• International Journal of Safety
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.6-11
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• 2006

The time delay in servo control on LonWorks/IP Virtual Device Network (VDN) is highly stochastic in nature. LonWorks/IP VDN induced time delay deteriorates the performance and stability of the real-time distributed control system and hinders an effective preventive and predictive maintenance. Especially in real-time distributed servo applications on the factory floor, timely response is essential for predictive and preventive maintenance. In order to guarantee the stability and performance of the system for effective preventive and predictive maintenance, LonWorks/IP VDN induced time delay needs to be predicted and compensated for. In this paper position control simulation of DC servo motor using Zero Phase Error Tracking Controller (ZPETC) as a feedforward controller, and Internal Model Controllers (IMC) based on Smith predictor with disturbance observer as a feedback controller is performed. The validity of the proposed control scheme is demonstrated by comparing the IMC based on Smith predictor with disturbance observer.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2006년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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• pp.373-378
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• 2006

Recently the technical advances and complexities have generated much of the difficulties in managing the project resources, for both scheduling and costing to accomplish the project in the most efficient manner. The project manager is frequently required to render judgments concerning the schedule and resource adjustments. This research develops an analytical model for a schedule-cost and risk analysis based on visual PERT/CPM. We used a three-step approach: 1) in the first step, a deterministic PERT/CPM model for the critical path and estimating the project time schedule and related resource planning and we developed a heuristic model for crash and stretch out analysis based upon a time-cost trade-off associated with the crash and stretch out of the project. 2) In second step, we developed web-based risk evaluation model for project analysis. Major technologies used for this step are AHP (analytic hierarchy process, fuzzy-AHP, multi-attribute analysis, stochastic network simulation, and web based decision support system. Also we have developed computer programs and have shown the results of sample runs for an R&D project risk analysis. 3) We developed an optimization model for project resource allocation. We used AHP weighted values and optimization methods. Computer implementation for this model is provided based on GUI-Type objective-oriented programming for the users and provided displays of all the inputs and outputs in the form of GUI-Type. The results of this research will provide the project managers with efficient management tools.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.98-106
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 신경망의 학습성능을 개선하기 위해 확룰적 근사법과 공액기울기법에 기초를 둔 새로운 학습방법을 제안하였다. 제안된 방법에서는 확률적 근사법과 공액기울기법을 조합 사용한 전역 최적화 기법의 역전파 알고리즘을 적용함으로써 학습성능을 최대한 개선할 수 있도록 하였다. 확률적 근사법은 국소최소점을 벗어나 전역최적점에 치우친 근사점을 결정해 주는 기능을 하도록 하며, 이점을 초기값으로 하여 결정론적 기법의 공액기울기법을 적용함으로써 빠른 수렴속도로 전역최적점으로의 수렴확률을 놓였다. 제안된 방법을 패리티 검사와 패턴 분류에 각각 적용하여 그 타당성과 성능을 확인한 결과 제안된 방법은 초기값을 무작위로 설정하는 기울기하강법에 기초를 둔 기존의 역전파 알고리즘이나 확률적 근사법과 기울기하강법에 기초를 둔 역전파 알고리즘에 비해 최적해로의 수렴 확률과 그 수렴속도가 우수함을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.25-32
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• 2006

LonWorks over IP(LonWorks-IP) virtual device network(VDN) is an integrated form of LonWorks device network and IP data network. In especially real-time distributed servo applications on the factory floor, timely response is essential for predictive and preventive maintenance. The time delay in servo control on LonWorks-IP based VDN has highly stochastic nature. LonWorks-IP based VDN induced transmission delay deteriorates the performance and stability of the real-time distributed control system and can't give an effective preventive and predictive maintenance. In order to guarantee the stability and performance of the system, and give an effective preventive and predictive maintenance, LonWorks-IP based VDN induced time-varying uncertain time delay needs to be predicted and compensated. In this paper new Pill control scheme based on Smith predictor, disturbance observer and band pass filter is proposed and tested through computer simulation about position control of DC servo motor. It is shown that how can the proposed control scheme be designed to minimize the effects of uncertain varying time delay and model uncertainties. The validity of the proposed control scheme is compared and demonstrated with the comparison of internal model controllers(IMC) based on Smith predictor with and without disturbance observer.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.40-50
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• 2000

We apply a "sliding-window" Maximum Likelihood(ML) estimator to estimate traffic parameters On-Off source and develop a method for estimating stochastic predicted individual cell arrival rates. Based on these results, we propose a simple Connection Admission Control(CAC)scheme for delay sensitive services in broadband onboard packet switching satellite systems. The algorithms are motivated by the limited onboard satellite buffer, the large propagation delay, and low computational capabilities inherent in satellite communication systems. We develop an algorithm using the predicted individual cell loss ratio instead of using steady state cell loss ratios. We demonstrate the CAC benefits of this approach over using steady state cell loss ratios as well as predicted total cell loss ratios. We also derive the predictive saturation probability and the predictive cell loss ratio and use them to control the total number of connections. Predictive congestion control mechanisms allow a satellite network to operate in the optimum region of low delay and high throughput. This is different from the traditional reactive congestion control mechanism that allows the network to recover from the congested state. Numerical and simulation results obtained suggest that the proposed predictive scheme is a promising approach for real time CAC.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제17권8호
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• pp.777-782
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• 2011

Neural network technique is widely employed in the fields of signal processing, control systems, pattern recognition, etc. Learning of neural networks is an important procedure to accomplish dynamic system modeling. This paper presents a novel learning approach for differential neural network models based on the Kalman-Bucy filter theory. We construct an augmented state vector including original neural state and parameter vectors and derive a state estimation rule avoiding gradient function terms which involve to the conventional neural learning methods such as a back-propagation approach. We carry out numerical simulation to evaluate the proposed learning approach in nonlinear system modeling. By comparing to the well-known back-propagation approach and Kalman-Bucy filtering, its superiority is additionally proved under stochastic system environments.

• 전자공학회논문지B
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• 제30B권8호
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• pp.54-63
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• 1993

This paper proposes a method for improving the performances of the neural network for optimization by an optimal estimation of initial states. The optimal initial state that leads to the global minimum is estimated by using the stochastic approximation. And then the update rule of Hopfield model, which is the high speed deterministic algorithm using the steepest descent rule, is applied to speed up the optimization. The proposed method has been applied to the tavelling salesman problems and an optimal task partition problems to evaluate the performances. The simulation results show that the convergence speed of the proposed method is higher than conventinal Hopfield model. Abe's method and Boltzmann machine with random initial neuron output setting, and the convergence rate to the global minimum is guaranteed with probability of 1. The proposed method gives better result as the problem size increases where it is more difficult for the randomized initial setting to give a good convergence.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.110-131
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• 1998

A stochastic modeling of combat that takes more realistic situations into account has been studied with deep concern. Either the firing strategies or network formations are very important elements in the analysis of combat. The first objective of this study is to evaluate how the different strategies affect the outcomes of combat. An analytical approach has been used in an attempt to understand a small-sized battle. The results are validated and compared with existing simulation models. Extending to the moderate size of battle may be achieved with ease. Secondly, an attempt has been made to study and investigate a way to solve combat in a different fashion. We divided a two-on-two battle into two separate one-on-one battles and connected them into a network. New elements considered such as delay time of starting a firefight on a particular node or search time for the next target when a kill occurs are defined and used as the input parameters. The discussions are made to validate the hypothesized model and ask if the results are meaningful and useful in the analysis of combat operations or not.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.13-22
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• 1980

Research and Development has a property that involves uncertainity and risk in itself. Therefore, in order to scheduling of R & D activity, it Is needed of a certain probabilistic network technique with due regard to feedback process used to occur in the R & D proceeding. It is GERT that was developed as the need arises . In this study, the network structure of GERT-I and GERT-II was combined and then simulation analysis was used to it. According to that analysis , an advanced GERT model which covers the following stochastic problems was examined. 1 Evaluating success feasibility under the complex condition (time and cost). 2 Selecting acceptance range for the worst. 3. Selecting optimum path on basis of time, cost and success. 4. Evaluating project utility among the project alternatives. It is for managing R&D projects more effectively.

• 정보처리학회논문지A
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• 제9A권4호
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• pp.519-524
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• 2002

본 논문에서는 분산 시뮬레이션 기법 중에 하나인 MRIP(Multiple Replications In Parallel) 시나리오에서 각종 순차적인 시뮬레이션 분석 방법들의 성능을 측정할 수 있는 포함범위(Coverage)에 대한 신뢰구간(confidence intervals) 및 속도향상(Speedup)에 대해 살펴보았다. F-분포를 기반으로 한 신뢰구간에 대한 추정기(estimator)를 단일 프로세서와 다중 프로세서 상에서 참조모델(reference model)로 $M/M/1/{\infty},\;M/D/I/{\infty}과\;M/H_{2}/1/{\infty}$큐잉 시스템을 활용하여 정상상태(steady-state)에서의 평균치를 추정하는 시뮬레이션에 적용하였다. 순차적인 포함범위 분석을 위해서는 수많은 시뮬레이션 실행(Run)들이 요구되는데, MRIP 분산 시뮬레이션 시나리오에서 다중 프로세서를 이용하여 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 최종 시뮬레이션 결과를 얻는데 걸리는 신간을 감소시켰다. 또한, LNA으로 연결된 분산 컴퓨팅 시스템에 시뮬레이션을 동시에 수행시킴으로써 쉽게 필요한 수의 시뮬레이션 실행결과(Run)를 수집할 수 있다. 이는 샘플의 수가 증가됨으로써 좀더 신뢰도가 높은 최종 신뢰구간을 시뮬레이션 수행자가 얻을 수 있게 해준다.