• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.7 no.8
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• pp.41-49
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• 2020

This study investigates the short-run and long-run causal behavior of the Philippine stock market index volatility under vector error correction environment. The variables were tested first for stationarity and then long-run equilibrium relationship. Moreover, an impulse response function was estimated to examine the extent of innovations in the independent variables in explaining the Philippine stock market index volatility. The results reveal that the volatility of the Philippine stock market index exhibit long-run equilibrium relationship with Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil prices. The short-run dynamics-based VECM estimates indicate that in the short-run, increases (i.e., depreciation) in Peso-Dollar exchange rate cause PSEI volatility to increase. As for the London Interbank Offered Rate, it causes increases in PSEI volatility in the short-run. The adjustment coefficients used with the long-run dynamics validates the presence of unidirectional causal long-run relationship from Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil prices to PSEI volatility, and bidirectional causal long-run relationship between PSEI volatility and London Interbank Offered Rate. The impulse response functions developed within the VECM framework demonstrate the positive and negative reactions of PSEI volatility to unanticipated Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil price shocks.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.10
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• pp.219-228
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• 2021

The study examines the behavior of stock prices after large price changes. It further examines the effect of firm size on stock returns, and the presence of the disposition effect. The study employs the event study methodology using daily price data from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) for the period January 2001 to July 2012. Furthermore, to examine the factors that explain stock price behavior after large price movements, the study employs a two-way fixed-effect model that allows for the analysis of unobservable company and time fixed effects that explain market reversals or continuation. The findings suggest that winners perform better than losers after experiencing large price shocks thus showing a momentum behavior. In addition, the winners remain the winner, while the losers continue to lose more. This suggests that most of the investors in PSX behave rationally. Further, the study finds no evidence of disposition effect in PSX. The investors underreact to new information and the prices continue to move in the direction of initial change. The pooled regression estimates show that firm size is positively related to post-event abnormal returns while the fixed-effect model reveals the presence of unobservable firm-specific and time-specific effects that account for price continuation.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.7
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• pp.375-381
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• 2021

Underpricing signifies that IPO share prices do not reflect the fundamental value of the listed company. Corporate governance plays an essential role in IPOs where the board of directors, the independent board of directors, and the board of supervisors are significant elements of accurate share pricing. The study investigates the underpricing phenomena and short-term performance of the IPO companies during the listing process in the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE). The work outcomes illustrate the role of the corporate organizational structure in the period of the IPO process that may attract potential investors. The hypothesis testing is conducted with a multiple regression model including 100 observations from enterprises doing IPO listed on HOSE. The study results generate signals for the investors and regulators that the board of directors holds a strong negative influence on the underpricing process. Secondly, the level of the independent board of directors and stock exchange in itself has no significant impact on the underpricing process. Underpricing is one of the many anomalies of the stock exchanges that provide wrong signals for the market participants. Identifying stock prices that reflect their intrinsic value is an ongoing debate among scholars, investors, and other market participants.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.18 no.11
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• pp.267-272
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• 2020

Macroeconomics are one of the indicators that are preceded and analyzed when analyzing stocks because it shows the movement of a country's economy as a whole. The overall economic situation at the national level, such as national income, inflation, unemployment, exchange rates, currency, interest rates, and balance of payments, has a great affect on the stock market, and economic indicators are actually correlated with stock prices. It is the main source of data for analysts to watch with interest and to determine buy and sell considering the impact on individual stock prices. Therefore, economic indicators that impact on the stock price are analyzed as leading indicators, and the stock price prediction is predicted through deep learning-based prediction, after that the actual stock price is compared. If you decide to buy or sell stocks by analysis of stock prediction, then stocks can be investments, not gambling. Therefore, this research was conducted to enable automated stock trading by using macro-indicators and deep learning algorithms in artificial intelligence.

• 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2018.04a
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• pp.183-185
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• 2018

Online search has recently become a popular business research field not only because the search volume is used to predict demand, but also consumer search history is effective to predict product prices and investment returns. This study analyzes the relationship between the Internet search volume of IPO stocks and their post-IPO stock returns in Korean Exchange. We find that the lower the amount of Internet search for stocks before IPO, the higher the stock returns after IPO both in short and long-term. Similar results are shown for excess returns over benchmark stocks. This finding suggests that IPO stocks with low investors' attention based on the Internet search volume may be undervalued.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.945-953
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• 2007

In this paper, we propose a smoothing and thus noise-reducing method of data sequences for stock price prediction with hidden Markov models, HMMs. The suggested method just uses simple moving average. A proper average size is obtained from forecasting experiments with stock prices of bank sector of Korean Exchange. Forecasting method with HMM and moving average smoothing is compared with a conventional method.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.7 no.12
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• pp.131-138
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• 2020

In accordance with huge demand for capital to meet the expansion of steel production, there are more and more steel companies who have officially listed their stocks in HOSE and HNX. One of the key issues in successful initial public offerings and seasonal offerings for these companies is how to make stocks of steel companies become more attractive in the eyes of investors. The purpose of this research is to analyze the determinants of share prices of listed steel companies in Vietnam. This study utilized macro-economic variables, ratios and indicators representing characteristics of steel industry collected from Quarter 1/2006 to Quarter 4/2019 in association with the panel data and the feasible generalized least square (FGLS) model to evaluate the degree of these factors on the share prices. The results of the research show that ROE, Cons_rate, and CO2_rate are three main factors affecting the share prices of listed steel companies. Among which, ROE and Cons_rate have a positive effect, while CO2_rate has a negative effect on the share prices of listed steel companies. It also confirms the relationship between the environmental factor, construction industry factor and the stock prices. This lays foundations for recommendations for the future policies towards environmental protection and sustainable development.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.13-22
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• 2003

Simulations on the nonlinear partial differential equation derived from Black-Scholes equation with transaction costs are performed. These numerical experiments using finite element methods are applied to KOSPI200 in 2002 and the option prices obtained with transaction costs are closer to the real prices in market than the prices used in Korea Stock Exchange.

• Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.141-151
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• 2008

In this paper, we derive the nonlinear equation for European option pricing containing liquidity risk which can be defined as the inverse of the partial derivative of the underlying asset price with respect to the amount of assets traded in the efficient market. Numerical solutions are obtained by using finite element method and compared with option prices of KOSPI200 Stock Index. These prices computed with liquidity risk are considered more realistic than the prices of Black-Scholes model without liquidity risk.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.123-144
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• 2016

This paper investigates the linkages between returns both in foreign exchange and stock markets, and uncertainties in two markets using daily data for the period of 16 July 2004 to 30 June 2014 in Nepalese economy. Four hypotheses are tested about how uncertainty influences the stock index and exchange rates. From the empirical results, a bivariate EGARCH-M model is the best to explain the volatility in the two markets. There is a negative relationship from the exchange rates return to stock price return. Empirical results do provide strong empirical confirmation that negative effect of stock index uncertainty and positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty on average stock index. GARCH-in-mean variables in AR modeling are significant and shows that there is positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty and negative effect of stock index uncertainty on average exchange rates. Stock index shocks have longer lived effects on uncertainty in the stock market than exchange rates shock have on uncertainly in the foreign exchange market. The effect of the last period's shock, volatility is more sensitive to its own lagged values.