• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stockpile Reliability

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A Study on Determinants of Stockpile Ammunition using Data Mining (데이터 마이닝을 활용한 장기저장탄약 상태 결정요인 분석 연구)

  • Roh, Yu Chan;Cho, Nam-Wook;Lee, Dongnyok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors that affect ammunition performance by applying data mining techniques to the Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program (ASRP) data of the 155mm propelling charge. Methods: The ASRP data from 1999 to 2017 have been utilized. Logistic regression and decision tree analysis were used to investigate the factors that affect performance of ammunition. The performance evaluation of each model was conducted through comparison with an artificial neural networks(ANN) model. Results: The results of this study are as follows; logistic regression and the decision tree analysis showed that major defect rate of visual inspection is the most significant factor. Also, muzzle velocity by base charge and muzzle velocity by increment charge are also among the significant factors affecting the performance of 155mm propelling charge. To validate the logistic regression and decision tree models, their classification accuracies have been compared with the results of an ANN model. The results indicate that the logistic regression and decision tree models show sufficient performance which conforms the validity of the models. Conclusion: The main contribution of this paper is that, to our best knowledge, it is the first attempt at identifying the significant factors of ASPR data by using data mining techniques. The approaches suggested in the paper could also be extended to other types ammunition data.

Bayesian Estimation based K-1 Gas-Mask Shelf Life Assessment using CSRP Test Data (CSRP 시험데이터를 사용한 베이시안 추정모델 기반 K-1 방독면 저장수명 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Hwan;Jung, Chi-jung;Kim, Hyunjung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.124-132
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    • 2018
  • This paper presents a shelf life assessment for K-1 military gas masks in the Republic of Korea using test data of Chemical Materiels Stockpile Reliability Program(CSRP). For the shelf life assessment, over 2,500 samples between 2006 and 2015 were collected from field tests and analyzed to estimate a probability of proper and improper functionality using Bayesian estimation. For this, three stages were considered; a pre-processing, a processing and an assessment. In the pre-processing, major components which directly influence the shelf life of the mask were statistically analyzed and selected by applying principal component analysis from all test components. In the processing, with the major components chosen in the previous stage, both proper and improper probability of gas masks were computed by applying Bayesian estimation. In the assessment, the probability model of the mask shelf life was analyzed with respect to storage periods between 0 and 29 years resulting in between 66.1 % and 100 % performances in accuracy, sensitivity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.

A Study on the shelf-life of IR screening smoke launcher grenade (적외선 차장 연막유탄 신뢰도 및 저장수명 연구)

  • Lee, Jongchan;Lee, Junhyuk;Jung, Hyunsuk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.437-445
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    • 2020
  • Smoke grenades are the primary means of protection used by tanks to disrupt enemy detection systems. Such smoke grenades are a critical factor that determines the survival of tanks in the engagement of ground weapon systems, but it can only be used once. Owing to its destructive property, the performance and safety of the smoke grenade cannot be confirmed prior to use. Therefore, the reliability of smoke grenades can be evaluated through various tests during the storage period. This paper presents the results of estimating the reliability and shelf life of IR screening smoke grenade launchers based on the result of the Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program conducted in 2019. Among the smoke grenade launcher lots currently stored, 16 lots and samples were selected for each year of manufacture and tested. The reliability and shelf life were estimated by examining the number of defects and the change in quality characteristics of each test item. The results of this study can be used to assess the reliability of the smoke grenade launchers and to improve the quality of manufacturing sites.

The Study on the Grade System and the Grading Criteria of Ammunition Stockpile Test Procedures (ASTP 등급체계와 평가기준에 대한 연구)

  • Yoon Keun-sig;Kwon Tag-man;Park Byung-chan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.7 no.4 s.19
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    • pp.26-35
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    • 2004
  • The ASTP is the standard of the assessment ASRP that is monitoring the performance, reliability and safety characteristics of the ammunition items. The ASTP used in domestic now has applied to US Army's grade system and grading criteria so that it cause some problems. To resolve these problems of ASTP, we surveyed both the quality level of production and the field management of ammunition, which compared with grade system and classification criteria. As a result of study, we changed grade system from four steps to three steps and applied the Korean Military Specifications and the Malfunction Criteria to the classification criteria of grades. We are looking forward to improving the reliability and effectiveness of ASRP assessment by simplifying grade system and generalizing grading criteria of ASTP.

Storage Life Evaluation of a Violet Smoke Hand Grenade(KM18) using Degradation Data (열화데이터를 이용한 자색 연막수류탄(KM18)의 저장수명 평가)

  • Chang, Il-Ho;Hong, Suk-Hwan;Jang, Hyun-Jeung;Son, Young-Kap
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2012
  • A violet smoke hand grenade(KM18) is used to generate signals. The grenade is considered to fail when its smoke emission time is longer than the specified one so that its smoke concentration becomes lighter. Accelerated degradation test for the grenade was performed, and then failure in smoke emission time was reproduced from the test. Stress for the degradation test was selected as temperature/humidity from the pre-test results. Degraded data of emission time from the accelerated test were analyzed through applying a distibution-based degradation model. Then, Peck Model was applied to predict the storage life under field conditions. In addition, the predicted storage life was compared with that of ASRP(Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program).

A Study on Reliability and Shelf-Life of DELAY M9 (DELAY M9 탄약의 신뢰도 및 저장수명 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ho;Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2020
  • DELAY M9 is an ammunition used in combination with the fuse M904 and M905 of aviation drop-off ammunitions. Due to the properties of the ammunition, the performance or safety of the ammunition cannot be verified until it is used, because of its one-time function, no reproduction and is finally destroyed at the same time. Long-term storage of ammunition in use by the army is inevitable due to its operational characteristics, and a test evaluation is required to maintain and verify the performance of stored ammunition for immediate use in case of emergency. This paper estimates the reliability and shelf life of the DELAY M9 ammunition by using the test data obtained through ASRP performed from the past to the present. The result of the performance evaluation test for the currently stored DELAY M9 ammunition is analyzed, and the reliability and shelf-life of the stored ammunition are assessed by examining the number of defects according to the storage time and production year. This research result can be used to manage the stored ammunition, such as ASRP planning and evaluation test, result analysis and munition state decision.

Prediction of the shelf-life of ammunition by time series analysis (시계열분석을 적용한 저장탄약수명 예측 기법 연구 - 추진장약의 안정제함량 변화를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jung-Woo;Kim, Hee-Bo;Kim, Young-In;Hong, Yoon-Gee
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2011
  • To predict the shelf-life of ammunition stockpiled in intermediate have practical meaning as a core value of combat support. This research is to Predict the shelf-life of ammunition by applying time series analysis based on report from ASRP of the 155mm, KD541 performed for 6 years. This study applied time series analysis using 'Mini-tab program' to measure the amount of stabilizer as time passes by is different from the other one that uses regression analysis. The average shelf-life of KD541 drawn by time series analysis was 43 years and the lowest shelf-life assessed on the 95% confidence level was 35 years.

A development of the Automatic Measuring System for internal pressure of the artillery (화포 내부 압력의 자동 측정시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ho;Kim, Dong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.766-773
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    • 2021
  • Chemicals, such as ammunition, are disposable items that cannot be reused because of their operational characteristics. The reliability of the test process and test results are important factors in evaluating the performance of guns and ammunition. The pressure after firing is a crucial value in an acceptance test of guns and ammunition performance; hence, accurate measurements are required. The pressure in the artillery is measured using the copper crusher gauge. The compression amount of copper is converted into a pressure by either a length-pressure conversion table or conversion formula. Therefore, the exact measurement of the squeeze of the copper crusher is related directly to the correct estimate of the pressure. Currently, the pressure is measured manually by the operator, which always includes some human error. In this study, the cause of the measurement error was analyzed, and the automatic measuring system for copper crusher deformation was developed to minimize the error elements. A copper crusher could be measured using the probe sensor and CCD camera, and the Jig for stable positioning was also designed. A designated SW was also developed for the system operating and measurement-analysis. This measuring system through this study may be used for an ammunition stockpile reliability test and gun/ammunition acceptance test.

A study on the effective management of artillery ammunition using ASRP data -The case of test interval determination, shelf-life prediction, force effectiveness analysis- (저장탄약신뢰성평가 데이터를 활용한 포병탄약의 효과적 관리방안 연구 -시험주기 설정, 저장수명 예측, 전력효과 분석을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jung-Woo;Hong, Yoon-Ki
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.4349-4358
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    • 2012
  • ASRP(Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program) Data is stored and operated in the field of evaluating the ammunition is not only the only field data but also the ammunition performance-oriented data can determine objectively the power of the artillery. However, ASRP has been used as a yardstick to judge the status of ammunitions stockpiled in the field. On the other hand re-evaluation of the accumulated data and in-depth research have not been carried out. A Study on the Effective Management of Artillery Ammunition using ASRP data suggests how to utilize the ASRP data to analyze and manage existing artillery forces whose focus is centered on increasing the performance of artillery ammunitions through setting the test intervals of deployed stockpiled ammunitions, forecasting the shelf-life of ammunitions, and analyzing the effectiveness of the military strength through modelling and simulation.

A Study on the Shelf-Life Prediction of the Domestic Single Base Propellants Ammunition : Based on 105mm High Explosive Propellants (국내 단기추진제 탄약의 저장수명 예측에 관한 연구 : 105미리 고폭탄 추진체를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Myoungjin;Park, Hyungju;Yang, Jaekyung;Baek, Janghyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 2014
  • Domestic 105mm HE (High Explosive) shell is composed of three parts that are Fuze, Projectile and Propellants. Among three parts, propelling charge of propellants part consists of single base propellants. It has been known that the lifespan of single base propellants is affected by a storage period. These are because Nitrocellulose (NC) which is the main component of propelling gunpowder can be naturally decomposed to unstable substances similar with other nitric acid ester. Even though it cannot be prevented fundamentally from being disassembled, a decomposition product ($NO_2$, $NO_3$, and $HNO_3$) and tranquillizer DPA (Diphenylamine) having high reactivity are added into a propellant to restrain induction of automatic catalysis by a decomposition product. The decay rate of the tranquillizer is also affected by a production rate of the decomposition product of NC. Therefore, an accurate prediction of the Self-Life is required to ensure against risks such as explosion. Hereupon, this paper presents a new methodology to estimate the shelf-life of single base propellants using data of ASRP (Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program) to domestic 105mm HE (propelling charge of propellants part). We selected four attributes that are inferred to have influence on distribution of the DPA amount in a propellant from the ASRP dataset through data mining processes. Then the selected attributes were used as independent variables in a regression analysis in order to estimate the shelf-life of single base propellants.