• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.369-374
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• 2009

To examine the trend on the flowering time in some weather flora including Prunus serrulata var. spontanea, Cosmos bipinnatus, and Robinia pseudo-acacia in Busan, the changes in time series and rate of flowering time of plants were analyzed using the method of time series analysis. According to the correlation between the flowering time and the temperature, changing pattern of flowering time was very similar to the pattern of the temperature, and change rate was gradually risen up as time goes on. Especially, the change rate of flowering time in C. bipinnatus was 0.487 day/year and showed the highest value. In flowering date in 2007, the difference was one day between measurement value and prediction value in C. bipinnatus and R. pseudo-acacia, whereas the difference was 8 days in P. mume showing great difference compared to other plants. Flowering time was highly related with temperature of February and March in the weather flora except for P. mume, R. pseudo-acacia and C. bipinnatus. In most plants, flowering time was highly related with a daily average temperature. However, the correlation between flowering time and a daily minimum temperature was the highest in Rhododendron mucronulatum and P. persica, otherwise the correlation between flowering time and a daily maximum temperature was the highest in Pyrus sp.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.335-348
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• 2009

Fuzzy regression is used as a complement or an alternative to represent the relation between variables among the forecasting models especially when the data is insufficient to evaluate the relation. Such phenomenon often occurs in seasonal time series data which require large amount of data to describe the underlying pattern. Semiparametric model is useful tool in the case where domain knowledge exists about the function to be estimated or emphasis is put onto understandability of the model. In this paper we propose fuzzy semiparametric support vector regression so that it can provide good performance on forecasting of the seasonal time series by incorporating into fuzzy support vector regression the basis functions which indicate the seasonal variation of time series. In order to indicate the performance of this method, we present two examples of predicting the seasonal time series. Experimental results show that the proposed method is very attractive for the seasonal time series in fuzzy environments.

• Spatial Information Research
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.47-55
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• 2012

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) has been used to measure and monitor plant growth, vegetation cover, and biomass from multispectral satellite data. It is also a valuable index in forest applications, providing forest resource information. In this research, an approach for monitoring forest change using MODIS NDVI time series data is explored. NDVI difference-based approaches for a specific point in time have possible accuracy problems and are lacking in monitoring long-term forest cover change. It means that a multi-time NDVI pattern change needs to be considered. In this study, an efficient methodology to consider long-term NDVI pattern is suggested using a harmonic model. The suggested method reconstructs MODIS NDVI time series data through application of the harmonic model, which corrects missing and erroneous data. Then NDVI pattern is analyzed based on estimated values of the harmonic model. The suggested method was applied to 49 NDVI time series data from Aug. 21, 2009 to Sep. 6, 2011 and its usefulness was shown through an experiment.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.3 no.3
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• pp.159-175
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• 2000

Many practical time series, including pressure signals measured on roof-corners of low-rise buildings in quartering winds, consist of relatively quiescent periods interrupted by intermittent transients. The dyadic wavelet transform is used to detect these transients in pressure time series and a relatively simple pattern classification scheme is used to detect underlying structure in these transients. Statistical analysis of the resulting pattern classes yields a library of signal "building blocks", which are useful for detailed characterization of transients inherent to the signals being analyzed.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.52-56
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• 2004

The Information of classification and estimate about KOSPI200 index`s up and down in the stock market becomes an important standard of decision-making in designing portofolio in futures and option market. Because the coming trend of time series patterns, an economic indicator, is very subordinate to the most recent economic pattern, it is necessary to study the recent patterns most preferentially. This paper compares classification and estimated performance of SVM(Support Vector Machine) and Fuzzy SVM model that are getting into the spotlight in time series analyses, neural net models and various fields. Specially, it proves that Fuzzy SVM is superior by presenting the most suitable dimension to fuzzy membership function that has time series attribute in accordance with learning Data Base.

• Journal of Welding and Joining
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.108-118
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• 1998

This study proposes th analysis and evaluation method of time series ultrasonic signal using the chaos feature extraction for ultrasonic pattern recognition. Features extracted from time series data using the chaos time series signal analyze quantitatively weld defects. For this purpose, analysis objective in this study is fractal dimension and Lyapunov exponent. Trajectory changes in the strange attractor indicated that even same type of defects carried substantial difference in chaosity resulting from distance shifts such as 0.5 and 1.0 skip distance. Such differences in chaosity enables the evaluation of unique features of defects in the weld zone. In quantitative chaos feature extraction, feature values of 4.511 and 0.091 in the case of side hole and 4.539 and 0.115 in the case of vertical hole were proposed on the basis of fractal dimension and Lyapunov exponent. Proposed chaos feature extraction in this study can enhances ultrasonic pattern recognition results from defect signals of weld zone such as side hole and vertical hole.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1260-1264
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• 2009

Precipitation time series is a mixture of complicate fluctuation and changes. The monthly precipitation data of 61 stations during 36 years (1973-2008) in Korea are comprehensively analyzed using the EOFs technique and CSEOFs technique respectively. The main motivation for employing this technique in the present study is to investigate the physical processes associated with the evolution of the precipitation from observation data. The twenty-five leading EOF modes account for 98.05% of the total monthly variance, and the first two modes account for 83.68% of total variation. The first mode exhibits traditional spatial pattern with annual cycle of corresponding PC time series and second mode shows strong North South gradient. In CSEOF analysis, the twenty-five leading CSEOF modes account for 98.58% of the total monthly variance, and the first two modes account for 78.69% of total variation, these first two patterns' spatial distribution show monthly spatial variation. The corresponding mode's PC time series reveals the annual cycle on a monthly time scale and long-term fluctuation and first mode's PC time series shows increasing linear trend which represents that spatial and temporal variability of first mode pattern has strengthened. Compared with the EOFs analysis, the CSEOFs analysis preferably exhibits the spatial distribution and temporal evolution characteristics and variability of Korean historical precipitation.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.17 no.6
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• pp.799-803
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• 2007

In this paper, we propose a new fuzzy membership function for FSVM(Fuzzy Support Vector Machines). We apply a fuzzy membership to each input point of SVM and reformulate SVM into fuzzy SVM (FSVM) such that different input points can make different contributions to the learning of decision surface. The proposed method enhances the SVM in reducing the effect of outliers and noises in data points. This paper compares classification and estimated performance of SVM, FSVM(1), and FSVM(2) model that are getting into the spotlight in time series prediction.

• Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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• v.37 no.7
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• pp.584-589
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• 2010

The dynamic time warping algorithm generally used in time series pattern recognition spends most of the time in generating the correlation table, and it establishes the global path constraint to reduce the corresponding time complexity. However, the constraint restrains just in terms of the time axis, not considering the contents of input patterns. In this paper, we therefore propose an efficient branch and bound dynamic time warping algorithm which sets the global constraints by adaptively reflecting the patterns. The experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms conventional methods in terms of the speed and accuracy.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.27-45
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• 2001

Sequential discovery from time series data has mainly concerned about events or item sets. Recently, the research has stated to applied to the numerical data. An example is sensor information generated by checking a machine state. The numerical data hardly have the same valuers while making patterns. So, it is important to extract suitable number of pattern features, which can be transformed to events or item sets and be applied to sequential pattern mining tasks. The popular methods to extract the patterns are sliding window and clustering. The results of these methods are sensitive to window sine or clustering parameters; that makes users to apply data mining task repeatedly and to interpret the results. This paper suggests the method to retrieve pattern features making numerical data into vector of an angle and a magnitude. The retrieved pattern features using this method make the result easy to understand and sequential patterns finding fast. We define an inclusion relation among pattern features using angles and magnitudes of vectors. Using this relation, we can fad sequential patterns faster than other methods, which use all data by reducing the data size.