• 제목/요약/키워드: Survival Analysis

검색결과 3,379건 처리시간 0.034초

비재무정보를 이용한 사회적기업의 생존에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on Factors Affecting the Survival of Social Enterprises Using Non-Financial Information)

  • 김혁;이동명;남기정
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구의 목적은 신용보증기관에서 신용보증을 이용한 사회적기업의 비재무정보를 사용하여 생존율과 생존시간을 추정하고 생존시간에 영향을 주는 요인들을 검증하여 이해관계자에게 정보를 제공하고 생존율을 향상시켜 기업의 고용을 유지·확대하여 사회·경제적 비용을 감소시키는데 기여하고자 한다. 연구방법은 비모수적 분석방법인 카플란마이어 분석법(Kaplan-Meier Analysis)으로 생존분석을 실시하였다. 연구대상 기업은 2009년부터 2018년 사이에 설립된 621개(정상기업 577개, 부실기업 44개) 기업을 표본으로 선정하였다. 사회적기업의 대표자정보와 기업정보로 구분하여 생존시간에 영향을 주는 요인들을 검증한 결과 대표자 신용등급, 대표자 주택보유여부, 여신거래기간, 기업 신용등급이 생존시간에 영향을 주는 유의미한 변수로 도출되었다. 향후 금융기관들은 사회적기업 대출심사시 생존에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 반영하여 기업의 건전성을 유인하고, 고용유지와 사회적비용 감소에 기여할 수 있을 것이다. 정부나 민간단체 등 지원기관들은 사회적기업의 성장과 지속가능성을 위한 정책수립, 교육훈련 등에도 다양하게 활용이 가능할 것이다. 본 연구를 계기로 사회적기업의 성과와 더불어 기업의 부실과 관련하여 영향을 미치는 요인들에 대하여 더욱 관심을 갖고 연구가 지속되길 바란다.

Clinical Prognostic Factors and Survival Outcome in Renal Cell Carcinoma Patients - A Malaysian Single Centre Perspective

  • Yap, Ning Yi;Ng, Keng Lim;Ong, Teng Aik;Pailoor, Jayalakshmi;Gobe, Glenda Carolyn;Ooi, Chong Chien;Razack, Azed Hassan;Dublin, Norman;Morais, Christudas;Rajandram, Retnagowri
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권12호
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    • pp.7497-7500
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    • 2013
  • Background: This study concerns clinical characteristics and survival of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients in University Malaya Medical Centre (UMMC), as well as the prognostic significance of presenting symptoms. Materials and Methods: The clinical characteristics, presenting symptoms and survival of RCC patients (n=151) treated at UMMC from 2003-2012 were analysed. Symptoms evaluated were macrohaematuria, flank pain, palpable abdominal mass, fever, lethargy, loss of weight, anaemia, elevated ALP, hypoalbuminemia and thrombocytosis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the prognostic significance of these presenting symptoms. Kaplan Meier and log rank tests were employed for survival analysis. Results: The 2002 TNM staging was a prognostic factor (p<0.001) but Fuhrman grading was not significantly correlated with survival (p=0.088). At presentation, 76.8% of the patients were symptomatic. Generally, symptomatic tumours had a worse survival prognosis compared to asymptomatic cases (p=0.009; HR 4.74). All symptoms significantly affect disease specific survival except frank haematuria and loin pain on univariate Cox regression analysis. On multivariate analysis adjusted for stage, only clinically palpable abdominal mass remained statistically significant (p=0.027). The mean tumour size of palpable abdominal masses, $9.5{\pm}4.3cm$, was larger than non palpable masses, $5.3{\pm}2.7cm$ (p<0.001). Conclusions: This is the first report which includes survival information of RCC patients from Malaysia. Here the TNM stage and a palpable abdominal mass were independent predictors for survival. Further investigations using a multicentre cohort to analyse mortality and survival rates may aid in improving management of these patients.

생존분석기법을 이용한 건설업과 타 업종간의 부도율 비교 분석 (A default-rate comparison of the construction and other industries using survival analysis method)

  • 박진경;오광호;김민수
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.747-756
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    • 2010
  • 최근의 전 세계적인 경기 침체에 따라 산업계 전반에 관한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 신용보증기금에 등록된 중소기업들의 자료에 대하여 생존 분석을 이용하여 생존율을 추정하였다. 또한 중소기업의 자산규모와 업종에 따라 건설업과 타 업종으로 구분하여 생존율에 관한 동향을 비교분석하였다. 이때 생존율은 생명표에 의해 구하였으며, 업종별 생존율의 차이는 로그순위 검정과 윌콕슨의 검정통계량을 사용하여 분석하였다. 실험 결과 중소기업의 자산규모가 10억 이상이 가장 높았으며, 1억 미만, 1억에서 10억 미만은 비슷한 생존율을 보였다. 업종별로는 도소매업과 서비스업이 경공업과 중공업, 건설업에 비하여 생존율이 높았으며 건설업의 경우 생존율이 가장 낮음을 알 수 있었다. 또한 대부분의 중소기업들은 시간이 지날수록 위험률이 상승하는 추세를 보였다.

제한된 평균 생존시간을 이용한 위암 3기 자료 분석에 관한 연구 (Analysis of stage III stomach cancer using the restricted mean survival time)

  • 김빛나;이민정
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.255-266
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 미국 국립암연구소의 SEER 프로그램에서 제공하는 위암 3기 자료에 대해 항암치료의 효과를 비교하고 위암 생존율에 유의한 영향을 미치는 요인을 알아보고자 한다. 본 연구에서 분석한 위암 3기 자료는 비례위험 가정이 성립하지 않아 대안으로 제한된 평균 생존시간을 이용한 분석 방법을 자료 분석에 적용하였다. 의사-관측들을 이용하여 제한된 평균 생존시간을 추정하였고, 제한된 평균 생존시간 추정량에 기반한 검정통계량을 이용하여 항암치료의 효과를 파악하였다. 일반화 선형모형을 이용한 회귀모형을 통해 위암 3기 환자의 평균 생존시간에 유의한 영향을 미치는 공변량들의 효과를 추정하였다. 항암치료법에 따라 위암 3기 환자의 평균 생존시간에 유의한 차이가 있음을 확인하였고, 진단연령, 인종, 세분화병기, 분화도, 종양의 크기, 수술여부, 항암치료가 위암 3기 환자의 평균 생존시간에 유의한 영향을 미치는 요인들이였으며, 그 중 수술여부가 위암 3기 환자의 평균 생존시간을 늘리는데 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 요인임을 확인하였다.

Endometrial Adenocarcinoma: Clinicopathologic and Survival Characteristics in Yazd, Iran

  • Binesh, Fariba;Akhavan, Ali;Behniafard, Nasim;Jalilian, Samaneh
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.2797-2801
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    • 2014
  • Background: Endometrial adenocarcinoma is the most common gynecological cancer in the Western world and its incidence appears to be rising. However, population-based studies on endometrial cancer providing survival estimates by age, histology, and stage in Asia have been sparse. The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinicopathological data and survival for patients with endometrial adenocarcinoma treated at three institutions in Yazd, Iran. Materials and Methods: Medical and anatomicopathological records at the Department of Pathology and Radiotherapy of the Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences and Madar private hospital, between 2005 and 2012 were reviewed. All cases of endometrial adenocarcinoma were included. The Kaplan-Maier method was used for survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards model for multiple regression analysis. Results: The study included 84 patients. Stages I, II, III, and IV were identified in 65.4%, 21.5%, 11.9% and 1.2%, respectively. Disease-free survival rate was $73.9{\pm}3.77$ months (95% confidence interval, 64.51-83.22 months) and relapse occurred in 12.3% of the patients. The overall survival rate was $78.2{\pm}3.65$ months (95% confidence interval, 71.0-85.3 months). A multivariate analysis revealed that stage and grade were associated with overall survival. Conclusions: In this survival analysis of patients with endometrial cancer, we found that the prognosis of endometrial cancer was fair but strongly varied by stage and grade, and moderately varied by histology and age.

연부 육종의 예후 인자 - 205례 분석 - (Prognostic Factors of Soft Tissue Sarcomas - analysis of 205 cases -)

  • 이종석;전대근;이수용;김석준;정동환;박현수
    • 대한골관절종양학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 1997
  • Twenty hundred and five out of 266 patients who were registered in Korea Cancer Center Hospital from Mar. 1985 to Jan. 1994, were analyzed in the aspect of survival and local recurrence. Fifty one patients were excluded due to inadequate data and follow up. Prognostic factors for survival were evaluated statistically. One hundred and four cases were male, 101 female. Average age was 39.7(range 1 to 77) year with a peak incidence around 4th decade. The most frequent diagnosis was malignant fibrous histiocytoma(MFH)(24.1%). Liposarcoma, synovial sarcoma, rhabdomyosarcoma, malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor and fibrosarcoma were relatively common diagnostic entities, in decreasing order. In location, extremity was 179(87.3%) and trunk 26(12.7%). Average follow up period was 7.5 years(6 months to 10 years). Actuarial 5 years and 10 years survival rate were 64.0% and 40.8% respectively. In univariate analysis with log-lank test, significant differences in survival rate were noted in histopathological diagnosis, size(10 cm), stage and metastasis. Age, sex, tumor location, tumor depth and local recurrence didn't affect the survival rate. Adjuvant chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy did not affect overall survival rate, but lowered the local recurrence rate when compared with surgery only. Surgical margin did not affect the survival rate, but local recurrence rate was different according to each margin; 5.7% in more than wide; 39.5% in marginal; and 60.0% in intralesional excision. In multivariate analysis for results of univariate analysis with Cox's propotional model, metastasis was a meaningful factor for survival of soft tissue sarcoma.

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Exploring the Impact of Live Commercial Anchors on Business Performance and Survival Strategy: Focusing on Resource Configuration and Environmental Choice

  • ZHANG, Li-Jie;HUANG, Fei
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - Through the analysis and research of different characteristics and related mechanisms of live commerce anchors, this paper aimed to help live commerce anchors to strengthen their characteristic advantages, beautify the live broadcast environment, improve resource allocation and enhance business performance, so as to help live commerce anchors to achieve better high-quality development. Research design, data, and methodology - This study was conducted by sample survey method on 361 live commercial anchors who have experience in using major online shopping malls for more than one year. Data analysis methods were frequency analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, reliability analysis, correlation analysis, and structural equation model analysis. Result - Hypothesis 1 through Hypothesis 5 were all supported. The results of this study suggest that professionalism and mutual entertainment of live commercial anchors have a significant impact on business performance, survival strategy, resource allocation and environment selection. The resource allocation and environment selection of live commercial anchors play a mediating role in the professionalism and mutual entertainment of live commercial anchors on business performance and survival strategy. Conclusion -The results implied that the professionalism and inter entertainment of live commercial anchors have a positive impact on business performance and survival strategy. In the new situation, live commercial anchors should further improve their professionalism and mutual entertainment, so as to achieve better development.

The Impact of Government Innovation Subsidies on the Survival of SMEs in Korea

  • Kim, Sangsin
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.55-76
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the effect of the government R&D subsidy program on long-term firm survival. In order to estimate the average treatment effect for the treated group, we used the survival analysis and matching method by constituting a comprehensive dataset of more than 90,000 observations. The analysis results show that the government R&D subsidy has a negative impact on long-term firm survival. In particular, not only the subsidy does not have a statistically significant effect on firm survival in the relatively short-term, the survival probability of the subsidized firms is statistically significantly lower than the non-subsidized firms after six years. These results can be seen as weakening the justification of government R&D support. There may be problems in the subsidy policy itself and the process of selection of subsidy awardees; however, the more fundamental problem is that the subsidy policy is concluded as the one-time event. Admittedly, it would be difficult for the government to precisely manage the subsidized projects over a long term period. However, in the case of a project in which short-term performance is detected, it would be necessary to provide a step-by-step support to strengthen the firm's competitiveness through further support and continuous development of performance. Of course, mid- and long-term evaluations of subsidy support policy should be performed in parallel with such phased support.

Survival analysis of spinal muscular atrophy type I

  • Park, Hyun-Bin;Lee, Soon-Min;Lee, Jin-Sung;Park, Min-Soo;Park, Kook-In;NamGung, Ran;Lee, Chul
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제53권11호
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    • pp.965-970
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The life expectancy of patients with spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) type I is generally considered to be less than 2 years. Recently, with the introduction of proactive treatments, a longer survival and an improved survival rate have been reported. In this study, we analyzed the natural courses and survival statistics of SMA type I patients and compared the clinical characteristics of the patients based on their survival periods. Methods: We reviewed the medical records of 14 pediatric patients diagnosed with SMA type I during a 9-year period. We examined the demographic and clinical characteristics of these patients, calculated their survival probabilities, and plotted survival curves as on the censoring date, January 1, 2010. We also compared the characteristics of the patients who died before the age of 24 months (early-death, ED group) and those who survived for 24 months or longer (long-survival, LS group). Results: The mean survival time was $22.8{\pm}2.0$ months. The survival probabilities at 6 months, 12 months, 18 months, 24 months, and 30 months were 92.9%, 92.9%, 76.0%, 76.0%, and 65.1%, respectively. Birth weight was the only factor that showed a statistically significant difference between the ED and LS groups ($P$=0.048). Conclusion: In this study, the survival probabilities at 2 years were far greater than expected. Because of the limited number of patients and information in this study, the contribution of improved supportive care on longer survival could not be clarified; this may be elucidated in larger cohort studies.

기업의 생존과 도산에 영향을 미치는 재무요인에 대한 실증분석 : 우리나라 외환위기 전.후 비교 (The Comparative Analysis of Financial Factors that influence on Corporate's Survival and Bankruptcy : Before and After Foreign Exchange Crisis in Korea)

  • 배영임;송성환;홍순기;유성윤
    • 산업공학
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.385-393
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    • 2008
  • Corporate's survival or bankruptcy has been determined by interaction of macroeconomic environment, industrial dynamic environment and internal process of corporate. This study attempts to examine financial factors' differences that have influence on corporate's survival or bankruptcy before and after foreign exchange crisis in Korea. The first previous empirical study that researched the cause of corporate's survival or bankruptcy in the financial ratios was attempted by Altman in 1968. Recently various survival analysis models have been published. In this paper, Multiple Discriminant Analysis model is used. We divide analytical periods into before and after foreign exchange crisis and sample randomly survival or bankruptcy firms for each period. Independent variables are financial ratios which represent growth, profitability, activity, liquidity and productivity. In conclusion, this paper examines hypothesis as "There are differences of significant financial factors before and after foreign exchange crisis."