• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock-Flow Models

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A Knowledge Stock and Flow Perspective for the Assimilation of Knowledge Management Innovation (지식관리혁신의 동화를 위한 지식의 축척과 흐름의 관점)

  • Lee, Jae Nam;Choi, Byoung-Gu
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2010
  • In order to provide a better understanding about the phenomenon of KM assimilation, this study attempts to conceptually develop and empirically compare two different models: (1) the first model, which considers the KM process as the flow of knowledge that plays an intervening role between knowledge stocks (i.e., knowledge worker, technical knowledge infrastructure, external knowledge linkage, knowledge strategy, and internal knowledge climate) and the level of KM assimilation; and (2) the second model is a simple direct effect formulation without any distinction between knowledge stock and flow. These two models were then tested and compared using the responses of 187 Korean organizations that had already implemented enterprise-wide KM systems. The findings indicate that the two models are useful in explaining successful KM assimilation. However, the first causal model with the distinction between knowledge stock and flow assesses the effectiveness of KM more accurately than the second model without the distinction. Interestingly, the KM process was shown to be the most critical factor for the proliferation of KM activities across an organization. The findings of this study are expected to serve not only as early groundwork for researchers hoping to understand KM and its effective assimilation in organizations, but should also provide practitioners with guidelines as to how they can enhance their KM assimilation level so as to improve their organizational performance.

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Regime Dependent Volatility Spillover Effects in Stock Markets Between Kazakhstan and Russia

  • CHUNG, Sang Kuck;ABDULLAEVA, Vasila Shukhratovna
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.297-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, to capture the skewness and kurtosis detected in both conditional and unconditional return distributions of the stock markets of Kazakhstan and Russia, two versions of normal mixture GARCH models are employed. The data set consists of daily observations of the Kazakhstan and Russia stock prices, and world crude oil price, covering the period from 1 June 2006 through 1 March 2021. From the empirical results, incorporating the long memory effect on the returns not only provides better descriptions of dynamic behaviors of the stock market prices but also plays a significant role in improving a better understanding of the return dynamics. In addition, normal mixture models for time-varying volatility provide a better fit to the conditional densities than the usual GARCH specifications and has an important advantage that the conditional higher moments are time-varying. This implies that the volatility skews implied by normal mixture models are more likely to exhibit the features of risk and the direction of the information flow is regime-dependent. The findings of this study contain useful information for diverse purposes of cross-border stock market players such as asset allocation, portfolio management, risk management, and market regulations.

The Impact of Stock-to-Flow Price Ratio on Housing Starts (재고-신규주택 상대가격이 주택공급에 미치는 영향)

  • Ji, Kyu Hyun;Choi, Sung Ho
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2020
  • This thesis investigates relationship between Stock-to-Flow price and housing starts in Seoul metropolitan form 2008 year to 2019 year. The paper tests the relationship through two time-series models such as a vector error correction model and Dynamic Panel regression model. The model results show evidence of positive correlation between Stock-to-Flow price and housing starts in the long run. By transforming the regional data into a panel data set and running a fixed effects model, we test the explanatory power of PBR on housing starts. The result of VECM confirms that one unit uprising PBR raises up apartment construction by 7.4%. This result supports that PBR is a major factor in choosing a start of housing construct. Base on the result of empirical model, We also suggest that the market self-regulation function of housing providers is operating in the entire metropolitan area market.

Causal Loops and Stock-Flow Models of Project Delay Confronted with Location of Locally Unwanted Facilities (비선호시설 입지에 관한 프로젝트 지체의 인과구조와 유량-저량 묘형)

  • Lee, Man-Hyung;Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.91-118
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to find what factors are directly related to the delay of public projects, usually going beyond the planned deadline and budget. From a series of System Dynamics simulation works applied to the Cheongju Cremation Project, the research finds that the negative externalities originated from the adjacent location of the LULU(locally unwanted land use) facilities have exerted significant influence on dynamic perceptions of key stakeholders, typically resulting in project delay. As shown repeated experiments, the proposed negotiation-based models would produce relatively higher planning performance level than the typical approaches hinged on the administrative-expediency tactics. Even though the former may require more human and material resources in the very beginning stage, as they have to deal with diverse grievances raised by major stake-holders, most of them would bound for strengthening reinforcing loops within the complex structure. These results also imply that negotiation or consensus-building approaches would enhance mutual agreement among stake-holders, upgrading the overall quality of project management.

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System Dynamics Interpretation on Bus Scheduling Model (시스템 다이나믹스 관점에서의 버스 운영계획모형 해석)

  • Kim, Kyeong-Sik
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2009
  • This paper aims mainly to reinterpretate Optimal Bus Scheduling Model by applying System Dynamics Perspective. Traditionally, the study regarding Optimal Bus Scheduling Model stems on the linear relationshp. However, this paper attempted to convert linear relationship based Optimal Bus Scheduling Model to causal loop perspective based Model. In result, the paper present Casual Loop Diagram for Optimal Bus Scheduling Model. Furthermore, the paper also ran a simulation based on Stock & Flow Diagram for Optimal Bus Scheduling Model. The outcome was not much different from the linear relationship based Model due to the similarity of the equation applied on two models.

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Cash Flow Anomalies Associated with Business Conditions in Korean Stock Market

  • Yoon, Bo-Hyun;Son, Sam-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - Many studies report that returns on hedge portfolios that eliminate particular risk types are abnormal from traditional asset pricing models' perspectives. This study examines the pervasiveness of anomalous returns conditioned on business cycle and group size. Research design, data, and methodology - Using KOSPI and KOSDAQ market data from July 1991 to December 2013, we categorize stocks into appropriately sized groups, and dichotomize our sample periods into expansion and recession periods then, we construct hedge portfolios by sorting stocks by anomaly variables and calculate their returns. Results - Four anomalies, including earnings yield, net stock issue, total asset growth, and liquidity appear pervasive across all groups for the entire sample period. However, only the hedge returns of net stock issues are significant across all group sizes during both expansion and recession. Conclusions - A net stock issue can be an appropriate proxy for expected growth of book equity for all group sizes in recessions. This finding could provide insights to investment industry participants and to researchers interested in the relationship between expected growth of book equity and business cycle risk.

The Impact of Operating Cash Flows on Financial Stability of Commercial Banks: Evidence from Pakistan

  • ELAHI, Mustahsan;AHMAD, Habib;SHAMAS UL HAQ, Muhammad;SALEEM, Ali
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.223-234
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to examine whether operating cash flows influence banks' financial stability in Pakistan. The study employed annual panel data collected from annual reports of 20 commercial banks listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange for the year 2011 to 2019. Free cash flow yield was taken as the dependent variable while cash flow ratio was selected as the independent variable, and net interest margin, income diversification, asset quality, financial leverage, the cost to income ratio, advance net of provisions to total assets ratio, capital ratio, financial performance, breakup value per share and bank size were taken as control variables. The study performed ordinary least square technique, random and fixed effects models, Hausman test, Lagrange multiplier test, descriptive and correlation analysis. Results showed that operating cash flows and net interest margin significantly and positively influenced banks' financial stability while the cost to income ratio and advances net of provisions to total assets ratio significantly and negatively associated with banks' financial stability. To improve financial stability, banks should become more cost-effective and enhance their liquidity levels by lowering lending activities. In the future, it would be useful to compare commercial and investment banks, also Islamic and conventional banks in the same research setting.

The Incremental Information Content of Accruals Components of Earnings for Stock Return:Discretionary Accruals and Non-Discretionary Accruals (주식수익률에 대한 회계이익 구성요소의 추가적 정보가치:재량적 발생액과 비재량적 발생액)

  • 박종일;신현대;유성용
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.209-227
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    • 1998
  • This study examines the relation between accruals components of earnings and stock return. Earnings are decomposed into four components: discretionary accruals, nondiscretionary accruals, nondiscretionary income and cash flow from operations. Because reported earnings in financial statement consist of cash flow from operations plus total accruals. We decompose total accruals into a discretionary accruals and a nondiscretionary accruals separately, This paper examines the incremental informational content of discretionary accruals and nondiscretionary accruals components of net income by regressing return on earnings'components in multivariate models. The empirical analysis is conducted on a sample of 1,580 firm-years comprising 158 firms during 1984-1995. Discretionary accruals are obtained by decomposing total accruals into discretionary and nondiscretionary accruals components, using a pooled variation of the Jones model(1991). These findings suggest that the discretionary accruals(measured using a variation the Jones model) is priced by the stock market. Specifically, the discretionary accruals and cash flow from operations are positively associated with the stock return, and also nondiscretionary income, discretionary accruals are positively associated with the stock return. While this result is consistent with the market prices the discretionary accruals because it captures value-relevant information. Additional test report evidence consistent with nondiscretionary accruals conveying information about the stock return.

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The incremental information content of accruals components of earnings for stock return: Discretionary accruals and non-discretionary accruals (회계이익 구성요소의 추가적 정보가치가 주식수익률에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Hyun-Dai
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.19-36
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    • 2004
  • This study examines the relation between accruals components of earnings and stock return. Earnings are decomposed into four components: discretionary accruals, nondiscretionary accruals, nondiscretionary income and cash flow from operations. Because reported earnings in financial statement consist of cash flow from operations plus total accruals. We decompose total accruals into a discretionary accruals and a nondiscretionary accruals separately. This paper examines the incremental informational content of discretionary accruals and nondiscretionary accruals components of net income by regressing return on earnings' components in multivariate models. The empirical analysis is conducted on a sample of 1,580 firm-years comprising 158 firms during 1991-2003. discretionary accruals are obtained by decomposing total accruals into discretionary and nondiscretionary accruals conponents, using a pooled variation of the Jones model(1991). These findings suggest that the discretionary accruals(measured using a variation the Jones model) is priced by the stock market. Specifically, the discretionary accruals and cash flow from operations are positively associated with the stock return, and also nondiscretionary income, discretionary accruals are positively associated with the stock return. While this result is consistent with the market prices the discretionary accruals because it captures value-relevant information. Additional test report evidence consistent with nondiscretionary accruals conveying information about the stock return.

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Development of a System Dynamics Model for Forecasting the Automobile Market (시스템다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 차급별 월간 자동차 수요 예측 모델 개발)

  • 곽상만;김기찬;안수웅;장원혁;홍정석
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.79-104
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    • 2002
  • A system dynamics project is going on for forecasting automobile market in Korea. The project is made up of three stages, and the first stage has been wrapped up. As the first attempt, most efforts have been focused on the sound foundation rather than the exact forecast. The model consists of three sectors; the supply sector, the demand sector, and the population sector. The supply sector is a simple stock and flow diagrams representing the supply capacities of all automobile types. The major effort is made on the demand sector and the population sector. The demands are divided into three categories; replacement demands, new demands, and additional demands. The model applies “one car per person" concept, and assumes there will be no additional demands for a while. The replacement demands are calculated based on a simple stock and flow diagram. The new demands are calculated via Bass models; each bass model represents a diffusion for each age group. The population is divided into 101 age groups (age 0 to age 100). The model has been calibrated with past 10 year data (1990 - 1999), and tested for the next two years (2000-2001). The results ware acceptable, although a fine tuning is required. Now the second stage is going on, and most of efforts are made how to incorporate the economic and cultural factors.

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