• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stepwise Regression

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Evaluation of Sigumjang Aroma by Stepwise Multiple Regression Analysis of Gas Chromatographic Profiles

  • Choi, Ung-Kyu;Kwon, O-Jun;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Son, Dong-Hwa;Cho, Young-Je;Im, Moo-Hyeog;Chung, Yung-Gun
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.476-481
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    • 2000
  • A linear correlation, by the stepwise multiple regression analysis, was found between the sensory test of Sigumjang aroma and the gas chromatographic data which were transformed with logarithm. GC data is the most objective method to evaluate Sigumjang aroma. A multiple correlation coefficient and a determination coefficient of more than 0.9 were obtained at the 9th and 13th steps, respectively. At step 31, the coefficient of determination level of 0.95 was attained. The accuracy of its estimation became higher as the number of the variables entered into the regression model increased. Over 90% of the Sigumjang aroma was explained by 13 compounds indentified on GC. The contributing proportion of the peak 26 was the highest followed by peaks 57 (9.27%), 29 (7.51%), 54 (6.01%), 8 (5.99%), 49 (4.97%), and 13 (4.11%).

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Bankruptcy Risk Level Forecasting Research for Automobile Parts Manufacturing Industry (자동차부품제조업의 부도 위험 수준 예측 연구)

  • Park, Kuen-Young;Han, Hyun-Soo
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.221-234
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we report bankruptcy risk level forecasting result for automobile parts manufacturing industry. With the premise that upstream supply risk and downstream demand risk could impact on automobile parts industry bankruptcy level in advance, we draw upon industry input-output table to use the economic indicators which could reflect the extent of supply and demand risk of the automobile parts industry. To verify the validity of each economic indicator, we applied simple linear regression for each indicators by varying the time lag from one month (t-1) to 12 months (t-12). Finally, with the valid indicators obtained through the simple regressions, the composition of valid economic indicators are derived using stepwise linear regression. Using the monthly automobile parts industry bankruptcy frequency data accumulated during the 5 years, R-square values of the stepwise linear regression results are 68.7%, 91.5%, 85.3% for the 3, 6, 9 months time lag cases each respectively. The computational testing results verifies the effectiveness of our approach in forecasting bankruptcy risk forecasting of the automobile parts industry.

A Climate Prediction Method Based on EMD and Ensemble Prediction Technique

  • Bi, Shuoben;Bi, Shengjie;Chen, Xuan;Ji, Han;Lu, Ying
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2018
  • Observed climate data are processed under the assumption that their time series are stationary, as in multi-step temperature and precipitation prediction, which usually leads to low prediction accuracy. If a climate system model is based on a single prediction model, the prediction results contain significant uncertainty. In order to overcome this drawback, this study uses a method that integrates ensemble prediction and a stepwise regression model based on a mean-valued generation function. In addition, it utilizes empirical mode decomposition (EMD), which is a new method of handling time series. First, a non-stationary time series is decomposed into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), which are stationary and multi-scale. Then, a different prediction model is constructed for each component of the IMF using numerical ensemble prediction combined with stepwise regression analysis. Finally, the results are fit to a linear regression model, and a short-term climate prediction system is established using the Visual Studio development platform. The model is validated using temperature data from February 1957 to 2005 from 88 weather stations in Guangxi, China. The results show that compared to single-model prediction methods, the EMD and ensemble prediction model is more effective for forecasting climate change and abrupt climate shifts when using historical data for multi-step prediction.

Relationship between Aiming Patterns and Scores in Archery Shooting

  • Quan, ChengHao;Lee, Sangmin
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.353-360
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    • 2016
  • Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between aiming patterns and scores in archery shooting. Method: Four (N = 4) elementary-level archers from middle school participated in this study. Aiming pattern was defined by averaged acceleration data measured from accelerometers attached on the body during the aiming phase in archery shooting. Stepwise multiple regression analysis was used to test whether a model incorporating aiming patterns from all nine accelerometers could predict the scores. In order to extract period of interest (POI) data from raw data, a Dynamic Time Warping (DTW)-based extraction method was presented. Results: Regression models for all four subjects are conducted with different significance levels and variables. The significance levels of the regression models are 0.12%, 1.61%, 0.55%, and 0.4% respectively; the $R^2$ of the regression models is 64.04%, 27.93%, 72.02%, and 45.62% respectively; and the maximum significance levels of parameters in the regression models are 1.26%, 4.58%, 5.1%, and 4.98% respectively. Conclusion: Our results indicated that the relationship between aiming patterns and scores was described by a regression model. Analysis of the significance levels, variables, and parameters of the regression model showed that our approach - regression analysis with DTW - is an effective way to raise scores in archery shooting.

Identifying Factors for Corn Yield Prediction Models and Evaluating Model Selection Methods

  • Chang Jiyul;Clay David E.
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.268-275
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    • 2005
  • Early predictions of crop yields call provide information to producers to take advantages of opportunities into market places, to assess national food security, and to provide early food shortage warning. The objectives of this study were to identify the most useful parameters for estimating yields and to compare two model selection methods for finding the 'best' model developed by multiple linear regression. This research was conducted in two 65ha corn/soybean rotation fields located in east central South Dakota. Data used to develop models were small temporal variability information (STVI: elevation, apparent electrical conductivity $(EC_a)$, slope), large temporal variability information (LTVI : inorganic N, Olsen P, soil moisture), and remote sensing information (green, red, and NIR bands and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), green normalized difference vegetation index (GDVI)). Second order Akaike's Information Criterion (AICc) and Stepwise multiple regression were used to develop the best-fitting equations in each system (information groups). The models with $\Delta_i\leq2$ were selected and 22 and 37 models were selected at Moody and Brookings, respectively. Based on the results, the most useful variables to estimate corn yield were different in each field. Elevation and $EC_a$ were consistently the most useful variables in both fields and most of the systems. Model selection was different in each field. Different number of variables were selected in different fields. These results might be contributed to different landscapes and management histories of the study fields. The most common variables selected by AICc and Stepwise were different. In validation, Stepwise was slightly better than AICc at Moody and at Brookings AICc was slightly better than Stepwise. Results suggest that the Alec approach can be used to identify the most useful information and select the 'best' yield models for production fields.

Parameter Calibration of Storage Function Model and Flood Forecasting (2) Comparative Study on the Flood Forecasting Methods (저류함수모형의 매개변수 보정과 홍수예측 (2) 홍수예측방법의 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Bum Jun;Song, Jae Hyun;Kim, Hung Soo;Hong, Il Pyo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1B
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2006
  • The flood control offices of main rivers have used a storage function model to forecast flood stage in Korea and studies of flood forecasting actively have been done even now. On this account, the storage function model, which is used in flood control office, regression models and artificial neural network model are applied into flood forecasting of study watershed in this paper. The result obtained by each method are analyzed for the comparative study. In case of storage function model, this paper uses the representative parameters of the flood control offices and the optimized parameters. Regression coefficients are obtained by regression analysis and neural network is trained by backpropagation algorithm after selecting four events between 1995 to 2001. As a result of this study, it is shown that the optimized parameters are superior to the representative parameters for flood forecasting. The results obtained by multiple, robust, stepwise regression analysis, one of the regression methods, show very good forecasts. Although the artificial neural network model shows less exact results than the regression model, it can be efficient way to produce a good forecasts.

Effects of Family Function, Impulsive Behavior and Stress on Bullying Types of Adolescents (청소년의 가족기능, 충동성, 스트레스 수준이 집단따돌림 유형에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hea-Shoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.319-329
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of adolescent's family function, impulsive behavior, stress on the bullying types. Method: Data were collected from 627 adolescents and analyzed using descriptive statistics, t-test, Pearson correlation coefficients and stepwise multiple regression with the SPSS 18.0. Results: The bullying types (injurer and victim) correlates with family function, impulsive behavior and stress. Stepwise multiple regression analysis showed emotional reactivity, non-planning impulsiveness, friends related stress, experience of drinking (yes), experience of parent depression problem (yes), explained 34.1% of the total variance in bully injurer. Stepwise multiple regression analysis showed communication, motor impulsiveness, friends related stress, gender (male), grade (junior high school), explained 30.9% of the total variance in bully victim. Conclusion: The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data in providing a better understanding of adolescents' bullying, in preventing bullying and in developing an intervention program.

Statistical Analysis of Effective Components for Aroma of Sigumjang

  • Choi, Ung-Kyu;Park, June-Hong
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.249-254
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    • 2005
  • The relationship between Sigumjang gas chromatographic patterns precisely analyzed with capillary column and ranked order in sensory analysis was investigated by stepwise multiple regression analysis. Highly predictable multiple regression models were obtained in the analysis. Ninety percent of the Sigumjang aroma was explained by the regression models at step 15 in four transformation except for absolute value transformed with root square and relative value transformed with logarithm. The aroma of Sigumjang was most affected by 2,3-dimethylpyrazine at absolute value and absolute value transformed with logarithm and by 2-furancarboxaldehyde in other transformation. The quality of sigumjang was highly affected by ${\beta}$-phallendrenal, methylpyrazine, tetramethylpyrazine, 5-methyl-2-furancarboxaldehyde, unknown 2, octanoic acid, 4-ethylphenol, methyl 10,13-octadecanoate and ethyl linoleate.

Study on the Critical Storm Duration Decision of the Rivers Basin (중소하천유역의 임계지속시간 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Seung-Seop;Lee, Hyeo-Jung;Jung, Do-June
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.1301-1312
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to propose a critical storm duration forecasting model on storm runoff in small river basin. The critical storm duration data of 582 sub-basin which introduced disaster impact assessment report on the National Emergency Management Agency during the period from 2004 to 2007 were collected, analyzed and studied. The stepwise multiple regression method are used to establish critical storm duration forecasting models(Linear and exponential type). The results of multiple regression analysis discriminated the linear type more than exponential type. The results of multiple linear regression analysis between the critical storm duration and 5 basin characteristics parameters such as basin area, main stream length, average slope of main stream, shape factor and CN showed more than 0.75 of correlation in terms of the multi correlation coefficient.

The Relationship between Daily Peak Load and Weather Conditions Using Stepwise Multiple Regression (Stepwise 다중회귀분석을 이용한 최대전력수요와 기상과의 상관관계 분석)

  • Cha, Jiwon;Lee, Donggun;Kim, Hyeonjin;Joo, Sung-Kwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.475-476
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    • 2015
  • 전력수요는 다양한 외부요인으로부터 영향을 받으므로 전력수요 예측 시 각 요인과의 상관관계를 고려할 필요가 있다. 본 논문은 Stepwise 다중회귀분석법을 이용한 일일 최대전력수요 예측 방법을 제시하였다. 사례연구에서는 2014년 평일 전력수요데이터를 이용하여 제안된 예측방법을 적용하고 그 결과를 평가하였다.

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