• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.2309-2318
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• 2010

It is a plan the government increases a railroad section SOC investment, and to activate railroad construction while a railroad wins the spotlight with green transportation. But an error of the demand forecast that is a base of a railroad investment evaluation follows in occurring big, there is it with an operation with an obstacle of a railroad investment. Case of the Incheon International Airport Railroad which went into operation recently, While a present transportation demand showed about 10% than a demand forecasted in a past conference, it was magnified in a social problem. A lot of research was gone on in road project about traffic demand forecast and error, a study to find out the error cause is an insufficient situation although errors of a railroad occurs big. So, this study looked for errors and causes about trip generation model and modes sharing model of railroad demand forecast but it was defined causes so that it can occur similar problems in the future. Especially it investigated causes after comparing rate of development plan for the realization and O/D size in trip generation model and after comparing rate of modes sharing of past and current and conducting a survey for airport users. In conclusion, it suggested method to reduce errors of railroad demand forecasting in the future.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.441-450
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• 2004

This study was performed to estimate mid and long term demands of a tractor, a rice transplanter, a combine and a grain dryer by using logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Field survey was done to decide some parameters far logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Ceiling values of tractor and combine fer logistic curve function analysis were 209,280 and 85,607 respectively. Based on logistic curve function analysis, total number of tractors increased slightly during the period analysed. New demand for combine was found to be zero. Markov chain analysis was carried out with 2 scenarios. With the scenario 1(rice price $10\%$ down and current supporting policy by government), new demand for tractor was decreased gradually up to 700 unit in the year 2012. For combine, new demand was zero. Regardless of scenarios, the replacement demand was increased slightly after 2003. After then, the replacement demand is decreased after the certain time. Two analysis of logistic owe function and Markov chain model showed the similar trend in increase and decrease for total number of tractors and combines. However, the difference in numbers of tractors and combines between the results from 2 analysis got bigger as the time passed.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.286-306
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• 2011

본 연구는 2008년 국가경쟁력강화위원회의 발표를 필두로 현 정부가 추진하고 있는 수도권정책의 변화의 방향과 그 영향을 고찰하기 위하여 수도권정책의 변화에 민감하게 반응하는 기업의 공간수요 변화를 분석하였다. 연구내용은 수도권 정책이 기업의 입지에 미치는 영향을 살펴보고 현 정부의 수도권 규제완화 정책에 따른 기업들의 입지행태 변화 및 공간수요의 변화방향을 분석한다. 연구방법은 실증분석과 설문분석을 활용하였다. 실증분석은 1980년대 이후 통계자료를 활용하여 제조업체의 공간수요 변화추이를 분석하였다. 설문분석은 외생적 충격인 수도권 정책 변화가 기업체의 의사결정에 미치는 영향을 고찰하여 향후 기업들의 제조업용지 수요방향을 도출하였다. 연구결과 기업체들은 그동안 수도권정책으로 인하여 기업입지 결정이나 공장규모결정에 영향을 많이 받았으며 가장 큰 규제정책은 수도권정비계획법상의 권역규제와 공장총량제인 것으로 조사된다. 현 정부의 수도권규제완화로 인하여 제조업용지 수요증가가 예상된다. 특히 수도권과 충청권을 중심으로 제조업용지 수요가 증가될 것이며 강원도는 수요감소가 전망된다. 이는 수도권지역이 우리나라 중에서 가장 교통 물류 조건과 시장조건이 양호한 지역이므로 이 지역에 대한 기업선호도가 높은 까닭이다. 그러나 독자적인 경제권을 형성하고 있는 동남권이나 대경권의 경우 수도권 정책변화로 인한 영향력이 적다. 수도권지역 경우도 전체 지역에서 수요가 증가하는 것이 아니라 성장관리권역에서의 수요증가가 예상된다.

• 대한간호학회지
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• 제51권6호
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• pp.703-719
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• 2021

Purpose: We aimed to identify collaborative disaster governance through the demand and supply analysis of resources recognized by nurses during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: We used a descriptive study design with an online survey technique for data collection. The survey questions were developed based on focus group interviews with nurses responding to COVID-19 and expert validity testing. A 42-question online survey focusing on disaster governance was sent to nurses working in COVID-19 designated hospitals, public health offices, and schools. A total of 630 nurses participated in the survey. Demand and supply analysis was used to identify the specific components of disaster governance during a pandemic situation and analyze priority areas in disaster governance, as reported by nurses. Results: Demand and supply analysis showed that supplies procurement, cooperation, education, and environment factors clustered in the high demand and supply quadrant while labor condition, advocacy, emotional support, and workload adjustment factors clustered in the high demand but low supply quadrant, indicating a strong need in those areas of disaster governance among nurses. The nurses practicing at the public health offices and schools showed major components of disaster governance plotted in the second quadrant, indicating weak collaborative disaster governance. Conclusion: These findings show that there is an unbalanced distribution among nurses, resulting in major challenges in collaborative disaster governance during COVID-19. In the future and current pandemic, collaborative disaster governance, through improved distribution, will be useful for helping nurses to access more required resources and achieve effective pandemic response.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.7-17
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• 2006

현재 교통수요예측 기법은 주로 외생적인 변수에 의해 추정된 종속적 차원의 수요만을 고려할 뿐 도로의 개선으로 인해 새롭게 유발/생성되는 수요(유발통행수요)는 충분히 고려되지 않고 있으며. 관련 연구도 국내에서는 아직 미미한 실정이다 본 연구는 이와 같은 유발통행수요 추정 앞서 필요한 연구로 도로의 개선과 집합적 개념의 유발통행수요와의 관련성을 검증하고 차후 유발통행수요 추정에 적용될 수 있는 현실적인 수요탄력성 원단위를 수도권의 각 지역과 통행목적별로 추정하는데 그 목적이 있다 이를 위해 2002년 서울시 가구통행실태조사 자료와 네트워크 자료를 이용하여 단위통행시간에 대한 수요탄력성 원단위를 지역별로 산출하였고 지역별로 산출된 수요탄력성은 서울시 -0.582, 인천시 -0.597, 경기도 -0.559로 1995년 NPTS 자료로 산출된 수요탄력성 $-0.3{\sim}-0.5$보다 조금 높게 나타났다 본 분석 결과를 통해 우리나라의 통행자가 미국 통행자보다 통행시간에 대해 더 탄력적이며 도로의 개선으로 인해 유발될 수 있는 수요가 더 많은 것으로 나타났다. 추가적으로 거시적 관점에서 교통관리방안과 교통정책을 고찰해 볼 수 있는 요일별/연령별 수요탄력성 원단위를 산출하여 그 의미에 대해서 살펴보았다.

• 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.11-18
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• 2019

There is a growing demand for public rental housing since housing price increased rapidly and socially vulnerable people need more stable housing. The purpose of this study is to investigate housing evaluation (satisfaction), moving plan, and residential service according to the type of the public rental housing and the characteristics of the resident, and to suggest the development direction for comprehensive housing services including the community level. Data used for analysis in this study are from 2016 Seoul panel survey of public rental housing residents. A total of 3009 questionnaire from public rental households were collected in 2016 Seoul panel survey. In order to investigate housing requirements, we analyzed household characteristics, housing satisfaction, moving plans, welfare services, residential activities and community facilities, social environment. In this study, the difference of residential satisfaction, moving plan, and residential service according to the type of the public rental housing and the characteristics of the resident is analyzed to identify their housing demands. As a result, there were differences in residential satisfaction, moving plan, and residential service depending on type of public rental housing and characteristics of residents. Residents in public rental housing modified from the multi-family housing after purchase showed lower residential satisfaction, and higher intention for moving plan compared to residents living in other type of public rental housing. In the residential service, residents in permanent lease type have higher experience of housing service as well as demand on housing service. Especially single household, elderly household, female household, or household with handicapped person indicated higher demand for housing services.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
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• 제30권6호
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• pp.130-136
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• 2016

대학이 산업수요 맞춤형 인재양성 교육체계를 갖추어 나가기 위해서는 수요자의 입장에서 교육과정을 분석하고 개선해 나갈 필요가 있다. 이러한 취지에서 본 논문은 화재위험성 예측평가분야 교육과정의 전공 적합도를 평가하기 위해 소방관련 산업체 종사자를 대상으로 수요조사를 하였으며 그 결과를 토대로 기술통계분석, 요인분석, 군집분석 그리고 일원분산분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과, 소방관련 산업체 종사자들은 화재위험성 예측평가 분야의 교육과정이 전공에 적합하다고 평가하였다. 그리고 화재위험성 예측평가분야의 교과목 중 전공기초과목과 전공공통과목의 필요성을 크게 인식하고 있었다. 이러한 분석결과는 향후 지속적으로 교육과정을 개선해 나가는데 기초자료로 활용할 계획이다.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제23권6호
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• pp.29-41
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• 2020

Wild pollinators provide important pollination services for crops. However, their geographical ranges and impact on pollination services have not been fully explored within the scope of Korean agricultural land. This study aims to identify spatial supply-demand mismatches across orchard fields in the context of assessing pollination service risk. We first used National Ecosystem Survey data and a species distribution model (MaxEnt) to develop the geographic range of each of 32 wild pollinators belonging to three families (Diptera, Hymenoptera, and Lepidoptera). We then summed the modeled presence probability of each species to obtain a measure of spatially explicit pollinator richness. This modeled richness, defined as pollination supply, was compared with the summed area of orchard fields at the municipal boundary level to identify areas with supply-demand mismatches. The study found that Lepidoptera showed the highest species richness (8.3±1.5), followed by Hymenoptera (4.3±0.8) and Diptera (3.5±0.8) species. Median orchard area was 1.5 ㎢ (range of 0-176.7 ㎢) among 250 municipal regions in South Korea. The municipal regions were divided into three categories (tertiles) of low, middle, and high pollination supply and demand according to, respectivley, average polliator richness and orhard area. Finally, we found that 55 municipal regions (accounting for 49% of national orchard land) potentially faced high risk of pollination deficits, 81 regions (48% of national orchard land) faced intermediate risk, and 63 regions faced low risk (3% of national orchard land). In conclusion, this study revealed significant mismatch between pollination supply and demand and developed risk assessment map will guide our future efforts on pollinator habitat conservation and monitoring to conserve crop pollination services.

• 농촌계획
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2019

This study conducted a survey on the recognition and demand such as recognition level, policy necessity, service demand and policy demand by supply types in order to provide the basic data for successful settlement of agro-healing services. According to the survey on awareness, 45.2% of respondents were aware of the healing farming, and 31.3% of respondents had experience in participating in the agro-healing services. 63.6% of respondents replied that they were experiencing reasons for participating in agro-healing services. Respondents who had no knowledge of agro-healing services responded that 76.7% of respondents said they would not participate. More than two-thirds of respondents in all types indicated that they needed agro-healing services. As a result of evaluating the maximum willingness to pay, there was a willingness to pay for farm work healing about 15,800 won, horticulture healing about 14,800 won, forest healing about 13,400 won, and animal assisted healing about 17,000 won. Improving accessibility and strengthening awareness were high priorities for inconveniences and improvements. 70.1% of the respondents said that policies for agro-healing services are needed. Development of agro-healing programs and contents was the first priority for support policy. The result of this study is expected to provide reference data that can be suggested for agro-healing policy establishment.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.332-341
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• 2019

Background: This study analyzes the effects of the individual's health behavior on the health and the medical demand for the management of health and medical expenses. Methods: This study uses the Korea Health Panel Survey data from 2010 to 2015. We utilize the panel ordered logit model and the panel Tobit model with the subjective health status and the medical expenses as the dependent variables. Results: Chronic diseases would cause the deterioration of his or her health and the increase in medical expenses. Smoking and drinking alcohol would deteriorate one's health. The total amount of cigarettes increases medical expenses. Exercises could make people healthier, whereas excessive exercise might increase medical expenses. Private health insurance would increase medical expenses. Conclusion: Since health could reduce the medical expenses, people should promote one's health by changing one's behavior for health.