• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.30 no.12
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• pp.5-14
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• 2014

Most of slope failures have taken place between June and September in Korea, which cause a considerable damage to society. Rainfall intensity and duration are very significant triggering factors for landslide. In this paper, landslide-triggering rainfall threshold consisting of rainfall intensity-duration (I-D) was proposed. For this study, total 255 landslides were collected in landslide inventory during 1999 to 2012 from NDMI (National Disaster Management Institute), various reports, newspapers and field survey. And most of the required rainfall data were collected from KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration). The collected landslides were classified into three categories: debris flow, shallow landslide and unconfirmed. A rainfall threshold was proposed based on landslide type using statistical method such as quantile-regression method. Its validation was carried out based on 2013 landslide database. The proposed rainfall threshold was also compared with previous rainfall thresholds. The proposed landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds could be used in landslide early warning system in Korea.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.57 no.4
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• pp.135-141
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• 2015

The objective of this study is to develop an early warning system for rainfall induced landslides. For this study, we suggested an analysis process using rainfall forecast data. 1) For a selected slope, safety factor with saturated depth was analyzed and safety factor threshold was established (warning FS threshold=1.3, alarm FS threshold=1.1). 2) If rainfall started, saturated depth and safety factor was calculated with rainfall forecast data, 3) And every hour after safety factor is compared with threshold, then warning or alarm can issued. In the future, we plan to make a early warning system combined with the in-situ inclinometer sensors.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.571-580
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• 2012

This study is on the purpose of leading Geomorphoclimatic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph(GcIUH) by using GIS Techniques, and estimating trigger rainfall for predicting flash flood in Seolmacheon catchment, mountain river watershed. This study leads GcIUH by using GIS techniques, calculates NRCS-CN values for effective rainfall rate, and analyzes 2011 main rainfall events using estimated GcIUH. According to the results, the case of Memorial bridge does not exceed the amount of threshold runoff, however, the case of Sabang bridge shows that simulated peak flow, approximately $149.4m^3/s$, exceeds the threshold runoff. To estimate trigger rainfall, this study determines the depth of 50 year-frequency designed flood amount as a threshold water depth, and estimates trigger rainfall of flash flood in consideration of duration. Hereafter, this study will analyze various flood events, estimate the appropriateness of trigger rainfall as well as threshold runoff through this analysis, and develop prototype of Flash Flood Prediction System which is considered the characteristics of mountain river watershed on the basis of this estimation.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.141-141
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• 2021

This study proposed an equation for Rainfall Threshold for Flood Warning (RTFW) for urban areas based on computer simulations. First, a coupled 1D-2D dual-drainage model was developed for nine watersheds in Seoul, Korea. Next, the model simulation was repeated for a total of 540 combinations of the synthetic rainfall events and watershed imperviousness (9 watersheds × 4 NRCS Curve Number (CN) values × 15 rainfall events). Then, the results of the 101 simulations with the critical flooded depth (0.25m-0.35m) were used to develop the equation that relates the value of RTFW to the rainfall event temporal variability (represented as coefficient of variation) and the watershed Curve Number. The results suggest that 1) the rainfall with greater temporal variability causes critical floods with less amount of total rainfall; and that 2) the greater imperviousness requires less rainfall to have critical floods. For validation, the proposed equation was applied for the flood warning system with two storm events occurred in 2010 and 2011 over 239 watersheds in Seoul. The results of the application showed high performance of the warning system in issuing the flood warning, with the hit, false and missed alarm rates at 68%, 32% and 7.4% respectively for the 2010 event and 49%, 51% and 10.7% for the event in 2011.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.17 no.12
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• pp.5-16
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• 2016

This study aims to assess the influence of rainfall patterns on shallow landslides initiation. Doing so, five typical rainfall patterns with the same cumulative amount and intensity components comprising Advanced (A1 and A2), Centralized (C), and Delayed (D1 and D2) were designed based on a historical rainstorm event in Jinbu. Mt area. Those patterns were incorporated as the hydrological conditions into the Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Regional Slope-stability Model (TRIGRS) to assess their influences on groundwater pressure and changes in the stability of the slope. The results revealed that not only the cumulative rainfall thresholds necessary to initiate landslides, but also the rate at which the factor of safety decreases and the time required to reach the critical state, are governed by rainfall patterns. The sooner the peak rainfall intensity, the smaller the cumulative rainfall threshold, and the shorter the time until landslide occurrence. Left-skewed patterns were found to have a greater effect on landslide initiation. Specifically, among five rainfalls, pattern (A1) produced the most critical state. The severity of response was followed by patterns A2, C, D1, and D2. Our conclusion is that rainfall patterns have a significant effect on the cumulative rainfall threshold, the build-up of groundwater pressure, and the occurrence of shallow landslides.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.30 no.12
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• pp.1101-1111
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• 2021

In this study, among the W-S-R(Wiper-Signal-Rainfall) relationship methods used to produce sensor-based rain information in real time, we sought to produce actual rainfall information by applying machine learning techniques to account for the effects of wiper operation. To this end, we used the gradient descent and threshold map methods for pre-processing the cumulative value of the difference before and after wiper operation by utilizing four sensitive channels for optical sensors which collected rain sensor data produced by five rain conditions in indoor artificial rainfall experiments. These methods produced rainfall information by calculating the average value of the threshold according to the rainfall conditions and channels, creating a threshold map corresponding to the 4 (channel) × 5 (considering rainfall information) grid and applying Optima Rainfall Intensity among the big data processing techniques. To verify these proposed results, the application was evaluated by comparing rainfall observations.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.15-27
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• 2016

This study was conducted to suggest a landslide triggering rainfall threshold (ID curve) for landslide prediction by considering the effect of antecedent rainfall. 202 rainfall data including domestic landslide and rainfall records were used in this study. In order to consider the effect of antecedent rainfall, rainfall data were analyzed by changing Inter Event Time Definition (IETD) and IETD based ID curve were presented by regression analysis. Compared to the findings of the previous studies, the presented ID curve has a tendency to predict the landslides occurring at a relatively low rainfall intensity. It is shown that the proposed ID curve is appropriate and realistic for predicting landslides through the validation of proposed ID curve using records of landslides in 2014. Based on this analysis, it is found that the longer IETD, the greater the effect of antecedent rainfall, and the steeper the gradient of ID curve. It is also found that the rainfall threshold (intensity) is higher for the short period rainfall and lower for the long period rainfall.

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.1-11
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• 2021

Recently, in Korea, the risk of meteorological disasters is increasing due to climate change, and the damage caused by rainfall is being emphasized continuously. Although the current weather forecast provides quantitative rainfall, there are several difficulties in predicting the extent of damage. Therefore, in order to understand the impact of damage, the threshold rainfall for each watershed is required. The damage caused by rainfall occurs differently by region, and there are limitations in the analysis considering the characteristic factors of each watershed. In addition, whenever rainfall comes, the analysis of rainfall-runoff through the hydrological model consumes a lot of time and is often analyzed using only simple rainfall data. This study used GIS data and calculated the threshold rainfall from the threshold runoff causing flooding by coupling two hydrologic models. The calculation result was verified by comparing it with the actual case, and it was analyzed that damage occurred in the dangerous area in general. In the future, through this study, it will be possible to prepare for flood risk areas in advance, and it is expected that the accuracy will increase if machine learning analysis methods are added.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.20 no.10
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• pp.1347-1355
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• 2011

In Jeju island, runoff has frequently happened when the rainfall depth is over a threshold value. To simulated this characteristic rainfall-runoff model structure has to be modified. In this study, the TRSM (Threshold Runoff Simulation Method) was developed to overcome the limitations of SWAT in applying to the hydrologic characteristics of Jeju island. When the precipitation and soil water are less than threshold value, we revised the SWAT routine not to make surface/lateral or groundwater discharge. For Hancheon watershed, the threshold value was set as 80% of soil water through the analysis of rainfall-runoff relationship. Through the simulation of test watershed, it was proven that TRSM performed much better in simulating pulse type stream flow for the Hancheon watershed.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.56 no.4
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• pp.53-58
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• 2014

The objective of this study is to suggest rainfall threshold for landslide forecasting and warning. For this study, we chose the research area where landslide have occurred. And we performed infiltration-stability analysis with rainfall intensity-duration. As the results of this study, slope stability variation chart with rainfall intensity-duration are established. This kind of chart is believed to be able to be used for forecasting and warning the landslide caused by rainfall.