• 제목/요약/키워드: Thermal forcing

검색결과 43건 처리시간 0.026초

Application of CE-QUAL-W2 [v3.2] to Andong Reservoir: Part I: Simulations of Hydro-thermal Dynamics, Dissolved Oxygen and Density Current

  • Bhattarai, Prasid Ram;Kim, Yoon-Hee;Heo, Woo-Myoung
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.247-263
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    • 2008
  • A two-dimensional (2D) reservoir hydrodynamics and water quality model, CE-QUAL-W2, is employed to simulate the hydrothermal behavior and density current regime in Andong Reservoir. Observed data used for model forcing and calibration includes: surface water level, water temperature, dissolved oxygen and suspended solids concentration. The model was calibrated to the year of 2003 and verified with continuous run from 2000 till 2004. Without major adjustments, the model accurately simulated surface water levels including the events of large storm. Deep-water reservoirs, like Andong Reservoir, located in the Asian Monsoon region begin to stratify in summer and overturn in fall. This mixing pattern as well as the descending thermocline, onset and duration of stratification and timing of turnover phenomenon were well reproduced by the Andong Model. The temperature field and distinct thermocline are simulated to within $2^{\circ}C$ of observed data. The model performed well in simulating not only the dissolved oxygen profiles but also the metalimnetic dissolved minima phenomenon, a common1y occurring phenomenon in deep reservoirs of temperate regions. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values of model calibration for surface water elevation, temperature and dissolved oxygen were 0.0095 m, $1.82^{\circ}C$, and $1.13\;mg\;L^{-1}$, respectively. The turbid storm runoff, during the summer monsoon, formed an intermediate layer of about 15 m thickness, moved along the metalimnion until being finally discharged from the dam. This mode of transport of density current, a common characteristic of various other large reservoirs in the Asian summer monsoon region, was well tracked by the model.

기상청 전지구 해양순환예측시스템(NEMO/NEMOVAR)과 미해군 해양자료 동화시스템(HYCOM/NCODA)의 해양 일분석장 열적환경 정확도 비교 (A Comparison of Accuracy of the Ocean Thermal Environments Using the Daily Analysis Data of the KMA NEMO/NEMOVAR and the US Navy HYCOM/NCODA)

  • 고은별;문일주;정영윤;장필훈
    • 대기
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the accuracy of ocean analysis data, which are produced from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean/Variational Data Assimilation (NEMO/NEMOVAR, hereafter NEMO) system and the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model/Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (HYCOM/NCODA, hereafter HYCOM) system, was evaluated using various oceanic observation data from March 2015 to February 2016. The evaluation was made for oceanic thermal environments in the tropical Pacific, the western North Pacific, and the Korean peninsula. NEMO generally outperformed HYCOM in the three regions. Particularly, in the tropical Pacific, the RMSEs (Root Mean Square Errors) of NEMO for both the sea surface temperature and vertical water temperature profile were about 50% smaller than those of HYCOM. In the western North Pacific, in which the observational data were not used for data assimilation, the RMSE of NEMO profiles up to 1000 m ($0.49^{\circ}C$) was much lower than that of HYCOM ($0.73^{\circ}C$). Around the Korean peninsula, the difference in RMSE between the two models was small (NEMO, $0.61^{\circ}C$; HYCOM, $0.72^{\circ}C$), in which their errors show relatively big in the winter and small in the summer. The differences reported here in the accuracy between NEMO and HYCOM for the thermal environments may be attributed to horizontal and vertical resolutions of the models, vertical coordinate and mixing scheme, data quality control system, data used for data assimilation, and atmosphere forcing. The present results can be used as a basic data to evaluate the accuracy of NEMO, before it becomes the operational model of the KMA providing real-time ocean analysis and prediction data.

지표 특성 변화에 대한 평형온도의 반응 연구 : EBM 연구 (On response of Surface Equilibrium Temperature for Change of Surface Characteristics : An EBM Study)

  • 서예원;추정은;하경자
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • 지표 특성 차이에 따라 외부강제력에 대한 차별적인 반응을 보이는 지표 평형온도 분포를 실험하기 위해 에너지 균형 모형(Energy Balance Model, EBM)이 사용되었다. EBM은 입사되는 복사에너지가 각 위도별로 수송되는 에너지와 방출되는 복사에너지의 합과 균형을 이루었을 때의 온도를 산출한다. 지구의 에너지 원천인 태양복사에너지를 전지구 에너지 균형에 있어 중요하게 취급하기 위하여 위도별 알베도 변화뿐만 아니라 해륙의 분포 차이에 따른 에너지 균형을 고려한 지구 평형온도 분포에 관한 실험이 수행되었으며, 입사되는 태양복사에너지량을 강제력으로 하여 위도별 알베도의 선형적인 증감, 극지역 알베도의 5%, 10%, 15% 증감에 대한 반응, 극과 중위도 지역에서의 상반된 증감에 대한 반응을 실험하였다. 그리고 얼음-알베도 피드백의 유무에 대한 실험도 수행되었다. 극지역의 알베도를 증가시키면 입사되는 태양에너지를 차단시켜 위도별 열수송을 감소시키는데 이는 극지역을 저에너지 상태로 유지시킴으로써 저위도에서부터의 에너지 수송을 강화시킨다. 이러한 수송량의 차이로 인해 중위도 지역의 온도 변화는 극지역에 비해 크게 나타난다. 육지는 해양에 비해 열용량이 작기 때문에 평형온도에 도달하는 시간이 짧으며 알베도에 따른 온도변화에 민감하여 해양과의 온도차이를 유발시킨다. 따라서 평형온도는 지표가 가지는 특성인 알베도와 열용량의 차이에 따라 다르게 나타나며 알베도가 증가함에 따라 감소하고 열용량이 작을수록 변화율이 큰 특징이 있다. 얼음-알베도 피드백은 알베도의 선형적인 증가에 따른 지구 평형온도의 감소를 가속화시키지만 국지적으로는 비선형적인 감소를 보인다.

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기온자료에 근거한 주요 포도품종의 휴면해제 및 발아시기 추정 (Prediction of Dormancy Release and Bud Burst in Korean Grapevine Cultivars Using Daily Temperature Data)

  • 권은영;송기철;윤진일
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2005
  • An accurate prediction of dormancy release and bud burst in temperate zone fruit trees is indispensable for farmers to plan heating time under partially controlled environments as well as to reduce the risk of frost damage in open fields. A thermal time-based two-step phenological model that originated in Italy was applied to two important grapevine cultivars in Korea for predicting bud-burst dates. The model consists of two sequential periods: a rest period described by chilling requirement and a forcing period described by heating requirement. It requires daily maximum and minimum temperature as an input and calculates daily chill units (chill days in negative sign) until a pre-determined chilling requirement for rest release is met. After the projected rest release date, it adds daily heat units (anti-chill days in positive sign) to the chilling requirement. The date when the sum reaches zero isregarded as the bud-burst in the model. Controlled environment experiments using field sampled twigs of 'Campbell Early' and 'Kyoho' cultivars were carried out in the vineyard at the National Horticultural Research Institute (NHRI) in Suwon during 2004-2005 to derive the model parameters: threshold temperature for chilling and chilling requirement for breaking dormancy. The model adjusted with the selected parameters was applied to the 1994-2004 daily temperature data obtained from the automated weather station in the NHRI vineyard to estimate bud burst dates of two cultivars and the results were compared with the observed data. The model showed a consistently good performance in predicting the bud burst of 'Campbell Early' and 'Kyoho' cultivars with 2.6 and 2.5 days of root mean squared error, respectively.

ECHO-G/S를 활용한 미래 동아시아 기후 전망 (Future Climate Projection over East Asia Using ECHO-G/S)

  • 차유미;이효신;문자연;권원태;부경온
    • 대기
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2007
  • Future climate changes over East Asia are projected by anthropogenic forcing of greenhouse gases and aerosols using ECHO-G/S (ECHAM4/HOPE-G). Climate simulation in the 21st century is conducted with three standard SRES scenarios (A1B, B1, and A2) and the model performance is assessed by the 20th Century (20C3M) experiment. From the present climate simulation (20C3M), the model reproduced reliable climate state in the most fields, however, cold bias in temperature and dry bias of summer in precipitation occurred. The intercomparison among models using Taylor diagram indicates that ECHO-G/S exhibits smaller mean bias and higher pattern correlation than other nine AOGCMs. Based on SRES scenarios, East Asia will experience warmer and wetter climate in the coming 21st century. Changes of geographical patterns from the present to the future are considerably similar through all the scenarios except for the magnitude difference. The temperature in winter and precipitation in summer show remarkable increase. In spite of the large uncertainty in simulating precipitation by regional scale, we found that the summer (winter) precipitation at eastern coast (north of $40^{\circ}N$) of East Asia has significantly increased. In the 21st century, the warming over the continents of East Asia showed much more increase than that over the ocean. Hence, more enhanced (weakened) land-sea thermal contrast over East Asia in summer (winter) will cause strong (weak) monsoon. In summer, the low pressure located in East Asia becomes deeper and the moisture from the south or southeast is transported more into the land. These result in increasing precipitation amount over East Asia, especially at the coastal region. In winter, the increase (decrease) of precipitation is accompanied by strengthening (weakening) of baroclinicity over the land (sea) of East Asia.

한국전력 가공송전선의 허용전류를 증가시키기 위한 기상모델의 평가 (An Evaluation of Weather Model for Increasing Ampacity in KEPCO's Overhead Transmission Lines)

  • 김성덕
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2004
  • 전력설비 시장의 새롭게 조정된 경제환경으로 인하여 송전선로에 대한 투자와 운용 정책에 근본적인 변화가 초래되었다. 따라서, 최악의 기상조건을 사용하는 형식적인 가정들을 토대로 주어지는 도체의 허용전류를 증가시키기 위하여 현재 설비를 평가하는 것이 중요하게 되었다. 여전히 세계의 대부분 전력회사에서는 정적송전용량을 채용하고 있지만, 몇몇 회사들은 송전용량을 증가시키기 위하여 동적송전용량을 실시간으로 모니터링 하는 등 다양한 시도를 해왔다. 이 연구는 기상모델로 규정된 한국전력공사(KEPCO)의 송전선로의 정적송전용량을 평가하기 위한 시도이다. 과거 기상청에서 관측된 기상 데이터를 근거로 송전용량을 결정하기 위한 몇 가지 환경적 특성을 검토하였다. 그 결과, 한국전력의 송전선로에 계절별 또는 지역별 정격을 적용할 수 있으며, 현재 운용 중인 도체를 새로운 고내열 도체로 교체하지 않더라도 기존 송전용량을 좀더 증대시킬 수 있음을 확인하였다.

Interannual Variability of Common Squid Fishing Ground in the East Sea derived from Satellite and In-situ Data

  • Kim, Sang-Woo;Ahn, Ji-Suk;Lim, Jin-Wook;Jeong, Hee-Dong;Park, Jong-Hwa
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제22권10호
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    • pp.1363-1371
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we estimate the interannual spatial and temporal distributions of fishing grounds at night in the East Sea based on satellite and in-situ data. We observe that the $15^{\circ}C$ thermal front moves in the north-south direction according to the movement of the warm water (above $18^{\circ}C$) in the Tsushima Warm Current (TWC) area, forcing the cold water area (below $10^{\circ}C$) to either expand or shrink. The interannual variations of sea surface temperature (SST) in winter represented by the indicator SST of $6^{\circ}C$ are consistent with the east-west zonal areas in the central East Sea which represented over $1^{\circ}C$ standard deviation of SST in February during 1990-2000. Annual SST in the fishing grounds of common squid fishing vessels, observed both by fishing vessels and satellites range from 9-$22^{\circ}C$, with the satellite-observed data having a larger range than the fishing vessel-based ones. The interannual distributions of the common squid fishing grounds in the East Sea are mostly concentrated in the TWC area in the southwestern part of the East Sea and in the coast of southern Honshu and Hokkaido in Japan. The interannual distributions of the nighttime fishing vessels are consistent with the catches investigated from the fishing vessel.

이차이온질량분석기를 이용한 PZT 박막의 후열처리 온도에 따른 특성에 관한 연구 (Study of Effect of PZT Thin Film Prepared in Different Post-Annealing Temperature Using SIMS)

  • 심등;이태용;이경천;허원영;신현창;김현덕;송준태
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.392-397
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    • 2011
  • The effect of various post-annealing temperature to sputtered Pb(Zr,Ti)$O_3$ (PZT) thin films was investigated. The crystallization process, surface morphology and the electrical characteristics strongly depends on the rapid thermal annealing (RTA). In radio frequency (RF) sputtering methods, there were many papers mostly forcing on the crystal forming and the surface variations with different elements distribution (Pb, Ti, Zr, O) on the surface of the PZT layer. In this experiment, the post-annealing treatment promoted the Pb volatilization in PZT thin film and affected the Ti diffused throughout the Pt layer into the PZT layer. Second ion mass spectroscopy (SIMS) analysis was employed to show that the Pb element in the PZT layer was decreased at the same time the Ti element mass was slight decreased than Pb with increasing RTA temperature. That result prove the content of Pb affect the PZT thin film property.

보성 해안 지역에서의 해풍 특성 (Characteristics of Sea Breezes at Coastal Area in Boseong)

  • 임희정;이영희
    • 대기
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2019
  • The characteristics of the sea breeze were investigated using the wind and temperature data collected from 300-m tower at Boseong from May 2014 to April 2018. Sea breeze day was detected using following criteria: 1) the presence of a clear change in wind direction near sunrise (between 1 hour after sunrise and 5 hours before sunset) and sunset (from 1500 LST to midnight), 2) presence of thermal forcing of sea breeze and 3) no heavy precipitation (rain < $10mm\;d^{-1}$). Sea breeze days occurred on 569 days for 4 years. The monthly distribution of sea breeze day occurrence shows maxima in May and September and minimum in December. The average onset and cessation times of the sea breeze are 0942 LST and 1802 LST, respectively. Although the 10-m wind shows clockwise rotation with time in the afternoon, the observed hodograph does not show an ideal elliptical shape and has different characteristics depending on the upper synoptic wind direction. Vertical structure of sea breeze shows local maximum of wind speed and local minimum of virtual potential temperature at 40 m in the afternoon for most synoptic conditions except for southeasterly synoptic wind ($60^{\circ}{\sim}150^{\circ}$) which is in the same direction as onshore flow. The local minimum of temperature is due to cold advection by sea breeze. During daytime, the intensity of inversion layer above 40 m is strongest in westerly synoptic wind ($240^{\circ}{\sim}330^{\circ}$) which is in the opposite direction to onshore flow.

생물계절모형을 이용한 벚꽃 개화일 예측 (Predicting Cherry Flowering Date Using a Plant Phonology Model)

  • 정재은;권은영;정유란;윤진일
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.148-155
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    • 2005
  • An accurate prediction of blooming date is crucial for many authorities to schedule and organize successful spring flower festivals in Korea. The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has been using regression models combined with a subjective correction by forecasters to issue blooming date forecasts for major cities. Using mean monthly temperature data for February (observed) and March (predicted), they issue blooming date forecasts in late February to early March each year. The method has been proved accurate enough for the purpose of scheduling spring festivals in the relevant cities, but cannot be used in areas where no official climate and phenology data are available. We suggest a thermal time-based two-step phenological model for predicting the blooming dates of spring flowers, which can be applied to any geographic location regardless of data availability. The model consists of two sequential periods: the rest period described by chilling requirement and the forcing period described by heating requirement. It requires daily maximum and minimum temperature as an input and calculates daily chill units until a pre-determined chilling requirement for rest release. After the projected rest release date, it accumulates daily heat units (growing degree days) until a pre- determined heating requirement for flowering. Model parameters were derived from the observed bud-burst and flowering dates of cherry tree (Prunus serrulata var. spontanea) at KMA Seoul station along with daily temperature data for 1923-1950. The model was applied to the 1955-2004 daily temperature data to estimate the cherry blooming dates and the deviations from the observed dates were compared with those predicted by the KMA method. Our model performed better than the KMA method in predicting the cherry blooming dates during the last 50 years (MAE = 2.31 vs. 1.58, RMSE = 2.96 vs. 2.09), showing a strong feasibility of operational application.