• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical assessment

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Dynamic Response based System Reliability Analysis of Structure with Passive Damper - Part 2: Assessment of System Failure Probability (수동형 댐퍼를 장착한 구조물의 동적응답기반 신뢰성 해석 - 제2편: 시스템 파괴확률 산정)

  • Kim, Seung-Min;Ok, Seung-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2016
  • This study proposes a multi-scale dynamic system reliability analysis of control system as a method of quantitative evaluation of its performance in probabilistic terms. In this second paper, we discuss the control effect of the viscous damper on the seismic performance of the structure-level failure. Since the failure of one structural member does not necessarily cause the collapse of the structural system, we need to consider a set of failure scenarios of the structural system and compute the sum of the failure probabilities of the failure scenarios where the statistical dependence between the failure scenarios should be taken into account. Therefore, this computation requires additional system reliability analysis. As a result, the proposed approach takes a hierarchial framework where the failure probability of a structural member is computed using a lower-scale system reliability with the union set of time-sequential member failures and their statistical dependence, and the failure probability of the structural system is again computed using a higher-scale system reliability with the member failure probabilities obtained by the lower-scale system reliability and their statistical dependence. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed approach can provide an accurate and stable reliability assessment of the control performance of the viscous damper system on the system failure. Also, the parametric study of damper capacity on the seismic performance has been performed to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach through the probabilistic assessment of the seismic performance improvement of the damper system.

Statistical Homogeneity Tests and Multiple Comparison Analysis for Response Characteristics between Treatments of Bridge Groups (교량 집단의 특성 수준간 통계적 응답 동질성 검정 및 다중 비교 분석)

  • Hwang, Jin-Ha;Kim, Ju-Han;An, Seoung-Su
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2014
  • This study tests homogeneity and performs multiple comparison analysis among treatment levels of each factor group through t-test by materials and analysis of variance by structural type and service period. For that descriptive statistical analysis is performed for static and dynamic response characteristics and their ratios of calculated versus measured values based on a good many safety assessment reports for bridges. Homogeneity and post hoc test based on descriptive statistical analysis provide the measures for homogeneity identification among comparison groups in addition to the statistical reference values such as central tendency, variation and shape. This study is expected to be valuable for structural integrity assessment and design by comparing the measured and calculated values with the reference values for the homogeneous group identified, which can help the engineers review the adequacy of the values and put the group database to practical use.

Stochastic Estimation of Voltage Sags Based on Voltage Monitoring (전압 모니터링에 기반한 순간전압강하 확률적 추계 방법)

  • Son, Jeongdae;Park, Chang-Hyun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.10
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    • pp.1271-1277
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    • 2018
  • This paper deals with a voltage sag assessment based on a voltage monitoring program. The voltage sag performance at a specific site can be evaluated by analyzing voltage monitoring data recorded for a long time period. Although an assessment based on voltage monitoring is an effective way to understand voltage sag performance at a measurement site, the statistical confidence of voltage sag frequency estimation heavily depends on the length of monitoring period and the number of recorded events. Short monitoring period and insufficient recorded data can not provide a reliable assessment result. This paper proposes a compensation assessment method by combining a computer simulation approach for in case that monitoring period and data are not enough for a valid assessment.

A Study on School Facilities Build Transfer Lease Project - Centering on the improvement of the assessment - (학교시설 임대형민자사업의 평가기준 개선연구)

  • Kwon, Byoung-Koo;Lee, Jae-Rim;Jo, Jin-Il
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.30-46
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    • 2008
  • In this study, were prepared after statistical analysis was conducted of assessment items and marks distribution for the selection of executors of the BTL project. When tests of the degree of dispersion and degree of appropriateness for each assessment item were analyzed, it was found that the degree of dispersion among assessment points has the power of discrimination since it is highly marked in the design field and operation management field. In contrast, 'business management plan' and 'investment composition for economic quality assessment' have a low level of the power of discrimination since points given to them have smaller difference between business projects.

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A Study on Urban Flood Vulnerability Assessment Considering Social Impact (사회적 평가 지표를 반영한 도시 홍수취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Gyu Min;Choi, Jin Won;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to establish an approach to assess urban flood vulnerability by identifying social characteristics such as the road transportation and the vulnerable groups. Assessment procedures comprise three steps as: (1) composing the assessment criteria to reflect the urban characteristics; (2) calculating the weight; and (3) evaluating the vulnerability. The criteria were adopted by Delphi survey technique. Four criteria as land cover, residents, vulnerable areas, and disaster response were adopted in the current study. To determine the weight set of criteria, subjective and objective methods were combined. The weight set was determined using the combined method which reflects the Delphi method and Entropy analysis. In the process of data-based construction, GIS tools wwere used to extract administrative unit materials such as land cover, road status, and slope. Data on population and other social criteria were collected through the National Statistical Office and the Seoul Metropolitan statistical data. TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) technique, which uses materials from cell units in order to rank the closest distance to the best case and the farthest distance from the worst case by calculating the distances to the area of assessment, was applied to assess. The study area was the Dorimcheon basin, a flood special treatment area of Seoul city. The results from the current study indicates that the established urban flood vulnerability assessment approach is able to predict the inherent vulnerable factors in urban regions and to propose the area of priority control.

Statistics Quality Assessment and Improvement of Monitoring on Soil Quality (토양오염도 현황 통계의 품질 진단과 개선 방안)

  • Kim, Kee-Dae
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.1079-1088
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    • 2009
  • The statistics of monitoring on soil quality is a report statistics which is made on the basis of Article 15, Environment Strategy Basic Law and Article 5, Soil Environment Conservation Law. This study was conducted according to quality assessment of Korea National Statistical Office. The assessment of quality infrastructure advised that the authority bring up and increase completely responsible officer and secure the budget. The assessment of user satisfaction and reflection of request propose that the statistics is focused on soil background concentration, decrease soil sampling points and extend survey period. The assessment of error management system per processes of detailed preparation suggest change of the statistics objective, a reduction of sampling points and improvement of survey period and soil measurement properties. Accuracy assessment of data proposed cuts of sampling points, accessibility increment and build up of management system linking subordinates and Ministry of Environment. The substantiality assessment of data service demonstrated information environment improvement for users including reference expression and records of statistics table and figure contents.

Designing an Assessment to Measure Students' Inferential Reasoning in Statistics: The First Study, Development of a Test Blueprint

  • Park, Jiyoon
    • Research in Mathematical Education
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.243-266
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    • 2013
  • Accompanied with ongoing calls for reform in statistics curriculum, mathematics and statistics teachers purposefully have been reconsidering the curriculum and the content taught in statistics classes. Changes made are centered around statistical inference since teachers recognize that students struggle with understanding the ideas and concepts used in statistical reasoning. Despite the efforts to change the curriculum, studies are sparse on the topic of characterizing student learning and understanding of statistical inference. Moreover, there are no tools to evaluate students' statistical reasoning in a coherent way. In response to the need for a research instrument, in a series of research study, the researcher developed a reliable and valid measure to assess students' inferential reasoning in statistics (IRS). This paper describes processes of test blueprint development that has been conducted from review of the literature and expert reviews.

Reliability Assessment of Elevators Using Life Data of the Components (부품의 수명 데이터를 이용한 승강기의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Sohn, S.H.;Sohn, H.J.;Kim, S.J.;Yang, B.S.;Yoon, M.C.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2010
  • Engineering asset management (EAM) requires the accurate assessment of current and the prediction of future asset health condition. Suitable mathematical models that are capable of predicting time-to-failure and the probability of failure in future time are essential. In general reliability models, lifetime of component and system is estimated using failure time data. This paper deals with the reliability assessment of elevators using life of main components. Especially this work is concerned with the stochastic nature of life of elevator components. First, we investigate the Weibull statistical analysis of lifetime data for the components. The final goal is to establish the mathematical model for reliability assessment. This work provides more perspectives to future research in the fields of reliability and maintainability.

Risk Assessment Method for Guaranteeing Safety in the Train Control System (열차제어시스템 안전성 확보를 위한 리스크 평가 방법 분석)

  • Jo, Hyun-Jeong;Hwang, Jong-Gyu;Yoon, Yong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2006.11b
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    • pp.870-877
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    • 2006
  • Recently, failures of equipments are linked directly to extensive damages of human lives or financial losses from the increasing uses of train control equipments utilizing computers. Then safety activities have to progress for guaranteeing safety during the system life-cycle. In this paper, we examine the methods for risk analysis and assessment of safety activities and propose optimized one method for risk assessment. There are original risk assessment methods; risk graph and risk matrix method under the qualitative analysis, IRF(Individual Risk Formula) calculations and statistical calculations method under the quantitative analysis. Best-Practice(BP) risk analysis method is proposed for combining advantages of the qualitative and the quantitative analysis. In the comparison of risk graph and risk matrix method for safety estimation, BP method has no applications published up to now, but we can expect that this method will be utilized widely for the risk assessment due to various strong points.

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