• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock Market Network

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Forecasting algorithm using an improved genetic algorithm based on backpropagation neural network model (개선된 유전자 역전파 신경망에 기반한 예측 알고리즘)

  • Yoon, YeoChang;Jo, Na Rae;Lee, Sung Duck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1327-1336
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the problems in the short term stock market forecasting are analyzed and the feasibility of the ARIMA method and the backpropagation neural network is discussed. Neural network and genetic algorithm in short term stock forecasting is also examined. Since the backpropagation algorithm often falls into the local minima trap, we optimized the backpropagation neural network and established a genetic algorithm based on backpropagation neural network for forecasting model in order to achieve high forecasting accuracy. The experiments adopted the korea composite stock price index series to make prediction and provided corresponding error analysis. The results show that the genetic algorithm based on backpropagation neural network model proposed in this study has a significant improvement in stock price index series forecasting accuracy.

Chart-based Stock Price Prediction by Combing Variation Autoencoder and Attention Mechanisms (변이형 오토인코더와 어텐션 메커니즘을 결합한 차트기반 주가 예측)

  • Sanghyun Bae;Byounggu Choi
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.23-43
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    • 2021
  • Recently, many studies have been conducted to increase the accuracy of stock price prediction by analyzing candlestick charts using artificial intelligence techniques. However, these studies failed to consider the time-series characteristics of candlestick charts and to take into account the emotional state of market participants in data learning for stock price prediction. In order to overcome these limitations, this study produced input data by combining volatility index and candlestick charts to consider the emotional state of market participants, and used the data as input for a new method proposed on the basis of combining variantion autoencoder (VAE) and attention mechanisms for considering the time-series characteristics of candlestick chart. Fifty firms were randomly selected from the S&P 500 index and their stock prices were predicted to evaluate the performance of the method compared with existing ones such as convolutional neural network (CNN) or long-short term memory (LSTM). The results indicated the method proposed in this study showed superior performance compared to the existing ones. This study implied that the accuracy of stock price prediction could be improved by considering the emotional state of market participants and the time-series characteristics of the candlestick chart.

Simultaneous optimization method of feature transformation and weighting for artificial neural networks using genetic algorithm : Application to Korean stock market

  • Kim, Kyoung-jae;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.323-335
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we propose a new hybrid model of artificial neural networks(ANNs) and genetic algorithm (GA) to optimal feature transformation and feature weighting. Previous research proposed several variants of hybrid ANNs and GA models including feature weighting, feature subset selection and network structure optimization. Among the vast majority of these studies, however, ANNs did not learn the patterns of data well, because they employed GA for simple use. In this study, we incorporate GA in a simultaneous manner to improve the learning and generalization ability of ANNs. In this study, GA plays role to optimize feature weighting and feature transformation simultaneously. Globally optimized feature weighting overcome the well-known limitations of gradient descent algorithm and globally optimized feature transformation also reduce the dimensionality of the feature space and eliminate irrelevant factors in modeling ANNs. By this procedure, we can improve the performance and enhance the generalisability of ANNs.

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DDoS detection method based on the technical analysis used in the stock market (주식시장 기술 분석 기법을 활용한 DDoS 탐지 방법)

  • Yun, Jung-Hoon;Chong, Song
    • 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.08a
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    • pp.127-130
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    • 2009
  • We propose a method for detecting DDoS (Distributed Denial of Service) traffic in real-time inside the backbone network. For this purpose, we borrow the concepts of MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and RoC (Rate of Change), which are used for technical analysis in the stock market Due to the fact that the method is based on a quantitative, rather than a heuristic, detection level, DDoS traffic can be detected with greater accuracy (by reducing the false alarm ratio). Through simulation results, we show how the detection level is determined and demonstrate how much the accuracy of detection is enhanced.

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The role of The Ministry of Commerce and The Capital Market Authority (CMA) in Protecting Shareholders and Holding Directors accountable in Saudi's Corporations

  • Alzhrani, Abdulrahman AA
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.187-196
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    • 2022
  • The law gives the Ministry of Commerce the power of monitoring, oversight, and accountability for corporations in general. However, Article 219 of the Companies Law has made oversight of listed companies within the jurisdiction of the Capital Market Authority, but this exception, in the author's opinion, is not clear because the law obligated the Ministry of Commerce to monitor and account for joint-stock companies, whether they were listed or not included in some cases.

Increasing Accuracy of Stock Price Pattern Prediction through Data Augmentation for Deep Learning (데이터 증강을 통한 딥러닝 기반 주가 패턴 예측 정확도 향상 방안)

  • Kim, Youngjun;Kim, Yeojeong;Lee, Insun;Lee, Hong Joo
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2019
  • As Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology develops, it is applied to various fields such as image, voice, and text. AI has shown fine results in certain areas. Researchers have tried to predict the stock market by utilizing artificial intelligence as well. Predicting the stock market is known as one of the difficult problems since the stock market is affected by various factors such as economy and politics. In the field of AI, there are attempts to predict the ups and downs of stock price by studying stock price patterns using various machine learning techniques. This study suggest a way of predicting stock price patterns based on the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN) among machine learning techniques. CNN uses neural networks to classify images by extracting features from images through convolutional layers. Therefore, this study tries to classify candlestick images made by stock data in order to predict patterns. This study has two objectives. The first one referred as Case 1 is to predict the patterns with the images made by the same-day stock price data. The second one referred as Case 2 is to predict the next day stock price patterns with the images produced by the daily stock price data. In Case 1, data augmentation methods - random modification and Gaussian noise - are applied to generate more training data, and the generated images are put into the model to fit. Given that deep learning requires a large amount of data, this study suggests a method of data augmentation for candlestick images. Also, this study compares the accuracies of the images with Gaussian noise and different classification problems. All data in this study is collected through OpenAPI provided by DaiShin Securities. Case 1 has five different labels depending on patterns. The patterns are up with up closing, up with down closing, down with up closing, down with down closing, and staying. The images in Case 1 are created by removing the last candle(-1candle), the last two candles(-2candles), and the last three candles(-3candles) from 60 minutes, 30 minutes, 10 minutes, and 5 minutes candle charts. 60 minutes candle chart means one candle in the image has 60 minutes of information containing an open price, high price, low price, close price. Case 2 has two labels that are up and down. This study for Case 2 has generated for 60 minutes, 30 minutes, 10 minutes, and 5minutes candle charts without removing any candle. Considering the stock data, moving the candles in the images is suggested, instead of existing data augmentation techniques. How much the candles are moved is defined as the modified value. The average difference of closing prices between candles was 0.0029. Therefore, in this study, 0.003, 0.002, 0.001, 0.00025 are used for the modified value. The number of images was doubled after data augmentation. When it comes to Gaussian Noise, the mean value was 0, and the value of variance was 0.01. For both Case 1 and Case 2, the model is based on VGG-Net16 that has 16 layers. As a result, 10 minutes -1candle showed the best accuracy among 60 minutes, 30 minutes, 10 minutes, 5minutes candle charts. Thus, 10 minutes images were utilized for the rest of the experiment in Case 1. The three candles removed from the images were selected for data augmentation and application of Gaussian noise. 10 minutes -3candle resulted in 79.72% accuracy. The accuracy of the images with 0.00025 modified value and 100% changed candles was 79.92%. Applying Gaussian noise helped the accuracy to be 80.98%. According to the outcomes of Case 2, 60minutes candle charts could predict patterns of tomorrow by 82.60%. To sum up, this study is expected to contribute to further studies on the prediction of stock price patterns using images. This research provides a possible method for data augmentation of stock data.

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Fuzzy System and Knowledge Information for Stock-Index Prediction

  • Kim, Hae-Gyun;Bae, Hyeon;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.172.6-172
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    • 2001
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting, The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. The results show that the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by learning methods ...

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Stock-Index Prediction using Fuzzy System and Knowledge Information (퍼지시스템과 지식정보를 이용한 주가지수 예측)

  • Kim, Hae-Gyun;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.07d
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    • pp.2030-2032
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    • 2001
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting. The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. Results show that both networks can be trained to predict the index. And the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP.

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A Study on Strategical Penetration of the Korean High-Speed Train System into Chinese Market through the Technology Transfer (한국형 차세대 고속전철의 기술이전을 통한 중국진출 방안 연구)

  • Song Dahl-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.1 s.32
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 2006
  • Studied was a strategic plan for the Korean High-Speed Train system to penetrate the Chinese railway market in exchange of the technology of KHST. Firstly, taken was a glance at Chinese Government plans to extend total length of his railway lines and to construct the Beijing~Shanghai high-speed railway line. Then, disparity of railway technology in Korea and China was reviewed. From the review, SWOT Analysis were carried out to penetrate the foreign markets. Countermeasures to cope with SWOT were also considered. Strategical governmental supports and the establishment of the special organization to be in charge of penetration of KHST into foreign markets were proposed. Finally, also proposed was the transfer of KHST technology to Chinese counterparts in exchange of tangible benefits for Korean side. The benefits may include (1) adoption of KHST as the type of rolling stock for the Beijing~Shanghai line, (2) guarantee of participation in the project and royalty for the KHST technology used for the future high-speed railway line construction, (3) prior written approval and partnership when making its way to third country, and (4) participation of Korean construction companies in Chinese railway construction project, etc. Adoption of KHST in China indeed gives chance to integrate the high-speed railway network after reunification of Korean peninsular, and enhance the economic ties between two countries.

A Strategy on Penetration of the Korean High-Speed Train into Chinese Market in Trade off the Technology Transfer (기술이전을 연계한 한국형 차세대 고속전철의 중국진출 방안 연구)

  • Song Dahl-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.907-914
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    • 2005
  • Studied was a strategic plan for the Korean High-Speed Train system to penetrate the Chinese railway market in exchange of the technology of KHST. Firstly, taken was a glance at Chinese Government plans to extend total length of his railway lines and to construct the $Beijing\~Shanghai$ high-speed railway line. Then, disparity of railway technology in Korea and China was reviewed. From the review, SWOT Analysis were carried out to penetrate the foreign markets. Countermeasures to cope with SWOT were also considered. Strategical governmental supports and the establishment of the special organization to be charge of penetration of KHST into foreign markets were proposed. Finally, also proposed was the transfer of KHST technology to Chinese counterparts in exchange of tangible benefits for Korean side, The benefits may include (1) adoption of KHST as the type of rolling stock for the $Beijing\~Shanghai$ line, (2) guarantee of participation in the project and royalty for the KHST technology used for the future high-speed railway line construction. (3) prior written approval and partnership when making its way to third country, and (4) participation of Korean construction companies in Chinese railway construction project. etc. Adoption of KHST in China indeed gives chance to integrate the high-speed railway network after reunification of Korean peninsular, and enhance the economic ties between two countries.

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