• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock data

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Development and Evaluation of an Investment Algorithm Based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model : Case Studies of the U.S. and the Hong Kong Stock Markets (마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형을 기반으로 한 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가 : 미국 및 홍콩 주식시장을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jaeho;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops an investment algorithm based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Theory, using historical stock return data, and empirically evaluates the performance of the proposed algorithm in the U.S. and the Hong Kong stock markets. The proposed investment algorithm is empirically tested with the 30 constituents of Dow Jones Industrial Average in the U.S. stock market, and the 30 constituents of Hang Seng Index in the Hong Kong stock market. During the 6-year investment period, starting on the first trading day of 2006 and ending on the last trading day of 2011, growth rates of 12.63% and 23.25% were observed for Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index, respectively, while the proposed investment algorithm achieved substantially higher cumulative returns of 35.7% in the U.S. stock market, and 150.62% in the Hong Kong stock market. When compared in terms of Sharpe ratio, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index achieved 0.075 and 0.155 each, while the proposed investment algorithm showed superior performance, achieving 0.363 and 1.074 in the U.S. and Hong Kong stock markets, respectively. Further, performance in the U.S. stock market is shown to be less sensitive to an investor's risk preference, while aggressive performance goals are shown to achieve relatively higher performance in the Hong Kong stock market. In conclusion, this paper empirically demonstrates that an investment based on a mathematical model using objective historical stock return data for constructing optimal portfolios achieves outstanding performance, in terms of both cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios.

Implementation of Algorithm to Write Articles by Stock Robot

  • Sim, Da Hun;Shin, Seung Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2016
  • Journalism robot by using a computer algorithm, while maintaining the precision and reliability of the existing media refers to an article which is automatically created. In this paper, we introduce 'stock robot' of robot journalism which writes securities articles and describe artificial intelligence algorithms in stages. Key steps of stock robot implemented artificial intelligence algorithm through four steps of data collection and storage, key event extraction, article content production, and article production. This research has developed a stock robot that collects and analyzes data on social issues and stock indexes for the last 2 years. In the future, as the algorithm is further developed, it becomes possible to write securities articles quickly and accurately through social issues. It will also provide customized information tailored to the user's preferences.

An Approach for Stock Price Forecast using Long Short Term Memory

  • K.A.Surya Rajeswar;Pon Ramalingam;Sudalaimuthu.T
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.166-171
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    • 2023
  • The Stock price analysis is an increasing concern in a financial time series. The purpose of the study is to analyze the price parameters of date, high, low, and news feed about the stock exchange price. Long short term memory (LSTM) is a cutting-edge technology used for predicting the data based on time series. LSTM performs well in executing large sequence of data. This paper presents the Long Short Term Memory Model has used to analyze the stock price ranges of 10 days and 20 days by exponential moving average. The proposed approach gives better performance using technical indicators of stock price with an accuracy of 82.6% and cross entropy of 71%.

Control system modeling of stock management for civil infrastructure

  • Abe, Masato
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.609-625
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    • 2015
  • Management of infrastructure stock is essential in sustainability of society, and its analysis and optimization are studied in the light of control system modeling in this paper. At the first part of the paper, cost of stock management is analyzed based on macroscopic statistics on infrastructure stock and economical growth. Stock management burden relative to economy is observed to become larger at low economic growth periods in developed economies. Then, control system modeling of stock management is introduced and by augmenting maintenance actions as control input, dynamic behavior of stock is simulated and compared with existing time history statistics. Assuming steady state conditions, applicability of the model to cross sectional data is also demonstrated. The proposed model is enhanced so that both preventive and corrective maintenance can be included as system inputs, i.e., feedforward and feedback control inputs. Optimal management strategy to achieve specified deteriorated stock level with minimal cost, expressed in terms of preventive and corrective maintenance actions, is derived based on estimated parameter values for corrosion of steel bridges. Relative cost effectiveness of preventive maintenance is shown when target deteriorated stock level is lower.

Competition between Online Stock Message Boards in Predictive Power: Focused on Multiple Online Stock Message Boards

  • Kim, Hyun Mo;Park, Jae Hong
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.526-541
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    • 2016
  • This research aims to examine the predictive power of multiple online stock message boards, namely, NAVER Finance and PAXNET, which are the most popular stock message boards in South Korea, in stock market activities. If predictive power exists, we then compare the predictive power of multiple online stock message boards. To accomplish the research purpose, we constructed a panel data set with close price, volatility, Spell out acronyms at first mention.PER, and number of posts in 40 companies in three months, and conducted a panel vector auto-regression analysis. The analysis results showed that the number of posts could predict stock market activities. In NAVER Finance, previous number of posts positively influenced volatility on the day. In PAXNET, previous number of posts positively influenced close price, volatility, and PER on the day. Second, we confirmed a difference in the prediction power for stock market activities between multiple online stock message boards. This research is limited by the fact that it only considered 40 companies and three stock market activities. Nevertheless, we found correlation between online stock message board and stock market activities and provided practical implications. We suggest that investors need to focus on specific online message boards to find interesting stock market activities.

A Study on Comparison of Open Application Programming Interface of Securities Companies Supporting Python

  • Ryu, Gui Yeol
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2021
  • Securities and investment services had the most data per company on the average, and used the most data. Investors are increasingly demanding to invest through their own analysis methods. Therefore, securities and investment companies provide stock data to investors through open API. The data received using the open API is in text format. Python is effective and convenient for requesting and receiving text data. We investigate there are 22 major securities and investment companies in Korea and only 6 companies. Only Daishin Securities Co. supports Python officially. We compare how to receive stock data through open API using Python, and Python programming features. The open APIs for the study are Daishin Securities Co. and eBest Investment & Securities Co. Comparing the two APIs for receiving the current stock data, we find the main two differences are the login method and the method of sending and receiving data. As for the login method, CYBOS plus has login information, but xingAPI does not have. As for the method of sending and receiving data, Cybos Plus sends and receives data by calling the request method, and the reply method. xingAPI sends and receives data in the form of an event. Therefore, the number of xingAPI codes is more than that of CYBOS plus. And we find that CYBOS plus executes a loop statement by lists and tuple, dictionary, and CYBOS plus supports the basic commands provided by Python.

An Exploration of Dynamical Relationships between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Prices in Korea

  • Lee, Jung Wan;Brahmasrene, Tantatape
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2018
  • This paper examines short-run and long-run dynamic relationships between selected macroeconomic variables and stock prices in the Korea Stock Exchange. The data is restricted to the period for which monthly data are available from January 1986 to October 2016 (370 observations) retrieved from the Economic Statistics System database sponsored by the Bank of Korea. The study employs unit root test, cointegration test, vector error correction estimates, impulse response test, and structural break test. The results of the Johansen cointegration test indicate at least three cointegrating equations exist at the 0.05 level in the model, confirming that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic variables in Korea. The results of vector error correction model (VECM) estimates indicate that money supply and short-term interest rate are not related to stock prices in the short-run. However, exchange rate is positively related to stock prices while the industrial production index and inflation are negatively related to stock prices in the short-run. Furthermore, the VECM estimates indicate that the external shock, such as regional and global financial crisis shocks, neither affects changes in the endogenous variables nor causes instability in the cointegrating vector. This study finds that the endogenous variables are determined by their own dynamics in the model.

The Role of Information Communication Capital Stock to the increase of Productivity (정보통신자본의 생산성증가에 관한 고찰)

  • Jung, Dong-Jin;Cho, Sang-Up
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.606-625
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    • 2006
  • This Study is to show the impact of IT capital stock accumulation on the total factor productivity in 9 industries during 1980 through 2000. We construct the If capital stock using input and output table provided by Bank of Korea (2000). Using sequence testing methodologies, we investigate the nonstationary characteristics of the relevant data and test the cointegration relationship between total factor productivity and IT capital stock. Over the past two decades, IT capital stock contributed between 0.19 to 0.07 percentage point per IT capital stock on total factor productivity. Our empirical results, therefore, do not support Solow's IT paradox in using the long period panel data case in Korea.

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An Exploration of Dynamic Relationships between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Prices in Korea Revisited

  • LEE, Jung Wan;BRAHMASRENE, Tantatape
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2020
  • The paper revisits the author's previous paper to examine short-run and long-run dynamic relationships between macroeconomic variables and stock prices in Korea. The data is updated to the period for which monthly data are available from January 1986 to June 2018 (390 observations) retrieved from the Bank of Korea. The results of Johansen cointegration test indicate that at least one cointegrating equation exists, confirming there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock prices in Korea. The results of vector error correction estimates confirm that: 1) the coefficient of the error correction term is significant with a negative sign, which is, a long-run dynamic relationship is observed between macroeconomic variables and stock prices; 2) for short-run dynamics, the nominal exchange rate of the Korean won per the US dollar is positively related to stock prices, while interest rates are negatively related to stock prices in the short-run; 3) the coefficient of global financial crises is insignificant, that is, the changes of stock prices are determined largely by their own dynamics in the model. The results suggest only that the global financial crises neither cause instability in the cointegrating vector, nor affect significant changes in the endogenous variables in the model.

Dynamic Interaction between Conditional Stock Market Volatility and Macroeconomic Uncertainty of Bangladesh

  • ALI, Mostafa;CHOWDHURY, Md. Ali Arshad
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The aim of this study is to explore the dynamic linkage between conditional stock market volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty of Bangladesh. Research design, data, and methodology: This study uses monthly data covering the time period from January 2005 to December 2018. A comprehensive set of macroeconomic variables, namely industrial production index (IP), consumer price index (CPI), broad money supply (M2), 91-day treasury bill rate (TB), treasury bond yield (GB), exchange rate (EX), inflow of foreign remittance (RT) and stock market index of DSEX are used for analysis. Symmetric and asymmetric univariate GARCH family of models and multivariate VAR model, along with block exogeneity and impulse response functions, are implemented on conditional volatility series to discover the possible interactions and causal relations between macroeconomic forces and stock return. Results: The analysis of the study exhibits time-varying volatility and volatility persistence in all the variables of interest. Moreover, the asymmetric effect is found significant in the stock return and most of the growth series of macroeconomic fundamentals. Results from the multivariate VAR model indicate that only short-term interest rate significantly influence the stock market volatility, while conditional stock return volatility is significant in explaining the volatility of industrial production, inflation, and treasury bill rate. Conclusion: The findings suggest an increasing interdependence between the money market and equity market as well as the macroeconomic fundamentals of Bangladesh.