• Title/Summary/Keyword: Threshold rainfall

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Characteristics of Settlement for Non-woven Geotextile through Cyclic Loading Model Test (원형토조 시험을 통한 반복하중에 따른 부직포의 침하특성)

  • Choi, Chan-Yong;Lee, Jin-Wook;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2009
  • The ballast track, the most common type of conventional railroad track in Korea, is deteriorated by abrasion of ballast, it's penetration into roadbed, and rugged surface of roadbed caused by cyclic loading of train. Persistent occurrence of those phenomena lead to insufficient drain capacity, one of major factors in track design, and it increases pore water pressure and decreases of shear strength under rainfall condition leading to unstable roadbed. In this study, cylindrical model tests are executed for 3 types of geotextile applying cyclic loading in order to observe the characteristics of displacement and bearing capacity of geotextile, and undrained condition has been applied for 0 day, 3 days and 7 days to each geotextiles. The results showed that there was about 1% difference at the final displacement rates between reinforced soils and nature soils and the displacement of the ground surface increases along with the degrees of the saturation. And in case that water contents exceeds the threshold, it is also apparent that weight and tensile strength of geotextile influences displacement of the ground surface. And the larger weight of geotextile is, the smaller plastic displacement. It is evaluated that non-woven fabric comes into effect on reducing the bearing capacity but, the weight of geotextile has little influence on it.

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Applicability Evaluation of Probability Matching Method for Parameter Estimation of Radar Rain Rate Equation (강우 추정관계식의 매개변수 결정을 위한 확률대응법의 적용성 평가)

  • Ro, Yonghun;Yoo, Chulsang
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.1765-1777
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    • 2014
  • This study evaluated PMM (Probability Matching Method) for parameter estimation of the Z - R relation. As a first step, the sensitivity analysis was done to decide the threshold number of data pairs and the data interval for the development of a histogram. As a result, it was found that at least 1,000 number of data pairs are required to apply the PMM for the parameter estimation. This amount of data is similar to that collected for two hours. Also, the number of intervals for the histogram was found to be at least 100. Additionally, it was found that the matching the first-order moment is better than the cumulative probability, and that the data pairs comprising 30 to 100% are better for the PMM application. Finally, above findings were applied to a real rainfall event observed by the Bislsan radar and optimal parameters were estimated. The radar rain rate derived by applying these parameters was found to be well matched to the rain gauge rain rate.

Development of Drought Index based on Streamflow for Monitoring Hydrological Drought (수문학적 가뭄감시를 위한 하천유량 기반 가뭄지수 개발)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kim, Jeong-Yup;Moon, Jang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.669-680
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    • 2017
  • This study evaluated the consistency of the standard flow to forecast low-flow based on various drought indices. The data used in this study were streamflow data at the Gurye2 station located in the Seomjin River and the Angang station located in the Hyeongsan River, as well as rainfall data of nearby weather stations (Namwon and Pohang). Using streamflow data, the streamflow accumulation drought index (SADI) was developed in this study to represent the hydrological drought condition. For SADI calculations, the threshold of drought was determined by a Change-Point analysis of the flow pattern and a reduction factor was estimated based on the kernel density function. Standardized runoff index (SRI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were also calculated to compared with the SADI. SRI and SPI were calculated for the 30-, 90-, 180-, and 270-day period and then an ROC curve analysis was performed to determine the appropriate time-period which has the highest consistency with the standard flow. The result of ROC curve analysis indicated that for the Seomjin River-Gurye2 station SADI_C3, SRI30, SADI_C1, SADI_C2, and SPI90 were confirmed in oder of having high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage and for the Hyeongsan River-Angang station, SADI_C3, SADI_C1, SPI270, SRI30, and SADI_C2 have order of high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage.

Hydrological homogeneous region delineation for bivariate frequency analysis of extreme rainfalls in Korea (다변량 L-moment를 이용한 이변량 강우빈도해석에서 수문학적 동질지역 선정)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Jeong, Changsam;Joo, Kyungwon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2018
  • The multivariate regional frequency analysis has many advantages such as an adaption of regional parameters and consideration of a correlated structure of the data. The multivariate regional frequency analysis can provide the broader and more detailed information for the hydrological variables. The multivariate regional frequency analysis has not been attempted to model hydrological variables in South Korea yet. Therefore, it is required to investigate the applicability of the multivariate regional frequency analysis in the modeling of the hydrological variables. The current study investigated the applicability of the homogeneous region delineation and their characteristics in bivariate regional frequency analysis of annual maximum rainfall depth-duration data. The K-medoid method was employed as a clustering method. The discordancy and heterogeneous measures were used to assess the appropriateness of the delineation results. According to the results of the clustering analysis, the employed stations could be grouped into five regions. All stations at three of the five regions led to acceptable values of discordancy measures than the threshold. The stations where have short record length led to the large discordancy measures. All grouped regions were identified as a homogeneous region based on heterogeneous measure estimates. It was observed that there are strong cross-correlations among the stations in the same region.

Analysis of Sensors' Behavior and Its Utility for Shallow Landslide Early Warning through Model Slope Collapse Experiment (붕괴모의실험을 통한 산사태 조기경보용 계측센서의 반응성 분석 및 활용성 고찰)

  • Kang, Minjeng;Seo, Junpyo;Kim, Dongyeob;Lee, Changwoo;Woo, Choongshik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.108 no.2
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    • pp.208-215
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    • 2019
  • The goal of this study was to analyze the reactivity of a volumetric water content sensor (soil moisture sensor) and tensiometer and to review their use in the early detection of a shallow landslide. We attempted to demonstrate shallow and rapid slope collapses using three different soil ratios under artificial rainfall at 120 mm/h. Our results showed that the measured value of the volumetric water-content sensor converged to 30~37%, and that of the tensiometer reached -3~-5 kPa immediately before the collapse of the soil under all three conditions. Based on these results, we discussed a temporal range for early warnings of landslides using measurements of the volumetric water content sensors installed at the bottom of the soil slope, but could not generalize and clarify the exact timing for these early warnings. Further experiments under various conditions are needed to determine how to use both sensors for the early detection of shallow landslides.

Flood Disaster Prediction and Prevention through Hybrid BigData Analysis (하이브리드 빅데이터 분석을 통한 홍수 재해 예측 및 예방)

  • Ki-Yeol Eom;Jai-Hyun Lee
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2023
  • Recently, not only in Korea but also around the world, we have been experiencing constant disasters such as typhoons, wildfires, and heavy rains. The property damage caused by typhoons and heavy rain in South Korea alone has exceeded 1 trillion won. These disasters have resulted in significant loss of life and property damage, and the recovery process will also take a considerable amount of time. In addition, the government's contingency funds are insufficient for the current situation. To prevent and effectively respond to these issues, it is necessary to collect and analyze accurate data in real-time. However, delays and data loss can occur depending on the environment where the sensors are located, the status of the communication network, and the receiving servers. In this paper, we propose a two-stage hybrid situation analysis and prediction algorithm that can accurately analyze even in such communication network conditions. In the first step, data on river and stream levels are collected, filtered, and refined from diverse sensors of different types and stored in a bigdata. An AI rule-based inference algorithm is applied to analyze the crisis alert levels. If the rainfall exceeds a certain threshold, but it remains below the desired level of interest, the second step of deep learning image analysis is performed to determine the final crisis alert level.

On the Change of Extreme Weather Event using Extreme Indices (극한지수를 이용한 극한 기상사상의 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Bo Kyung;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2008
  • Unprecedented weather phenomena are occurring because of climate change: extreme heavy rains, heat waves, and severe rain storms after the rainy season. Recently, the frequency of these abnormal phenomena has increased. However, regular pattern or cycles cannot be found. Analysis of annual data or annual average data, which has been established a research method of climate change, should be applied to find frequency and tendencies of extreme climate events. In this paper, extreme indicators of precipitation and temperature marked by objectivity and consistency were established to analyze data collected by 66 observatories throughout Korea operated by the Meteorological Administration. To assess the statistical significance of the data, linear regression and Kendall-Tau method were applied for statistical diagnosis. The indicators were analyzed to find tendencies. The analysis revealed that an increase of precipitation along with a decrease of the number of rainy days. A seasonal trend was also found: precipitation rate and the heavy rainfall threshold increased to a greater extent in the summer(June-August) than in the winter (September-November). In the meanwhile, a tendency of temperature increase was more prominent in the winter (December-February) than in the summer (June-August). In general, this phenomenon was more widespread in inland areas than in coastal areas. Furthermore, the number of winter frost days diminished throughout Korea. As was mentioned in the literature, the progression of climate change has influenced the increase of temperature in the winter.

Conservation Status, Construction Type and Stability Considerations for Fortress Wall in Hongjuupseong (Town Wall) of Hongseong, Korea (홍성 홍주읍성 성벽의 보존상태 및 축성유형과 안정성 고찰)

  • Park, Junhyoung;Lee, Chanhee
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.4-31
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    • 2018
  • It is difficult to ascertain exactly when the Hongjuupseong (Town Wall) was first constructed, due to it had undergone several times of repair and maintenance works since it was piled up newly in 1415, when the first year of the reign of King Munjong (the 5th King of the Joseon Dynasty). Parts of its walls were demolished during the Japanese occupation, leaving the wall as it is today. Hongseong region is also susceptible to historical earthquakes for geological reasons. There have been records of earthquakes, such as the ones in 1978 and 1979 having magnitudes of 5.0 and 4.0, respectively, which left part of the walls collapsed. Again, in 2010, heavy rainfall destroyed another part of the wall. The fortress walls of the Hongjuupseong comprise various rocks, types of facing, building methods, and filling materials, according to sections. Moreover, the remaining wall parts were reused in repair works, and characteristics of each period are reflected vertically in the wall. Therefore, based on the vertical distribution of the walls, the Hongjuupseong was divided into type I, type II, and type III, according to building types. The walls consist mainly of coarse-grained granites, but, clearly different types of rocks were used for varying types of walls. The bottom of the wall shows a mixed variety of rocks and natural and split stones, whereas the center is made up mostly of coarse-grained granites. For repairs, pink feldspar granites was used, but it was different from the rock variety utilized for Suguji and Joyangmun Gate. Deterioration types to the wall can be categorized into bulging, protrusion of stones, missing stones at the basement, separation of framework, fissure and fragmentation, basement instability, and structural deformation. Manually and light-wave measurements were used to check the amount and direction of behavior of the fortress walls. A manual measurement revealed the sections that were undergoing structural deformation. Compared with the result of the light-wave measurement, the two monitoring methods proved correlational. As a result, the two measuring methods can be used complementarily for the long-term conservation and management of the wall. Additionally, the measurement system must be maintained, managed, and improved for the stability of the Hongjuupseong. The measurement of Nammunji indicated continuing changes in behavior due to collapse and rainfall. It can be greatly presumed that accumulated changes over the long period reached the threshold due to concentrated rainfall and subsequent behavioral irregularities, leading to the walls' collapse. Based on the findings, suggestions of the six grades of management from 0 to 5 have been made, to manage the Hongjuupseong more effectively. The applied suggested grade system of 501.9 m (61.10%) was assessed to grade 1, 29.5 m (3.77%) to grade 2, 10.4 m (1.33%) to grade 3, 241.2 m (30.80%) and grade 4. The sections with grade 4 concentrated around the west of Honghwamun Gate and the east of the battlement, which must be monitored regularly in preparation for a potential emergency. The six-staged management grade system is cyclical, where after performing repair and maintenance works through a comprehensive stability review, the section returned to grade 0. It is necessary to monitor thoroughly and evaluate grades on a regular basis.

An Analysis of the Range of Brightness Temperature Differences Associated with Ground Based Mass Concentrations for Detecting the Large-scale Transport of Haze (광역적 이동 연무 탐지를 위한 지상 질량 농도를 고려한 적외채널 밝기온도차 경계값 범위 분석)

  • Kim, Hak-Sung;Chung, Yong-Seung;Cho, Jae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.37 no.7
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    • pp.434-447
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed mass concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5, as measured at Tae-ahn and Gang-nae, Cheongju in central Korea over the period from 2011 to 2015. Higher mass concentrations of PM10, with the exception of dustfall cases during the period of winter and spring, reflected the influence of a prevailing westerly airflow, while the level of PM10 stayed at a low level in summer, reflecting the influence of North Pacific air mass and frequent rainfall. Accordingly, cases where a daily PM10 average of $81{\mu}gm^{-3}$ or over (exceeding the status of fine dust particles being 'a little bit bad') were often observed during the period of winter and spring, with more cases occurring in parts of Tae-ahn that are located close to the sources of pollutant emission in eastern China. Dustfall usually originated from dust storms made up of particles $2.5{\mu}m$ or over in diameter. However, anthropogenic haze displayed a high composition ratio of particulate less than $2.5{\mu}m$ in diameter. Accordingly, brightness temperature difference (BTD) values from the Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) were $-0.5^{\circ}K$ or over in haze with fine particulate. PM10 mass concentrations and NOAA 19 satellite BTD for haze cases were analyzed. Though PM10 mass concentrations were found to be lower than $200{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$, the mass concentration ratio of PM2.5/PM10 was measured as higher than 0.4 and BTD was found to be distributed in the range from -0.3 to $0.5^{\circ}K$. However, the BTD of dustfall cases exceeding $190{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$, were found to be less than 0.4 and BTD was found to be distributed in the range less than $-0.7^{\circ}K$. The result of applying BTD threshold values of the large-scale transport of haze proved to fall into line with the range over which aerosols of MODIS AOD and OMI AI were distributed.

International Research Trend on Mountainous Sediment-related Disasters Induced by Earthquakes (지진 유발 산지토사재해 관련 국외 연구동향 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-In;Seo, Jung-Il;Kim, Jin-Hak;Ryu, Dong-Seop;Seo, Jun-Pyo;Kim, Dong-Yeob;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.106 no.4
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    • pp.431-440
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    • 2017
  • The 2016 Gyeongju Earthquake ($M_L$ 5.8) (occurred on September 12, 2016) and the 2017 Pohang Earthquake ($M_L$ 5.4) (occurred on November 15, 2017) caused unprecedented damages in South Korea. It is necessary to establish basic data related to earthquake-induced mountainous sediment-related disasters over worldwide. In this study, we analyzed previous international studies on the earthquake-induced mountainous sediment-related disasters, then classified research areas according to research themes using text-mining and co-word analysis in VOSviewer program, and finally examined spatio-temporal research trends by research area. The result showed that the related-researches have been rapidly increased since 2005, which seems to be affected by recent large-scale earthquakes occurred in China, Taiwan and Japan. In addition, the research area related to mountainous sediment-related disasters induced by earthquakes was classified into four subjects: (i) mechanisms of disaster occurrence; (ii) rainfall parameters controlling disaster occurrence; (iii) prediction of potential disaster area using aerial and satellite photographs; and (iv) disaster risk mapping through the modeling of disaster occurrence. These research areas are considered to have a strong correlation with each other. On the threshold year (i.e., 2012-2013), when cumulative number of research papers was reached 50% of total research papers published since 1987, proportions per unit year of all research areas should increase. Especially, the proportion of the research areas related to prediction of potential disaster area using aerial and satellite photographs is highly increased compared to other three research areas. These trends are responsible for the rapidly increasing research papers with study sites in China, and the research papers examined in Taiwan, Japan, and the United States have also contributed to increases in all research areas. The results are could be used as basic data to present future research direction related to mountainous sediment-related disasters induced by earthquakes in South Korea.