• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time lag Analysis

Search Result 368, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Quality of Departure Time Based On-line Link Travel Time Estimates (구간통행속도 추정을 위한 고속도로 검지기자료 처리기법 개발)

  • Park, Dong-Joo;Kim, Jae-Jin;Rho, Jung-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Beom
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.145-154
    • /
    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the quality of on-line departure time-based link travel time estimates. For this, accuracy (i.e. estimation error) and timeliness (i.e. degree of time lag) are proposed as MOE of the quality of on-line link travel time estimates. Then the relationship between quality of link travel time estimates and link length and level of congestion is analyzed. It was found that there is trade-off between the accuracy and timeliness of link travel time estimates. The estimation error was modeled to consist of two components: one is systematic error and the other is mean square error which reflects level of congestion. further, time lag was again segmented into three parts for the analysis purpose. There are minimum one, congestion-related one, and update interval-related one. From the real-world data using AVI system, it was revealed that regardless of the link length and level of congestion, 10 minutes of time lag occurs in general.

  • PDF

Short-term Effect of Ambient Air Pollution on Emergency Department Visits for Diabetic Coma in Seoul, Korea

  • Kim, Hyunmee;Kim, Woojin;Choi, Jee Eun;Kim, Changsoo;Sohn, Jungwoo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.51 no.6
    • /
    • pp.265-274
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objectives: A positive association between air pollution and both the incidence and prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) has been reported in some epidemiologic and animal studies, but little research has evaluated the relationship between air pollution and diabetic coma. Diabetic coma is an acute complication of DM caused by diabetic ketoacidosis or hyperosmolar hyperglycemic state, which is characterized by extreme hyperglycemia accompanied by coma. We conducted a time-series study with a generalized additive model using a distributed-lag non-linear model to assess the association between ambient air pollution (particulate matter less than $10{\mu}m$ in aerodynamic diameter, nitrogen dioxide [$NO_2$], sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and ozone) and emergency department (ED) visits for DM with coma in Seoul, Korea from 2005 to 2009. Methods: The ED data and medical records from the 3 years previous to each diabetic coma event were obtained from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service to examine the relationship with air pollutants. Results: Overall, the adjusted relative risks (RRs) for an interquartile range (IQR) increment of $NO_2$ was statistically significant at lag 1 (RR, 1.125; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.039 to 1.219) in a single-lag model and both lag 0-1 (RR, 1.120; 95% CI, 1.028 to 1.219) and lag 0-3 (RR, 1.092; 95% CI, 1.005 to 1.186) in a cumulative-lag model. In a subgroup analysis, significant positive RRs were found for females for per-IQR increments of $NO_2$ at cumulative lag 0-3 (RR, 1.149; 95% CI, 1.022 to 1.291). Conclusions: The results of our study suggest that ambient air pollution, specifically $NO_2$, is associated with ED visits for diabetic coma.

The Correlation Analysis Between New Catchment Shape Descriptor and The Lag Time of Nash Model (신집수형상디스크립터와 Nash 모형의 지체시간 사이의 상관성 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.37 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1065-1074
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study aims at the introduction of new catchment shape descriptor, developed by Moussa(2003), based on equivalent ellipse and the assessment of its hydrologic applicability. Two descriptors a+b and a+b+${\varepsilon}OM$were correlated to the lag time and those were applied to the estimation of representative values of Nash model parameters. They are applied in order to examine the practicality to 3 catchments in Korea, catchments in Korea, respectively, i.e. Pyeongchanggang catchment in Han river, Bocheongcheon catchment in Geum river and Wicheon catchment in Nakdong river. As a result both of two descriptors show higher correlations to the lag lime than classical geomorphologic factors and hereby Moussa's suggestion(2003) is confirmed. For the sake of simplicity the former is recommended. Also representative IUHs derived from this study show consistent basin response characteristics. It is desirable to conduct further more case studies on many other basins.

An Empirical Analysis on the Spillover Effects of R&D Investment in the ICT industry (ICT 산업의 R&D 투자가 타 산업에 미치는 파급효과 측정)

  • Jung, Woo-Jin;Kim, Hyunsuk;Cho, Shin
    • Knowledge Management Research
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-43
    • /
    • 2019
  • This paper examines spillover effects of R&D investment in the ICT industry to other industries by analyzing panel data composed of 6 manufacturing industries for the period of 1983~2011. Major findings are as follows; (1) The increase of R&D investment in ICT industry has a significantly positive relationship with the increase in the value-added of the remaining 5 industries with 3~10 year lags, depending on the source of R&D funds and R&D stage. (2) More specifically, public R&D shows the spillover effects during 3~7-year lag periods, whereas private R&D started to exert spillover effects from 9-year lag. The result implies that the public R&D appropriately targets projects with more spillover effects. (3) Basic research, applied research, and development showed the spillover effects for the period of 9~10, 7~10, and 10-year lag, respectively. (4) The R&D investment in 5 other industries such as machinery, chemicals, and materials does not have positive spillover effects to the remaining industries. Few studies have been done to analyze the R&D spillover effects to other industries, with certain limitations. This study contributes to the existing literature by analyzing the spillover effects of the different R&D funds and R&D stages, and by considering various time-lag effects.

Storage Type Nonlinear Hydrological Forecasting Model (저류함수형(貯溜凾數型) 비선형(非線型) 수문예측모형(水文豫測模型))

  • Baek, Un Il;Yoon, Tae Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.2 no.2
    • /
    • pp.29-38
    • /
    • 1982
  • Nonlinear hydrological model containing the nonlinearity of effective rainfall, lag time and runoff is presented. In the evaluation of rainfall excess, the polynomial fitting method for total rainfall, 5 day antecedant rainfall and direct runoff is developed. In the application to actual watershed, the estimated model parameters of nonlinear lag model reflecting the nonlinearity of lag time are compared with the parameters, by both the fitting method and the correlation, model which are the modified version of the storage function model. The Successive Approximation Method in mathematical solution and Newton-Rhapson method in numerical solution are found to be superior to the conventional numerical graphic method in the analysis of nonlinear processes.

  • PDF

Variation of Magnetic Field (By, Bz) Polarity and Statistical Analysis of Solar Wind Parameters during the Magnetic Storm Period

  • Moon, Ga-Hee
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-132
    • /
    • 2011
  • It is generally believed that the occurrence of a magnetic storm depends upon the solar wind conditions, particularly the southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) component. To understand the relationship between solar wind parameters and magnetic storms, variations in magnetic field polarity and solar wind parameters during magnetic storms are examined. A total of 156 storms during the period of 1997~2003 are used. According to the interplanetary driver, magnetic storms are divided into three types, which are coronal mass ejection (CME)-driven storms, co-rotating interaction region (CIR)-driven storms, and complicated type storms. Complicated types were not included in this study. For this purpose, the manner in which the direction change of IMF $B_y$ and $B_z$ components (in geocentric solar magnetospheric coordinate system coordinate) during the main phase is related with the development of the storm is examined. The time-integrated solar wind parameters are compared with the time-integrated disturbance storm time (Dst) index during the main phase of each magnetic storm. The time lag with the storm size is also investigated. Some results are worth noting: CME-driven storms, under steady conditions of $B_z$ < 0, represent more than half of the storms in number. That is, it is found that the average number of storms for negative sign of IMF $B_z$ (T1~T4) is high, at 56.4%, 53.0%, and 63.7% in each storm category, respectively. However, for the CIR-driven storms, the percentage of moderate storms is only 29.2%, while the number of intense storms is more than half (60.0%) under the $B_z$ < 0 condition. It is found that the correlation is highest between the time-integrated IMF $B_z$ and the time-integrated Dst index for the CME-driven storms. On the other hand, for the CIR-driven storms, a high correlation is found, with the correlation coefficient being 0.93, between time-integrated Dst index and time-integrated solar wind speed, while a low correlation, 0.51, is found between timeintegrated $B_z$ and time-integrated Dst index. The relationship between storm size and time lag in terms of hours from $B_z$ minimum to Dst minimum values is investigated. For the CME-driven storms, time lag of 26% of moderate storms is one hour, whereas time lag of 33% of moderate storms is two hours for the CIR-driven storms. The average values of solar wind parameters for the CME and CIR-driven storms are also examined. The average values of ${\mid}Dst_{min}{\mid}$ and ${\mid}B_{zmin}{\mid}$ for the CME-driven storms are higher than those of CIR-driven storms, while the average value of temperature is lower.

Static and dynamic analysis of guyed steel lattice towers

  • Meshmesha, Hussam M.;Kennedy, John B.;Sennah, Khaled;Moradi, Saber
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.69 no.5
    • /
    • pp.567-577
    • /
    • 2019
  • Guyed steel lattice towers (or guyed masts) are widely used for supporting antennas for telecommunications and broadcasting. This paper presents a numerical study on the static and dynamic response of guyed towers. Three-dimensional nonlinear finite-element models are used to simulate the response. Through performing static pushover analyses and free-vibration (modal) analyses, the effect of different bracing configurations is investigated. In addition, seismic analyses are performed on towers of different heights to study the influence of earthquake excitation time-lag (or the earthquake travel distance between tower anchors) and antenna weight on the seismic response of guyed towers. The results show that the inclusion of time lag in the seismic analysis of guyed towers can influence shear and moment distribution along the height of the mast. Moreover, it is found that the lateral response is insensitive to bracing configurations. The results also show that, depending on the mast height, an increased antenna weight can reduce the tower maximum base shear while other response quantities, such as cables tension force are found to be insensitive to variation in the antenna weight.

동남해안지역의 피압단열 대수층에서 조석 분석법을 이용한 수리상수 추정

  • 심병완;정상용;성익환;이병대;조병욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
    • /
    • 2003.09a
    • /
    • pp.497-500
    • /
    • 2003
  • If ground water levels of a confined fractured rock aquifer fluctuate with sea tides, individual values of hydrogeologic parameters can be determined. Tidal efficiency and time lag are first calculated from the water level data recorded at an observation device situated inland from the sea. The tidal efficiency factor of the aquifer at the seacoast is then determined from the observation in monitoring wells and used to calculate storage coefficient. Tidal efficiency factor and the tidal time lag are utilized to calculate storage coefficient and the results are compared. This method is tested in the southeastern coastal area of Busan, Korea. This is a simple and inexpensive way to test confined aquifer but the analysis should be performed according to the coastal environment.

  • PDF

한국의 연구개발투자와 경제성장간의 관계분석

  • 최은철
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
    • /
    • 2000.11a
    • /
    • pp.346-356
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper aims to analyse the relationship between R&D investment and economic growth in Korea. The analysis result shows 38 percent of average economic growth rate(7.1%) of Korea between 1976 and 1998 was achieved by the growth of Total Factor Productivity (TFP), and the R&D investment during the period contributed in achieving the economic growth rate by as much as 9.86 percent. In the process of the estimate, the rate of return of the R&D investment from both government and private was calculated as 47 percent. The relationship between private R&D investment, government R&D investment and the GDP was also investigated, and it was estimated that the private sector invested 2.0 percent of the GDP in R&D during the period, and was found that 1 won of government R&D investment induced 0.202 won of private sector's R&D investment. However, the time-lag effect, which is naturally believed to exist between the R&D investment and the economic growth, could not be analysed in a mathematical form, because of the lack of the data to establish this relationship. However, this paper believe that the time-lag effect in this relationship was included implicitly by using the data of 23 years.

  • PDF

A Study on 2-Dimensional Sound Source Tracking System II (2차원적 음원추적에 관한 연구 II)

  • 문성배;전승환
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.31-36
    • /
    • 1998
  • The whistle is a very important information source for the safety navigation under foggy weather. But navigator has no concern about this, because it must be achived by human hearing sense and considered as a vague signal. If the range and relative bearing of signal source can be detected automatically, it would be very useful system for preventing marine casualties making a lot of economic loss and environment pollution. Before the algorithm of 2-dimensional sound source tracking system was reported. This paper describes the method that can obtain the time lag between three signals and the theory of cross-correlation analysis and subtraction method for cauculating the time lag by using the digital signal data sequences. And a series of experiments were carried out for various position of sound source in the range from 200cm to 530cm. As a result, we have recognized that sound source tracking system is possible to the sea field with improvement of position error.

  • PDF