• Title/Summary/Keyword: Temporal data modeling

Search Result 179, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

An Integrated Water Budget Analysis of Oedocheon Watershed in Jeju Island (제주 외도천 유역의 통합 물수지 분석)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Chung, Il-Moon;Na, Hanna
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.471-480
    • /
    • 2015
  • Hydrologic component analysis was conducted to investigate water budget characteristics the Oedocheon watershed, Jeju Island. For this purpose, integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model was applied to this watershed for continuous surface water-groundwater modeling. Pasture and forest-deciduous are the major land use types and these affect general hydrologic component ratio. The spatio-temporal groundwater recharge can be obtained from SWAT and then distributed groundwater recharge can be reproduced by MODFLOW. The groundwater level variation was simulated with distributed groundwater pumping data. The water budget in this watershed was compared with the previous estimated result by Jeju-Do(2013). As this result considered discharge to the coastal side, the discrepancy was found. However, it was found that the overall tendency of both analyses were similar.

A Coupled Three-Dimensional Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Modeling of Yongdam Reservoir using ELCOM-CAEDYM (ELCOM-CAEDYM을 이용한 용담호 3차원 수리-수질 연동 모델링)

  • Chung, Se Woong;Lee, Jung Hyun;Ryu, In Gu
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.27 no.4
    • /
    • pp.413-424
    • /
    • 2011
  • The study was aimed to evaluate the applicability of a three-dimensional (3D) hydrodynamic and water quality model, ELCOM-CAEDYM for Yongdam Reservoir, Korea. The model was applied for the simulations of hydrodynamics, thermal stratification processes, stream density flow propagation, and water quality parameters including dissolved oxygen, nutrients, organic materials, and algal biomass (chl-a) for the period of June to December, 2006. The field data observed at four monitoring stations (ST1~ST4) within the reservoir were used to validate the models performance. The model showed reasonable performance nevertheless low frequency boundary forcing data were provided, and well replicated the physical, chemical, and biological processes of the system. Simulated spatial and temporal variations of water temperature, nutrients, and chl-a concentrations were moderately consistent with the field observations. In particular, the model rationally reproduced the succession of different algal species; i.e., diatom dominant during spring and early summer, after then cyanobacteria dominant under warm and stratified conditions. ELCOM-CAEDYM is recommendable as a suitable coupled 3D hydrodynamic and water quality model that can be effectively used for the advanced water quality management of large stratified reservoirs in Korea.

Outlook for Temporal Variation of Trend Embedded in Extreme Rainfall Time Series (극치강우자료의 경향성에 대한 시간적 변동 전망)

  • Seo, Lynn;Choi, Min-Ha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.13-23
    • /
    • 2010
  • According to recent researches on climate change, the global warming is obvious to increase rainfall intensity. Damage caused by extreme hydrologic events due to global change is steadily getting bigger and bigger. Recently, frequently occurring heavy rainfalls surely affect the trend of rainfall observations. Probability precipitation estimation method used in designing and planning hydrological resources assumes that rainfall data is stationary. The stationary probability precipitation estimation method could be very weak to abnormal rainfalls occurred by climate change, because stationary probability precipitation estimation method cannot reflect increasing trend of rainfall intensity. This study analyzed temporal variation of trend in rainfall time series at 51 stations which are not significant for statistical trend tests. After modeling rainfall time series with maintaining observed statistical characteristics, this study also estimated whether rainfall data is significant for the statistical trend test in near future. It was found that 13 stations among sample stations will have trend within 10 years. The results indicate that non-stationary probability precipitation estimation method must be applied to sufficiently consider increase trend of rainfall.

Development of daily spatio-temporal downscaling model with conditional Copula based bias-correction of GloSea5 monthly ensemble forecasts (조건부 Copula 함수 기반의 월단위 GloSea5 앙상블 예측정보 편의보정 기법과 연계한 일단위 시공간적 상세화 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Kim, Min Ji;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1317-1328
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aims to provide a predictive model based on climate models for simulating continuous daily rainfall sequences by combining bias-correction and spatio-temporal downscaling approaches. For these purposes, this study proposes a combined modeling system by applying conditional Copula and Multisite Non-stationary Hidden Markov Model (MNHMM). The GloSea5 system releases the monthly rainfall prediction on the same day every week, however, there are noticeable differences in the updated prediction. It was confirmed that the monthly rainfall forecasts are effectively updated with the use of the Copula-based bias-correction approach. More specifically, the proposed bias-correction approach was validated for the period from 1991 to 2010 under the LOOCV scheme. Several rainfall statistics, such as rainfall amounts, consecutive rainfall frequency, consecutive zero rainfall frequency, and wet days, are well reproduced, which is expected to be highly effective as input data of the hydrological model. The difference in spatial coherence between the observed and simulated rainfall sequences over the entire weather stations was estimated in the range of -0.02~0.10, and the interdependence between rainfall stations in the watershed was effectively reproduced. Therefore, it is expected that the hydrological response of the watershed will be more realistically simulated when used as input data for the hydrological model.

Evaluation of Ensemble Approach for O3 and PM2.5 Simulation

  • Morino, Yu;Chatani, Satoru;Hayami, Hiroshi;Sasaki, Kansuke;Mori, Yasuaki;Morikawa, Tazuko;Ohara, Toshimasa;Hasegawa, Shuichi;Kobayashi, Shinji
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.4 no.3
    • /
    • pp.150-156
    • /
    • 2010
  • Inter-comparison of chemical transport models (CTMs) was conducted among four modeling research groups. Model performance of the ensemble approach to $O_3$ and $PM_{2.5}$ simulation was evaluated by using observational data with a time resolution of 1 or 6 hours at four sites in the Kanto area, Japan, in summer 2007. All groups applied the Community Multiscale Air Quality model. The ensemble average of the four CTMs reproduced well the temporal variation of $O_3$ (r=0.65-0.85) and the daily maximum $O_3$ concentration within a factor of 1.3. By contrast, it underestimated $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations by a factor of 1.4-2, and did not reproduce the $PM_{2.5}$ temporal variation at two suburban sites (r=~0.2). The ensemble average improved the simulation of ${SO_4}^{2-}$, ${NO_3}^-$, and ${NH_4}^+$, whose production pathways are well known. In particular, the ensemble approach effectively simulated ${NO_3}^-$, despite the large variability among CTMs (up to a factor of 10). However, the ensemble average did not improve the simulation of organic aerosols (OAs), underestimating their concentrations by a factor of 5. The contribution of OAs to $PM_{2.5}$ (36-39%) was large, so improvement of the OA simulation model is essential to improve the $PM_{2.5}$ simulation.

Primitive Body Model Encoding and Selective / Asynchronous Input-Parallel State Machine for Body Gesture Recognition (바디 제스처 인식을 위한 기초적 신체 모델 인코딩과 선택적 / 비동시적 입력을 갖는 병렬 상태 기계)

  • Kim, Juchang;Park, Jeong-Woo;Kim, Woo-Hyun;Lee, Won-Hyong;Chung, Myung-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-7
    • /
    • 2013
  • Body gesture Recognition has been one of the interested research field for Human-Robot Interaction(HRI). Most of the conventional body gesture recognition algorithms used Hidden Markov Model(HMM) for modeling gestures which have spatio-temporal variabilities. However, HMM-based algorithms have difficulties excluding meaningless gestures. Besides, it is necessary for conventional body gesture recognition algorithms to perform gesture segmentation first, then sends the extracted gesture to the HMM for gesture recognition. This separated system causes time delay between two continuing gestures to be recognized, and it makes the system inappropriate for continuous gesture recognition. To overcome these two limitations, this paper suggests primitive body model encoding, which performs spatio/temporal quantization of motions from human body model and encodes them into predefined primitive codes for each link of a body model, and Selective/Asynchronous Input-Parallel State machine(SAI-PSM) for multiple-simultaneous gesture recognition. The experimental results showed that the proposed gesture recognition system using primitive body model encoding and SAI-PSM can exclude meaningless gestures well from the continuous body model data, while performing multiple-simultaneous gesture recognition without losing recognition rates compared to the previous HMM-based work.

A Regional Trip Modes Classification Methodology Using Mobile Phone Data (모바일 데이터를 활용한 지역간 수단통행 분류 방법론 개발)

  • Kyuhyuk Kim;Hyorim Han;Dongho Kim;Tai jin Song
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.77-93
    • /
    • 2024
  • The recent development of data collection technology, which conveys various travel data in real-world such as mobile data and probe vehicle data, facilitates transportation planners identifying specified spatio-temporal travel patterns. In this study, an easily implementable travel mode classification methodology was proposed to classify inter-regional trip-modes without modeling by superimposing trajectories generated from mobile phone signaling and transportation infrastructure points into a polygon scale of a shapefile in a GIS system. Each regional mode trip was classified according to the rules such as the presence of transportation infrastructure in the trip trajectory, travel time, and the presence of access trips. An accuracy test generates Type I and Type II error results table to verify the proposed methodology. As a result, it was found that the methodology developed showed the F1-Score of the air mode 1.00, rail mode 0.95, bus mode 0.73.

Analysis of the Effect of Differences in Spatial Resolution of Land-use/cover Data on the Simulation of CALPUFF (토지피복 자료의 해상도 차이가 CALPUFF 농도 모의에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Hwang, Suyeon;Ham, Jungsoo;Lee, Youngjin;Choi, Jinmu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.37 no.5_3
    • /
    • pp.1461-1473
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to ascertain how the level of resolution of land cover data affects on the local distribution and diffusion of fine dust. the CALPUFF model, which considers the spatio-temporal terrain conditions and changes in weather conditions, was used to estimate PM10 concentration in the Pyeongchon, Anyang-si, Gyeonggi-do. Three different resolutions of land cover data including 20 m, 50 m, and 100 m were compared as the input of the modeling. Using higher resolution land cover data (20 m), the wind speed of the simulated region was the largest and the PM10 concentration was the lowest. Through this study, we confirm that the resolution level of land-use/cover data can affect the local distribution and diffusion of fine dust, which can be detected by CALPUFF. Therefore, when using CALPUFF to simulate fine dust in the future, it can be suggested that checking the impact on spatial resolution according to the form of land cover in advance and proceeding with the simulation can achieve mote accurate results.

Comparison of reference evapotranspiration estimation methods with limited data in South Korea

  • Jeon, Min-Gi;Nam, Won-Ho;Hong, Eun-Mi;Hwang, Seonah;Ok, Junghun;Cho, Heerae;Han, Kyung-Hwa;Jung, Kang-Ho;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Hong, Suk-Young
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.46 no.1
    • /
    • pp.137-149
    • /
    • 2019
  • Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (RET) is important to quantify crop evapotranspiration for sustainable water resource management in hydrological, agricultural, and environmental fields. It is estimated by different methods from direct measurements with lysimeters, or by many empirical equations suggested by numerous modeling using local climatic variables. The potential to use some such equations depends on the availability of the necessary meteorological parameters for calculating the RET in specific climatic conditions. The objective of this study was to determine the proper RET equations using limited climatic data and to analyze the temporal and spatial trends of the RET in South Korea. We evaluated the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation (FAO-56 PM) by comparing several simple RET equations and observed small fan evaporation. In this study, the modified Penman equation, Hargreaves equation, and FAO Penman-Monteith equation with missing solar radiation (PM-Rs) data were tested to estimate the RET. Nine weather stations were considered with limited climatic data across South Korea from 1973 - 2017, and the RET equations were calculated for each weather station as well as the analysis of the mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The FAO-56 PM recommended by the Food Agriculture Organization (FAO) showed good performance even though missing solar radiation, relative humidity, and wind speed data and could still be adapted to the limited data conditions. As a result, the RET was increased, and the evapotranspiration rate was increased more in coastal areas than inland.

Estimation on the Radius of Maximum Wind Speed using RSMC Best Track Data (RSMC 최적경로 자료를 이용한 태풍의 최대풍속반경 산정)

  • Ko, Dong Hui;Jeong, Shin Taek;Cho, Hongyeon;Jun, Ki Cheon;Kim, Yoon Chil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.291-300
    • /
    • 2013
  • Typhoon simulation method is widely used to estimate sea surface wind speeds during the typhoon periods. Holland (1980) model has been regarded to provide relatively better results for observed wind data. JTWC or RSMC best track data are available for typhoon modeling, but these data show slightly different because the data generation process are different. In this paper, a Newton-Raphson method is used to solve the two nonlinear equations based on the Holland model that is formed by the two typhoon parameters, i.e. the longest radius of 25 m/s and 15 m/s wind speeds, respectively. The solution is the radius of maximum wind speed which is of importance for typhoon modeling. This method is based on the typhoon wind profile of JMA and it shows that Holland model appears to fit better the characteristics of typhoons on the temporal and spatial changes than that of the other models. In case of using RSMC best track data, the method suggested in this study shows better and more reasonable results for the estimation of radius of maximum wind speed because the consistency of the input data is assured.