• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock Rate of Return

Search Result 112, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

System Trading using Case-based Reasoning based on Absolute Similarity Threshold and Genetic Algorithm (절대 유사 임계값 기반 사례기반추론과 유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 시스템 트레이딩)

  • Han, Hyun-Woong;Ahn, Hyun-Chul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.63-90
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose This study proposes a novel system trading model using case-based reasoning (CBR) based on absolute similarity threshold. The proposed model is designed to optimize the absolute similarity threshold, feature selection, and instance selection of CBR by using genetic algorithm (GA). With these mechanisms, it enables us to yield higher returns from stock market trading. Design/Methodology/Approach The proposed CBR model uses the absolute similarity threshold varying from 0 to 1, which serves as a criterion for selecting appropriate neighbors in the nearest neighbor (NN) algorithm. Since it determines the nearest neighbors on an absolute basis, it fails to select the appropriate neighbors from time to time. In system trading, it is interpreted as the signal of 'hold'. That is, the system trading model proposed in this study makes trading decisions such as 'buy' or 'sell' only if the model produces a clear signal for stock market prediction. Also, in order to improve the prediction accuracy and the rate of return, the proposed model adopts optimal feature selection and instance selection, which are known to be very effective in enhancing the performance of CBR. To validate the usefulness of the proposed model, we applied it to the index trading of KOSPI200 from 2009 to 2016. Findings Experimental results showed that the proposed model with optimal feature or instance selection could yield higher returns compared to the benchmark as well as the various comparison models (including logistic regression, multiple discriminant analysis, artificial neural network, support vector machine, and traditional CBR). In particular, the proposed model with optimal instance selection showed the best rate of return among all the models. This implies that the application of CBR with the absolute similarity threshold as well as the optimal instance selection may be effective in system trading from the perspective of returns.

Pricing an Outside Barrier Equity-Indexed Annuity with Flexible Monitoring Period (배리어 옵션이 내재된 지수연동형 보험상품의 가격결정)

  • Shin, Seung-Hee;Lee, Hang-Suck
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.249-264
    • /
    • 2009
  • Equity-indexed annuities(EIAs) provide their customers with the greater of either the return linked to the underlying index or the minimum guaranteed return. Insurance companies have developed EIAs to attract customers reluctant to buy traditional fixed annuities because of low returns and also reluctant to buy mutual funds for fear of the high volatility in the stock market. This paper proposes a new type of EIA embedded with an outside barrier option with flexible monitoring period in order to increase its participation rate. It also derives an explicit pricing formula for this proposed product, and discusses numerical examples to show relationships among participation rate, barrier level, index volatility and correlation.

A Baseline Study on Quality Improvement Strategy for Appropriate Management of Medical Supplies and Goods at General Hospitals in Korea (우리 나라 종합병원 진료재료 구매와 재고관리 질 향상 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yeon-Hee;Yoon, Seok-Jun
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.6-17
    • /
    • 2002
  • Background : This study was conducted to investigate the current situation of medical supply purchasing and stock management at general hospitals having more than 150 beds in Korea and to find methods of effective purchasing and optimal stock management. Methods : Survey was done from staff at the purchasing departments of 229 general hospitals throughout Korea. Data collection was done using a structured questionnaire between January 3 to March 15, 2001. The survey form was returned from 88 hospitals (rate of return: 38.4%). Results : Firstly, 13.6% of the hospitals did not carry the optimal stock of medical supplies, the lead time optimal stock was 3 weeks or longer in 64.4% of the hospitals. Secondly, since 69.8% of the hospitals showed passive attitude toward training on purchasing management and stock management techniques. Thirdly, as for the question on the presence or absence of a deliberation committee for purchasing of new medical supplies, 60% of the hospitals with less than 300 beds did not have one, and 9.4% of the hospitals opened the deliberation committee less than twice a year. Conclusion : At the time of purchasing new medical supplies, purchasing should be done according to the decision by the deliberation committee so that no deduction is made at the time of claiming insurance, and by setting a certain period of time, purchasing of those medical supplies that were not purchased during this period needs to be done according to the decision by the deliberation committee.

  • PDF

Economic Valuation of the Off-Shore Fisheries Stock Enhancement Project (근해 수산자원 증대사업의 경제적 타당성 평가)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu;Ryu, Jeong-Gon;Sim, Seong-Hyun;Oh, Tae-Geon;Lim, Byeong-Gwon
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.52 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-31
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study is to evaluate the prior economic feasibility of the off-shore fisheries stock enhancement project. The main findings of this study can be summarized as follows: first, offshore fisheries stock enhancement project shall be implemented by dividing them into 1st·2nd·3rd projects for efficient promotion. The 1st·2nd·3rd projects will be conducted in a total of 50 locations (the eastern sea, the western sea, the southern sea, and the jeju sea areas), and the project period per unit will be five years, which will cost 1 trillion won. Second, according to the results of the survey on public awareness, the most consumed marine species in Korea over the past year were analyzed in the order of mackerel, hairtail, squid, yellow corvina, blue crab, and cod. The dominant response to the reason for consuming marine products in Korea was healthy well-being food and safe food. In addition, 67.9% of them have hesitated to purchase offshore fish species over the past year due to high prices, indicating that they are burdened by high prices. On the other hand, 79% of the respondents said that the government's policy was insufficient, according to a survey on whether the government's coastal marine resource creation policy was sufficient. Third, as a result of preliminary economic analysis of offshore fisheries stock enhancement project, the benefit-cost ratio is 4.01, net present price is 1,283.7 billion won, and internal rate of return is 91.7% per year, which means that the economic analysis ensures the feasibility of the projects. The results of this study provide useful information on securing or organizing budgets for offshore fisheries stock enhancement project by securing economic feasibility as a national infrastructure project that increases fishery income and public benefits such as consumption of marine products.

The Impact of Capital Structure on Firm Value: A Case Study in Vietnam

  • LUU, Duc Huu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.5
    • /
    • pp.287-292
    • /
    • 2021
  • The article analyzes the impact of capital structure on the firm value of chemical companies listed on the stock market of Vietnam. Data was collected from the financial statements of 23 chemical firms listed on the Vietnam stock market from 2012 to 2019. Quantitative research method with regression model according to OLS, FEM, REM method is used; FGLS method is used to overcome the model's defects. In this research, firm value (Tobin's Q) is a dependent variable. Capital structure (DA), Return on assets (ROA), Asset turnover (AT), fixed assets (TANG), Solvency (CR), Firm size (SZ), Firm Age (AGE), and revenue growth rate (GR) are independent variables in the study. The analysis results show that the capital structure of firms in the chemical industry listed on the Vietnam stock market has an inverse correlation with firm value. Besides, firms with greater asset turnover, business size, and number of years of operation have lower firm value. This article helps corporate executives improve corporate value by adjusting their capital structure properly. Chemical firms adjusted their capital structure in the direction of gradually decreasing the debt ratio and gradually increasing equity. Firms use high debt, which has the effect of reducing the firm value of firms in the chemical industry.

A Simulation Study of the Investment Strategy in Stocks on Fundamental Analysis (기본적 분석방법을 통한 주식 투자 전략에 관한 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • Korean Management Science Review
    • /
    • v.29 no.2
    • /
    • pp.53-64
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper is about the investment strategy in stocks on Fundamental analysis. Financial data of stocks from January 2. 2001 through October 30. 2009 were utilized in order to suggest the investment strategies. Fundamental analysis was used in stocks-related strategy. The portfolios are composed of 3 criteria such as the buying criteria score, exchange cycle and selling conditions. The buying criteria score is determined assigned to each stock index according to the satisfaction condition of 15 parameters selected considering the grue's criteria. The stock buying alternatives has two options with buying stocks over 13 points and over 14 points of buying criteria score. The seven exchange cycles and three selling methods are considered. So total number of portfolios is 42($2{\times}7{\times}3=42$). The simulation has been executed about each 42 portfolios and we figured out with the simulation result that 83.33% of 35 portfolios are more profitable than average stock market profit(203.43%). The outcome of this research is summarized in two parts. First, it's the exchange strategy of portfolio. The result shows that value-oriented investment (long-term investment) strategy yields much higher than short-term investment strategies of stocks. Second, it's about the exchange cycle forming the portfolios. The result shows that the rate of return for the portfolio is the best when exchange cycle is 18 months.

Income Distribution and Factors Affecting the Bank's Stability

  • TRINH, Viet Xuan;DO, Du Kim;NGUYEN, Anh Thi Lan
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.20 no.9
    • /
    • pp.23-28
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose: Research on banking sustainability plays an important role in helping banks understand the level of risk in different types of companies. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine the factors affecting the sustainability of Joint Stock Commercia l Banks in Vietnam. Research design, data and methodology: The following theories, the factors affecting the bank's sustainability include: Business model diversification (income diversification), bank size, loan ratio, and net interest margin. Data was collected from Joint Stock Commercial banks in Vietnam from 2015 to 2019. With GLS model on panel data with banks listed on Vietnam stock exchange. Results: The analysis results show that net interest income has a positive impact on the sustainable business results of banks through the rate of return on total assets (ROA). The non-interest income hasn't impact on bank stability. From this result, there aren't positive signs of income diversification in banks. At the same time, with the obtained results, the study also provides a policy implication for banks. Conclusions: The study also provides some policy implications to improve the bank stability. Diversifying income in banks is necessary, but how to make it influential banks has not yet been done. Therefore, the adjustments in non-interest business activities need to be carefully considered by banks.

Volatility & Correlation Analysis of the East Asian Stock Market - Focusing on Korea·Japan·China·Hong Kong·Taiwan (동아시아 주식시장의 상관관계와 변동성 분석 - 한국·일본·중국·홍콩·대만을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.17 no.5
    • /
    • pp.165-173
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the correlation and volatility of Korea and neighboring East Asia stock markets. East Asian stock markets were selected for Japan, China, Hong Kong and Taiwan by economically and geographically close with Korea. If you understand the volatility and the correlation between Korea and the East Asian stock market, it may be helpful in predicting investment. And It may reduce the risk of investing of asset allocation in global portfolio level. For this using the national monthly return data for the last 163 months, I was calculating and comparison the rate and correlation, and regression analysis. Result of the correlation analysis, Korea have shown a low correlation with China. while showing a high correlation with Taiwan and Hong Kong. China has been forming its own market in East Asia and showing a low correlation with other countries exception Hong Kong. Hong Kong has been determined as the highest harmonization within the East Stock Market.

Analysis of Stock Price Increase and Volatility of Logistics Related Companies (물류관련 기업들의 주가 상승률과 변동성 분석)

  • Choi, Soo-Ho;Choi, Jeong-Il
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.135-144
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study is to identify the growth rate and volatility of logistics related firms in the stock market. To do this, we used monthly data for 197 years from June 2000 to October 2016 by selecting KOSPI and Transport & Storage(T&S), KOSDAQ, Transportation(TRANS) index. The purpose of this study is to compare the T&S and TRANS stock index returns with the KOSPI and KOSDAQ index. And we are to judge whether the development potential of the logistics industry and the value of the investment of related companies in the future is high. For this purpose, we will analyze the basic statistics, correlation and growth rate of each index, and compare T&S and TRANS with market returns. Analysis result, for the past 197 months logistics related T&S and TRANS have been higher than market returns. The correlation was highly related to TRANS and T & S in KOSPI, but it was not related to KOSDAQ. TRANS represents high risk and high return, while KOSDAQ represents high risk and low return market. TRANS is considered to be an efficient investment. We expect the future development of logistics related industries and T & S and TRANS to show a high rate of increase compared to the market returns.

The Influence of Customer Satisfaction on Market Value of the Corporate (고객만족도가 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Bae, Jungho;Lee, Hee-Tae
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.16 no.10
    • /
    • pp.55-64
    • /
    • 2018
  • Purpose - The most important goal of corporate management is the maximization of firm value in the market. Executives of companies are making effort to increase corporate value and initiate various management strategies, which is to develop the products or service with value. Through these efforts, consumer satisfaction grows and loyalty increases, which leads to the positive change of customer satisfaction index. The purpose of this research is to find out the abnormal return after the KCSI(Korean Customer Satisfaction Index) is announced. Research design, data, and methodology - This research data is collected from 11 years' stock price in KOSPI market and KCSI. The authors analyze the abnormal return triggered by the announcement of KCSI through the event study. Results - First, newly enlisted companies in the KCSI show statistically significant short-term abnormal rate of return. Second, the value of the customer satisfaction index is not the level of customer satisfaction but the direction of the change in the CSI. Conclusion - Customer satisfaction has the important intangible asset in the marketing area. However, firms' investment for CS is not an easy decision, because of the difficulty to measure the effect on corporate market value. This research investigates the change of the market value after the announcement of KCSI. Based on the results, firms have to keep trying to increase KCSI relative to the previous year. And the small company has to struggle for being newly listed in the KCSI.