• Title/Summary/Keyword: State Sensitivity Analysis

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OECD/NEA BENCHMARK FOR UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN MODELING (UAM) FOR LWRS - SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION OF NEUTRONICS CASES (PHASE I)

  • Bratton, Ryan N.;Avramova, M.;Ivanov, K.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.313-342
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    • 2014
  • A Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA), Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) benchmark for Uncertainty Analysis in Modeling (UAM) is defined in order to facilitate the development and validation of available uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis methods for best-estimate Light water Reactor (LWR) design and safety calculations. The benchmark has been named the OECD/NEA UAM-LWR benchmark, and has been divided into three phases each of which focuses on a different portion of the uncertainty propagation in LWR multi-physics and multi-scale analysis. Several different reactor cases are modeled at various phases of a reactor calculation. This paper discusses Phase I, known as the "Neutronics Phase", which is devoted mostly to the propagation of nuclear data (cross-section) uncertainty throughout steady-state stand-alone neutronics core calculations. Three reactor systems (for which design, operation and measured data are available) are rigorously studied in this benchmark: Peach Bottom Unit 2 BWR, Three Mile Island Unit 1 PWR, and VVER-1000 Kozloduy-6/Kalinin-3. Additional measured data is analyzed such as the KRITZ LEU criticality experiments and the SNEAK-7A and 7B experiments of the Karlsruhe Fast Critical Facility. Analyzed results include the top five neutron-nuclide reactions, which contribute the most to the prediction uncertainty in keff, as well as the uncertainty in key parameters of neutronics analysis such as microscopic and macroscopic cross-sections, six-group decay constants, assembly discontinuity factors, and axial and radial core power distributions. Conclusions are drawn regarding where further studies should be done to reduce uncertainties in key nuclide reaction uncertainties (i.e.: $^{238}U$ radiative capture and inelastic scattering (n, n') as well as the average number of neutrons released per fission event of $^{239}Pu$).

Economic Analysis of Wastewater Reuse Systems for Agricultural Irrigation using a System Dynamics Approach (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 농업용수 재이용시스템 경제성 분석)

  • Jeong, Han Seok;Suh, Kyo;Jang, Tae Il;Seong, Choung Hyun;Kim, Hak Kwan;Park, Seung Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2013
  • Many studies have reported additional treatment is needed to use wastewater for agricultural purpose. Economic considerations should be taken into account to establish infrastructure for agricultural reuse because of a large amount of water use in irrigation and relatively low water quality requirement. The objective of this study was to conduct economic analysis of wastewater reclamation and reuse systems for agriculture. A system dynamics approach considering complexity and dynamics in the wastewater reuse systems was used for the economic analysis, which are related with social, environmental, and economic problems. Sensitivity and benefit cost analysis for wastewater reuse systems was conducted through the established economic assessment model. The result of sensitivity analysis showed that water resources development and installation cost were the most sensitive for total benefits and costs, respectively. The scenario-based test of the organized economic assessment model shows marginal cost ranges and enables decision-makers to decide reasonable cost for the wastewater reuse systems for agriculture.

Sensitivity Study of the Flow-through Dynamic Flux Chamber Technique for the Soil NO Emissions

  • Kim Deug-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.21 no.E3
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2005
  • A mathematical sensitivity analysis of the flow-through dynamic flux chamber technique, which has been utilized usually for various trace gas flux measurement from soil and water surface, was performed in an effort to provide physical and mathematical understandings of parameters essential for the NO flux calculation. The mass balance equation including chemical reactions was analytically solved for the soil NO flux under the steady state condition. The equilibrium concentration inside the chamber, $C_{eq}$, was found to be determined mainly by the balance between the soil flux and dilution of the gas concentration inside the chamber by introducing the ambient air. Surface deposition NO occurs inside the chamber when the $C_{eq}$ is greater than the ambient NO concentration ($C_{0}$) introducing to the chamber; NO emission from the soil occurs when the $C_{eq}$ is less than the ambient NO concentration. A sensitivity analysis of the significance of the chemical reactions of NO with the reactive species (i.e. $HO_{2},/CH_{3}O_{2},/O_{3}$) on the NO flux from soils was performed. The result of the analysis suggests that the NO flux calculated in the absence of chemical reactions and wall loss could be in error ranges from 40 to $85\%$ to the total flux.

Reliability-Based Assessment of Structural Safety of Regid-Frame-Typed Segmental PSC Box Girder Bridges Erected by the FCM during Construction (FCM에 의한 라멘식 세그멘탈 PSC박스거더 교량의 신뢰성에 기초한 시공간 구조안전도평가)

  • Cho, Hyo-Nam;Joo., Hwan-Joong;Park, Kyung-Hoon;Moon, Kyung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, a limit state model based on the analysis of structural behavior of segmental prestressed concrete box girder bridges and reliability-based safety assessment method are proposed for the bridges erected by free cantilever method. Strength limit state models for prestressed concrete box girder and rigid-frame type columns are developed for a structural safety assessment during construction. Based on the proposed limit state models, the reliability of the bridge is evaluated by using the Advanced First Order Second Moment method. The proposed model and method are applied to the Seo-Hae Grand Bridge built by FCM in order to verify its effectiveness in the safety assessment during construction of the kind of bridges. The sensitivity analyses of the main parameters are also performed in order to identify the important factors that need to be controlled for the safety of the bridges during construction.

Modeling Alignment Experiment Errors for Improved Computer-Aided Alignment

  • Kim, Yunjong;Yang, Ho-Soon;Song, Jae-Bong;Kim, Sug-Whan;Lee, Yun-Woo
    • Journal of the Optical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.525-532
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    • 2013
  • Contrary to the academic interests of other existing studies elsewhere, this study deals with how the alignment algorithms such as sensitivity or Differential Wavefront Sampling (DWS) can be better used under effects from field, compensator positioning and environmental errors unavoidable from the shop-floor alignment work. First, the influences of aforementioned errors to the alignment state estimation was investigated with the algorithms. The environmental error was then found to be the dominant factor influencing the alignment state prediction accuracy. Having understood such relationship between the distorted system wavefront caused by the error sources and the alignment state prediction, we used it for simulated and experimental alignment runs for Infrared Optical System (IROS). The difference between trial alignment runs and experiment was quite close, independent of alignment methods; 6 nm rms for sensitivity method and 13 nm rms for DWS. This demonstrates the practical usefulness and importance of the prior error analysis using the alignment algorithms before the actual alignment runs begin. The error analysis methodology, its application to the actual alignment of IROS and their results are described together with their implications.

A Study on the Analysis of Lightning Damage Impact in Domestic Offshore Wind Farm (국내 해상풍력발전단지 낙뢰피해 영향 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Jin-Gyu;Kim, Kyu-Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.2
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    • pp.247-252
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    • 2016
  • The latest offshore wind turbines are easily exposed to lightning strikes because they are designed with longer blades and taller height to satisfy the growing capacity demands. The generation facilities and elements of the offshore wind farm are more vulnerable to lightning damage because of more severe, unpredictable weather conditions. Therefore, this paper presents the analysis of measure for lightning overvoltage mitigation in offshore wind farm planned in South Korea southwest seashore. The sensitivity analysis includes the steady state and transient state characteristics of offshore wind farm and proposes the countermeasure for mitigation of transient overvoltage by considering earth resistivity of the offshore environment.

Sensitivity-based reliability analysis of earth slopes using finite element method

  • Ji, Jian;Liao, Hong-Jian
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.545-560
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    • 2014
  • For slope stability analysis, an alternative to the classical limit equilibrium method (LEM) of slices is the shear strength reduction method (SRM), which can be integrated into finite element analysis or finite difference analysis. Recently, probabilistic analysis of earth slopes has been very attractive because it is capable to take the soil uncertainty into account. However, the SRM is less commonly extended to probabilistic framework compared to a variety of probabilistic LEM analysis of earth slopes. To overcome some limitations that hinder the development of probabilistic SRM stability analysis, a new procedure based on recursive algorithm FORM with sensitivity analysis in the space of original variables is proposed. It can be used to deal with correlated non-normal variables subjected to implicit limit state surface. Using the proposed approach, a probabilistic finite element analysis of the stability of an existing earth dam is carried out in this paper.

A Study on the Effect of the Machine State Considering Human Skillfulness (Kalman Filtering Approach) (작업자의 숙련도가 기계상태에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (최적 제어 이론(Kalman Filtering) 적용 중심으로))

  • 윤상원;갈원모;신용백
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.125-131
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    • 1994
  • This paper proposes a dynamic recursive model with the effect analysis of machine state considering human factor(human skillfulness) In a single lot man-machine production system. This model obtained using Kalman Filtering Algorithm Is based on input state, output state, machine state. For sensitivity analysis, this model constructed is examined according to the impact of human skillfulness with computer simulation. The model studied in this paper has a great advance from the point of view a combination of three factors( human engineering, dynamic control theory, quality control ) and can also be extended in several applications.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Oscillation Modes Occurred by Periodic Switching Operations of TCSC in Discrete Power Systems (이산 전력시스템에서 TCSC의 주기적 스위칭 동작에 의한 진동모드의 감도해석)

  • Kim, Deok-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the RCF(Resistive Companion Form) analysis method is applied to analyze small signal stability of power systems including thyristor controlled FACTS(Flexible AC Transmission System) equipments such as TCSC(Thyristor Controlled Series Capacitor). The eigenvalue sensitivity analysis algorithm in discrete systems based on the RCF analysis method is presented and applied to the power system including TCSC. As a result of simulation, the RCF analysis method is very useful to precisely calculate the variations of eigenvalues or newly generated unstable oscillation modes after periodic switching operations of TCSC. Also the eigenvalue sensitivity analysis method based on the RCF analysis method enabled to precisely calculate eigenvalue sensitivity coefficients of controller parameters about the dominant oscillation mode after periodic switching operations in discrete systems. These simulation results are different from those of the conventional continuous system analysis method such as the state space equation and showed that the RCF analysis method is very useful to analyze the discrete power systems including periodically operated switching equipments such as TCSC.

Strength Reliability Analysis of Continuous Steel Fiber Reinforced Concrete Beam (강섬유 보강 철근콘크리트 연속보의 강도신뢰성 해석)

  • 유한신;곽계환;조효남
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2003
  • Steel fiber may be used to raise the effectiveness and safety of reinforced concrete structure and to relax its brittle-fracture behavior. However it is to be clearly stated that the uncertainty for the strength of fiber reinforced concrete(SFRC) is rather increased. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the safety of SFRC beam using reliability analysis incorporating realistic uncertainty. This study presents the statistical data and proposes the limit state model to analyze the reliability of SFRC bear In order to verify the efficiency of the proposed limit state model, its numerical application and sensitivity analysis were performed for a continuous SFRC beam. From the results of the numerical analysis, it is founded that the reliability of SFRC beam is significantly difficult from the conventional RC beams and proposed limit state model (or SFRC beam is more rational compared with that for conventional RC beams. Then it may be stated that the reliability analysis of SFRC beams must be carried out for the development of design criteria and the safety assessment.

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