• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.1327-1336
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• 2017

본 연구에서는 단기 예측을 위한 자기회귀누적이동평균모형, 역전파 신경망 및 유전자 알고리즘의 결합 적용에 대하여 논의하고 이를 통한 유전자-신경망 알고리즘의 효용성을 살펴본다. 일반적으로 역전파 알고리즘은 지역 최소값에 수렴될 수 있는 단점이 있기 때문에, 여기서는 예측 정확도를 높이기 위해 역전파 신경망 구조를 최적화하고 유전자 알고리즘을 결합한 유전자-신경망 알고리즘 기반 예측모형을 구축한다. 실험을 통한 오차 비교는 KOSPI 지수를 이용한다. 결과는 이 연구에서 제안된 유전자-신경망 모형이 역전파 신경망 모형과 비교할 때 예측 정확도에서 어느 정도 유의한 효율성을 보여주고자 한다.

• 경영정보학연구
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.23-43
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• 2021

최근 인공지능 기법을 활용하여 캔들스틱 차트를 분석함으로써 주식가격 예측의 정확성을 높이고자 하는 다양한 연구가 진행되어 왔다. 그러나 이러한 연구들은 주식가격 예측을 위한 학습에 있어 캔들스틱 차트의 시계열적 특성을 고려하지 못한다는 점과 시장 참여자들의 감정 상태를 고려하지 못한다는 점 등이 문제로 지적되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 시장 참여자들의 감정상태를 반영하기 위해 변동성지수(VIX: volatility index) 차트를 캔들스틱 차트와 함께 고려하여 학습시키고 이를 변이형 오토인코더(VAE: variational auto encoder)와 어텐션 메커니즘(attention mechanisms)을 결합한 새로운 방법으로 분석하여 캔들스틱 차트의 시계열적 특성을 고려함으로써 기존 연구의 한계를 극복하고자 한다. 본 연구에서 제안한 방법의 성능 비교를 위해 S&P 500 기업 가운데 50개를 임의로 추출하여 제안한 방법을 통해 이들의 주식가격을 예측하고 이를 합성곱 신경망(CNN: convolutional neural network) 또는 장단기메모리(LSTM: long-short term memory) 등과 같은 기존 방법들과 비교하였다. 비교 결과 기존 방법들에 비해 본 연구에서 제안한 방법이 더 우수한 성능을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 시장 참여자들의 감정 상태와 캔들스틱 차트의 시계열적 특성을 고려함으로써 주식 가격 예측의 정확성을 높였다는 점에서 그 의의가 있다.

• 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지능정보시스템학회 1999년도 추계학술대회-지능형 정보기술과 미래조직 Information Technology and Future Organization
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• pp.323-335
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• 1999

In this paper, we propose a new hybrid model of artificial neural networks(ANNs) and genetic algorithm (GA) to optimal feature transformation and feature weighting. Previous research proposed several variants of hybrid ANNs and GA models including feature weighting, feature subset selection and network structure optimization. Among the vast majority of these studies, however, ANNs did not learn the patterns of data well, because they employed GA for simple use. In this study, we incorporate GA in a simultaneous manner to improve the learning and generalization ability of ANNs. In this study, GA plays role to optimize feature weighting and feature transformation simultaneously. Globally optimized feature weighting overcome the well-known limitations of gradient descent algorithm and globally optimized feature transformation also reduce the dimensionality of the feature space and eliminate irrelevant factors in modeling ANNs. By this procedure, we can improve the performance and enhance the generalisability of ANNs.

• 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보통신설비학회 2009년도 정보통신설비 학술대회
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• pp.127-130
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• 2009

We propose a method for detecting DDoS (Distributed Denial of Service) traffic in real-time inside the backbone network. For this purpose, we borrow the concepts of MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and RoC (Rate of Change), which are used for technical analysis in the stock market Due to the fact that the method is based on a quantitative, rather than a heuristic, detection level, DDoS traffic can be detected with greater accuracy (by reducing the false alarm ratio). Through simulation results, we show how the detection level is determined and demonstrate how much the accuracy of detection is enhanced.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제22권8호
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• pp.187-196
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• 2022

The law gives the Ministry of Commerce the power of monitoring, oversight, and accountability for corporations in general. However, Article 219 of the Companies Law has made oversight of listed companies within the jurisdiction of the Capital Market Authority, but this exception, in the author's opinion, is not clear because the law obligated the Ministry of Commerce to monitor and account for joint-stock companies, whether they were listed or not included in some cases.

• 한국빅데이터학회지
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2019

인공지능 기술이 발전하면서 이미지, 음성, 텍스트 등 다양한 분야에 적용되고 있으며, 데이터가 충분한 경우 기존 기법들에 비해 좋은 결과를 보인다. 주식시장은 경제, 정치와 같은 많은 변수에 의해 영향을 받기 때문에, 주식 가격의 움직임 예측은 어려운 과제로 알려져 있다. 다양한 기계학습 기법과 인공지능 기법을 이용하여 주가 패턴을 연구하여 주가의 등락을 예측하려는 시도가 있어왔다. 본 연구는 딥러닝 기법 중 컨볼루셔널 뉴럴 네트워크(CNN)를 기반으로 주가 패턴 예측률 향상을 위한 데이터 증강 방안을 제안한다. CNN은 컨볼루셔널 계층을 통해 이미지에서 특징을 추출하여 뉴럴 네트워크를 이용하여 이미지를 분류한다. 따라서, 본 연구는 주식 데이터를 캔들스틱 차트 이미지로 만들어 CNN을 통해 패턴을 예측하고 분류하고자 한다. 딥러닝은 다량의 데이터가 필요하기에, 주식 차트 이미지에 다양한 데이터 증강(Data Augmentation) 방안을 적용하여 분류 정확도를 향상 시키는 방법을 제안한다. 데이터 증강 방안으로는 차트를 랜덤하게 변경하는 방안과 차트에 가우시안 노이즈를 적용하여 추가 데이터를 생성하였으며, 추가 생성된 데이터를 활용하여 학습하고 테스트 집합에 대한 분류 정확도를 비교하였다. 랜덤하게 차트를 변경하여 데이터를 증강시킨 경우의 분류 정확도는 79.92%였고, 가우시안 노이즈를 적용하여 생성된 데이터를 가지고 학습한 경우의 분류 정확도는 80.98%이었다. 주가의 다음날 상승/하락으로 분류하는 경우에는 60분 단위 캔들 차트가 82.60%의 정확도를 기록하였다.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
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• pp.172.6-172
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• 2001

In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting, The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. The results show that the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by learning methods ...

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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• pp.2030-2032
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• 2001

In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting. The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. Results show that both networks can be trained to predict the index. And the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.36-42
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• 2006

Studied was a strategic plan for the Korean High-Speed Train system to penetrate the Chinese railway market in exchange of the technology of KHST. Firstly, taken was a glance at Chinese Government plans to extend total length of his railway lines and to construct the Beijing~Shanghai high-speed railway line. Then, disparity of railway technology in Korea and China was reviewed. From the review, SWOT Analysis were carried out to penetrate the foreign markets. Countermeasures to cope with SWOT were also considered. Strategical governmental supports and the establishment of the special organization to be in charge of penetration of KHST into foreign markets were proposed. Finally, also proposed was the transfer of KHST technology to Chinese counterparts in exchange of tangible benefits for Korean side. The benefits may include (1) adoption of KHST as the type of rolling stock for the Beijing~Shanghai line, (2) guarantee of participation in the project and royalty for the KHST technology used for the future high-speed railway line construction, (3) prior written approval and partnership when making its way to third country, and (4) participation of Korean construction companies in Chinese railway construction project, etc. Adoption of KHST in China indeed gives chance to integrate the high-speed railway network after reunification of Korean peninsular, and enhance the economic ties between two countries.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.907-914
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• 2005

Studied was a strategic plan for the Korean High-Speed Train system to penetrate the Chinese railway market in exchange of the technology of KHST. Firstly, taken was a glance at Chinese Government plans to extend total length of his railway lines and to construct the $Beijing\~Shanghai$ high-speed railway line. Then, disparity of railway technology in Korea and China was reviewed. From the review, SWOT Analysis were carried out to penetrate the foreign markets. Countermeasures to cope with SWOT were also considered. Strategical governmental supports and the establishment of the special organization to be charge of penetration of KHST into foreign markets were proposed. Finally, also proposed was the transfer of KHST technology to Chinese counterparts in exchange of tangible benefits for Korean side, The benefits may include (1) adoption of KHST as the type of rolling stock for the $Beijing\~Shanghai$ line, (2) guarantee of participation in the project and royalty for the KHST technology used for the future high-speed railway line construction. (3) prior written approval and partnership when making its way to third country, and (4) participation of Korean construction companies in Chinese railway construction project. etc. Adoption of KHST in China indeed gives chance to integrate the high-speed railway network after reunification of Korean peninsular, and enhance the economic ties between two countries.