• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock assessment

검색결과 192건 처리시간 0.03초

근해 유자망에 의해 어획되는 참조기자원의 관리를 위한 가입당 산란자원량 모델의 비교분석 (Coastal Water Fisheries Resources Research Division, National Institute of Fisheries Science)

  • 이은지;서영일;박희원;강희중;장창익
    • 수산해양기술연구
    • /
    • 제51권4호
    • /
    • pp.535-544
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 가입에 따른 산란자원량의 변화를 나타내어 가입남획을 방지하는 가입당 산란자원량 모델(spawning biomass per recruit model)을 비교 분석하였다. 가입당 산란자원량 모델은 연령별 선택비를 고려하지 않는 (knife-edged selectivity) 방법과 연령별 선택비를 고려한 (age specific selectivity) 방법의 두 가지가 있으며 연령별 선택비를 고려하지 않는 방법의 경우 가입당 자원량의 식에 성숙비를 곱함으로써 가입당 산란자원량을 나타낼 수 있다. 하지만 기존의 가입당 산란자원량 추정 방법은 어구가입 이후의 모든 연령을 고려하지 않고 어구가입 연령의 성숙비만을 가입당 자원량에 곱함으로써 가입당 산란자원량을 계산하였다. 본 연구에서는 이를 수정하여 어구가입 이후의 모든 연령을 고려한, 즉, 연령별 자원량에 대해 가중평균된 성숙비를 가입당 자원량에 곱하여 가입당 산란자원량을 추정하였다. 한국 근해에서 유자망에 의해 어획되는 참조기자원을 대상으로 기존의 방법과 새로운 방법을 적용하여 추정된 가입당 산란자원량을 비교한 결과 어구가입연령의 성숙비가 1.00 이상에서는 가입당 산란자원량이 차이가 없었다. 그러나 성숙비가 1.00 미만인 연령에서는 어구가입연령이 낮을수록 오차가 크게 나타났으며 기존 방법에 의해 가입당 산란자원량이 과소 추정되었고 어구가입연령별로 가입당 산란자원량의 오차 값을 비교하였을 때, 적게는 4세 때의 0.25 g에서 많게는 1세 때의 130.69 g만큼의 오차가 나타났다. 또한 연령별 선택비를 고려하지 않는 방법과 연령별 선택비를 고려한 방법을 통해 $F_{35%}$를 비교한 결과 연령별 선택비를 고려하지 않는 방법 중 기존 방법에 의한 $F_{35%}$가 0.349/year로 나타났으며 새로운 방법에 의한 $F_{35%}$가 0.302/year로써 새로운 방법에 의한 값이 연령별 선택비를 고려한 방법에 의한 $F_{35%}$인 0.320/year와 유사하게 추정되었다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제시된 새로운 가입당 산란자원량 방법은 대부분의 어구가입연령이 2세 미만으로 낮게 나타나는 한국 연근해 어종을 대상으로 가입당 산란자원량 모델을 통해 자원평가를 실시할 경우 가입당 산란자원량과 그에 따른 적정어획수준의 오차 값을 줄여줄 것이며 기존의 방법을 통한 $F_{35%}$의 값은 과대 추정되어 남획의 위험이 있으므로 새로운 방법을 통해 적정어획수준을 추정하는 것이 옳다고 판단된다.

Assessment of The Above-Ground Carbon Stock and Soil Physico-Chemical Properties of an Arboretum within The University of Port Harcourt, Nigeria

  • Akhabue, Enimhien Faith;Chima, Uzoma Darlington;Eguakun, Funmilayo Sarah
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
    • /
    • 제37권3호
    • /
    • pp.193-205
    • /
    • 2021
  • The importance of forests and trees in climate change mitigation and soil nutrient cycling cannot be overemphasized. This study assessed the above-ground carbon stock of two exotic and two indigenous tree species - Gmelina arborea, Tectona grandis, Khaya grandifoliola and Nauclea diderrichii and their litter impact on soil nutrient content of an arboretum within the University of Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Data were collected from equal sample plots from the four species' compartments. Tree growth variables including total height, diameter at breast height, crown height, crown diameter and merchantable height were measured for the estimation of above-ground carbon stock. Soil samples were collected from a depth of 0-30 cm from each compartment and analyzed for particle size distribution, organic carbon, total nitrogen, available phosphorus, exchangeable bases, exchangeable acidity, cation exchange capacity, base saturation, pH, Manganese, Iron, Copper and Zinc. Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) was used to test for significant difference (p<0.05) in the carbon contents of the four species and the soil nutrient contents of the different species' compartments. Pearson correlation was used to assess the relationships between the carbon contents, growth parameters and soil parameters. The highest and lowest carbon stock per hectare was observed for G. arborea (151.52 t.ha-1) and K. grandifoliola (45.45 t.ha-1) respectively. Cation exchange capacity and base saturation were highest and lowest for soil under G. arborea and K. grandifoliola respectively. The pH was highest and lowest for soil under G. arborea and T. grandis respectively. Carbon stock correlated positively with dbh, crown diameter, merchantable height and Zn and negatively with base saturation. The study revealed that G. arborea and N. diderrichii can effectively be used for reforestation and afforestation programmes aimed at climate change mitigation across Nigeria. Therefore, policies to encourage and enhance their planting should be encouraged.

자원복원력 개념을 적용한 사전확률분포 및 상태공간 잉여생산 평가모델: 살오징어(Todarodes pacificus) 개체군 자원평가 (A State-space Production Assessment Model with a Joint Prior Based on Population Resilience: Illustration with the Common Squid Todarodes pacificus Stock)

  • 김진우;현상윤;윤상철
    • 한국수산과학회지
    • /
    • 제55권2호
    • /
    • pp.183-188
    • /
    • 2022
  • It is a difficult task to estimate parameters in even a simple stock assessment model such as a surplus production model, using only data about temporal catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) (or survey index) and fishery yields. Such difficulty is exacerbated when time-varying parameters are treated as random effects (aka state variables). To overcome the difficulty, previous studies incorporated somewhat subjective assumptions (e.g., B1=K) or informative priors of parameters. A key is how to build an objective joint prior of parameters, reducing subjectivity. Given the limited data on temporal CPUEs and fishery yields from 1999-2020 for common squid Todarodes pacificus, we built a joint prior of only two parameters, intrinsic growth rate (r) and carrying capacity (K), based on the resilience level of the population (Froese et al., 2017), and used a Bayesian state-space production assessment model. We used template model builder (TMB), a R package for implementing the assessment model, and estimating all parameters in the model. The predicted annual biomass was in the range of 0.76×106 to 4.06×106 MT, the estimated MSY was 0.13×106 MT, the estimated r was 0.24, and the estimated K was 2.10×106 MT.

전동차 구조체의 안전성 평가 연구 (On Study the Safety Assessment of Accident Electric Multiple Units)

  • 정종덕;김정국;편장식;김원경;홍용기
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정밀공학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.1105-1108
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper describes the structural analysis result and load test result of accident EMU(Electric Multiple Units). Structural analysis and load test of EMU were performed for the criteria of safety assessment. Structural analysis using commercial I-DEAS software provided important information on the stress distribution and load transfer mechanisms as well as the amount of damages during rolling stock crash. The purpose of the load test is to evaluate a safety which carbody structure shall be considered fully sufficient rigidity so as to satisfy proper system function under maximum load and operating condition. The results have been used to provide the critical information for the criteria of safety assessment.

  • PDF

The needs for advanced sensor technologies in risk assessment of civil infrastructures

  • Fujino, Yozo;Siringoringo, Dionysius M.;Abe, Masato
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • 제5권2호
    • /
    • pp.173-191
    • /
    • 2009
  • Civil infrastructures are always subjected to various types of hazard and deterioration. These conditions require systematic efforts to assess the exposure and vulnerability of infrastructure, as well as producing strategic countermeasures to reduce the risks. This paper describes the needs for and concept of advanced sensor technologies for risk assessment of civil infrastructure in Japan. Backgrounds of the infrastructure problems such as natural disasters, difficult environment, limited resource for maintenance, and increasing requirement for safety are discussed. The paper presents a concept of risk assessment, which is defined as a combination of hazard and structural vulnerability assessment. An overview of current practices and research activities toward implementing the concept is presented. This includes implementation of structural health monitoring (SHM) systems for environment and natural disaster prevention, improvement of stock management, and prevention of structural failure.

공동주택 리모델링 성능등급 개발방향 설정 (Development Strategies for Existing Apartment Housing Remodeling Performance Grading Indication System)

  • 백정훈;김수암;양현정
    • 한국주거학회논문집
    • /
    • 제27권4호
    • /
    • pp.23-32
    • /
    • 2016
  • The necessity of remodeling performance grading system is getting increased for the systematic management of existing housing stock, providing the resident's right to know and promoting the remodeling projects. A quantitative and objective evaluation method that has reflected the characteristics of remodeling must be developed because there is an aspect of having difficulty of assessment by an ordinary person as remodeling performance contains specialized details while the difficulty of applying the criteria of new buildings in terms of assessment items, criteria and methods. Accordingly, this study sets the goal as setting up the development objectives of performance grading system that has considered the remodeling characteristics. This study has analyzed the various assessment systems related to the domestic apartments as well as setting up the organization system of the remodeling performance grading system, perspectives of performance assessment and scope of assessment through literature, etc. It has also established the principles for setting up the assessment items of remodeling performance grade to present the directions for setting up assessment items and criteria.

자율관리 마을어업의 생태계 기반 자원관리시스템 연구 (A study on the ecosystem-based resource management system of self-regulatory community fisheries)

  • 박희원;장창익
    • 수산해양기술연구
    • /
    • 제44권4호
    • /
    • pp.345-352
    • /
    • 2008
  • A self-regulatory community fisheries management program in Korea is designed to enhance fisheries resources, to protect fishing grounds of self-regulatory communities, and to manage their fisheries resources by their own regulations and knowledge. This study explored an applicable ecosystem-based management plan based on the scientific investigation and analysis. This study suggested objectives, indicators and reference points of the ecosystem-based resource management system which are applicable to selfregulatory community fisheries. The objectives of the management system are to maintain sustainable fisheries production, to maintain optimum fishing intensity, to reduce by-catch, to conserve spawning ground and habitat, to maintain optimum habitat environment, to increase/maintain abundance of prey species, to increase/maintain stock biomass, and to conduct stock enhancement on the basis of scientific assessment. The improved methods for the assessment and management are introduced by demonstrating a self-regulatory fishery which targets on hen clam in Dong-li fishing village in Busan.

여수 연안의 숭어 (Mugil cephalus) 자원평가 및 진단 (Stock assessment and Diagnosis of Flatted grey mullet, Mugil cephalus, in the coastal water of Yeosu)

  • 박희원;서영일;김희용;장창익
    • 수산해양기술연구
    • /
    • 제51권3호
    • /
    • pp.448-453
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study was performed to estimate biomass and to provide management plan through population ecological characteristics, including survival rate, instantaneous coefficient of natural and fishing mortalities, and age at first capture of Flathead grey mullet, Mugil cephalus, in the coastal waters of Yeosu. Survival rate (S) of the flathead grey mullet was 3.671. The instantaneous coefficients of natural mortality (M) and fishing mortality (F) was estimated to be 0.325/year, 0.962/year for flathead grey mullet. Also fist capure age of flathead grey mullet was 3.61year. The current biomass of the flathead grey mullet in the study area was estimated to be 19.6 M/T and $F_{0.1}$ and $F_{40%}$ were estimated 0.340/year, 0.225/year. For the stock assessment result, flathead grey mullet was not overfished but overfishing.

표지방류 조사를 통한 거제 외포 주변해역 대구(Gadus macrocephalus) 자원량과 어획사망률 추정 (Estimating the Abundance and Fishing Mortality of Pacific Cod Gadus macrocephalus during the Spawning Season in Jinhae Bay, Korea, Using a Mark-Recapture Method)

  • 황강석;최일수;정석근
    • 한국수산과학회지
    • /
    • 제45권5호
    • /
    • pp.499-506
    • /
    • 2012
  • We estimated the population size and fishing mortality of Pacific cod Gadus macrocephalus during the spawning season in waters off Woipo, Geoje Island, Korea, using a mark-recapture method. We marked and released 51 cod>50 cm in total length; six were recaptured by local fishermen during the period from December 15 to 31, 2009. The estimated population size was ca. 180,000 and the fishing mortality of the exploitable cod was 26%. Although we could assume a closed population due to the short survey period, we evaluated the uncertainty in the estimates by applying bootstrap resampling because the sample size was small. The estimated 95% confidence interval was 94,000-568,000 for the population size and 8-49% for fishing mortality. Our study demonstrated that the application of mark-recapture methods and bootstrap resampling can be useful in stock assessment for fisheries management in Korea, but requires a larger sample size, spatially extensive coverage, and sophisticated mark-recapture models based on a refined sampling design for reliable stock assessment and biological reference points in sustainable cod management.

모의실험을 통한 동남해안 대구(Gadus macrocephalus)의 가입당 생산 분석 (Simulation-based Yield-per-recruit Analysis of Pacific cod Gadus macrocephalus in Southeastern Korean Coastal Waters)

  • 차형기;정석근
    • 한국수산과학회지
    • /
    • 제45권5호
    • /
    • pp.493-498
    • /
    • 2012
  • We derived biological reference points for Pacific cod Gadus macrocephalus in southeastern Korean waters by applying a yield-per-recruit analysis based on a daily simulation that adopted size-dependent fecundity, growth, and natural mortality functions. This showed that the yield per recruit of Pacific cod can be maximized at an instantaneous rate of fishing mortality (F)=0.37 $yr^{-1}$ under the current regulations, where the minimum catch size ($L_c$)=30 cm in total length (TL). The maximum economic yield was estimated to be attained at $L_c$=35-45 cm TL, if F>1 $yr^{-1}$ but at $L_c$=35-40 cm TL, if F<1 $yr^{-1}$. Despite great uncertainty in the stock assessment, to develop fisheries management plans for the sustainable exploitation of Pacific cod in southeastern Korean waters, it is necessary to estimate F using capture-recapture or other expedient methods.