• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time series information

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Time-Series based Dataset Selection Method for Effective Text Classification (효율적인 문헌 분류를 위한 시계열 기반 데이터 집합 선정 기법)

  • Chae, Yeonghun;Jeong, Do-Heon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2017
  • As the Internet technology advances, data on the web is increasing sharply. Many research study about incremental learning for classifying effectively in data increasing. Web document contains the time-series data such as published date. If we reflect time-series data to classification, it will be an effective classification. In this study, we analyze the time-series variation of the words. We propose an efficient classification through dividing the dataset based on the analysis of time-series information. For experiment, we corrected 1 million online news articles including time-series information. We divide the dataset and classify the dataset using SVM and $Na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayes. In each model, we show that classification performance is increasing. Through this study, we showed that reflecting time-series information can improve the classification performance.

Effect of Dimension Reduction on Prediction Performance of Multivariate Nonlinear Time Series

  • Jeong, Jun-Yong;Kim, Jun-Seong;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.312-317
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    • 2015
  • The dynamic system approach in time series has been used in many real problems. Based on Taken's embedding theorem, we can build the predictive function where input is the time delay coordinates vector which consists of the lagged values of the observed series and output is the future values of the observed series. Although the time delay coordinates vector from multivariate time series brings more information than the one from univariate time series, it can exhibit statistical redundancy which disturbs the performance of the prediction function. We apply dimension reduction techniques to solve this problem and analyze the effect of this approach for prediction. Our experiment uses delayed Lorenz series; least squares support vector regression approximates the predictive function. The result shows that linearly preserving projection improves the prediction performance.

Chaotic Forecast of Time-Series Data Using Inverse Wavelet Transform

  • Matsumoto, Yoshiyuki;Yabuuchi, Yoshiyuki;Watada, Junzo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.338-341
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    • 2003
  • Recently, the chaotic method is employed to forecast a near future of uncertain phenomena. This method makes it possible by restructuring an attractor of given time-series data in multi-dimensional space through Takens' embedding theory. However, many economical time-series data are not sufficiently chaotic. In other words, it is hard to forecast the future trend of such economical data on the basis of chaotic theory. In this paper, time-series data are divided into wave components using wavelet transform. It is shown that some divided components of time-series data show much more chaotic in the sense of correlation dimension than the original time-series data. The highly chaotic nature of the divided component enables us to precisely forecast the value or the movement of the time-series data in near future. The up and down movement of TOPICS value is shown so highly predicted by this method as 70%.

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Time Series Perturbation Modeling Algorithm : Combination of Genetic Programming and Quantum Mechanical Perturbation Theory (시계열 섭동 모델링 알고리즘 : 운전자 프로그래밍과 양자역학 섭동이론의 통합)

  • Lee, Geum-Yong
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.9B no.3
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 2002
  • Genetic programming (GP) has been combined with quantum mechanical perturbation theory to make a new algorithm to construct mathematical models and perform predictions for chaotic time series from real world. Procedural similarities between time series modeling and perturbation theory to solve quantum mechanical wave equations are discussed, and the exemplary GP approach for implementing them is proposed. The approach is based on multiple populations and uses orthogonal functions for GP function set. GP is applied to original time series to get the first mathematical model. Numerical values of the model are subtracted from the original time series data to form a residual time series which is again subject to GP modeling procedure. The process is repeated until predetermined terminating conditions are met. The algorithm has been successfully applied to construct highly effective mathematical models for many real world chaotic time series. Comparisons with other methodologies and topics for further study are also introduced.

Prediction on Clusters by using Information Criterion and Multiple Seeds (정보기준과 다중 중심점을 활용한 클러스터별 예측)

  • Cho, Young-Hee;Lee, Gye-Sung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2010
  • Bayesian information criterion is used to do clustering for time series data. To acquire more stable clusters, multiple seeds are chosen first for the algorithm. Once clusters being set up, most similar time series data in the cluster to the one under consideration are to be chosen for prediction test. These chosen time series data are used to extract valid Markov rules by which we test the prediction accuracy. We confirmed that clustering with multiple seeds led to better prediction performance.

Time-series changes in visual fatigue and depth sensation while viewing stereoscopic images

  • Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kishi, Shinsuke;Kawai, Takashi;Hatada, Toyohiko
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.1099-1102
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    • 2009
  • Conventional stereoscopic (3D) displays using binocular parallax generate unnatural conflicts between convergence and accommodation. Those conflicts can affect the ability to fuse binocular images and may cause visual fatigue. This study examined time-series changes in visual fatigue and depth sensation while viewing stereoscopic images with changing parallax. We examined the physiological changes, including the subjective symptoms of visual fatigue, when viewing five parallax conditions. The time-series results suggest that 2D and 3D images produce significantly different types of visual fatigue over the range of binocular disparity.

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Time Series Analysis Using Neural Networks : Forecasting Performance Analysis with M1-Competition Data (신경망을 이용한 시계열 분석 : M1-Competition Data에 대한 예측성과 분석)

  • 지원철
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 1995
  • Neural Networks have been advocated as an alternative to statistical forecasting methods. However, the empirical evidences are not consistent. In the present experiments, multi-layered perceptron (MLP) are adopted as approximator to the time series generating processes. To prevent the MLP from being overfitted to the given time series, the information obtained from ARMA modeling is used to determine the architecture of MLP. The proposed approach was tested empirically using the subsamples of the 111 time series used in the first Markridakis Competition. The forecasting results were analyzed to find out the factors that affect the performance of MLP. The experimental results show that the proposed approach outperforms ARMA models in terms of fitting and forecasting accuracy. In addition, it is found that the use of deseasonalized data improves the forecasting accuracy of MLP.

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Real-time Error Detection Based on Time Series Prediction for Embedded Sensors (임베디드 센서를 위한 시계열 예측 기반 실시간 오류 검출 기법)

  • Kim, Hyung-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2011
  • An embedded sensor is significantly influenced by its spatial environment, such as barriers or distance, through low power and signal strength. Due to these causes, noise data frequently occur in an embedded sensor. Because the information acquired from the embedded sensor exists in a time series, it is hard to detect an error which continuously takes place in the time series information on a realtime basis. In this paper, we proposes an error detection method based on time-series prediction that detects error signals of embedded sensors in real time in consideration of the physical characteristics of embedded devices. The error detection method based on time-series prediction proposed in this paper determines errors in generated embedded device signals using a stable distance function. When detecting errors by monitoring signals from an embedded device, the stable distance function can detect error signals effectively by applying error weight to the latest signals. When detecting errors by monitoring signals from an embedded device, the stable distance function can detect error signals effectively by applying error weight to the latest signals.

Analysis of Multivariate Financial Time Series Using Cointegration : Case Study

  • Choi, M.S.;Park, J.A.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2007
  • Cointegration(together with VARMA(vector ARMA)) has been proven to be useful for analyzing multivariate non-stationary data in the field of financial time series. It provides a linear combination (which turns out to be stationary series) of non-stationary component series. This linear combination equation is referred to as long term equilibrium between the component series. We consider two sets of Korean bivariate financial time series and then illustrate cointegration analysis. Specifically estimated VAR(vector AR) and VECM(vector error correction model) are obtained and CV(cointegrating vector) is found for each data sets.

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IGARCH and Stochastic Volatility : Case Study

  • Hwang, S.Y.;Park, J.A.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.835-841
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    • 2005
  • IGARCH and Stochastic Volatility Model(SVM, for short) have frequently provided useful approximations to the real aspects of financial time series. This article is concerned with modeling various Korean financial time series using both IGARCH and stochastic volatility models. Daily data sets with sample period ranging from 2000 and 2004 including KOSPI, KOSDAQ and won-dollar exchange rate are comparatively analyzed using IGARCH and SVM.

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