한국은 U자 곡선, 중국은 상승추세, 일본은 역 N자 형태를 보였다. 일본은 약 30,000달러의 경제성장을 달성하면서 이산화탄소 배출 감소구간을 보이고 있다. 이와 같은 결과를 통해, EKC의 최고점에 이르지 않고도 선진국의 경험과 기술을 이용하여 터널을 거쳐 환경이 개선될 수 있다는 가능성을 확인할 수 있었다. 경제개방도와 $CO_2$ 배출량의 관계를 보면 한국은 역 U자 곡선, 중국의 경우 U자곡선, 일본은 증가추세를 보였다. 또한 벡터자기회귀모형(vector auto regression, VAR)과 벡터오차수정모형(vector error correction model, VECM)을 사용하여 변수들 간의 동태적 관계를 분석하였다. 각 국가의 경제성장, 개방화 정도에 따른 이산화탄소 배출과의 관계를 보다 가시적으로 접근했다는 데 의의가 있다.

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백두산 천지 붕괴 가상 시나리오 별 천지못 유출수의 피해영향범위 예측 (Prediction of the Area Inundated by Lake Effluent According to Hypothetical Collapse Scenarios of Cheonji Ground at Mt. Baekdu)

  • 서장원;이희욱;김성민;박형동
    • 지질공학
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.409-425
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 백두산 분화 전 지반 균열 및 거동에 의한 천지못 지반 붕괴 시나리오 별 천지못 유출수의 이동경로와 홍수 피해영향범위를 시계열로 예측하였다. 지형 지표 기상 환경 자료를 기반으로 다방향 흐름기법, 지표토양에 의한 흡수율과 초기저장량, 화구 및 분지 지형의 부피(저장공간)를 함께 고려할 수 있는 지리정보시스템 기반의 수문분석 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 백두산 지역의 화산군 분포와 지형적 특성을 고려하여 4가지 경우의 천지못 지반 붕괴 지점을 가상으로 선정하고, 개발된 알고리즘을 적용하여 천지못 유출수의 확산패턴과 시간 변화에 따른 피해영향범위를 산정하였다. 시나리오 1과 2(천지못 전체/남쪽 경계 지반 붕괴)의 경우 천지못 유출 약 3시간 경과 후부터 중국쪽 마을에 홍수피해가 발생한 반면 북한 영토는 천지못 남동쪽에 위치한 산봉우리의 지형적 특성으로 인해 거의 영향을 받지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 반면 시나리오 2의 조건에 천지못 남동쪽 산봉우리를 붕괴시킨 시나리오 3과 4의 경우에는 천지못 유출 약 3시간 경과 후부터 중국뿐만 아니라 북한 영토쪽 마을에도 1,500만톤 이상의 홍수 피해를 발생시키는 것으로 분석되었다.

환경대기 중 유해성 VOC에 대한 자동연속 측정방법의 성능 최적화에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Performance Optimization of a Continuous Monitoring Method for Hazardous VOCs in the Ambient Atmosphere)

  • 손은성;서영교;이동현;이민도;한진석;백성옥
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.523-538
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    • 2009
  • Recently, there has been a keen demand for real-time automatic monitoring of VOCs not only in Korea but other developed countries. We carried out this study to evaluate and to optimize the performance of a continuous automatic monitoring system for hazardous VOCs (HVOCs) in the ambient atmosphere, using an on-line GC system. The online system normally consisted of a Nafion dryer prior to a cold trap of an automatic thermal desorption apparatus and a GC system equipped with two detectors, i.e. PID and ECD. Preliminary tests conducted to check out any contamination of the system revealed an evidence of significant artifact formation of benzene, and it was found that the Nafion dryer (even brand new one) is the source of the benzene artifact. Thus, all the subsequent experiments in this study was carried out inevitably by removing the Nafion dryer. The on-line GC method was investigated with a variety of QC/QA performance criteria such as repeatability, linearity, lower detection limits, and accuracy. In order to find out the best operating condition for the on-line GC system, three different types (in terms of adsorption strength) of cold trap combinations were tested, i.e. (i) Tenax-TA and Carbopack-B combination (weak and hydrophobic); (ii) Tenax-TA, Carbopack-X and Carboxen-1000 combination (strong and hydrophilic); and (iii) Tenax-TA and Carbopack-X combination (medium and hydrophobic/hydrophilic). The USEPA TO-17 manual method was selected as a reference method to evaluate the performance of the on-line method. A series of experiments revealed that the system performance was superior to others when a cold trap packed with hydrophilic adsorbents (Tenax-TA/Carbopack-X/Carboxen-1000 combination) was used and operated at $25^{\circ}C$. However, the system with a cold trap packed with a combination of Tenax-TA and Carbopack-X is more recommended for field applications since the carboxen-1000 adsorbent is too sensitive to water vapor, and hence the performance of the system might be very unstable to humid samples or during rainy days. Furthermore, the precision and accuracy criteria of the Tenax-TA/ Carbopack-X combination were generally compatible with the triple adsorbents cold trap. The continuous automatic monitoring method is, thus, considered very useful to real-time monitoring to understand the variations of VOCs concentrations in ambient air, as it adopts much simpler procedures in sampling, analysis, and data integration steps than manual monitoring methods. However, it should be noted that there is a high possibility of benzene artifacts formation through the Nafion dryer, which is often installed to remove water vapor in air samples before being adsorbed onto the cold trap. Therefore, if a Nafion dryer is used in any studies of monitoring VOCs, the benzene contamination should be carefully examined before carrying out obtaining the data.

한의약소재 스포츠음료수 섭취가 운동-유발성 피로의 단시간 회복에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Oral Sport Beverages with Medicinal Herbs Added on Short-term Recovery from Exercise-induced Fatigue)

  • 나현종;이규락;강호율
    • 대한한의학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.36-46
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    • 2006
  • Objectives : Ginseng Research Group in Korea Food Research Institute developed Saeng Mac San (KFRI-2)and Je Ho Tang (KFRI-3) with their sensory factors more acceptable. And we examined their effects on the short-term recovery capacity for cycling exercise (EX) maintained to all-out. Methods : Seven healthy young subjects (aged $24.0{\pm}2.1yr$) were volunteered at this double blind test. Each of KFRI-2, 3, a commercial sport beverage and control (CON) was offered randomly on a series of EX protocol including 65% VO2max-90min EX (D-ride). 1h-recovery and 85% VO2max EX to all-out (P-ride) under the control of their heart rate (HR) and rating perception of exertion (RPE). Blood samples were collected before D-ride, 30, 60 and 90min in D-ride, 30 and 60min in the recovery period and each 10min in P-ride. Plasma analysis items were glucose, insulin, cortisol (CORT), testosterone (TEST), free fatty acid (FFA), $Na^+$, Cl-and $K^+$. The collected data (Means${\pm}$SE) were analysed by two-way ANOVA and statistically significant differences between treatments (p<0.05) by LSD.; the significant level in FFA, $Na^+$, Cl-and $Na^+$ was p<0.01 Results : At 30min during recovery. plasma glucose level in KFRI-3 was significantly higher than CON, and also insulin in KFRI-3 was than CON and KFRI-2. FFA in KFRI-3 was significantly lower than CON during recovery. $Na^+$ in KFRI-3 significantly higher than CON at 90min in D-ride, and also KFRI-2 was at 60min during recovery. However CORT, TEST, Cl-and $Na^+$ in treated beverages were not significant. KFRI-2, 3 elevated the time for P-ride more than CON did. Conclusions : KFRI-2, 3 elevated the time for P-ride about 12% more than CON did. It is based on rapid recovery of plasma glucose level and inhibition of lipolysis during recovery.

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A New Approach to the Whole Body Intervention Program(General Coordinative Manipulation Program) of Nonspecific Back Disorder

  • Moon Sang-Eun
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.112-128
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    • 2003
  • Since areas of pain and dysfunction of musculoskeletal typically suffered by the patients with back disorders spread all over the body, WBIP(GCM Program) for the primary treatment and management is required. The purpose of this study is to analyze if WBIP(GCM Program) based on the hyper/hypomobility pattern of Four Body Types can identify the effective treatment of back disorders and the effect on the postural balanced restoration of the spine and extremities. Non-specific back disorder is still a major reason for sick leave. And moreover, its been reported that there was often recurrence to the patients whose symptom had been diminished. As a WBIP(GCM Program) based on kinematic chain patterns of Four Body Types, this study gave a new information on the effective diagnosis, treatment and management of non-specific back disorders. 337 patients above the twenty-five years old with the non-specific back disorders at the hospital and oriental medical clinics at Kyungnam and Busan areas in South Korea from August 24th, 2000 to Feb 23rd, 2001 have randomly been assigned to four experimental groups such as Whole Body Intervention Program Group, Physical Therapy Group like modality treatments, Acupuncture-Treatment Group, and Placebo Control Group. According to intervention program applied to the each four group for three times per week(twelve times per 4weeks), as the time-series methods, we compared and evaluated the body status of the pretest with that of post treatment completion of four week, three month, and six month, respectively. As the analytical method of measurement, our researchers used the Moire Interferometry Unit and Postural Kit that could measure the postural balance of spine and extremities. The collection of data was performed in the designated hospital and oriental medical clinics. For the analysis of the data, the SPSS 10.0 package program was used. X2-test has been taken in order to compare and analyze characteristics and GPES of the patients in four experimental groups. Repeated Measure ANOVA and Tukey post hoc test has been adopted in order to compare the effects of the balanced restoration of the spine and extremities among four Groups categorized for this study. Statistical significance was accepted at the 0.05 level of confidence The effect of the balanced restoration on the spine and extremities of the patients with non-specific back disorders has been proved in all of the Groups. As for the restoration degree, however, WBIP(GCM Program) Group produced the highest effectiveness in terms of the fact that it had a dense moire in comparison with the other three Groups and that the Moires of both sides had the same level by the time(p<0.01). WBIP(GCM Program) based on four tilting types of scapular and ilium and hyper/hypomobility pattern took a higher effect on the balanced restoration of the spine and extremities through a whole body as well as the treatment of back disorders than the other three Groups which the usual remedy without classification of body type had been applied to.

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한국남부 연안의 영양상태 평가와 저층 경계면의 중요성 (The Assessment of Trophic State and the Importance of Benthic Boundary Layer in the Southern Coast of Korea)

  • 이재성;김기현;김성수;정래홍;박종수;최우정;김귀영;이필용;이영식
    • 한국해양학회지:바다
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.179-195
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    • 2004
  • 국립수산과학원에서 수행한 국가해양환경측정망 운영 결과 중 생지화학적 자료를 이용하여 (1997∼2002, 6년간) 한국 남해 연안의 영양상태를 평가하였다. 비행열 다차원 척도법 분석결과로 남해연안은 3개의 영양 상태로 구분되었다. 빈산소 수괴가 형성되며 용존성 무기질소와 인농도가 매우 높은 마산만은 과영양 상태였으며, 강한 점원 오염원이 있는 울산만, 온산만, 부산 연안, 진해만은 부영양 상태로 추정되었다. 그리고 그 외 여수, 통영 , 목포 주변 연안과 제주도 연안은 중영양 상태로 나타났다. 실측 용존무기질소와 Redfield 비로 보정된 이론적 용존무기질소의 차이인 과잉 질소의 6년간 평균은 오염된 하천이 유입되는 울산, 온산, 부산 연안에서 큰 양의 값을 보였고 행암, 광양, 여수 연안이 음의 값을 나타내어 기초생산자의 성장 제한 물질이 서로 다르게 작용할 수 있음을 시사하고 있다. 또한 과잉 용존무기질소는 시계열 분석 결과 과-부영양화된 해역에서 점차 감소하였으나 중영양 해역은 점차 증가하고 있어 해역의 영양상태에 따라 질소 대 인의 비가 변화하고 있었다. 과-부영양화의 진행에 따른 저층 퇴적물의 유기물 오염은 질소와 인의 생지화학적 순환을 교란시킬 것으로 예상되며, 향후 더욱 정확한 연안 환경영향을 파악하기 위해서는 저층 경계면의 연구가 반드시 포함되어야 할 것으로 판단된다.

『각사등록』에 의한 조선시대 경상도지역 측우기 강우량자료 복원 및 분석 (Restoration and Analysis of Chugugi Rainfall Data in 『Gaksadeungnok』 for the Gyeongsang-do during the Joseon Dynasty)

  • 조하만;김상원;박진;전영신
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.481-489
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    • 2014
  • The Chugugi and Wootaek data of Gyeongsang-do (Dagu, Jinju, Goseong) were restored from "Gaksadeungnok", the governmental documents reported by the local government to the central during the Joseon Dynasty, and analyzed. The duration of the restored data represents 6 years for Daegu (1863, 1872, 1890, 1897, 1898, and 1902), 3 years for Jinju (1897, 1898, and 1900), and 2 years for Goseong (1871 and 1873). Total number of the restored data was 134, including 83 in Daegu, 25 in Jinju, and 26 in Goseong with the period ranging from March to September. The summer data from June to August accounts for approximately 50% (73 data), while the April data also shows relatively high number of 22, followed by September and March. Most data was collected from March to October, while this time winter data was not found even in October. The rainfall patterns using Chugugi data were investigated. First, the number of days with rainfall by annual mean showed 41 days in Daegu, 39 in Jinju, 33 in Goseong, respectively. In terms of the time series distribution of daily rainfall, the ratio between the number of occurrences with over 40 mm of heavy rainfall and the number of rainy days showed 14 times (8%) in Daegu, 24 (39%) in Jinju, and 4 (6%) in Goseong, respectively. The maximum daily rainfall during the period was recorded with 80mm in Jinju on August 24, 1900. The result of analyzing monthly amount of rainfall clearly indicated more precipitation in summer (June, July and August) with the relatively high records of 284 mm and 422 mm in April, 1872 and July, 1902, respectively, in Daegu, while Jinju recorded the highest value of 506 mm in June, 1898. When comparing the data with those observed by Chugugi in Seoul during the same period from "Seungjeongwonilgi", the monthly rainfall patterns in Daegu and Seoul were quite similar except for the year of 1890 and 1897 in which many data were missing. In particular, in June 1898 the rainfall amount of Jinju recorded as much as 506 mm, almost 4 times of that of Seoul (134 mm). Based on this, it is possible to presume that there was a large amount of the precipitation in the southern region during 1898. According to the calculated result of Wootaek data based on Chugugi observations, the unit of 1 'Ri' and 1 'Seo' in Daegu can be interpreted into 18.6 mm and 7.8 mm. When taking into consideration with the previous result found in Gyeonggi-do (Cho et al., 2013), 1 'Ri' and 1 'Seo' may be close to 20.5 mm and 8.1 mm, however, more future investigations and studies will be essential to verify the exact values.

서울 오피스 신규 공급 결정요인과 동태적 관계분석 (The Determinants of New Supply in the Seoul Office Market and their Dynamic Relationship)

  • 양혜선;강창덕
    • 지적과 국토정보
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.159-174
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    • 2017
  • 오피스의 수급 불균형은 도시 성장을 약화시킨다. 오피스의 초과공급이 공실률을 높이고 임대료가 하락하는 등 시장의 불안정성을 키울 수 있기 때문이다. 또한 오피스의 초과수요가 기업의 임차비용을 상승시켜 도시의 산업 성장을 제한할 수 있다. 최근 대규모의 신규 공급이 서울 오피스시장의 변동성을 높였다. 그럼에도 불구하고 오피스 공급에 대한 연구는 미미한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구는 서울 오피스 신규 공급의 영향요인을 확인하고 수급 불균형의 주요 원인인 시차를 고려하여 결정요인들의 동태적 구조적인 움직임을 분석하였다. 이를 위해 시계열모형인 벡터오차수정모형(VECM)을 활용하여 2003년부터 2015년까지 서울 오피스시장의 분기별 자료를 분석하였다. 분석결과, 서울 오피스 신규 공급에 영향을 주는 요인은 1분기 전 오피스 신규 공급량(-), 1분기 전 오피스 고용자 수(+), 2분기 전 이자율(+), 1분기 전 cap rate(-), 2분기 전 cap rate(-)으로 확인되었다. 이를 바탕으로 영향요인들 간의 시간에 따른 상호의존성과 변동에 따른 상대적 기여도를 분석한 결과, 이자율과 cap rate은 신규 공급량에 단기적인 영향을 미친 반면 고용과 공실률은 장기적이고 지속적인 영향을 미쳤다. 따라서 예측 가능한 오피스 시장 전망을 위해서는 이러한 오피스 신규 공급 영향요인에 대한 공신력 있는 자료 구축이 필요하고 지속적인 모니터링이 필요하다. 오피스는 기업과 산업의 성장을 이끄는 핵심적인 도시인프라이기 때문이다.