• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.179-187
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• 2013

Bates and Watts (1981) have discussed the problems of reparameterizing nonlinear models in obtaining accurate linear approximation confidence regions for the parameters. A similar problem exists with computing confidence curves for fitted values or predictions. The statistical behavior of fitted values does not depend on the parameterization. Thus, as long as the intrinsic curvature is small, standard Wald intervals for fitted values are likely to be sufficient. Accuracy of linear approximation for fitted values is investigated using confidence curves.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.475-486
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• 2006

Space time series data can be viewed either as a set of time series collected simultaneously at a number of spatial locations or as sets of spatial data collected at a number of time points. The major purpose of this article is to formulate a class of space time autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model, to discuss some of the their statistical properties such as model identification approaches, some procedure for estimation and the predictions. For illustration, we apply this STARMA model to the mumps data. The data set of mumps cases consists of the number of cases of mumps reported from twelve states monthly over the years 1969-1988.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Emotion and Sensibility Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.16-19
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• 2002

Random and/or periodic defects occur in all spun yarns. These irregularities can often lead to defects in finished fabric. Yarn evenness tests are used to obtain statistical data about yarn properties, such as CV%, which is useful in comparing several sets of similar data that differ in mean value but may have some commonality in relative variation. Although this statistical data is helpful in determining relative yarn Quality, accurate predictions of how the yarn will appear in fabric form are still difficult to obtain. As an promising alterative, wavelet analysis has been employed to localize yam defect so as to predict the visual qualifies of the fabrics.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1996.10a
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• pp.31-34
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• 1996

The extensive researches have compared the performance of neural networks(NN) with those of various statistical techniques for the classification problem. The empirical results of these comparative studies have indicated that the neural networks often outperform the traditional statistical techniques. Moreover, there are some efforts that try to combine various classification methods, especially multivariate discriminant analysis with neural networks. While these efforts improve the performance, there exists a problem violating robust assumptions of multivariate discriminant analysis that are multivariate normality of the independent variables and equality of variance-covariance matrices in each of the groups. On the contrary, cluster analysis alleviates this assumption like neural networks. We propose a new approach to classification problems by combining the cluster analysis with neural networks. The resulting predictions of the composite model are more accurate than each individual technique.

• Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.35-38
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• 2002

Random and/or periodic defects occur in all spun yarns. These irregularities can often lead to defects in finished fabric. Yarn evenness tests are used to obtain statistical data about yarn properties, such as CV%, which is useful in comparing several sets of similar data that differ in mean value but may have some commonality in relative variation. Although this statistical data is helpful in determining relative yam quality, accurate predictions of how the yarn will appear in fabric form are still difficult to obtain. As an promising alterative, wavelet analysis has been employed to localize yarn defect so as to predict the visual qualities of the fabrics.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2006.10c
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• pp.211-213
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• 2006

In this study, plasma etching process was modeled by using support vector machine (SVM). The data used in modeling were collected from the etching of silica thin films in inductively coupled plasma. For training and testing neural network, 9 and 6 experiments were used respectively. The performance of SVM was evaluated as a function of kernel type and function type. For the kernel type, Epsilon-SVR and Nu-SVR were included. For the function type, linear, polynomial, and radial basis function (RBF) were included. The performance of SVM was optimized first in terms of kernel type, then as a function of function type. Five film characteristics were modeled by using SVM and the optimized models were compared to statistical regression models. The comparison revealed that statistical regression models yielded better predictions than SVM.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.297-319
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• 2016

Football match predictions are of great interest to fans and sports press. In the last few years it has been the focus of several studies. In this paper, we propose the Poisson regression model in order to football match outcomes. We applied the proposed methodology to two national competitions: the 2012-2013 English Premier League and the 2015 Brazilian Football League. The number of goals scored by each team in a match is assumed to follow Poisson distribution, whose average reflects the strength of the attack, defense and the home team advantage. Inferences about all unknown quantities involved are made using a Bayesian approach. We calculate the probabilities of win, draw and loss for each match using a simulation procedure. Besides, also using simulation, the probability of a team qualifying for continental tournaments, being crowned champion or relegated to the second division is obtained.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.505-511
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• 2018

This paper investigates the potential of a hybrid model which combines the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) and an improved particle swarm optimization (IMPSO) techniques for prediction of concrete compressive strength. A modified PSO algorithm is employed in determining the optimal values of LSSVM parameters to improve the forecasting accuracy. Experimental data on concrete compressive strength in the literature were used to validate and evaluate the performance of the proposed IMPSO-LSSVM model. Further, predictions from five models (the IMPSO-LSSVM, PSO-LSSVM, genetic algorithm (GA) based LSSVM, back propagation (BP) neural network, and a statistical model) were compared with the experimental data. The results show that the proposed IMPSO-LSSVM model is a feasible and efficient tool for predicting the concrete compressive strength with high accuracy.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.23 no.6
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• pp.1592-1601
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• 1998

The growing use of unlicensed wireless systems has spurred interest in the 2.4 Ghz ISM band. In order to facilitate the efficient design of such systems, understandings of the propserties of radio wave propagation in buildings is necessary. Many authors have reported about statistical propagation models based on the extensive measurements in buildings. However, measurement based statistical analysis will not be enough for the optimum deployment of the communication systems in the specific building. Aviding expensive measurements in the individual buildings prior to installation, or adjustments afterwards, theoretical prediction models have been developed to predict the path loss and delay spread from the building floor plane. Predictions shows good agreements with measurements except for a few environments which was surrounded by heavy scatterers.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.173-185
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• 2014

Multivariate analysis is a statistical technique that investigates relationship between multiple predictor variables and response variable and it is a very commonly used statistical approach in cement and concrete industry. During model building stage, however, many predictor variables are included in the model and possible collinearity problems between these predictors are generally ignored. In this study, use of partial least squares (PLS) analysis for evaluating the relationships among the cement and concrete properties is investigated. This regression method is known to decrease the model complexity by reducing the number of predictor variables as well as to result in accurate and reliable predictions. The experimental studies showed that the method can be used in the multivariate problems of cement and concrete industry effectively.