• Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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• v.1
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• pp.332-335
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• 2006

Red tide(harmful algae) in the Korean Coastal Waters has a given a great damage to the fishery every year. However, the aim of our study understands the influence of meteorological factors (air and water temperature, precipitation, sunshine, solar radiation, winds) relating to the mechanism of red tide occurrence and monitors red tide by satellite remote sensing, and analyzes the potential area for red tide occurrence by GIS. The meteorological factors have directly influenced on red tide formation. Thus, We want to predict and apply to red tide formation from statistical analyses on the relationships between red tide formation and meteorological factors. In future, it should be realized the near real time monitoring for red tide by the development of remote sensing technique and the construction of integrated model by the red tide information management system (the data base of red tide - meteorological informations). Finally our purpose is support to the prediction information for the possible red tide occurrence by coastal meteorological information and contribute to reduce the red tide disaster by the prediction technique for red tide.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.37-47
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• 2006

Recently, as a result of the growing interest in modeling stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions, several models for integer valued time series have been proposed in the literature. One of these models is the integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models. However, when modeling with integer-valued autoregressive processes, the distributional properties of forecasts have been not yet discovered due to the difficulty in handling the Steutal Van Ham thinning operator 'o' (Steutal and van Ham, 1979). In this study, we derive the mean squared error of h-step-ahead prediction from a Poisson INAR(1) process, reflecting the effect of the variability of parameter estimates in the prediction mean squared error.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.823-825
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• 2007

In this letter, we propose a novel algorithm to predict MPEG-coded real-time variable bit rate (VBR) video traffic. From the frame size measurement, the algorithm extracts the statistical property of video traffic and utilizes it for the prediction of the next frame for I-, P-, and B- frames. The simulation results conducted with real-world MPEG-4 VBR video traces show that the proposed algorithm is capable of providing more accurate prediction than those in the research literature.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.816-821
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• 2015

In this paper, an in-flight prediction method of thrust profiles for solid rocket motors is proposed. Actually, it is very difficult to have detailed information about the performance of the rocket motors beforehand because it is quite sensitive to combustion environments. To overcome this problem, we have developed an algorithm for generating in-flight prediction of rocket motor performance in realistic environments via a reference burnback profile and accelerations measured at a short time-interval just after launch. The performance is evaluated through a lot of flight test results.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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• 2000.11b
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• pp.196-203
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• 2000

On the assumption that the voices of the cows are produced by the linear prediction filter, we characterized the cows' voices. The order of this filter is determined by examining the voices characteristics both in time and frequency domains. The proposed order of the linear prediction filter is 15 for modeling voice production of the cow. The combination of the two parameters of the fundamental frequency, the slope of the straight line regressed from the log-log spectra of the amplitude-envelope and the only one coefficient involved in the linear prediction filter can differentiate the two cows.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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• v.54 no.5
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• pp.307-314
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• 2005

In this paper, we propose a predictive system for the avoidance of the moving obstacle. In the dynamic environment, robots should travel to the target point without collision with the moving obstacle. For this, we need the prediction of the position and velocity of the moving obstacle. So, we use the Kalman filer algorithm for the prediction. And for the application of the Kalman filter algorithm about the real time travel, we obtain the position of the obstacle which has the future time using Fuzzy system. Through the computer simulation studies, we show the effectiveness of the proposed navigational algorithm for autonomous mobile robots.

• Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.108-113
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• 2001

In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep strength and creep strength and creep life for nickel-based superalloy Udimet 720 (high-temperature and high-pressure gas turbine engine materials) was performed on round-bar type specimens under pure load at the temperatures of 538, 649 and 704$^{\circ}C$. The predictive equation of ISM creep has better reliability than that of LMP and LMP-ISM, and its reliability is getting better for long time creep prediction(10$^3$~10sup/5/ｈ).

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2018.11a
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• pp.59-60
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to predict and classify the accident types based on the KOSHA (Korea Occupational Safety & Health Agency) and weather data. We also have an effort to suggest an important management method according to accident types by deriving feature importance. We designed two models based on accident data and weather data (model(a)) and only weather data (model(b)). As a result of random forest method, the model(b) showed a lack of accuracy in prediction. However, the model(a) presented more accurate prediction results than the model(b). Thus we presented safety management plan based on the results. In the future, this study will continue to carry out real time prediction to occurrence types to prevent safety accidents by supplementing the real time accident data and weather data.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.103-111
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• 2017

Purpose: Accelerated degradation tests can speed time to market and reduce the test time and costs associated with long term reliability tests to verify the required service life of a product or material. This paper proposes a service life prediction method for components or materials using an accelerated degradation tests based on the relationships between temperature and the rate of failure-causing chemical reaction. Methods: The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed and least square estimation is used to estimate model parameters from the degradation model. Results: Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life using the degradation model are presented and a numerical example is provided. Conclusion: Service life prediction of a component or material is possible at an early stage of the degradation test by using the proposed method.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.43 no.6
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• pp.1058-1080
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• 2021

Crime is not a completely random event but rather shows a pattern in space and time. Capturing the dynamic nature of crime patterns is a challenging task. Crime prediction models that rely only on neighborhood influence and demographic features might not be able to capture the dynamics of crime patterns, as demographic data collection does not occur frequently and is static. This work proposes a novel approach for crime count and hotspot prediction to capture the dynamic nature of crime patterns using taxi data along with historical crime and demographic data. The proposed approach predicts crime events in spatial units and classifies each of them into a hotspot category based on the number of crime events. Four models are proposed, which consider different covariates to select a set of independent variables. The experimental results show that the proposed combined subset model (CSM), in which static and dynamic aspects of crime are combined by employing the taxi dataset, is more accurate than the other models presented in this study.