• 제목/요약/키워드: Time Factor Model

검색결과 1,915건 처리시간 0.034초

네스티드로짓모형을 이용한 쇼핑통행의 형태분석에 관한 연구

  • 이현구;조동래
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 1989
  • In general, Shopping centers are located in the center of transportation, which induce more traffic concentration than other facilities. As a result, it becomes to one of the aggravating factors of urban & transportation problem such as traffic conjestion, parking problems. Thus, in planning shopping-center, it is desirable that consumer\`s trip pattern is should lie more carefully analyzed in order to alleviate the above problems. This study is aimed at finding the characteristics of shopping tripes and analyzing the choice behavior of shopping center and mode-to-shop. This study has developed a nested logit model in which consumers choose shopping center and mode-to-shop with a sequential structure. The model was estimated using household data from the 1989 May, Seoul metropolitan area and the 18 alternatives of shopping center and 5 mode alternatives. The estimated model have been evaluated and it may be concluded that this model for shopping trips is effective and fesible. The conclusion of this study are as fellows. 1. Out-of-vehicle travel time is more important factor affecting behavior of mode choice than in-vehicle travel time. 2. All of direct-elasticities for mode with respect to the travel time is more elastic than travel cost. 3. Accessibility to shop is more important factor affecting the choice of shopping center than parking space. 4. The value of out-of-vehicle travel time exceeds the value of in-vesicle travel time by 1.64 times.

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Modeling the growth of Listeria monocytogenes during refrigerated storage of un-packaging mixed press ham at household

  • Lee, Seong-Jun;Park, Myoung-Su;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Journal of Preventive Veterinary Medicine
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2018
  • The present study aimed to develop growth prediction models of Listeria monocytogenes in processed meat products, such as mixed pressed hams, to perform accurate microbial risk assessments. Considering cold storage temperatures and the amount of time in the stages of consumption after opening, the growth of L. monocytogenes was determined as a function of temperature at 0, 5, 10, and $15^{\circ}C$, and time at 0, 1, 3, 6, 8, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30 days. Based on the results of these measurements, a Baranyi model using the primary model was developed. The input parameters of the Baranyi equation in the variable temperature for polynomial regression as a secondary model were developed: $SGR=0.1715+0.0199T+0.0012T^2$, $LT=5.5730-0.3215T+0.0051T^2$ with $R^2$ values 0.9972 and 0.9772, respectively. The RMSE (Root mean squared error), $B_f$ (bias factor), and $A_f$ (accuracy factor) on the growth prediction model were determined to be 0.30, 0.72, and 1.50 in SGR (specific growth rate), and 0.10, 0.84, and 1.35 in LT (lag time), respectively. Therefore, the model developed in this study can be used to determine microorganism growth in the stages of consumption of mixed pressed hams and has potential in microbial risk assessments (MRAs).

지반의 소성을 고려한 하중분담율 연구 (A Study on Load Distribution Factor Considering Plasticity of Ground)

  • 김동욱;정상국;유오식;이송
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집(II)
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    • pp.411-416
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    • 2003
  • On the tunnel design, 3D model substituted for 2D model because of economic reason and time shortage. It is applied Load Distribution Factor, which is compared of displacement of tunnel crown, generally 50-25-25, 40-30-30 are used for tunnel design. Logicality about used Load Distribution Factor will investigated

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Computational Analysis of Tumor Angiogenesis Patterns Using a Growing Brain Tumor Model

  • Shim, Eun-Bo;Kwon, Young-Keun;Ko, Hyung-Jong
    • International Journal of Vascular Biomedical Engineering
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2004
  • Tumor angiogenesis was simulated using a two-dimensional computational model. The equation that governed angiogenesis comprised a tumor angiogenesis factor (TAF) conservation equation in time and space, which was solved numerically using the Galerkin finite element method. The time derivative in the equation was approximated by a forward Euler scheme. A stochastic process model was used to simulate vessel formation and vessel elongation towards a paracrine site, i.e., tumor-secreted basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF). In this study, we assumed a two-dimensional model that represented a thin (1.0 mm) slice of the tumor. The growth of the tumor over time was modeled according to the dynamic value of bFGF secreted within the tumor. The data used for the model were based on a previously reported model of a brain tumor in which four distinct stages (namely multicellular spherical, first detectable lesion, diagnosis, and death of the virtual patient) were modeled. In our study, computation was not continued beyond the 'diagnosis' time point to avoid the computational complexity of analyzing numerous vascular branches. The numerical solutions revealed that no bFGF remained within the region in which vessels developed, owing to the uptake of bFGF by endothelial cells. Consequently, a sharp, declining gradient of bFGF existed near the surface of the tumor. The vascular architecture developed numerous branches close to the tumor surface (the brush-border effect). Asymmetrical tumor growth was associated with a greater degree of branching at the tumor surface.

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Comparative analysis of the wind characteristics of three landfall typhoons based on stationary and nonstationary wind models

  • Quan, Yong;Fu, Guo Qiang;Huang, Zi Feng;Gu, Ming
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.269-285
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    • 2020
  • The statistical characteristics of typhoon wind speed records tend to have a considerable time-varying trend; thus, the stationary wind model may not be appropriate to estimate the wind characteristics of typhoon events. Several nonstationary wind speed models have been proposed by pioneers to characterize wind characteristics more accurately, but comparative studies on the applicability of the different wind models are still lacking. In this study, three landfall typhoons, Ampil, Jongdari, and Rumbia, recorded by ultrasonic anemometers atop the Shanghai World Financial Center (SWFC), are used for the comparative analysis of stationary and nonstationary wind characteristics. The time-varying mean is extracted with the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) method, and the time-varying standard deviation is calculated by the autoregressive moving average generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARMA-GARCH) model. After extracting the time-varying trend, the longitudinal wind characteristics, e.g., the probability distribution, power spectral density (PSD), turbulence integral scale, turbulence intensity, gust factor, and peak factor, are comparatively analyzed based on the stationary wind speed model, time-varying mean wind speed model and time-varying standard deviation wind speed model. The comparative analysis of the different wind models emphasizes the significance of the nonstationary considerations in typhoon events. The time-varying standard deviation model can better identify the similarities among the different typhoons and appropriately describe the nonstationary wind characteristics of the typhoons.

Space Syntax를 이용한 교통수요예측의 중력모형 저항함수의 개선방안 (A Study on Improvement of Gravity model Decay Function of Transporting Demand Forecasting Considering Space Syntax)

  • 장진영
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.617-631
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    • 2019
  • 본 4단계 교통수요예측모형의 통행분포단계에서 중력모형이 가장 일반적으로 활용하고 있다. 본 연구는 중력모형변수(통행시간, 통행비용 등)의 가변적인 한계를 보완하기 위해 접근성 속성을 단일 마찰인자로서 표현할 수 있는 보다 현실적이고 장래 활용이 용이한 신규 마찰인자를 개발하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이에 신규 마찰인자 도출을 위해 도시공간구조의 특성을 정량화할 수 있는 공간구문론(space syntax)을 활용하여 Link 단위 통합도를 도출 후 통행시간, 통행거리 관계를 이용해 일종의 대리변수로서의 신규 마찰인자를 도출하였다. 대수전환을 통한 마찰인자별 정산결과, 기존 마찰인자(최단거리, 통행시간) 대비 유사하거나 더 높은 수준을 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 다양한, 검증지표를 활용하여 기존 마찰인자와의 비교시, 전체적으로는 기존 마찰인자와 유사하지만, 단거리 구간 및 장거리 구간에서 설명력이 뛰어난 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서, 기존 최단거리의 한계에서 벗어나 접근성을 보완할 수 있는 통합도 지표를 이용하여 신규마찰인자 도출 및 적용이 가능하고, 장래 활용성에서 좀 더 장점을 갖는 것으로 판단된다.

A novel adaptive unscented Kalman Filter with forgetting factor for the identification of the time-variant structural parameters

  • Yanzhe Zhang ;Yong Ding ;Jianqing Bu;Lina Guo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2023
  • The parameters of civil engineering structures have time-variant characteristics during their service. When extremely large external excitations, such as earthquake excitation to buildings or overweight vehicles to bridges, apply to structures, sudden or gradual damage may be caused. It is crucially necessary to detect the occurrence time and severity of the damage. The unscented Kalman filter (UKF), as one efficient estimator, is usually used to conduct the recursive identification of parameters. However, the conventional UKF algorithm has a weak tracking ability for time-variant structural parameters. To improve the identification ability of time-variant parameters, an adaptive UKF with forgetting factor (AUKF-FF) algorithm, in which the state covariance, innovation covariance and cross covariance are updated simultaneously with the help of the forgetting factor, is proposed. To verify the effectiveness of the method, this paper conducted two case studies as follows: the identification of time-variant parameters of a simply supported bridge when the vehicle passing, and the model updating of a six-story concrete frame structure with field test during the Yangbi earthquake excitation in Yunnan Province, China. The comparison results of the numerical studies show that the proposed method is superior to the conventional UKF algorithm for the time-variant parameter identification in convergence speed, accuracy and adaptability to the sampling frequency. The field test studies demonstrate that the proposed method can provide suggestions for solving practical problems.

입지 경쟁력과 공간상호작용 모형의 유의성 검정 (A Study on the Significance of Spatial Interaction Model from the Urban Competitive Point of View)

  • 김동윤
    • 한국디지털건축인테리어학회논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2012
  • This study aims at finding relationships between the competitiveness of cities and the size or distance of them, based on some premises; (1) the competitiveness can be measured on the interval-ratio level, that is, factor scores, (2) a hypothesis that the spatial interaction model is valid for the relationships can be generally accepted. Based on the general recognition a research hypothesis that the more is the population or the nearer is the distance from a central city the higher is the competitiveness score is constructed. According to the premises 5-factor scores and composite score are calculated by means of regression method, and the scores are regressed on cities' populations and distances from Seoul city. Using bootstrapping method for the tests of significance is effective due to small sample of 21 cities. Results of the analyses show that most aspects of the hypothesis should be rejected or adjusted. Scores on Health-welfare factor, public service factor, and commercial vitality factor have no relation to the cities' sizes or distances. But the results also find the facts that the strong (negative) relationships exist between (1) educational base factor score and population, (2) density factor score and distance. Although this study improves systematic and analytic understanding of spatial interaction patterns, the understanding should be invalid for the general context because it has used the data on 21 cities in the capital region at the time of 2009.

Capillary Hysteresis Model in Unsaturated Flow : State of the Art

  • Park, Chan-Kun;Sonu, Jun-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • 제4권
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 1993
  • The Purpose of this study is to classify existing hysteresis models and to discuss a possibility of a new type of the hysteresis model. The existing hysteresis models are classified into three types: the interpolation model, the scaling model and the domain model, of which only domain model is to simulate hysteresis curves based on the theoretical approach, It is useful to develop a hysteresis model that requires only one branch of hysteresis curves for the model calibration because obtaining hysteresis curves by experiments is expensive and time-concept by many investigators, however their models are not successful to accurately simulate real data of Rubicon Sandy Loam and Dune Sand. There is a possibility that a new model is based on the dependent domain concept considering the weighting factor, $P_a$($\theta$), which accounts for the pore blockage effect against air entry. Conclusively, a new model where the weighting factor $P_a$($\theta$) in Model III-1 (Mualem, 1984) reduces to a known variable through an appropriate method is an alternative model which required only one branch of main curves for the model calibration.

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우리나라 주식수익률의 확률변동성 특성에 관한 연구 (Characteristics of Stochastic Volatility in Korean Stock Returns)

  • 장국현
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.213-231
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라 주식시장에서 연속시간모형의 실증적 탐구와 확장을 위하여 정교하고 포괄적인 방법론을 도입하고자 하였다. 즉 확률변동성(Stochastic Volatility) 모형을 이용하여 우리나라 주식수익률 과정을 연속시간모형으로 설정하고 이런 정교한 연속모형의 추정을 위하여 효율적 적률법(EMM)을 도입하였다. 본 연구의 분석기간은 1995년 1월 3일부터 2002년 12월 30일까지이며 분석대상은 일별 KOSPI 지수 2150 관측치 이다. 연구모형 분석결과 우리나라 주가지수 수익률의 비정규성, leptokurtic한 분포 및 확률변동성 등이 추정되었으며 특히 EMM 모형의 추정결과 우리나라 주식시장의 주가지수 수익률과정은 단일요인(one factor) 확률변동성 모형보다는 2 요인(two factor) 확률변동성 모형을 도입하는 것이 더 바람직한 것으로 판명되었고 또한 확률변동성 모형을 설정할 때에는 우리나라의 개별 주식수익률뿐만 아니라 주가지수 수익률 등에도 존재되는 것으로 알려진 점프 특성 고려의 필요성이 증대되었다. 외환위기 이후 주식시장의 변동성 급등락 현상이 갈수록 심화되어 금융자산 위험관리의 필요가 절실히 요구되는 요즘시기에 기초자산의 수익률과정 및 확률변동성 특성을 심층적으로 분석하는 본 연구를 통하여 각종 금융기관 및 투자자들의 투자기회비용과 시행착오를 줄이는데 큰 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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