• 환경영향평가
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.79-91
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• 1996

In Chapter 40, "Information for decision-making", of Agenda 21, it was Slated that, "indicators of sustainable development need to be developed to provide solid bases for decision-making at all levels and to contribute to a self-regulating sustainability of integrated environment and development systems." Sustainable development has been defined as "development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs", An indicator that measures sustainability should therefore focus on this definition. One of the most widely used frameworks for environmental indicators is the Pressure-State-Response model proposed by the OECD. And we introduced the the Driving force-State-Response framework, the adaptation of Pressure-State-Response model, for UN sustainable development indicators. Therefore, in our country, indicators for sustainable development should be developed by using the DSR framework.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.441-447
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• 2014

Background: Multi-state models are appropriate for cancer studies such as gastrectomy which have high mortality statistics. These models can be used to better describe the natural disease process. But reaching that goal requires making assumptions like Markov and homogeneity with time. The present study aims to investigate these hypotheses. Materials and Methods: Data from 330 patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery at Iran Cancer Institute from 1995 to 1999 were analyzed. To assess Markov assumption and time homogeneity in modeling transition rates among states of multi-state model, Cox-Snell residuals, Akaikie information criteria and Schoenfeld residuals were used, respectively. Results: The assessment of Markov assumption based on Cox-Snell residuals and Akaikie information criterion showed that Markov assumption was not held just for transition rate of relapse (state 1 ${\rightarrow}$ state 2) and for other transition rates - death hazard without relapse (state 1 ${\rightarrow}$ state 3) and death hazard with relapse (state 2 ${\rightarrow}$ state 3) - this assumption could also be made. Moreover, the assessment of time homogeneity assumption based on Schoenfeld residuals revealed that this assumption - regarding the general test and each of the variables in the model- was held just for relapse (state 1 ${\rightarrow}$ state 2) and death hazard with a relapse (state 2 ${\rightarrow}$ state 3). Conclusions: Most researchers take account of assumptions such as Markov and time homogeneity in modeling transition rates. These assumptions can make the multi-state model simpler but if these assumptions are not made, they will lead to incorrect inferences and improper fitting.

• 과학교육연구지
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• 제46권1호
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• pp.121-149
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• 2022

서술형 평가는 수학과 교육과정에서 강조하는 문제해결 능력 신장, 추론 능력, 의사소통 능력과 관련하여 의미있는 평가 방법이라 할 수 있다. 우리나라에서는 제7차 수학과 교육과정 이후로 수행평가가 강조되면서 중등학교에서 수행평가의 한 방법으로 서술형 평가가 이루어지고 있다. 그렇지만, 대학수학능력시험에서는 여러 가지 이유로 서술형 평가가 도입되지 못하고 있다. 수학교실에서 서술형 평가가 강조되고 교육적으로 충분히 가치가 있다는 것을 감안하면, 대학수학능력시험에서 서술형 평가의 실시에 대한 진지한 논의가 필요할 것이다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 대학수학능력시험에 해당하는 러시아의 국가통합시험의 수학 교과에서 실시 중인 서술형 평가를 분석하였다. 문헌 연구를 통해, 국가통합시험에서 수학 시험 문제들이 어떻게 구성되었는지, 시험에서 요구되는 수학적 능력은 무엇인지 고찰하였다. 특히, 국가통합시험의 수학 2021년 출제 문제를 중심으로 문제들의 외적 구조를 분석하였고, 서술형 문제들의 채점 방법을 분석하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 우리나라의 대학수학능력시험에서 서술형 문제의 도입 가능성에 대한 다양한 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제52권1호
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• pp.59-68
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• 2020

ECCMIX component was introduced in RELAP5/MOD3 for calculating the interfacial condensation. Compared to other existing components in RELAP5, user experience of ECCMIX component is restricted to developmental assessment applications. To evaluate the capability of the ECCMIX component, ECCS experiment was conducted which included single-phase and two-phase thermal mixing. The experiment was carried out with test sections containing a main pipe (70 mm inner diameter) and a branch pipe (21 mm inner diameter) under the atmospheric pressure. The steam mass flow in the main pipe ranged from 0 to 0.0347 kg/s, and the subcooled water mass flow in the branch pipe ranged from 0.0278 to 0.1389 kg/s. The comparison of the experimental data with the calculation results illuminated that although the ECCMIX component was more difficult to converge than Branch component, it was a more appropriate manner to simulate interfacial condensation under two-phase thermal mixing circumstance, while the two components had no differences under single-phase circumstance.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.380-387
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• 2009

In the past, many state Departments of Transportation (DOTs) in the U.S. managed their highway assets on a "worst first" basis and planned their highway projects in a tactical rather than strategic fashion. Due to increasingly tight highway budgets and recognition of long term benefits of asset management systems, the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) has strongly pushed and encouraged state DOTs to implement asset management for managing their highway assets and highway projects. Currently, many DOTs have actively implemented and are in the process of applying this asset management concept for their highway infrastructure. However, different DOTs are developing different asset management systems because of their different organizational structures, data management structures, relationship with the legislature, and investment priorities. This study first identifies asset management indicators which are essential to successfully implementing asset management systems for State highway assets. The research team conducted a survey of asset management experts and reviewed the practices and policies of leading DOTs in asset management. Based on these indicators, this study develops an Asset Management Assessment Model (AM²) for different asset management systems. This model can be used by different DOTs to evaluate their current asset management systems and identify their strong areas and also their weak areas to improve in order to fully benefit from the advanced concept of asset management.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제52권2호
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• pp.381-396
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• 2020

Investigations of the commercial aircraft impact effect on nuclear island infrastructures have been drawing extensive attention, and this paper aims to perform the safety assessment of Generation III nuclear power plant (NPP) buildings subjected to typical commercial aircrafts crash. At present Part I, finite element (FE) models establishment and validations for both the aircrafts and NPP buildings are performed. (i) Airbus A320 and A380 aircrafts are selected as the representative medium and large commercial aircrafts, and the corresponding fine FE models including the skin, beam, fuel and etc. are established. By comparing the numerically derived impact force time-histories with the existing published literatures, the rationality of aircrafts models is verified. (ii) Fine FE model of the Chinese Zhejiang Sanao NPP buildings is established, including the detailed structures and reinforcing arrangement of both the containment and auxiliary buildings. (iii) By numerically reproducing the existing 1/7.5 scaled aircraft model impact tests on steel plate reinforced concrete (SC) panels and assessing the impact process and velocity time-history of aircraft model, as well as the damage and the maximum deflection of SC panels, the applicability of the existing three concrete constitutive models (i.e., K&C, Winfrith and CSC) are evaluated and the superiority of Winfrith model for SC panels under deformable missile impact is verified. The present work can provide beneficial reference for the integral aircraft crash analyses and structural damage assessment in the following two parts of this paper.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.187-194
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• 2016

철도교량의 신뢰도 기반 한계상태설계법 도입 시 목표신뢰도지수 산정을 위하여 기존 철도교량의 신뢰도지수 산정이 선행되어야 한다. 대표적인 복선 철도교량 중 하나인 6주형 PSC-I형 거더교량에 대해 신뢰도지수를 산정하였다. 최외측 거더의 휨모멘트에 대한 신뢰도 해석을 수행하였다. 휨저항강도 및 고정하중효과는 도로교 한계상태설계법 도입 시 적용된 선행연구자들의 평균과 변동계수를 활용하였고, 열차의 활하중 효과는 여객/화물 혼용선 중 중량화차 통행이 빈번한 중앙선에서 현장계측 데이터를 활용하였다. 한계상태방정식에 대하여 개선된 일계이차 모멘트법(AFOSM)으로 신뢰도 분석을 수행하였으며, 하중효과와 저항효과의 각 요소가 신뢰도지수에 미치는 민감도를 분석하여 중요도를 검토하였다.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제55권2호
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• pp.95-104
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• 2019

This study is aimed to take a stock assessment of blackthroat seaperch Doederleinia seaperch regarding the fishing effort of large-powered Danish Seine Fishery and Southwest Sea Danish Seine Fishery. For the assessment, the state-space model was implemented and the standardized catch per unit effort (CPUE) of large powered Danish Seine Fishery and Southwest Sea Danish Seine Fishery which is necessary for the model was estimated with generalized linear model (GLM). The model was adequate for stock assessment because its r-square value was 0.99 and root mean square error (RMSE) value was 0.003. According to the model with 95% confidence interval, maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of Blackthroat seaperch is from 2,634 to 6,765 ton and carrying capacity (K) is between 33,180 and 62,820. Also, the catchability coefficient (q) is between 2.14E-06 and 3.95E-06 and intrinsic growth rate (r) is between 0.31 and 0.72.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제55권2호
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• pp.183-188
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• 2022

It is a difficult task to estimate parameters in even a simple stock assessment model such as a surplus production model, using only data about temporal catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) (or survey index) and fishery yields. Such difficulty is exacerbated when time-varying parameters are treated as random effects (aka state variables). To overcome the difficulty, previous studies incorporated somewhat subjective assumptions (e.g., B₁=K) or informative priors of parameters. A key is how to build an objective joint prior of parameters, reducing subjectivity. Given the limited data on temporal CPUEs and fishery yields from 1999-2020 for common squid Todarodes pacificus, we built a joint prior of only two parameters, intrinsic growth rate (r) and carrying capacity (K), based on the resilience level of the population (Froese et al., 2017), and used a Bayesian state-space production assessment model. We used template model builder (TMB), a R package for implementing the assessment model, and estimating all parameters in the model. The predicted annual biomass was in the range of 0.76×10⁶ to 4.06×10⁶ MT, the estimated MSY was 0.13×10⁶ MT, the estimated r was 0.24, and the estimated K was 2.10×10⁶ MT.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제15권12호
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• pp.4531-4544
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• 2021

Because the traditional network information security vulnerability risk assessment method does not set the weight, it is easy for security personnel to fail to evaluate the value of information security vulnerability risk according to the calculation value of network centrality, resulting in poor evaluation effect. Therefore, based on the network security data element feature system, this study designed a quantitative assessment method of network information security vulnerability detection risk under single transmission state. In the case of single transmission state, the multi-dimensional analysis of network information security vulnerability is carried out by using the analysis model. On this basis, the weight is set, and the intrinsic attribute value of information security vulnerability is quantified by using the qualitative method. In order to comprehensively evaluate information security vulnerability, the efficacy coefficient method is used to transform information security vulnerability associated risk, and the information security vulnerability risk value is obtained, so as to realize the quantitative evaluation of network information security vulnerability detection under single transmission state. The calculated values of network centrality of the traditional method and the proposed method are tested respectively, and the evaluation of the two methods is evaluated according to the calculated results. The experimental results show that the proposed method can be used to calculate the network centrality value in the complex information security vulnerability space network, and the output evaluation result has a high signal-to-noise ratio, and the evaluation effect is obviously better than the traditional method.