• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock Rate of Return

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A Study on the Synchronizing Relations among the Return Rate on Housing Markets and Stock Market (주택시장 및 주식시장의 수익률 동조화현상에 관한 연구 - 지역별, 주택형태별, 기간별 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Kang, Won Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.125-126
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 부동산 시장을 지역별(서울 강남, 강북지역) 및 주택형태별(아파트, 단독주택, 연립주택)로 분류하여 주식시장 및 각 형태별 주택시장의 수익률 동조화현상을 비교분석하였다. 또한 각 자산 간의 수익률을 1998년도 외환위기와 2008년도 글로벌 금융위기를 전후로 비교하여 기간 간의 수익률 및 수익률 변동성 차이에 대해서 분석하였다. 구분된 시기별로 각 자산의 수익률은 첫째, 주택시장은 주식시장과는 동조현상이 없는 것으로 분석되었으며, 둘째, 지역별 및 주택형태별 시장은 서로 동조현상이 있으나 그 정도는 시기에 따라 차이가 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

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A Study on the Analysis of Optimal Asset Allocation and Welfare Improvemant Factors through ESG Investment (ESG투자를 통한 최적자산배분과 후생개선 요인분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Sangkyun;Lee, Jeongseok;Rhee, Joon-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.171-184
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: First, this paper suggests an alternative approach to find optimal portfolio (stocks, bonds and ESG stocks) under the maximizing utility of investors. Second, we include ESG stocks in our optimal portfolio, and compare improvement of welfares in the case with and without ESG stocks in portfolio. Methods: Our main method of analysis follows Brennan et al(2002), designed under the continuous time framework. We assume that the dynamics of stock price follow the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) while the short rate have the Vasicek model. For the utility function of investors, we use the Power Utility Function, which commonly used in financial studies. The optimal portfolio and welfares are derived in the partial equilibrium. The parameters are estimated by using Kalman filter and ordinary least square method. Results: During the overall analysis period, the portfolio including ESG, did not show clear welfare improvement. In 2017, it has slightly exceeded this benchmark 1, showing the possibility of improvement, but the ESG stocks we selected have not strongly shown statistically significant welfare improvement results. This paper showed that the factors affecting optimal asset allocation and welfare improvement were different each other. We also found that the proportion of optimal asset allocation was affected by factors such as asset return, volatility, and inverse correlation between stocks and bonds, similar to traditional financial theory. Conclusion: The portfolio with ESG investment did not show significant results in welfare improvement is due to that 1) the KRX ESG Leaders 150 selected in our study is an index based on ESG integrated scores, which are designed to affect stability rather than profitability. And 2) Korea has a short history of ESG investment. During the limited analysis period, the performance of stock-related assets was inferior to bond assets at the time of the interest rate drop.

What explains firm valuation? Evidence from the Chinese manufacturing sector (중국 제조업 상장기업의 가치평가 설명요인에 관한 연구)

  • Sha Qiang;Yun Joo An;Moon Sub Choi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.229-262
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    • 2020
  • The price-to-earnings ratio (PER) is an important indicator to measure the stock price and profitability of a firm; it is also the most used valuation indicator among investors. When using the PER to compare the investment values of different stocks, these stocks must come from the same sector. This study mainly focuses on the China's listed manufacturing firms. By learning from previous research results and analyzing the current situation, we studied the correlation between the manufacturing sector's PER and its influencing factors from both macro and micro perspectives, the combination of which eventually sheds light on such correlation. Analyzing GDP growth rate data, Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, and other macroeconomic variables from 2008 to 2018, we conclude that these variables jointly have a certain impact on the average PER of the manufacturing sector. We then form panel data based on relevant (2014-2018) data gathered from 317 of China's A-listed manufacturing firms to study the impact of micro-variables on PER. By using Stata and other software to analyze the panel data, we reach the conclusion that the Debt to Asset Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS growth rate, Operating Profit Ratio, Dividend Payout Ratio, and firm size have a significant impact on PER. The Current Ratio, Treasury Stock ratio and Ownership Concentration have no distinct effect on PER. Based on our empirical findings, we design a theoretical model that affects the PER.

The Price Dynamics in Futures and Option Markets - based on KOSPI200 stock index market - (주가지수선물가격과 옵션가격의 동적관련성에 관한 연구 - KOSPI 200 주가지수현물시장을 중심으로 -)

  • Seo, Sang-Gu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2017
  • This study investigates the dynamic relationship between KOSPI200 stock index and stock index futures and stock index option markets which is its derived from KOSPI200 stock index. We use 5-minutes rate of return data from 2012. 06 to 2014. 12. To empirical analysis, this study use autocorrelation and cross-correlation analysis as a preliminary analysis and then following Stoll and Whaley(1990) and Chan(1992), the multiple regression is estimated to examine the lead-lag patterns between the stock index and stock index futures and option markets by Newey and West's(1987) Empirical results of our study shows as follows. First, there exist a strong autocorrelation in the KOSPI200 stock index before 10minutes but a very weak autocorrelation in the stock index futures and option markets. Second, there is a strong evidence that stock index future and option markets lead KOSPI200 stock index in the cross-correlation analysis. Third, based on the multiple regression, the stock index futures and option markets lead the stock index prior to 10-15 minutes and weak evidence that the stock index leads the future and option markets. This results show that the market efficient of KOSPI200 stock index market is improved as compared to the early stage of stock index future and option market.

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A Study on the Dynamic Correlation between the Korean ETS Market, Energy Market and Stock Market (한국 ETS시장, 에너지시장 및 주식시장 간의 동태적 상관관계에 관한 연구)

  • Guo-Dong Yang;Yin-Hua Li
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.189-208
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    • 2023
  • This paper analyzed the dynamic conditional correlation between the Korean ETS market, energy market and stock market. This paper conducted an empirical analysis using daily data of Korea's carbon credit trading price, WTI crude oil futures price, and KOSPI index from February 2, 2015 to December 30, 2021. First, the volatility of the three markets was analyzed using the GARCH model, and then the dynamic conditional correlations between the three markets were studied using the bivariate DCC-GARCH model. The research results are as follows. First, it was found that the Korean ETS market has a higher rate of return and higher investment risk than the stock market. Second, the yield volatility of the Korean ETS market was found to be most affected by external shocks and least affected by the volatility information of the market itself. Third, the correlation between the Korean ETS market and the stock market was stronger than that of the WTI crude oil futures market. This paper analyzed the correlation between the Korean ETS market, energy market, and stock market and confirmed that the level of financialization in the Korean ETS market is quite low.

Long Memory Properties in the Volatility of Australian Financial Markets: A VaR Approach (호주 금융시장 변동성의 장기기억 특성: VaR 접근법)

  • Kang, Sang-Hoon;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.3-26
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    • 2008
  • This article investigates the usefulness of the skewed Student-t distribution in modeling the long memory volatility property that might be present in the daily returns of two Australian financial series; the ASX200 stock index and AUD/USD exchange rate. For this purpose we assess the performance of FIGARCH and FIAPARCH Value-at-Risk (VaR) models based on the normal, Student-t, and skewed Student-t distribution innovations. Our results support the argument that the skewed Student-t distribution models produce more accurate VaR estimates of Australian financial markets than the normal and Student-t distribution models. Thus, consideration of skewness and excess kurtosis in asset return distributions provides appropriate criteria for model selection in the context of long memory volatility models in Australian stock and foreign exchange markets.

The Effects of Research and Development Expenditure on the Firm Value: Focusing on the Portfolio's Excess Return

  • Choi, Shi Yeong;Kim, Kun Woo
    • Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.37-62
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    • 2017
  • To analyze the effects of R&D expenditure on the firm value of Korean firms, we classified portfolios based on R&D activity levels. After that, we conducted a time-series analysis to assess excess returns from the portfolios. To carry out such an analysis, an empirical analysis of excess returns in the capital market was performed by using the monthly earning rate of stocks from 2000 to 2013. The purpose of this research is to provide basic data on investment to stakeholders in the capital market by analyzing the effects of R&D on the firm value and to overcome scholarly limitations by offering a new model of analysis. The criteria for classifying the portfolios were based on R&D expenditure levels. The analysis models follow the Fama-French Three-Factor Model and the Carhart Four-Factor Model. The analyses results are as follows. Extrapolating monthly profit rates based on R&D expenditure levels, portfolios with low R&D expenditures showed higher earning rates than those with high R&D expenditures. This suggests that high R&D expenditures did not translate into high earning rates. The investor depreciates the R&D expenditures related profitability and the possibility of success in the market, leading to falls in stock prices and a failure to give a positive effect on the firm value. Our research differs from the previous investigations as we carried out an empirical analysis based on the actual investors' attitudes about R&D expenditures and how these can generate excess earnings. Our research results show that the data related to R&D expenditure are not reflected fully in the market.

A Study on the Investment Efficiency of BW Bond (신주인수권부사채의 투자효율성 연구)

  • Jung, Hee-Seog
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to find out what the investment efficiency of BW is from an investor's point of view and to suggest an efficient investment plan to investors. The research method is to investigate the coupon interest rate, maturity interest rate, issuance date, right exercise start and end date, maturity date, exercise price, etc. for BW issued from 2014 to July 2021. By connecting them, it was attempted to quantitatively understand the efficiency of investment in BW and the effect of new stock acquisitions. As a result of the study, the ratio of the number of days in excess of the exercise price was 41.3% of the available days for new stocks, so it was analyzed that the investment efficiency of bonds with warrants was not high. The return on the exercise start date was 24.8% on average and the return on the end date was 52.6% on average, showing a positive return on average, so it was derived in line with investor expectations. The number of stocks with negative returns on the exercise start date was 1.47 times higher than the number of stocks with positive returns, and the number of stocks with negative returns on the end date was 1.16 times higher than the number of positive stocks.

Comparison of realized volatilities reflecting overnight returns (장외시간 수익률을 반영한 실현변동성 추정치들의 비교)

  • Cho, Soojin;Kim, Doyeon;Shin, Dong Wan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.85-98
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    • 2016
  • This study makes an empirical comparison of various realized volatilities (RVs) in terms of overnight returns. In financial asset markets, during overnight or holidays, no or few trading data are available causing a difficulty in computing RVs for a whole span of a day. A review will be made on several RVs reflecting overnight return variations. The comparison is made for forecast accuracies of several RVs for some financial assets: the US S&P500 index, the US NASDAQ index, the KOSPI (Korean Stock Price Index), and the foreign exchange rate of the Korea won relative to the US dollar. The RV of a day is compared with the square of the next day log-return, which is a proxy for the integrated volatility of the day. The comparison is made by investigating the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Statistical inference of MAE and RMSE is made by applying the model confidence set (MCS) approach and the Diebold-Mariano test. For the three index data, a specific RV emerges as the best one, which addresses overnight return variations by inflating daytime RV.

Impact of Working Capital Management on Firm Performance in Different Business Cycles: Evidence from Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Co Trong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.863-867
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted on financial data of 38 economic groups listed on Vietnam's stock market for the period 2009 - 2019 and it aims to provide an empirical evidence on the impact of working capital management policy on performance in all phases of the economic cycle of Vietnamese economic groups. The study uses FGLS estimation method with 2 dependent variables ROA, GOP, independent variables including INV, AR, AP, CCC, dummy variable representing different phases of the economic cycle, variables Control includes CAT, CR, LEV, SZ, GR. Research shows that the greater the level of investment by companies in liquid assets corresponding to a certain level of activity (shown by average days of inventory (INV), average days of collection. (AR), cash flow cycle (CCC)) the lower the rate of return on assets. The study also provides additional evidence of the negative effects of economic crisis on the performance of economic groups. The study also shows that the number of short-term asset cycles has a positive impact on operational efficiency, and the level of debt use has a negative impact on operational efficiency. This result implies that the managers of economic groups can increase the efficiency of businesses through a reasonable working capital policy.