• 대한전기학회논문지
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• 제32권5호
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• pp.183-188
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• 1983

This paper deals with short-term load forecasting. The load model is represented by the state variable form to exploit the Kalman filter technique. The load model is derived from Taylor series expansion and remainder term is considered as noise term. In order to solve recursive filter form, among various algorithm of solving Kalman filter, this paper uses exponential data weighting technique. This paper also deals with the asymptotic stability of filter. Case studies are carried out for the hourly power demand forecasting of the Korea electrical system.

• 한국강구조학회 논문집
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.289-299
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• 2012

본 연구의 목적은 비선형 불연속 시스템인 공간 트러스에 멀티스텝 테일러 해법을 적용하는 것과 비선형 동적 응답 및 불안정 특성을 분석하는 것이다. 해석적 접근에 기초한 보다 정밀한 해는 공간 구조물의 역 문제나 또는 불안정 문제를 다루는데 매우 필요하며, 이는 지배방정식의 비선형성에 기인한다. 따라서 기하학적 비선형을 고려하여 지배 운동 방정식을 유도하였으며, 테일러 해법을 이용하여 정밀한 해석적 해를 구하였다. 해석 방법의 정밀도 검증을 위해서 단일자유도 모델을 채택하였으며, 테일러 해법을 이용한 결과를 4차 룬게-쿠타 법과 비교하였다. 또한, 스텝 하중을 받는 모델의 동적 불안정과 좌굴 특성을 고찰하였다. 두 해석 방법의 비교 결과는 매우 잘 일치하였고, 동적 응답과 위상공간에서의 끌개는 스텝하중 아래에서의 동적 좌굴 현상과, 모델에 감쇠가 미치는 영향을 잘 설명할 수 있음을 보여주었다. 해석결과에서 비감쇠 시스템과 감쇠 시스템의 동적 좌굴 하중 레벨은 각각 정적 좌굴 하중 레벨의 약 77%와 83%의 범위로 나타났다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제27권7호
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• pp.1257-1268
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• 2014

KTX에 등장에 따라 국내 여객시장은 KTX 시장을 중심으로 변화가 이루어졌다. 이에 따라 KTX 이용 여객의 수요예측은 열차 운영에 있어서 매우 중대한 사안이다. 본 논문에서는 여러 시계열 모형의 비교를 통해 KTX 이용 여객의 수요와 연관이 있는 요일과 공휴일, 명절을 어떠한 형태로 고려할 것인지 연구하였다. 모형 간 예측력을 비교하기 위하여 Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPE)를 사용하였으며, 1달간의 단기간 예측에 있어서 변동성을 고려해줄 수 있는 Reg-AR-GARCH 모형이 우수한 예측력을 나타냈으며, 1달을 초과한 기간의 예측에서는 Reg-ARMA 모형이 우수한 예측력을 나타냈다.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.53-76
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• 2020

The synchronous phasor measurement algorithm is the core content of the phasor measurement unit. This manuscript proposes a dynamic synchronous phasor measurement algorithm based on compressed sensing theory. First, a dynamic signal model based on the Taylor series was established. The dynamic power signal was preprocessed using a least mean square error adaptive filter to eliminate interference from noise and harmonic components. A Chirplet overcomplete dictionary was then designed to realize a sparse representation. A reduction of the signal dimension was next achieved using a Gaussian observation matrix. Finally, the improved orthogonal matching pursuit algorithm was used to realize the sparse decomposition of the signal to be detected, the amplitude and phase of the original power signal were estimated according to the best matching atomic parameters, and the total vector error index was used for an error evaluation. Chroma 61511 was used for the output of various signals, the simulation results of which show that the proposed algorithm cannot only effectively filter out interference signals, it also achieves a better dynamic response performance and stability compared with a traditional DFT algorithm and the improved DFT synchronous phasor measurement algorithm, and the phasor measurement accuracy of the signal is greatly improved. In practical applications, the hardware costs of the system can be further reduced.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.8-16
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• 2006

This paper discusses design sensitivity analysis and its application to a structural dynamics modification. Eigenvalue derivatives are determined with respect to the element parameters, which include intrinsic property parameters such as Young's modulus, density of the material, diameter of a beam element, thickness of a plate element, and shape parameters. Derivatives of stiffness and mass matrices are directly calculated by derivatives of element matrices. The first and the second order derivatives of the eigenvalues are then mathematically derived from a dynamic equation of motion of FEM model. The calculation of the second order eigenvalue derivative requires the sensitivity of its corresponding eigenvector, which are developed by Nelson's direct approach. The modified eigenvalue of the structure is then evaluated by the Taylor series expansion with the first and the second derivatives of eigenvalue. Numerical examples for simple beam and plate are presented. First, eigenvalues of the structural system are numerically calculated. Second, the sensitivities of eigenvalues are then evaluated with respect to the element intrinsic parameters. The most effective parameter is determined by comparing sensitivities. Finally, we predict the modified eigenvalue by Taylor series expansion with the derivatives of eigenvalue for single parameter or multi parameters. The examples illustrate the effectiveness of the eigenvalue sensitivity analysis for the optimization of the structures.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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• pp.566-570
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• 2005

A digital controller for nonlinear time-delay system is proposed in this paper. A nonlinear time-delay system is discretized by using Taylor's discretization method. And the discretized system can be converted to a general nonlinear system. For this reason, general nonlinear controller synthesis can be applied to the discretized time-delay system. We adopted MAC controller synthesis for this study. Computer simulations are conducted to verify the performance of the proposed method. The results of simulation show good performance of the proposed controller synthesis and the proposed method is useful to control nonlinear time-delay system easily.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.377-384
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• 2007

This paper studies on the relation between linearization methods and controller gains in the looper ILQ(lnverse Linear Quadratic optimal control) system for hot strip finishing mills. Firstly, two linear models arc respectively derived by a linearization method using Taylor's series expansion and a static state feedback linearization method, respectively, and the linear models are compared with the nonlinear model. Secondly, the looper servo controllers are respectively designed on the basis of two linearization models. Finally, the relation between the performances of two ILQ servo controllers and the linearization methods, and the structures and control gains of two controllers are evaluated by a computer simulation.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1995년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automation Control Conference, 10th (KACC); Seoul, Korea; 23-25 Oct. 1995
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• pp.259-262
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• 1995

In this paper, a model of an asymptotically reliable serial production line with quailty control devices is introduced and analyzed. By an asymptotic technique and Taylor series expansion, its average production rate is approximated in a closed form. The results are applied to a case study of a surface mount system.

• 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전자공학회 2001년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집(1)
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• pp.77-80
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• 2001

In this paper, it is analyzed the statistical characteristics on the transmission performance of the optical SCM transmission in the CDMA RF signal relay system. Using Mach-Zehnder modulator, optical signal is regenerated into CDMA RF signal. Transfer function model of mach-Zehnder modulator is approximated to the third power of the input signal using Taylor series. BER results are analyzed under the multiple access interference and multi-path fading environment.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
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• pp.139.3-139
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• 2001

The free-model concept is introduced as an alternative intelligent system technique to design a controller with input and output data only. The idea of free model comes from the Taylor series approximation, where an output can be estimated when such data as position, velocity, and acceleration are known. The parameters in the free model can be estimated using the input-output data and a controller can be designed based on the free model. The free model thus developed is shown to be controllable, observable, and robust. The accuracy of the free-model approximation can be improved by increasing the observation window and the order of the free model. The LQR method is applied to the free model to design power system stabilizers ...