• 제목/요약/키워드: Time-mean power

검색결과 532건 처리시간 0.035초

신장이식 환자의 치료지시이행에 영향을 미치는 요인 (Factors Affecting Treatment Adherence of Kidney Transplantation Recipients)

  • 이정아;김영아;정향인
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.619-628
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 신장이식 환자를 대상으로 치료지시이행에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위한 설명적 조사연구이다. 연구대상은 일 대학병원 외래를 방문하는 신장이식 환자 132명이었다. 자료수집은 2017년 7월 17일부터 2017년 8월 22일까지 이루어졌으며, 수집된 자료는 SPSS WIN 24.0을 이용하여 빈도와 백분율, 평균과 표준편차, 분산분석, 상관관계, 회귀분석을 통해 분석되었다. 연구결과, 대상자의 연령, 종교의 유무, 이식 후 경과기간에 따라 치료지시이행에 유의한 차이가 나타났다(p<.05). 또한 총 사회적 지지(r=.54, p<.001), 가족의 지지(r=.43, p<.001), 의료인의 지지(r=.57, p<.001) 및 자가 간호지식(r=.21, p=.015) 역시 치료지시이행과 통계적으로 유의한 양의 상관관계를 보였다. 회귀분석의 결과, 치료지시이행의 영향요인은 의료인의 지지, 신장이식 후 경과기간, 배우자 유무, 종교의 유무였고, 최종 설명력은 41.9%였다. 결론적으로, 신장이식 환자들의 치료지시이행을 높이기 위해 의료인의 지지를 증진시킬 수 있는 효율적인 중재방안이 도입되어야 할 것이다.

조선 후기 국장용 운반 상구고(喪具考) (A Consideration about the funeral Supplies for Carriage in the late of Joseon Period)

  • 박종민
    • 헤리티지:역사와 과학
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    • 제39권
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    • pp.191-217
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    • 2006
  • 상장례 중 발인절차에서 각종 물품과 시신을 운반하는 상구를 이용하여, 상주들은 예를 원활하게 치루고자 노력한다. 이미 조선시대 초기에 "세종실록"과 "국조오례의"를 통해서, 이들을 구체적으로 설명하였다. 그러나 이들은 일반백성들이 지켜야 할 예서의 수준을 넘어선 국가의례의 표준서이다. 조선 중후기를 넘어오면서, 국가가 정한 국장의례 규정에 따라서, 국장도감은 운반상구류를 제작하여서 사용하였다. 그 예로 대여 견여 요여 채여 연 가자 등을 제작하여서 국장에 실제로 사용하였다. 이와 관련하여서, 조선 중기 이후에 일련의 실제 국장과 그에 소요된 기물들을 기록한 책인 의궤를 살펴볼 수 있다. 본 글은 "선조국장도감의궤", "인조국장도감의궤", "정조국장도감의궤", "순조국장도감의궤", "명성황후국장도감의궤"를 참고서로 활용하여서 조선 중후기 국장에서 실제로 사용되었던 운반상구류에 관해서 살펴보았다. 운반상구류의 준비와 제작과정, 활용상황, 그 변화에 이르기까지 국장도감의궤를 통해서 구체적으로 알아보았다. 조선시대 왕실의례는 곧 국가를 대표하는 의례이어서 개인의 기호에 따라서 좌우될 수 없었다. 조선시대 왕실이 한 국가의 상징이자, 실질적인 권력이 나오는 곳이었기 때문에, 왕실의례는 한 국가의례로서 전형을 보여주어야 했다. 운반상구류가 대행왕의 옥체를 실은 재궁, 왕실의 권위와 왕통을 상징하는 물품 등을 운반하기 때문에, 국장도감은 세심한 배려와 함께 신중을 기하였다. 이는 이러한 물품들이 살아서 이 땅을 지배하였던 왕 같은 권위를 지니고 있었다고 생각하기 때문이다. 따라서 이들은 발인 시에 단순한 운반상구에 지나지 않는 것이 아니라 왕과 동격 선상에 있는 상징적인 물품들이다. 정형성을 유지하였던 국장용 운반상구 역시 조선 후기로 접어들면서 당시 현실적인 여건으로 다소의 변화가 일어났다. 왕실의례가 전례의식의 특징을 지니고 있음에도 불구하고 일부 변화를 가져왔다면, 사대부 및 일반 백성들 사이에서 상구류 제작 또는 사용에서도 변화를 꾀할 수 있었다. 이 점에서 조선시대의 국장용 상구류 변화에도 관심을 기여야 한다.

스마트횡단시스템 활성화를 위한 교통약자의 횡단속도 추정 (A Study on Estimating the Crossing Speed of Mobility Handicapped for the Activation of the Smart Crossing System)

  • 김형규;변상철;윤여환;김재석
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2022
  • 고령보행자를 포함한 교통약자는 신체적 능력이 저하되어 보행속도가 상대적으로 낮으며, 인지반응시간이 느린 특성을 가지고 있지만, 현재 교통약자를 위한 보행신호는 0.8m/s로 일률적으로 적용하고 있다. 문제점을 개선하기 위하여 스마트 횡단시스템이 개발되어 운영되고 있지만, 보행자별 적정 보행속도를 반영한 신호운영이 이루어지지 못하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 교통약자비율이 높은 지역에서 수집된 영상정보를 활용하여, 교통약자의 종류, 보행자의 수, 도로의 기하구조 등을 고려한 신경망모형과 다중회귀모형기반의 횡단속도 추정모델을 개발하였다. 이를 통해 개발된 모델을 스마트횡단시스템에 적용하여 실시간 교통약자에 따른 최적 보행신호 제공을 지원하고자 하였다. 경기도 파주시의 도시 교통 네트워크에서 수집된 실제 교통 상황 데이터 2,400개를 사용하였다. 모델의 성능은 상관계수, 평균 절대오차 등 7개의 선택된 지표를 통해 평가되었다. 다중선형회귀모델은 상관 계수가 0.652이고 MAE가 0.182였으며, 신경망모델은 상관계수가 0.823이고 MAE가 0.105로 나타나. 신경망모델이 더 높은 예측력을 보였다.

벼의 자연통풍건조에 있어서 통풍량이 건조에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on Effects of Air-delivery Rate upon Drying Rough Rice with Unheated Air.)

  • 이상우;정창주
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.3293-3301
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    • 1974
  • An experimental work was conducted by using a laboratory-made model dryer to investigate the effect of the rate of natural forced-air on the drying rate of rough rice which was deposited in the deep-bed. The dryer consisted of 8 cylinderical containers with grain holding screen at their bottoms, each of which having 30cm in diameter and 15cm in height. The containers were sacked vertically with keeping them air-tight by using paper tape during dryer operation. Two separate layers of containers were operated in the same time to have two replications. The moisture contents of grains within each bins after predetermined period of dryer operation were determined indirectly by measuring the weight of the individual containers. The air-rates were maintained at 6 levels, or 5, 8, 10, 15, 18 and 20 millimenters of static head of water. The roomair conditions during dryer operation were maintained in the range of 10-l5$^{\circ}C$ in temperature and 40-60% in relative humidity. The results of the study are summarized as follows: 1. Drying characteristics of the grains in the bottom layers were approximately the same regardless of airdelivery rates, giving the average drying rate as about 0.35 percent per hour after 40-hour drying period, during which moisture content (w. b.) reduced from 24 percent to about 10 percent. 2. After about 40-hour drying period, the mean drying rates increased from 0.163 percent per hour to 0.263 percent per hour as air-flow rates increased from 5mm to 87.16mm of static head of water. In the same time, the moisture differences of grains between lower and upper layers varied from 12.7 percent at the air rate of 5mm of water head to 7.5 percent at the air-flow rate of 20mn of water head. Thus, the greater the air-flow rate was, the more overall improvement in drying performance was. Additionally, from the result of ineffectiveness of drying grain positioned at 70cm depth or above by the air rate of 5mm of static head of water it may be suggested in practical application that the height of grain deposit would be maintained adequately within the limits of air-rates that may be actually delivered. 3. Drying after layer-turning operation was continued for about 30 hours to test the effectiveness of reducing moisture differences in the thick layers. As a result of this layer-turning operation, moisture distribution through layers approached to narrow ranges, giving the moisture range as about 7 percent at air-flow rate of 5mm head of water, about 3 percent at 10mm head about 2 percent at 15mm head, and less than 1 percent at 20mm head. In addition, from the desirable results that drying rate was rapid in the lower layers and dully in the upper layers, layer-turning operation may be very effective in natural air drying with deep-layer grain deposit, especially when the forced air was kept in low rate. 4. Even though the high rate of air delivery is very desirable for deep-layer natural-air drying of rough rice, it can be happened that the required air delivery rate could not be attained because of limitation of power source available on farms. To give a guide line for the practical application, the power required to perform the drying with the specified air rate was analyzed for different sizes of drying bin and is given in Table (5). If a farmer selects a motor of which size is 1 or {{{{1 { 1} over {2 } }}}} H.P. and air-delivery rate which ranges from 8~10mm of head, the diameter of grain bin may be suggested to choose about 2.4m, also power tiller or other moderate size of prime motor may be recommended when the diameter of grain bin is about 5.0m or more for about 120cm grain deposit.

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치과기공사의 분진노출 수준 및 개인보호구 착용 실태 - 대구지역을 중심으로 - (Assessment of dust exposure and personal protective equipment among dental technicians)

  • 박수철;전만중;사공준
    • 대한치과기공학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The study aimed to evaluate working environment for dental technician by measuring dust level, ventilation conditions and the use of personal protective equipment and to provide basic information required to improve working environment and develop health education programs for dental technician. Methods: A total of 240 dental technician who are registered with the Daegu Association of Dental technician and working at 34 dental laboratories participated in the study. And the dust level was measured at 21 different spots in 16 dental laboratories out of 34. Results: Of 34 dental laboratories, 31 (91.2%) were equipped with a ventilator, but the remaining 3 (8.8%) did not have a ventilator. By the number of ventilator, 1 to 3 ventilators were found in 22 dental laboratories (71.0%), 4 to 6 ventilators were in 7 laboratories (22.5%) and more than 7 ventilators in 2 laboratories(6.5%). According to the frequence of changing filters in dust collector, 20 dental laboratories (58.9%) changed filters every four weeks, 10 laboratories (29.4%) changed them every six weeks and 4 laboratories (11.7%) changed them every eight weeks. Of total respondents, 114 (61.3%) said they wore a mask all the time while working, 56 (29.6%) said they frequently wore a mask, 19 (10.1%) said they did not wear a mask. As for the type of masks, 159 (84.1%) used a disposable mask, 25 (13.2%) used a cotton mask and 5 (2.7%) used an anti-dust mask. For dust sat on their outfits while working, 102 (54.0%) shook their uniforms inside workplace to keep dust off the uniforms, 64 (33.9%) did not anything until they wash their uniforms and 23 (12.1%) shook their uniforms outside workplace to keep dust off the uniforms. Of total respondents, 182 (96.3%) had a particle in their eyes while carrying out grinding work. Based on the measurement of floating dust at workplace, 3 dental laboratories showed dust concentration exceeding the minimum level of 10 mg/$m^3$ allowed under the permit for environment. Of those, 1 laboratory had the dust concentration that was more than 1.5 times higher than the minimum level. Dust concentration was higher in laboratories that used a dust collector with 0.5 horse power and changed filters more than 3 weeks ago. Dust comprised of nickel (more than 70%), chrome (9%) and others. The mean chrome concentration was more than twice higher than the minimum permissible level of 0.5 mg/$m^3$. There were two laboratories that showed chrome concentration exceeding the level of 0.4 mg/$m^3$. Like dust concentration, chrome level was higher in laboratories that used a dust collector with 0.5 horse power and changed filters more than 3 weeks ago. There were six laboratories that had nickel concentration exceeding the minimum permissible level of 1 mg/$m^3$. Of those, one laboratory had nickel concentration that was more than three times higher than the minimum permissible level. Nickel concentration was also higher in laboratories that used a dust collector with 0.5 horse power and changed filters more than 3 weeks ago. Conclusion: It is not likely that heavy metal concentrations found in the study constitute respiratory dust. It is however necessary for health of dental technician to apply the Industrial Safety and Healthy Law to dental laboratories and make recommendations for the use of personal protective equipment, installation of a proper number of ventilators, more frequent change of filters in dust collector and improved ventilation for polishing work. At the same time, dental technician need education on how to use personal protective equipment and how to efficiently remove dust from their uniforms.

만성두통환자에 대한 침치료가 심박변이도에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Acupuncture Treatment on the Heart Rate Variability of Chronic Headache Patients)

  • 정인태;이상훈;김수영;차남현;김건식;이두익;이재동;임사비나;이윤호;최도영
    • Journal of Acupuncture Research
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2005
  • 경희의료원에 실시하는 임상시험으로 15명의 만성두통환자를 대상으로 침 치료 전후 심박변이도의 변화를 관찰하여 침 치료가 만성두통환자의 자율신경계의 변화에 미치는 영향을 살펴 본 결과 다음의 결론을 얻었다. 1. 치료 전 심박변이도를 관찰한 결과 15명의 치료 전 심박변이도의 경우 SDNN은 $25.78{\pm}7.76$, RMSSD는 $15.16{\pm}6.60$, TP는 $403.23{\pm}240.81$, LF는 $103.38{\pm}91.14$, HF는 $79.43{\pm}61.21$로 남 등이 건강한 성인 206명을 대상으로 심반변이도를 분석한 결과와 비교하여 모든 항목에서 낮게 나타났다. 연령대별로 남 등 의 분석과 비교하여 보면 40대와 50대에서는 LF에서만 높게 나타나고 나머지 항목에서는 모두 낮게 나왔다. 30대 1명은 모든 항목에서, 60대 1명은 LF에서만 높게 나타났고 나머지 항목은 모두 낮게 나왔다. 2. 침치료 8주후의 심박변이도 변화를 치료 전과 비교하여 보면 time domain analysis에서 SDNN과 RMSSD에서 평균수치의 증가는 관찰되었으나 통계적으로 유의하지는 않았다. Frequency donlain analysis에서는 TP, LF, HF에서 모두 평균수치의 증가가 관찰되었으나, TP에서만 통계적으로 유의성 있는 증가 가 있었다(p<0.05, Table3.).

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Er:YAG laser와 Conventional bur의 유치와 영구치 치아삭제효과 비교 (CUTTING EFFICACY OF Er:YAG LASER AND CONVENTIONAL BUR IN DECIDUOUS AND PERMANENT TEETH)

  • 박인천;이창섭;이난영;이상호
    • 대한소아치과학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.272-285
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구는 유치와 영구치의 법랑질과 상아질을 bur를 이용하여 삭제한 경우와 Er:YAG laser를 이용하여 삭제한 경우 형성되는 와동의 미세학적인 형태를 관찰하고 삭제 효과를 비교하기 위함이다. 유치와 영구치의 법랑질과 상아질을 #330 bur 와 5 Hz의 150mJ, 200mJ, 250mJ 그리고 300mJ 조사세기로 Er:YAG laser를 조사하여 1mm 두께의 표본이 삭제되는 시간을 측정하였다. 또한 삭제된 표면을 관찰하기 위해서 유치와 영구치 각각 5개에 #330 bur와 5Hz의 150mJ, 200mJ, 250mJ, 300mJ 조사세기로 Er:YAG laser를 1초동안 조사하여 횡단면과 종단면으로 나누어 관찰하였다. 1. Er:YAG 레이저를 사용하여 삭제한 경우 유치와 영구치, 법랑질과 상아질 모두 bur를 이용하여 삭제한 경우보다 삭제 시간이 길었다(P<0.05). 2. 법랑질을 삭제할 경우 bur를 사용시 영구치보다 유치에서 삭제시간이 더 길었다. 그러나 Er:YAG 레이저 사용시에는 유치와 영구치 사이에 유의한 차이를 보이지 않았다(P>0.05). 3. 상아질을 삭제할 경우 bur사용시 영구치에서 삭제시간이 더 길었으며 Er:YAG레이저 사용시 150mJ, 5Hz에서는 유의하게 영구치에서 더 긴 삭제시간을 보였으나 나머지 다른 출력의 레이저에서는 유의한 차이를 보이지 않았다(P<0.05). 4. SEM 관찰시 bur를 이용하여 치아를 삭제한 경우 치질유형에 관계없이 경계가 비교적 명확한 와동 변연을 보였다. 그러나 와동 변연에서 균열과 $10-100{\mu}m$의 microchipping이 관찰되었다. 와동벽은 회전식 bur에 따른 줄무늬 모양의 표면을 보이고 있었다. 편평한 와동저를 관찰할 수 있었으며 역시 와동벽과 마찬가지로 거친 표면을 보이고 있었다. 5. 레이저를 이용하여 치아를 삭제한 경우 와동의 변연이 명확하고 날카롭게 형성되었다. 와동의 상부의 직경은 조사에너지와 pulse repetition rate가 커질수록 점차 증가하였다. 와동벽은 불규칙하게 배열되었으며 와동의 변연이나 바닥에 비해 불규칙한 양상을 보여주었다. 와동저는 일반적으로 둥근 원추형이며 비교적 부드러운 표면을 보였다. 이상의 결과를 요약해보면 Er:YAG 레이저는 유치와 영구치에서 비슷한 삭제 시간이 소요되었다. 그러나, 법랑질보다는 상아질에 더 효과적인 것으로 나타났다. 실험 결과 레이저를 이용하여 치아를 삭제한 경우 bur사용에 비해 3배 이상의 삭제시간이 소요되었다. 그러나, 레이저를 이용하여 치아를 삭제할 경우 깨끗한 와동 변연이 형성되고 smear layer가 형성되지 않는 점이 장점으로 사료된다.

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한의학의 항종양 면역치료에 관한 연구 -1990년 이후 발표된 실험논문을 중심으로- (Compilation of 104 Experimental Theses on the Antitumor and Immuno-activating therapies of Oriental Medicine)

  • 강연이;김태임;박종오;김성훈;박종대;김동희
    • 동의생리병리학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2003
  • This study was done to compile 104 experimental theses which are related to the antitumor and immuno-activating therapies between February 1990 through February 2002. Master's and doctoral theses were dassified by schools, degrees, materials, effects, experimental methods of antitumor and immunoactivity, and results. The following results were obtained from this study : 1. Classifying the theses by the school, 34.6% were presented by Daejeon University, 29.8% by Kyung-hee University and 11.5% by Won-kwang University. Of all theses, 51.0% were aimed for the doctoral degree and 43.3% were for the master's degree. All of three universities have their own cancer centers. 2. Classifying the theses by herb materials, complex prescription accounted for 60.3%, single herb accounted for 24.8% and herbal acupuncture accounted for 14.2%. Considering the key principles of the traditional medicine, complex prescription was much more thoroughly studied than single herb prescription. The results showed that the complex prescription had both antitumor activity and immuno-activating activity, which might reflects on multi-activation mechanisms by complex components. 3. Classifying the theses by the efficacy of herbs examined, in single herb, invigorating spleen and supplementing was 35.5%, expelling toxin and cooling was 29.0%, activating blood flow and removing blood stasis was 12.9%. In herbal acupuncture, invigorating spleen and supplementing was 52.9%, expelling toxin and cooling was 29.4%. In complex prescription, pathogen-free status was 41.9%, strengthening healthy qi to eliminate pathogen was 35.5%, strengthening healthy qi was 22.6%. It is presumed that the antitumor and immunoactivating therapy based on syndrome differentiation is the best way to develop oriental oncology. 4. Classifying the theses by antitumor experiments, cytotoxic effect was 48.1 %, survival time was 48.1 % and change of tumor size was 42.3%. Survival rate was not necessarily correlated with cytotoxicity. These data reflect the characteristic, wholistic nature of the oriental medicine which is based on BRM (biological response modifier). 5. Classifying the theses by immunoactivating experiments, hemolysin titer was 51.0%, hemagglutinin titer was 46.2% and NK cell's activity was 44.2%. In the future studies, an effort to elucidate specific molecular and cellular mechanisms of cytokine production in the body would be crucial. 6. Classifying the theses according to the data in terms of antitumor activity, 50% was evaluated good, 24.0% was excellent, and 15.5% have no effect. In an evaluation of immuno-activating activity, 35.9% was excellent and 18.0% showed a little effect. The index point, as described here, may helps to use experimental data for clinical trials. Changes in index points by varying dosage implicate the importance of oriental medical theory for prescription. 7. In 167 materials, IIP (immunoactivating index point, mean : 3.12±0.07) was significantly higher than AIP(antitumor index point, mean : 2.83±0.07). These data demonstrate that the effect of herb medicine on tumor activity depends more on immunoactivating activity than antitumor activity. This further implies that the development of herbal antitumor drugs must be preceded by the mechanistic understanding of immunoactivating effect. 8. After medline-searching tumor and herb-related articles from NCBI web site, we conclude that most of the studies are primarily focused on biomolecular mechanisms and/or pathways. Henceforth, we need to define the biomolecular mechanisms and/or pathways affected by herbs or complicated prescriptions. 9. Therefore, the most important point of oriental medical oncology is to conned between experimental results and clinical trials. For the public application of herbal therapy to cancer, it is critical to present the data to mass media. 10. To develop the relationship of experimental results and clinical trials, university's cancer clinic must have a long-range plan related to the university laboratories and, at the same time, a regular consortium for this relationship is imperative. 11. After all these efforts, a new type herbal medicine for cancer therapy which is to take care of the long-term administering and safety problem must be developed. Then, it would be expected that anti-tumor herbal acupuncture can improve clinical symptoms and quality of life (QOL) for cancer patients. 12. Finally, oriental medical cancer center must be constructed in NCC (National Cancer Center) or government agency for the development of oriental medical oncology which has international competitive power.

How effective has the Wairau River erodible embankment been in removing sediment from the Lower Wairau River?

  • Kyle, Christensen
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.237-237
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    • 2015
  • The district of Marlborough has had more than its share of river management projects over the past 150 years, each one uniquely affecting the geomorphology and flood hazard of the Wairau Plains. A major early project was to block the Opawa distributary channel at Conders Bend. The Opawa distributary channel took a third and more of Wairau River floodwaters and was a major increasing threat to Blenheim. The blocking of the Opawa required the Wairau and Lower Wairau rivers to carry greater flood flows more often. Consequently the Lower Wairau River was breaking out of its stopbanks approximately every seven years. The idea of diverting flood waters at Tuamarina by providing a direct diversion to the sea through the beach ridges was conceptualised back around the 1920s however, limits on resources and machinery meant the mission of excavating this diversion didn't become feasible until the 1960s. In 1964 a 10 m wide pilot channel was cut from the sea to Tuamarina with an initial capacity of $700m^3/s$. It was expected that floods would eventually scour this 'Wairau Diversion' to its design channel width of 150 m. This did take many more years than initially thought but after approximately 50 years with a little mechanical assistance the Wairau Diversion reached an adequate capacity. Using the power of the river to erode the channel out to its design width and depth was a brilliant idea that saved many thousands of dollars in construction costs and it is somewhat ironic that it is that very same concept that is now being used to deal with the aggradation problem that the Wairau Diversion has caused. The introduction of the Wairau Diversion did provide some flood relief to the lower reaches of the river but unfortunately as the Diversion channel was eroding and enlarging the Lower Wairau River was aggrading and reducing in capacity due to its inability to pass its sediment load with reduced flood flows. It is estimated that approximately $2,000,000m^3$ of sediment was deposited on the bed of the Lower Wairau River in the time between the Diversion's introduction in 1964 and 2010, raising the Lower Wairau's bed upwards of 1.5m in some locations. A numerical morphological model (MIKE-11 ST) was used to assess a number of options which led to the decision and resource consent to construct an erodible (fuse plug) bank at the head of the Wairau Diversion to divert more frequent scouring-flows ($+400m^3/s$)down the Lower Wairau River. Full control gates were ruled out on the grounds of expense. The initial construction of the erodible bank followed in late 2009 with the bank's level at the fuse location set to overtop and begin washing out at a combined Wairau flow of $1,400m^3/s$ which avoids berm flooding in the Lower Wairau. In the three years since the erodible bank was first constructed the Wairau River has sustained 14 events with recorded flows at Tuamarina above $1,000m^3/s$ and three of events in excess of $2,500m^3/s$. These freshes and floods have resulted in washout and rebuild of the erodible bank eight times with a combined rebuild expenditure of $80,000. Marlborough District Council's Rivers & Drainage Department maintains a regular monitoring program for the bed of the Lower Wairau River, which consists of recurrently surveying a series of standard cross sections and estimating the mean bed level (MBL) at each section as well as an overall MBL change over time. A survey was carried out just prior to the installation of the erodible bank and another survey was carried out earlier this year. The results from this latest survey show for the first time since construction of the Wairau Diversion the Lower Wairau River is enlarging. It is estimated that the entire bed of the Lower Wairau has eroded down by an overall average of 60 mm since the introduction of the erodible bank which equates to a total volume of $260,000m^3$. At a cost of $$0.30/m^3$ this represents excellent value compared to mechanical dredging which would likely be in excess of $$10/m^3$. This confirms that the idea of using the river to enlarge the channel is again working for the Wairau River system and that in time nature's "excavator" will provide a channel capacity that will continue to meet design requirements.

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심층신경망을 이용한 레이더 영상 학습 기반 초단시간 강우예측 (Very short-term rainfall prediction based on radar image learning using deep neural network)

  • 윤성심;박희성;신홍준
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.1159-1172
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 강우예측을 위해 U-Net과 SegNet에 기반한 합성곱 신경망 네트워크 구조에 장기간의 국내 기상레이더 자료를 활용하여 심층학습기반의 강우예측을 수행하였다. 또한, 기존 외삽기반의 강우예측 기법인 이류모델의 결과와 비교 평가하였다. 심층신경망의 학습 및 검정을 위해 2010부터 2016년 동안의 기상청 관악산과 광덕산 레이더의 원자료를 수집, 1 km 공간해상도를 갖는 480 × 480의 픽셀의 회색조 영상으로 변환하여 HDF5 형태의 데이터를 구축하였다. 구축된 데이터로 30분 전부터 현재까지 10분 간격의 연속된 레이더 영상 4개를 이용하여 10분 후의 강수량을 예측하도록 심층신경망 모델을 학습하였으며, 학습된 심층신경망 모델로 60분의 선행예측을 수행하기 위해 예측값을 반복 사용하는 재귀적 방식을 적용하였다. 심층신경망 예측모델의 성능 평가를 위해 2017년에 발생한 24개의 호우사례에 대해 선행 60분까지 강우예측을 수행하였다. 임계강우강도 0.1, 1, 5 mm/hr에서 평균절대오차와 임계성공지수를 산정하여 예측성능을 평가한 결과, 강우강도 임계 값 0.1, 1 mm/hr의 경우 MAE는 60분 선행예측까지, CSI는 선행예측 50분까지 참조 예측모델인 이류모델이 보다 우수한 성능을 보였다. 특히, 5 mm/hr 이하의 약한 강우에 대해서는 심층신경망 예측모델이 이류모델보다 대체적으로 좋은 성능을 보였지만, 5 mm/hr의 임계 값에 대한 평가결과 심층신경망 예측모델은 고강도의 뚜렷한 강수 특징을 예측하는 데 한계가 있었다. 심층신경망 예측모델은 예측시간이 길어질수록 공간 평활화되는 경향이 뚜렷해지며, 이로 인해 강우 예측의 정확도가 저하되었다. 이류모델은 뚜렷한 강수 특성을 보존하기 때문에 강한 강도 (>5 mm/hr)에 대해 심층신경망 예측모델을 능가하지만, 강우 위치가 잘못 이동하는 경향이 있다. 본 연구결과는 이후 심층신경망을 이용한 레이더 강우 예측기술의 개발과 개선에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 또한, 본 연구에서 구축한 대용량 기상레이더 자료는 향후 후속연구에 활용될 수 있도록 개방형 저장소를 통해 제공될 예정이다.