• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock assessment

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A Study on the Risk based RAMS Assessment for Railway Rolling Stock Systems (철도차량시스템의 위험기반 RAMS 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Mun-Gyu;Han, Seong-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.220-230
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    • 2015
  • Rolling stock RAMS is a field of engineering which integrates reliability, availability, maintainability and safety (RAMS) characteristics into an inherent product design property through rolling stock system engineering process. It is implemented to achieve operational objectives successfully, and recently the RAMS has become a rapidly growing engineering discipline because it has a great potential to ensure safety and improve cost effectiveness. However, the Korean rolling stock industry has not yet implemented RAMS management in the rolling stock engineering process, despite the issue having been addressed since the introduction of the KTX. Thus, this paper discusses the processes, methods and techniques for RAMS assessment in three parts. Firstly, it outlines a process of the overall RAMS performance assessment for achieving technical RAMS design criteria. Secondly, it discusses a process for assessing the operational RAM and allocating the RAM. This paper also proposes a model for assessing safety-based risk management, which includes five analytic techniques for identifying the causes and consequences of a system failure. Finally, a case example is provided for the risk assessment of the pneumatic braking device.

A Bayesian State-space Production Assessment Model for Common Squid Todarodes pacificus Stock Caught by Multiple Fisheries in Korean Waters (한국 해역의 살오징어(Todarodes pacificus) 개체군 자원평가를 위한 베이지안 상태공간 잉여생산량 모델의 적용)

  • An, Dongyoung;Kim, Kyuhan;Kang, Heejung;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.769-781
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    • 2021
  • Given data about the annual fishery yield of the common squid Todarodes pacificus, and the catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) data from multiple fisheries from 2000-2018, we applied a Bayesian state - space assessment model for the squid population. One of our objectives was to do a stock assessment, simultaneously incorporating CPUE data from the following three fisheries, (i) large trawl, (ii) jigger, and (iii) large purse seine, which comprised on average a year about 65% of all fisheries, allowing possible correlations to be reflected. Other objectives were to consider both observation and process errors and to apply objective priors of parameters. The estimated annual exploitable biomass was in the range of 3.50×105 to 1.22×106 MT, the estimated intrinsic growth rate was 1.02, and the estimated carrying capacity was 1,151,259 MT. Comparison with available results from stock assessment of independently analyzed single fisheries revealed a large difference from the estimated values, suggesting that stock assessment based on multiple fisheries should be performed.

Stock News Dataset Quality Assessment by Evaluating the Data Distribution and the Sentiment Prediction

  • Alasmari, Eman;Hamdy, Mohamed;Alyoubi, Khaled H.;Alotaibi, Fahd Saleh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • This work provides a reliable and classified stocks dataset merged with Saudi stock news. This dataset allows researchers to analyze and better understand the realities, impacts, and relationships between stock news and stock fluctuations. The data were collected from the Saudi stock market via the Corporate News (CN) and Historical Data Stocks (HDS) datasets. As their names suggest, CN contains news, and HDS provides information concerning how stock values change over time. Both datasets cover the period from 2011 to 2019, have 30,098 rows, and have 16 variables-four of which they share and 12 of which differ. Therefore, the combined dataset presented here includes 30,098 published news pieces and information about stock fluctuations across nine years. Stock news polarity has been interpreted in various ways by native Arabic speakers associated with the stock domain. Therefore, this polarity was categorized manually based on Arabic semantics. As the Saudi stock market massively contributes to the international economy, this dataset is essential for stock investors and analyzers. The dataset has been prepared for educational and scientific purposes, motivated by the scarcity of data describing the impact of Saudi stock news on stock activities. It will, therefore, be useful across many sectors, including stock market analytics, data mining, statistics, machine learning, and deep learning. The data evaluation is applied by testing the data distribution of the categories and the sentiment prediction-the data distribution over classes and sentiment prediction accuracy. The results show that the data distribution of the polarity over sectors is considered a balanced distribution. The NB model is developed to evaluate the data quality based on sentiment classification, proving the data reliability by achieving 68% accuracy. So, the data evaluation results ensure dataset reliability, readiness, and high quality for any usage.

Life Cycle Assessment(LCA) of Rolling Stock (철도차량시스템의 전과정평가(LCA))

  • Kim Yong-Ki;Yoon Hee-Taek;Jung Woo-Sung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.533-538
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    • 2004
  • Rolling Stock life cycle can not provide weakness of environment due to the absence DB on about environment information for contaminant, expense analysis on each step which consists of raw material-design-manufacture-running-waste step. In order to estimate environmental impacts on LCA for rolling stock system, scientifically and internationally fair standards of assessment method for pursuing environmental friendly in environment regulation policy, application of LCA system is proposed and introduced in the present paper.

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Environmental Impact Assessment for Development Projects Considering Carbon Sink and Sequestration(III) - Focused on a Bogeumjari Housing Project - (탄소흡수원을 고려한 개발사업 환경영향평가 방안(III) - 보금자리주택 사업을 중심으로 -)

  • Hwang, Sang Il;Park, Sun Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.235-248
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we investigated the effect of carbon sequestration and sink on the environmental impact assessment of a Bogeumjari Housing Project. Through the case study, we found that, if the project is implemented, the amount of carbon stock tends to decrease greatly while as the amount of the carbon emission tends to greatly increase. Furthermore, we found that the future land use should be planned in detail in order to maintain the soil carbon stock prior to development. Also, enlargement of undeveloped forest land area would be more efficient than that of newly planted area in terms of carbon sequestration.

Fisheries resources management of crucian carp based on assessment of fish stock and potential yield in the mid-upper system of Seomjin River

  • Ryu, Hui Seong;Jang, Sung Hyun;Lee, Jung Ho;Lee, Jung Joon
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2014
  • This study was undertaken to suggest an effective fisheries resources management system by using stock assessment and potential yield analyses of crucian carp population in the mid-upper system of the Seomjin River. Fieldwork was conducted seasonally from 2008 to 2009 in the mid-upper system of the Seomjin River. The stock assessment was carried out by the swept area method and the potential yield was estimated by improved fisheries resource potential estimation system based on the Allowable Biological Catch. Also, the yield-per-recruit analysis was used to review the efficient management implication of the resource, Carassius auratus. As a result, the age at first capture ($t_c$) was estimated as 1.468 year, converted body length (BL) was 10.8 cm. Meaning the current fishing intensities, the instantaneous coefficient of fishing mortality (F) was $0.067year^{-1}$, and the yield-per-recruit analysis showed that the current yield per recruit was estimated to be 15.999 g with F and $t_c$. The instantaneous rate of fishing mortality that provides for Allowable Biological Catch ($F_{ABC}$) based on the current $t_c$ and F was estimated as $0.618year^{-1}$. Therefore, the optimum fishing intensities could be achieved at the higher fishing intensity for Carassius auratus. The calculated annual stock of C. auratus was estimated as 7,608 kg, and the potential yield was estimated as 343 kg with $t_c$ and F at the fixed current level. Using yield-per-recruit analysis, if F and $t_c$ were set at $0.618year^{-1}$ and 2 year, the yield per recruit and total allowable catch would be predicted to increase to 62 g and 2,531 kg by about 3.9 times and 7.3 times, respectively.

Vertical Distribution of Mega-invertebrate and Calculation to the Stock Assessment of Commercial Species Inhibiting Shallow Hard-bottom in Dokdo, Korea (독도 연안 암반에 서식하는 초대형 저서동물의 수직분포와 산업종의 현존량 추정)

  • Park, Heung-Sik;Park, Rae-Sun;Myoung, Jung-Goo
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.457-464
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    • 2002
  • Distribution and stock assessment of mega-benthos living in the shallow hard bottom around Dokdo were studied in July,2000. Depth and topographical conditions have affected to the densities and biomass of benthic animals. In shallow area, less than 10 m depth, turbo shell Batillus cornutus, mussel, Mytilus corusucs were dominated and showed distinct patterns in vertical distribution. On the other hand, the area over 10m depth, it showed diverse pattern depending on topography. Turbo shell, mussel and sea cucumber Stichopus japonicus were dominated in terms of fishery resources, but abalones were rarely sampled. Stock assessment were estimated to be 6.54 M/T, 3.89 M/T and 8.92 M/T, respectively. Some parts of coastal hard bottom around Dokdo, such as the area between Dongdo and Seodo, seemed to play an Important role as nursery ground. Therefore, it is necessary to the environmental monitoring for coastal fishery managements aspects.

A Comparative Analysis of Surplus Production Models and a Maximum Entropy Model for Estimating the Anchovy's Stock in Korea (우리나라 멸치자원량추정을 위한 잉여생산모델과 최대엔트로피모델의 비교분석)

  • Pyo, Hee-Dong
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2006
  • For fishery stock assessment and optimum sustainable yield of anchovy in Korea, surplus production(SP) models and a maximum entropy(ME) model are employed in this paper. For determining appropriate models, five traditional SP models-Schaefer model, Schnute model, Walters and Hilborn model, Fox model, and Clarke, Yoshimoto and Pooley (CYP) model- are tested for effort and catch data of anchovy that occupies 7% in the total fisheries landings of Korea. Only CYP model of five SP models fits statistically significant at the 10% level. Estimated intrinsic growth rates are similar in both CYP and ME models, while environmental carrying capacity of the ME model is quite greater than that of the CYP model. In addition, the estimated maximum sustainable yield(MSY), 213,287 tons in the ME model is slightly higher than that of CYP model (198,364 tons). Biomass for MSY in the ME model, however, is calculated 651,000 tons which is considerably greater than that of the CYP model (322,881 tons). It is meaningful in that two models are compared for noting some implications about any significant difference of stock assessment and their potential strength and weakness.

Fatigue Life Assessment of Journal Box Attached to Bogie under Multiaxial Random Dynamic Loading (다축 Random Dynamic 하중을 받는 대차 저널박스의 피로수명평가)

  • Park, Sang-Goo;Kim, Seung-Seob;Han, Sung-Wook;Park, Geun-Su;Woo, Kwan-Je
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1125-1131
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the evaluation of fatigue life for a journal box attached to rolling stock bogie under random dynamic loading condition. Because a journal box was under random dynamic loading conditions, the fatigue life assessment due to these loads requires the analysis considering the multiaxial effect of random dynamic loading. To do this work, the finite element analysis has been conducted to calculate random dynamic response using multiaxial acceleration data. Then, the fatigue life assessment of component has been conducted using vibration fatigue analysis applying the power spectral densities of the responses obtained through the FEA The results of fatigue life assessment were compared to the damage from the strain measurement. This study shows that can be evaluated the fatigue life assessment considering real service condition about a component attached to rolling stock bogie.

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A Bayesian state-space production model for Korean chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) stock

  • Jung, Yuri;Seo, Young Il;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2021
  • The main purpose of this study is to fit catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) data about Korea chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) stock with a state-space production (SSP) model, and to provide stock assessment results. We chose a surplus production model for the chub mackerel data, namely annual yield and CPUE. Then we employed a state-space layer for a production model to consider two sources of variability arising from unmodelled factors (process error) and noise in the data (observation error). We implemented the model via script software ADMB-RE because it reduces the computational cost of high-dimensional integration and provides Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, which is required for Bayesian approaches. To stabilize the numerical optimization, we considered prior distributions for model parameters. Applying the SSP model to data collected from commercial fisheries from 1999 to 2017, we estimated model parameters and management references, as well as uncertainties for the estimates. We also applied various production models and showed parameter estimates and goodness of fit statistics to compare the model performance. This study presents two significant findings. First, we concluded that the stock has been overexploited in terms of harvest rate from 1999 to 2017. Second, we suggest a SSP model for the smallest goodness of fit statistics among several production models, especially for fitting CPUE data with fluctuations.