• Title/Summary/Keyword: Three-country Model

검색결과 196건 처리시간 0.025초

수치모델에서 레이더 자료동화가 강수 예측에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Radar Data Assimilation in Numerical Models on Precipitation Forecasting)

  • 이지원;민기홍
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.457-475
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    • 2023
  • Accurately predicting localized heavy rainfall is challenging without high-resolution mesoscale cloud information in the numerical model's initial field, as precipitation intensity and amount vary significantly across regions. In the Korean Peninsula, the radar observation network covers the entire country, providing high-resolution data on hydrometeors which is suitable for data assimilation (DA). During the pre-processing stage, radar reflectivity is classified into hydrometeors (e.g., rain, snow, graupel) using the background temperature field. The mixing ratio of each hydrometeor is converted and inputted into a numerical model. Moreover, assimilating saturated water vapor mixing ratio and decomposing radar radial velocity into a three-dimensional wind vector improves the atmospheric dynamic field. This study presents radar DA experiments using a numerical prediction model to enhance the wind, water vapor, and hydrometeor mixing ratio information. The impact of radar DA on precipitation prediction is analyzed separately for each radar component. Assimilating radial velocity improves the dynamic field, while assimilating hydrometeor mixing ratio reduces the spin-up period in cloud microphysical processes, simulating initial precipitation growth. Assimilating water vapor mixing ratio further captures a moist atmospheric environment, maintaining continuous growth of hydrometeors, resulting in concentrated heavy rainfall. Overall, the radar DA experiment showed a 32.78% improvement in precipitation forecast accuracy compared to experiments without DA across four cases. Further research in related fields is necessary to improve predictions of mesoscale heavy rainfall in South Korea, mitigating its impact on human life and property.

집체범죄감대경향일본산품적영향(集体犯罪感对倾向日本产品的影响) (The Impact of Collective Guilt on the Preference for Japanese Products)

  • Maher, Amro A.;Singhapakdi, Anusorn;Park, Hyun-Soo;Auh, Sei-Gyoung
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 2010
  • 阿拉伯人联合抵制丹麦产品, 澳大利亚人联合抵制法国产品, 而中国人厌恶日本产品, 这些是国家间的敌对行为影响消费行为的案例. 敌意文献中已考查过消费者对其他国家敌对行为的反应, 以及这种敌意如何影响消费者对敌对国家产品的态度和倾向. 例如, 中国消费者不愿购买日本产品, 是由于日本人在第二次世界大战中的暴行, 以及不平等的经济往来(Klein, Ettenson and Morris 1998). 然而在市场营销文献中, 却没有考查过那些对他国实施敌对行为的国家消费者的反应, 这些敌对行为是否会影响他们购买受害国产品的态度. 社会心理学文献认为, 消费者面对这样的敌对行为时, 会产生一种集体犯罪感. 集体犯罪感源于当组织成员认为组织要对伤害其他组织的行为负责时所产生的痛苦感(Branscombe, Slugoski, and Kappenn 2004). 案例包括美国人由于美军在Abu Ghraib监狱的暴行而产生犯罪感(Iyer, Schamder and Lickel 2007), 荷兰由于过去对印度尼西亚的占领而产生犯罪感(Doosje et al. 1998). 本研究的主要目的是考查当国家成员对他国有敌对行为时消费者的感知, 这种感知是否会影响他们对敌对国家产品的态度. 更准确的说, 本研究的目标之一是考查集体犯罪感的感知前提, 以及当国家成员对他国有敌对行为时, 人们的情绪反应. 另一个目标是考查集体犯罪感如何影响消费者对敌对国产品的感知和倾向. 如果集体犯罪感能起到明显的预言作用, 敌对国双方的公司可能会从这类不幸的事件中受益. 本研究利用了由Klein, Ettenson and Morris (1998)提出并经Klein (2002)发展的敌意模式. Klein发现美国消费者对日本人怀有敌意, 起因是二战期间的事件(如日军偷袭珍珠港)和近年来日本的经济威胁. 因此本研究认为, 二战间的事件(如广岛长崎的原子弹爆炸)可能导致美国消费者的集体犯罪感. 曾有过一系列的三个假设, 第一个假设关于集体犯罪感的前提. 之前有研究认为当消费者感知到侵害造成的非法伤害, 并且认为侵犯者来自的国家应为此负责, 集体犯罪感就产生了(Wohl, Branscombe, and Klar 2006). 因此提出下列假设: 假设1a: 感知到的伤害非法性越高, 集体犯罪感越强烈. 假设1b: 责任越大, 集体犯罪感也肯定越强烈. 第二个和第三个假设关于集体犯罪感对倾向日本产品的影响. Klein (2002)发现对日本的敌意越强, 相比较韩国产品对日本产品的倾向越小, 但相比较美国产品对日本产品的倾向并未变小. 这些结果说明集体犯罪感存在时, 消费者在购买日本产品和韩国产品时会更倾向于前者, 但在购买日本产品和美国产品时并未受影响. 假设2: 集体犯罪感与购买日本产品的倾向大于韩国产品有关, 但与购买日本产品的倾向大于美国产品无关. 假设3: 集体犯罪感与购买日本产品的倾向大于韩国产品有关, 并且对产品的判断和敌意保持不变. 有过一个实验测试这个假设. 使被调查者面临发生在二战中的敌对事件, 从而产生非法伤害和责任. 该实验由一家美国的消费者调查小组收集数据, 将调查对象随机分配到低等级责任和违法情况(n=259)或高等级责任和违法情况(n=268). 测试假设关系时, 运用到潜在变量结构方程模式(LVSEM). 第一个假设得到了支持, 美国人因二战中对日本人的伤害而产生的伤害非法性和责任都对集体犯罪感有积极影响. 第二个假设也得到了支持, 集体犯罪感与购买日本产品的倾向大于韩国产品有关, 但与购买日本产品的倾向大于美国产品无关. 最后, 第三个假设也得到了支持, 集体犯罪感与购买日本产品的倾向大于韩国产品有关, 同时还影响人们对日本产品的判断和敌意. 由这些研究的结果可得出结论. 第一, 伤害的非法性和责任是集体犯罪感的前提. 第二, 当消费者面临来自敌对行为目标国家的产品和其他外国产品之间的选择时, 会受到集体犯罪感的影响. 但当他们面临来自敌对行为目标国家的产品和本国产品时, 不受集体犯罪感的影响. 这一结果意味着当竞争对手来自国外时, 利用集体犯罪感对那些受到敌对行为的国家的公司是可行的, 但当竞争对手来自国内时则不可行.

GeoAI-Based Forest Fire Susceptibility Assessment with Integration of Forest and Soil Digital Map Data

  • Kounghoon Nam;Jong-Tae Kim;Chang-Ju Lee;Gyo-Cheol Jeong
    • 지질공학
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2024
  • This study assesses forest fire susceptibility in Gangwon-do, South Korea, which hosts the largest forested area in the nation and constitutes ~21% of the country's forested land. With 81% of its terrain forested, Gangwon-do is particularly susceptible to wildfires, as evidenced by the fact that seven out of the ten most extensive wildfires in Korea have occurred in this region, with significant ecological and economic implications. Here, we analyze 480 historical wildfire occurrences in Gangwon-do between 2003 and 2019 using 17 predictor variables of wildfire occurrence. We utilized three machine learning algorithms—random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine—to construct wildfire susceptibility prediction models and identify the best-performing model for Gangwon-do. Forest and soil map data were integrated as important indicators of wildfire susceptibility and enhanced the precision of the three models in identifying areas at high risk of wildfires. Of the three models examined, the random forest model showed the best predictive performance, with an area-under-the-curve value of 0.936. The findings of this study, especially the maps generated by the models, are expected to offer important guidance to local governments in formulating effective management and conservation strategies. These strategies aim to ensure the sustainable preservation of forest resources and to enhance the well-being of communities situated in areas adjacent to forests. Furthermore, the outcomes of this study are anticipated to contribute to the safeguarding of forest resources and biodiversity and to the development of comprehensive plans for forest resource protection, biodiversity conservation, and environmental management.

LM3V 지면모델의 국내 적용성 평가를 위한 유출량 및 질소 모의 연구 (Study on Simulation of Runoff and Nitrogen for Application of LM3V Model in South Korea)

  • 정충길;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제59권4호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2017
  • Eutrophication of surface waters is of concern worldwide, because it can result in many undesirable water-quality and ecological problems, such as hypoxic 'dead' zones and harmful algal blooms, both associated with considerable economic costs. In this study, we used LSM (Land Surface Model) to simulate nitrogen in five major rivers in the Southern Korean Peninsula. The main objective of this research was to enhance nitrogen data for input of LM3V model in South Korea. Input data for nitrogen fluxes were categorized into three sections including agriculture fertilizer, livestock manure, atmosphere deposition, biological fixation, and sewage pollutants were used as the nitrogen input. For using LM3V model, the nitrogen input data were regenerated by considering states of agriculture and industry in South Korea at a $1/8^{\circ}$ resolution. Then, we simulated stream/river flows and N loads throughout the entire drainage networks in South Korea at a $1/8^{\circ}$ resolution. By using the same parameters for the entire country ($100,210km^2$), composed of 5 river basins with varying climate and land use, the model simulates spatial (11 sites) and temporal (1999~2010) patterns of flows and nitrate-N loads are resonable by comparing observed flow and nitrate-N loads. The r (Pearson's linear correlation) for water temperature, flow and nitrate-N at river were 080~0.93, 0.62~0.92 and 0.5~0.9 respectively. Based on enhanced N input data and model results, we find that LM3V model as land surface model can be applied in South Korea with interaction of atmosphere and land conditions.

Present Status and Future Prospects of Power Tiller Industry in Orissa, India

  • Swain, S.
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농업기계학회 1996년도 International Conference on Agricultural Machinery Engineering Proceedings
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    • pp.2-5
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    • 1996
  • Orissa is one of the major rice growing states of India. The state covers an area of 15.54 mha with 6.00mha cultivable holding is 1.46 ha. The power input is much below the national average of 0.87 hp/ha. Recently, the Government of Orissa has accorded equal status to Agriculture as given to the Industry with determination to increase the power input for agricultural production to2.54 hp/ha so as to obtain an average rice productivity of 3.0t/ha. Appropriate power units so as to be available with in the purchasing power of the small size farm owners in lieu of a pair of bullocks appear to be the right approach and is found to be in line with the highly successful Japanese and Korean model of small farm mechanization . The state needs 0.25m units of small tillers and tractors per year. The present population of tractors and power tillers in the state is about 11000nos. In India, two manufactures in collaboration with Japanese firms started manufacturing of power tiller sin 197 . The present production of power tillers in the country is about 1000 unit per year which is inadequate to meet the demands of all the stats. To meet the demands of the Orissa state, three Chinese model power tillers imported by local agencies are being supplied to the farmers during the past two years. Encouraged by the demand of power tillers in the state, three local manufacturing units located at Bhubanewar have come up with their own model of light weight power tillers(1.5 to 3.0 hp) during the past one year. These machine have been evaluated in the farms of the university and have been found to be promising . There is a target of supplying during 1996-97. The local manufacturers are in need of international collaboration for technical knowhow to manufacture these machine economically to meet the requirement of the farmers.

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Connectedness among Northeast Asian Housing Markets and Business Cycles

  • Lee, Hahn Shik;Lee, Woo Suk
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.185-203
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates the connectedness among housing markets using the methodology developed in Diebold and Yilmaz (2014, 2016). In particular, we examine the international linkages among housing markets in Northeast Asian countries: namely, China, Japan, and Korea. The basic finding is that connectedness measures vary over the business cycle, with a surge during the global financial crisis. However, the international linkages among the three Asian housing markets seem rather weak. By including GDP in the model, we also find that housing market in one country is more affected by its own economic conditions than that of neighboring countries. Given earlier evidence that cross-regional spillover among domestic housing markets is high, this result suggests that housing market connectedness is more of domestic cross-regional phenomena, rather than international ones.

Impediments to Driving Smart Cities: a Case Study of South Korea

  • Kim, Yiinjung;Hwang, Ha;Choi, Hojin
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.159-176
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    • 2021
  • Over the past two decades, smart cities have been attracting attention as a means of solving urban problems and as a model for securing urban sustainability. Many studies have been conducted in various fields such as conceptual definitions, classification, new technologies, case analysis, and civic participation of smart cities. In particular, applicable technologies and their importance have been highlighted so far. However, since a city is a complex and meta-systematic space, it is the overly optimistic prospect that technology, one of the smart city components, will lead to successful smart cities. This study elucidates the impediments to driving smart cities as a case study of South Korea, a leading country in smart technology and digital transformation. We examined three comprehensive national plans for promoting smart cities and conducted focus group interviews with experts in smart cities to analyze the obstacles to carrying smart cities. We classified the thirteen impediments into technological, industrial, governmental, and social factors as a result. Some of them are generic issues in policy establishment and enforcement, while others are specific to smart cities.

Trade in Developing East Asia: How It Has Changed and Why It Matters

  • Constantinescu, Cristina;Mattoo, Aaditya;Ruta, Michele
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.427-465
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    • 2018
  • East Asia, for long the epitome of successful engagement in trade, faces serious challenges: technological change that may threaten the very model of labor intensive industrialization and a backlash against globalization that may reduce access to important markets. The analysis in this article suggests that how East Asia copes with these global challenges will depend on how it addresses three more proximate national and regional challenges. The first is the emergence of China as a global trade giant, which is fundamentally altering the trading patterns and opportunities of its neighbors. The second is the asymmetric implementation of national reform - in goods trade and investment versus services - which is affecting the evolution of comparative advantage and productivity in each country. The third is the divergence between the relatively shallow and fragmented agreements that regulate the region's trade and investment and the growing importance of regional and global value chains as crucial drivers of productivity growth.

대북 경제제재와 북한무역 - 2000년대 일본 대북제재의 영향력 추정 - (Economic Sanction and DPRK Trade - Estimating the Impact of Japan's Sanction in the 2000s -)

  • 이석
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.93-143
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    • 2010
  • 이 글은 2000년대 일본의 대북제재가 북한의 대외거래에 미친 효과를 측정한다. 이를 위해 우리는 대북제재의 경제적 효과를 개념화하는 것으로부터 시작하여, 현존하는 북한무역통계를 토대로 일본 대북제재의 효과가 존재하는지 유무를 검증하고, 마지막으로는 현존하는 통계를 합리적으로 재구성함으로써 일본의 제재 효과를 계량적으로 측정한다. 이러한 과정을 통해 우리가 도달한 결론을 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 국제사회의 경제제재는 북한의 무역에 당사국 효과와 제3국 효과라는 두 가지의 영향을 미친다. 전자는 제재 당사국과 북한의 무역이 줄어드는 것을 의미하며, 후자는 이에 따라 북한과 여타 국가 사이의 무역도 영향을 받는 것을 말한다. 둘째, 이러한 제재의 효과를 분석하기 위해서는 북한무역에 대한 정밀한 통계자료의 입수가 필수적이지만, 현존하는 북한의 무역통계는 모두 특정 국가와 북한의 거래를 잘못 보고하거나, 또는 북한의 실제 거래 국가를 누락하는 등 일정한 결함을 내포하고 있다. 셋째, 이러한 통계의 결함을 감안한 상태에서 이를 우회하는 방식으로 분석을 진행해보면, 일본의 대북제재는 뚜렷한 당사국 효과와 제3국 효과를 동시에 갖는 것으로 나타난다. 일본의 제재로 북일무역은 줄어들지만, 북한은 이를 여타 국가와의 거래확대로 중화시킨다는 뜻이다. 다만, 이러한 제3국 효과는 북한의 수출과 수입에 있어 다르게 나타난다. 수출의 경우에는 한국과 중국, 태국 등 북한의 주요 거래상대국들에서 모두 정(+)의 제3국 효과가 존재하지만, 북한의 수입에 있어서는 한국이나 심지어 중국에 있어서도 제3국 효과의 통계적 유의미성이 부정되는 것이다. 넷째, 일본의 제재 효과를 계수적으로 측정하기 위해서는 현존하는 북한무역통계를 보다 정밀하게 재구성해야만 하는데, 이러한 재구성은 북한의 수입에 있어서는 불가능하지만 수출에 있어서는 가능하다. 이렇게 재구성된 데이터를 토대로 추정하면, 2004~06년 북한의 대일 수출은 일본의 대북제재로 연간 0.8억~1.2억달러의 피해를 입은 것으로 나타난다(당사국 효과). 이는 2003년 북한의 대일 수출액의 60%에 해당한다. 그런데 같은 기간 동안 북한은 일본의 제재에 맞서 다른 나라로의 수출선 전환을 추진하였고, 그 결과 연간 0.8~0.9억달러에 달하는 여타 국가로의 수출증대 효과를 보았다(제3국 효과). 여섯째, 이러한 북한 거래선 이전의 60~70%는 한국(남북교역)에 의해 가능해진 것으로 나타난다. 반면, 중국으로의 거래선 이전은 미미하거나 유의미하지 않은 것으로 나타난다. 일곱째, 북한의 수입에 관해서는 이처럼 계수적으로 제재의 효과를 추정하는 일이 불가능하다. 그러나 비록 결함이 있지만 현존하는 북한무역통계는 일본의 제재가 북한의 수출보다는 수입에 더 큰 영향을 미친다고 말한다. 따라서 일본의 제재가 북한의 수출에 있어 별다른 영향을 미치지 못한다고 해서, 곧바로 제재의 효력 자체가 없다고 단정하는 것은 현명하지 못하다.

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한국형 간호사의 성 태도와 신념 조사도구(Sexuality Attitudes and Beliefs Survey)의 적합성 평가 및 적용 (Evaluation and Application of the Korean Version of the Sexuality Attitudes and Beliefs Survey for Nurses)

  • 김혜원;정연이;박승미
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.889-897
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to evaluate the validity and reliability of the Korean version of the Sexuality Attitudes and Beliefs Survey (SABS) and to assess SABS for Korean nurses. Methods: The Korean version of SABS was developed through forward-backward translation techniques. Internal consistency reliability and construct validity using confirmatory factor analysis were conducted using PASW+ PC Win (18.0) and AMOS (18.0). Data were collected from 567 nurses who worked in one of six general hospitals across the country. Results: The Korean version of SABS showed a reliable internal consistency with Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ of subscales ranging from .59 to .73. Factor loadings of the 10 items of three subscales ranged from .38 to .83. The three subscales model were validated by confirmatory factor analysis (GFI>.97, RMSEA<.05). Sexuality attitudes and beliefs for Korean nurses were more negative than that of European or American nurses. The SABS scores for Korean nurses were significantly different according to age, marriage, education, clinical experiences, and feeling about sexuality. Conclusion: The Korean version of SABS has satisfactory construct validity and reliability to measure Korean nurses' attitudes and belief toward sexuality. Education is essential to enhance importance and self-efficacy and to relieve barriers to addressing patients' sexuality.