• Title/Summary/Keyword: Three-Term Error

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Dual Doppler Wind Retrieval Using a Three-dimensional Variational Method (3차원 변분법을 사용한 이중 도플러 바람장 분석)

  • Lee, SeonYong;Choi, Young-Jean;Chan, Dong-Eon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.69-86
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    • 2007
  • The characteristics of the dual-Doppler wind retrieval method based on a three dimensional variational (3DVAR) conception were investigated from the following four points of view; the sensitivity of the number of iteration, the effect of the weak constraint term, the effect of the smoothness term, and the sensitivity of the error mixing ratio of the radial velocities. In the experiment, the radial velocities relative to the Gosan and Jindo radar sites of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) were calculated from the forecasting of the WRF (Weather Research and Forecast; Skamarock, 2004) model at 1330 UTC 30 June 2006, which is the one and half hour forecast from the initial time, 1200 UTC on that day. The results showed that the retrieval performance of the horizontal wind field was robust, but that of the vertical wind was sensitive to the external conditions, such as iteration number and the on/off of the weak constraint term. The sensitivity of error mixing ratio was so large that even the horizontal wind retrieval efficiency was reduced a lot. But the sensitivity of the smooth term was not so large. When we applied this method to the real mesoscale convective system (MCS) between the Gosan and Jindo radar pair at 1430 UTC 30 June 2006, the wind structure of the convective cells in the MCS was consistently retrieved relative to the reflectivity factor structure. By comparing the vertical wind structure of this case with that of 10 minutes after, 1440 UTC 30 June 2006, we got the physical consistency of our method.

Prediction Performance of Ocean Temperature and Salinity in Global Seasonal Forecast System Version 5 (GloSea5) on ARGO Float Data

  • Jieun Wie;Jae-Young Byon;Byung-Kwon Moon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.327-337
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    • 2024
  • The ocean is linked to long-term climate variability, but there are very few methods to assess the short-term performance of forecast models. This study analyzes the short-term prediction performance regarding ocean temperature and salinity of the Global Seasonal prediction system version 5 (GloSea5). GloSea5 is a historical climate re-creation (2001-2010) performed on the 1st, 9th, 17th, and 25th of each month. It comprises three ensembles. High-resolution hindcasts from the three ensembles were compared with the Array for Real-Time Geostrophic Oceanography (ARGO) float data for the period 2001-2010. The horizontal position was preprocessed to match the ARGO float data and the vertical layer to the GloSea5 data. The root mean square error (RMSE), Brier Score (BS), and Brier Skill Score (BSS) were calculated for short-term forecast periods with a lead-time of 10 days. The results show that sea surface temperature (SST) has a large RMSE in the western boundary current region in Pacific and Atlantic Oceans and Antarctic Circumpolar Current region, and sea surface salinity (SSS) has significant errors in the tropics with high precipitation, with both variables having the largest errors in the Atlantic. SST and SSS had larger errors during the fall for the NINO3.4 region and during the summer for the East Sea. Computing the BS and BSS for ocean temperature and salinity in the NINO3.4 region revealed that forecast skill decreases with increasing lead-time for SST, but not for SSS. The preprocessing of GloSea5 forecasts to match the ARGO float data applied in this study, and the evaluation methods for forecast models using the BS and BSS, could be applied to evaluate other forecast models and/or variables.

Language performance analysis based on multi-dimensional verbal short-term memories in patients with conduction aphasia (다차원 구어 단기기억에 따른 전도 실어증 환자의 언어수행력 분석)

  • Ha, Ji-Wan;Hwang, Yu Mi;Pyun, Sung-Bom
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.425-455
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    • 2012
  • Multi-dimensional verbal short-term memory mechanisms are largely divided into the phonological channel and the lexical-semantic channel. The former is called phonological short-term memory and the latter is called semantic short-term memory. Phonological short-term memory is further segmented into the phonological input buffer and the phonological output buffer. In this study, the language performance of each of three patients with similar levels of conduction aphasia was analyzed in terms of multi-dimensional verbal short-term memory. To this end, three patients with conduction aphasia were instructed to perform four different aspects of language tasks that are spontaneous speaking, repetition, spontaneous writing, and dictation in both word and sentence level. Moreover, the patients' phonological memories and semantic short-term memories were evaluated using digit span tests and verbal learning tests. As a result, the three subjects exhibited various types of performances and error responses in the four aspects of language tests, and the short-term memory tests also did not produce identical results. The language performance of three patients with conduction aphasia can be explained according to whether the defects occurred in the semantic short-term memory, phonological input buffer and/or phonological output buffer. In this study, the relations between language and multi-dimensional verbal short-term memory were discussed based on the results of language tests and short-term memory tests in patients with conduction aphasia.

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Temperature distribution prediction in longitudinal ballastless slab track with various neural network methods

  • Hanlin Liu;Wenhao Yuan;Rui Zhou;Yanliang Du;Jingmang Xu;Rong Chen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.83-99
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    • 2023
  • The temperature prediction approaches of three important locations in an operational longitudinal slab track-bridge structure by using three typical neural network methods based on the field measuring platform of four meteorological factors and internal temperature. The measurement experiment of four meteorological factors (e.g., ambient temperature, solar radiation, wind speed, and humidity) temperature in the three locations of the longitudinal slab and base plate of three important locations (e.g., mid-span, beam end, and Wide-Narrow Joint) were conducted, and then their characteristics were analyzed, respectively. Furthermore, temperature prediction effects of three locations under five various meteorological conditions are tested by using three neural network methods, respectively, including the Artificial Neural Network (ANN), the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). More importantly, the predicted effects of solar radiation in four meteorological factors could be identified with three indicators (e.g., Root Means Square Error, Mean Absolute Error, Correlation Coefficient of R2). In addition, the LSTM method shows the best performance, while the CNN method has the best prediction effect by only considering a single meteorological factor.

An improvement of Simplified Atmospheric Correction : MODIS Visible Channel

  • Lee, Chang-Suk;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.487-499
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    • 2009
  • Atmospheric correction of satellite measurements is a major step to estimate accurate surface reflectance of solar spectrum channels. In this study, Simplified Method for the Atmospheric Correction (SMAC) radiative transfer model used to retrieve surface reflectance from MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectrometer) top of atmosphere (TOA) reflectance. It is fast and simple atmospheric correction method, so it uses for work site operation in various satellite. This study attempts a test of accuracy of SMAC through a sensitivity test to detected error sources and to improve accuracy of surface reflectance using SMAC. The results of SMAC as compared with MODIS surface reflectance (MOD09) was represented that low accuracy ($R^2\;=\;0.6196$, Root Means Square Error (RMSE) = 0.00031, bias = - 0.0859). Thus sensitivity analysis of input parameters and coefficients was conducted to searching error sources. Among the input parameters, Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is the most influence input parameter. In order to modify AOD term in SMAC code, Stepwise multiple regression was performed with testing and remove variable in three stages with independent variables of AOD at 550nm, solar zenith angle, viewing zenith angle. Surface reflectance estimation by using Newly proposed AOD term in the study showed that improve accuracy ($R^2\;=\;0.827$, RMSE = 0.00672, bias = - 0.000762).

An Extended Scalar Adaptive Filter for Mitigating Sudden Abnormal Signals of Guided Missile

  • Lim, Jun-Kyu;Park, Chan-Gook
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2011
  • An extended scalar adaptive filter for guided missiles using a global positioning system receiver is presented. A conventional scalar adaptive filter is adequate filter for eliminating sudden abnormal jumping measurements. However, if missile or vehicle velocities have variation, the conventional filter cannot eliminate abnormal measurements. The proposed filter utilizes an acceleration term, which is an improvement not used in previous conventional scalar adaptive filters. The proposed filter continuously estimates noise measurement variance, velocity error variance and acceleration error variance. For estimating the three variances, an innovation method was used in combination with the least square method for the three variances. Results from the simulations indicated that the proposed filter exhibited better position accuracy than the conventional scalar adaptive filter.

A Scalar Adaptive Filter Considering Acceleration for Navigation of UAV (무인기의 항법을 위한 가속도를 고려한 적응 스칼라 필터)

  • Lim, Jun-Kyu;Park, Chan-Gook
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a novel scalar adaptive filter, which is reformulated by additional acceleration term. The filter continuously estimates three different kinds of covariance such as the measurement noise covariance, the velocity error covariance and the acceleration error covariance. For estimating three covariances, we use the innovation method for the measurement noise covariance and the least square method for other covariances. In order to verify the proposed filter performance compared with the conventional scalar adaptive filter, we make indoor experimental environment similar to outdoor test using the ultrasonic sensors instead of GPS. Experimental results show that the proposed filter has better position accuracy than the traditional scalar adaptive filter.

Prediction of Short and Long-term PV Power Generation in Specific Regions using Actual Converter Output Data (실제 컨버터 출력 데이터를 이용한 특정 지역 태양광 장단기 발전 예측)

  • Ha, Eun-gyu;Kim, Tae-oh;Kim, Chang-bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.561-569
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    • 2019
  • Solar photovoltaic can provide electrical energy with only radiation, and its use is expanding rapidly as a new energy source. This study predicts the short and long-term PV power generation using actual converter output data of photovoltaic system. The prediction algorithm uses multiple linear regression, support vector machine (SVM), and deep learning such as deep neural network (DNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). In addition, three models are used according to the input and output structure of the weather element. Long-term forecasts are made monthly, seasonally and annually, and short-term forecasts are made for 7 days. As a result, the deep learning network is better in prediction accuracy than multiple linear regression and SVM. In addition, LSTM, which is a better model for time series prediction than DNN, is somewhat superior in terms of prediction accuracy. The experiment results according to the input and output structure appear Model 2 has less error than Model 1, and Model 3 has less error than Model 2.

Long-Term Clinical Course of a Korean Patient with Chronic Neuropathic (type III) Gaucher Disease

  • Lee, Jun Hwa
    • Journal of Interdisciplinary Genomics
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.15-18
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    • 2019
  • Gaucher disease (GD) is an autosomal recessive inborn error of metabolism resulting from a deficiency in ${\beta}$-glucocerebrosidase (GBA) activity that leads to the accumulation of glucocerebroside in macrophages in multiple organs, such as the bone marrow, liver, spleen, and brain. GD can be classified into three clinical types: type 1 (non-neuropathic form, OMIM #230800); type II (acute neuropathic form, OMIM #230900); and type III (chronic neuropathic form, OMIM #231000). Type III is the subacute form of neuropathic GD. The best available treatment for GD is long-term enzyme (imiglucerase) replacement therapy (ERT) performed every two weeks. This report describes the long-term clinical course of a patient with type III GD who was treated with ERT for 18 years.

A Short-Term Prediction Method of the IGS RTS Clock Correction by using LSTM Network

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.209-214
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    • 2019
  • Precise point positioning (PPP) requires precise orbit and clock products. International GNSS service (IGS) real-time service (RTS) data can be used in real-time for PPP, but it may not be possible to receive these corrections for a short time due to internet or hardware failure. In addition, the time required for IGS to combine RTS data from each analysis center results in a delay of about 30 seconds for the RTS data. Short-term orbit prediction can be possible because it includes the rate of correction, but the clock correction only provides bias. Thus, a short-term prediction model is needed to preidict RTS clock corrections. In this paper, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict RTS clock correction for three minutes. The prediction accuracy of the LSTM was compared with that of the polynomial model. After applying the predicted clock corrections to the broadcast ephemeris, we performed PPP and analyzed the positioning accuracy. The LSTM network predicted the clock correction within 2 cm error, and the PPP accuracy is almost the same as received RTS data.