• 대기
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.241-253
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• 2007

This paper investigates summer precipitation change in East Asia according to switching surface boundary condition over South Korea and Shantung. Simulations are carried out by ECHO-G/S for 20 years (1980-1999). Surface condition over both areas in ECHO-G/S is represented by ocean (OCN experiment). In OCN experiment, the summer precipitation is considerably underestimated around the Korean peninsula (the dry region) and overestimated over the eastern Tibetan Plateau (the wet region). It may be related that the lack of the heat sources from the unrealistically prescribed land-sea mask weakens northward expansion of rainband and the development of convective precipitation. Moreover the simulated rainband retreats before June in connection with the early genesis of summer monsoon circulation. The systematic bias of the summer precipitation over the dry and wet regions are reduced comparing with the OCN experiment when the land-sea masks over South Korea and Shantung are realistically considered as land (LND experiment). These improvements can be explained by the thermodynamical dissimilarity between land and ocean. Enhanced warming by switching the areas from sea to land has led to develop the thermal low over Yellow Sea with the cyclonic circulation. Thus, this cyclonic circulation supports moistures from the south to the dry region and blocks to the wet region. The heat transport from the land surface to atmosphere plays a key role in the developing convective precipitation in local scale and maintaining the precipitation and the rainband. Therefore, this results indicate that the design of the realistic land-sea distribution is required for the accurate simulation of the regional precipitation.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.185-195
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• 2023

The prolonged and heavy East Asian summer precipitation in 2020 may have been caused by an enhanced Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), which requires evaluation using forecast models. We examined the performance of GloSea6, an operational forecast model, in predicting the East Asian summer precipitation during July 2020, and investigated the role of MJO in the extreme rainfall event. Two experiments, CON and EXP, were conducted using different convection schemes, 6A and 5A, respectively to simulate various aspects of MJO. The EXP runs yielded stronger forecasts of East Asian precipitation for July 2020 than the CON runs, probably due to the prominent MJO realization in the former experiment. The stronger MJO created stronger moist southerly winds associated with the western North Pacific subtropical high, which led to increased precipitation. The strengthening of the MJO was found to improve the prediction accuracy of East Asian summer precipitation. However, it is important to note that this study does not discuss the impact of changes in the convection scheme on the modulation of MJO. Further research is needed to understand other factors that could strengthen the MJO and improve the forecast.

• 한국대기환경학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국대기환경학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.73-74
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• 2002

Active upwelling air motion in every summer over the Tibetan plateau is an essential process controlling activities of asian summer monsoon which affects water cycle and precipitation in eastern Asia. Large heating rate of surface air on the high plateau with average height of 4000m is considered to cause such large scale upwelling over the plateau. (omitted)

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.465-474
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• 2009

Convective/stratiform radar echo classification schemes by Steiner et al. (1995) and Biggerstaff and Listemaa (2000) are examined on a monsoonal front during the summer monsoon-Changma period, which is organized as a cloud cluster with mesoscale convective complex. Target radar is S-band with wavelength of 10cm, spatial resolution of 1km, elevation angle interval of 0.5-1.0 degree, and minimum elevation angle of 0.19 degree at Jindo over the Korean Peninsula. For verification of rainfall amount retrieved from the echo classification, ground-based rain gauge observations (Automatic Weather Stations) are examined, converting the radar echo grid data to the station values using the inverse distance weighted method. Improvement from the echo classification is evaluated based on the correlation coefficient and the scattered diagram. Additionally, an optimal use method was designed to produce combined rainfalls from the radar echo and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Precipitation Radar (TRMM/PR) data. Optimal values for the radar rain and TRMM/PR rain are inversely weighted according to the error variance statistics for each single station. It is noted how the rainfall distribution during the summer monsoon frontal system is improved from the classification of convective/stratiform echo and the use of the optimal use technique.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.29-43
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• 2001

본 논문에서는 제주도의 기후 자료와 문헌 자료, 현지 답사 자료를 분석하여, 기후 특성과 관련된 제주도의 민가 특성을 파악하고자 하였다. 여름철의 강수와 습도는 한라산 남쪽의 민가에, 겨울철의 바람은 한라산의 북쪽 민가에 영향을 미쳤다. 축굽은 강수와 관련이 있으며 제주도 전역에 분포한다. 재창문은 여름철 습도가 높은 한라산의 남쪽에 분포한다. 겹집 구조와 낮은 처마, 완만한 경사의 지붕, 돌담 등은 제주도 전역에 분포하며, 강한 바람과 관련 있다. 겨울 계절풍이 강한 한라산 북쪽에는 이중문이 보편적이며, 북쪽 해안지역에서는 이문간이 추가된다. 외벽, 풍채, ㄱ랑채 등은 강한 바람과 동시에 많은 강수에 대비한 것이다. ㄱ랑채는 한라산 북쪽 전지역과 한라산의 남동쪽에 분포한다. 한라산 남쪽의 민가가 한라산 북쪽의 것보다 개방적이다. 한라산 북쪽의 민가는 이문간의 유무에 의해 해안형과 중산간형으로 구분할 수 있으며, 한라산 남쪽에서는 ㄱ랑채 시설의 빈도에 의해 동부형과 서부형으로 구분된다.

• 대기
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.293-309
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• 2020

There are lots of indices that define the intensity of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) in climate systems. This paper assesses the prediction skill for EASM indices in a Global Seasonal Forecasting System (GloSea5) that is currently operating at KMA. Total 5 different types of EASM indices (WNPMI, EAMI, WYI, GUOI, and SAHI) are selected to investigate how well GloSea5 reproduces them using hindcasts with 12 ensemble members with 1~3 lead months. Each index from GloSea5 is compared to that from ERA-Interim. Hindcast results for the period 1991~2010 show the highest prediction skill for WNPMI which is defined as the difference between the zonal winds at 850 hPa over East China Sea and South China Sea. WYI, defined as the difference between the zonal winds of upper and lower level over the Indian Ocean far from East Asia, is comparatively well captured by GloSea5. Though the prediction skill for EAMI which is defined by using meridional winds over areas of East Asia and Korea directly affected by EASM is comparatively low, it seems that EAMI is useful for predicting the variability of precipitation by EASM over East Asia. The regressed atmospheric fields with EASM index and the correlation with precipitation also show that GloSea5 best predicts the synoptic environment of East Asia for WNPMI among 5 EASM indices. Note that the result in this study is limited to interpret only for GloSea5 since the prediction skill for EASM index depends greatly on climate forecast model systems.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.1151-1159
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• 2014

본 연구에서는 대표적인 전지구 온도지표인 LOC/MTG 온도인자를 이용하여 기후변동성(Climate Variability)을 파악하고 관측수문량의 상대적 변화분석을 위한 특성자료로 활용하였다. 여기서, LOC (Land-Ocean Contrast)는 중위도 지역에서 대륙과 해양의 온도의 차이를 나타내는 지수이며, 고위도 및 아열대 지역의 남북간 기온의 차이는 MTG (Meridional Temperature Gradient)로 정의된다. LOC/MTG 두 패턴의 남북 또는 동서 지점의 변화는 동아시아 지역에서의 대기순환패턴의 변화와 그와 관련된 대기수분이송에 직간접적인 영향인자로서 작용될 수 있다. 또한, 여름철 동아시아의 수문기상의 변화는 식수, 관개용수, 수력발전 및 수산산업과 연관성이 매우 크며, 인간과 자연의 상호관계를 유지하기 위한 지속가능한 수자원의 공급에 중요한 결정요소이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 한강유역을 대상으로 6월에서 9월 사이에 발생한 여름철 강우 중에서 태풍에 의해 유발된 강우를 제외하고 몬순기후에 의한 한반도 유역의 지역적 강우 특성을 분석하였다. 한강 몬순강우와의 통계적 상관성 분석을 실시한 결과, 여름철 몬순강우의 변화에 민감하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

• 대기
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• 제31권5호
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• pp.563-576
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• 2021

The performance of East Asian summer monsoon is assessed for GC2 and GC3.1, which are climate change models of the current and next climate prediction system in the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GloSea5 and GloSea6. The most pronounced characteristics of GC models are strong monsoon trough and the weakening of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High (WNPSH). These are related to the weakening of the southwesterly wind and resulting weak monsoon band toward the Korean Peninsula. The GC3.1 is known to have improved the model configuration version compared to GC2, such as cloud physics and ocean parameters. We can confirm that the overall improvements of GC3.1 against GC2, especially in pressure, 850 hPa wind fields, and vertical wind shear. Also, the precipitation band stagnant in the south of 30°N in late spring is improved, therefore the biases of rainy onset and withdrawal on the Korean Peninsula are reduced by 2~4 pentad. We also investigate the impact of initialization in comparison with GloSea5 hindcast. Compared with GCs, hindcast results show better simulation within 1 month lead time, especially in pressure and 850 hPa wind fields, which can be expected to the improvement of WNPSH. Therefore, it is expected that the simulation performance of WNPSH will be improved in the result of applying the initialization of GloSea6.

• 대기
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.55-70
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• 2008

The global time slice approach is a transient experiment using high resolution atmosphere-only model with boundary condition from the low resolution globally coupled ocean-atmosphere model. The present study employs this "time slice concept" using ECHAM4 atmosphere-only model at a horizontal resolution of T106 with the lower boundary forcing obtained from a lower-resolution (T42) greenhouse gas + aerosol forcing experiment performed using the ECHO-G/S (ECHAM4/HOPE-G) coupled model. In order to assess the impact of horizontal resolution on simulated East Asian summer monsoon climate, the differences in climate response between the time slice experiments of the present and that of IPCC SRES AR4 participating 21 models including coarser (T30) coupled model are compared. The higher resolution model from time slice experiment in the present climate show successful performance in simulating the northward migration and the location of the maximum rainfall during the rainy season over East Asia, although its rainfall amount was somewhat weak compared to the observation. Based on the present climate simulation, the possible change of East Asian summer monsoon rainfall in the future climate by the IPCC SRES A1B scenario, tends to be increased especially over the eastern part of Japan during July and September. The increase of the precipitation over this region seems to be related with the weakening of northwestern part of North Pacific High and the formation of anticyclonic flow over the south of Yangtze River in the future climate.

• 대기
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.75-90
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• 2005

이 연구에서는 지면-대기 모수화 방안 (BATS1e)이 접합된 미국 국립기상연구센터 (NCAR)에서 개발한 지역기후모델(RegCM2)을 이용하여 지면피복의 변화가 동아시아 여름몬순에 미치는 영향에 대해서 조사하였다. 지면피복 변화의 영향을 분석하기 위하여 두 종류의 지면피복 자료를 이용하였다. 하나는 NCAR에서 제공하는 지면피복 자료 (CTL 실험)이고 다른 하나는 최근의 기상위성자료로부터 직접 분류한 고해상도 지면피복분류 자료(LCV 실험)이다. CTL 실험에서는 중국 중부지역과 몽고지역의 지면온도가 각각 약 $1-3^{\circ}C$ 높고 낮게 모의되었다. 또한 모의 영역 북부지역에서는 강수가 과다하게 모의된 반면 모의영역 남부 바다지역의 강수는 과소하게 모의되었다. 지면피복 변화에 의한 알베도, 거칠기 길이 및 최소기공저항계수와 같은 지면의 생물리적 요소들의 변화는 지면-대기 상호작용을 변경시켰다. 즉, 지면피복이 낙엽활엽수림에서 농지와 관계농지로 변경된 LCV 실험의 중국 중부지역에서는 잠열 속과 풍속이 현저하게 증가되었다. 그 결과 CTL 실험에서 나타났던 중국 중부지역에서의 온난편차가 LCV 실험에서는 대부분 완화되었다. 중국 중부지역에서의 강한 기온 하강은 태평양과 대륙사이의 기압 차를 약화시키고 있다. 남동에서 북서방향으로의 기압경도력이 약화됨에 따라 중국 남부와 남중국해로부터 북동쪽으로의 수증기 수송도 약화되었다. 이러한 수증기 수송의 변화는 모의 영역 북부지역에서의 과다한 강수 모의와 남중국해에서의 과소한 강수모의를 동시에 크게 완화시켰다. 그러나 지면피복의 변화는 특히 7월과 8월에 한반도와 일본 열도 지역에서의 강수를 크게 증기시키고 있다.