• Title/Summary/Keyword: Starting Value

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On Parameter Estimation of Growth Curves for Technological Forecasting by Using Non-linear Least Squares

  • Ko, Young-Hyun;Hong, Seung-Pyo;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 2008
  • Growth curves including Bass, Logistic and Gompertz functions are widely used in forecasting the market demand. Nonlinear least square method is often adopted for estimating the model parameters but it is difficult to set up the starting value for each parameter. If a wrong starting point is selected, the result may lead to erroneous forecasts. This paper proposes a method of selecting starting values for model parameters in estimating some growth curves by nonlinear least square method through grid search and transformation into linear regression model. Resealing the market data using the national economic index makes it possible to figure out the range of parameters and to utilize the grid search method. Application to some real data is also included, where the performance of our method is demonstrated.

Analysis of Soft Start-up Characteristics of the Induction Motor Considering the Firing Angle (점호각을 고려한 유도전동기의 소프트 기동 특성 해석)

  • Kim, Jong-Gyeum;Park, Young-Jeen
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.1007-1012
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    • 2016
  • Induction motors are used widely in driving load of a fluid, such as a pump or a fan in the industry. Induction motor has been generated the voltage drop by the occurrence of a high current during startup. In addition, high start-up current can act as a mechanical stress on the shaft of the motor. So there is need a way to reduce the starting current. Soft start method is one of the many ways to reduce the starting current. This method uses silicon-controlled rectifiers(SCRs) for varying value of the voltage applied to the motor. There is a case for fixing or changing the thyristor firing angle to adjust the magnitude of the voltage. Starting power factor of induction motor is very low compared to the normal operation. Soft starting with the firing angle fixed needs to be considered a low power factor at startup. In this study, we compared the direct start characteristics and soft start characteristics considering the low power factor at the time of start-up. It was possible to confirm that the starting current and the voltage drop is present differently according to the firing angle.

Design of An Electronic Starter Using PSpice Simulation (PSpice 시뮬레이션을 이용한 전자식 스타터의 설계)

  • 이동호;곽재영;여인선;정영춘
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.11-13
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    • 1997
  • Abstract - An electronic starter using MOSFET has been designed to take advantage of ideal preheating and starting features which can extend the lifetime of fluorescent lamps. The preheating circuit of the developed electronic starter is consisted of four parts - afull-wave rectifier circuit, an FET switching circuit a timer circuit for the gate switching, and a circuit for end-of-life protection. The circuit is analyzed by using PSpice simulation, and is improved to give an appropriate starting-time through control of R-C time constant of the timer circuit. And the circuit is also provided with an end-of-life protection feature, which utilizes the negative resistance characteristics of a thermistor that is thermally linked to FET through a heatsink. This also protects the FET from any overheating problems. From the results of simulation it is possible to obtain an appropriate value on the starting time for proper ignition and also it is verified that the limit for resistance of the thermistor is dependant on the value of resistance is the timer circuit

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A Study on Motion Constraint of Rotating Spindle in the Parallel Part at the Blocking Plate (평형부 내에서 회전 운동을 하는 스핀들의 운동 구속에 대한 연구)

  • Lim Jong Hyun;Han Geun Jo;Shim Jae Joon;Han Dong Seop;Lee Seong Wook;Kim Tae Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.22 no.8 s.173
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    • pp.136-142
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    • 2005
  • The function of main starting valve for marine engine is to supply cylinder with the air to start marine engine. But, if the spindle, one of the main starting valve components, doesn't rotate accurately at the designated air pressure, the marine engine may have some trouble in starting. So, to resolve the problem due to spindle .elation in the main starting valve, the blocking device (blocking plate, limit switch, etc.) is installed in the upper part of spindle to constrain the rotation. So, in this paper we introduced the rotation constraining ability of blocking plate prevent the spindle from mis-working in the main starting value of the marine engine.

Investigation of the essential parameters governing starting characteristic in the second throat exhaust diffuser for high altitude simulation (고도모사용 2 차목 초음속 디퓨져 시동특성에 영향을 미치는 파라미터에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Hyun;Park, Byung-Hoon;Lim, Ji-Hwan;Yoon, Woong-Sup
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.2642-2647
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    • 2008
  • Starting characteristics of the axi-symmetric supersonic exhaust diffuser(SED) with a second throat are numerically investigated. Main purpose of this study is to predict theoretical starting pressure of STED using 1-D normal shock theory and to present the range of optimum starting pressure through parametric study with essential design parameters of STED influencing on starting performance. Renolds-Average Navier-Stokes equations with a standard ${\kappa}-{\varepsilon}$ turbulence model incorporated with standard wall function are solved to simulate the diffusing evolutions of the nozzle plume. Minimum(optimum) starting pressure difference of $20{\sim}25%$ between 1-D theory and experimental evidences validated from previous results[5] is also applied to predict those in this system. The analysis results indicate that dominant parameters for diffuser starting in this system is diffuser expansion ratio($A_d/A_t$), which has optimum value 120 and second throat area ratio($A_d/A_{st}$), which has optimum range $3.3{\sim}3.5$.

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Determination of starting values in estimating growth curves by using non-linear least squares (비선형 최소자승법을 이용한 성장곡선 모형의 매개변수 추정시 초기값 설정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Youm, Se-Kyoung;Hong, Seung-Pyo;Kang, Hoe-Il;Kim, Ji-Soo;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.190-197
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    • 2001
  • Growth curves including Logistic and Gompertz functions are widely used in forecasting the market demand. To estimated the parameters of those functions, we use the non-linear least square method. However, it is difficult to set up the starting points for each parameter. If a wrong starting point is selected, the result reveals the local optimum or does not converge to a certain value. The purpose of this paper is to resolve the problem of selecting a starting point. Especially, rescaling the market data using the national economic index make it possible to figure out the range of parameters and to utilize the grid search method. Applications to some real data are also included.

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The Low Current Starting Simulation of a Single Phase Induction Motor Using Sliding Mode Control (슬라이딩 모드 제어를 이용한 단상 유도전동기의 저 전류 기동 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Hyo-Ki;Lee, Byung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.21 no.8
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the Sliding Mode Controller is applied to reduce the starting current of the single phase induction motor. The input voltage to the single phase induction motor is controlled so that the starting current of the motor may be maintained within the rating value and the velocity is also controlled, by adjusting the switching function of the Sliding Mode Controller. The switching of sliding control made appropriately with regard to velocity error signal and acceleration signal. It is shown that the starting characteristics of the single phase induction motor(SPIM) can be greatly enhanced through the sliding control of single phase induction motor.

A Study on Aerodynamic Analysis and Starting Simulation for Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine Blade (수평축 풍력발전용 회전날개의 공력성능 해석 및 시동특성 모사에 관한 연구)

  • 공창덕;방조혁;김학봉
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.40-46
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    • 1999
  • Aerodynamic performance and starting characteristic of wind turbine blade are important factors that determine the whole system as rated power, operating method, etc. Therefore, starting characteristic according to aerodynamic performance, wind speed and blade pitch angle should be examined while wind turbine blade is designed. In this study, the aerodynamic analysis program of 750㎾ class horizontal axis wind turbine blade was developed and to certify this program, the aerodynamic performance of the commercialized blade was analyzed with it. The analysis result was corresponding to the value presented from manufacturer. And the starting analysis program was developed on the basis of the developed aerodynamic analysis program and starting analysis was performed. As a result, it was confirmed that variable speed operation and variable pitch control are profitable to wind turbine used in low wind speed as our country.

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Effect of Forging Condition on the Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of Centrifugal Casted 9Cr-1Mo Heat-Resisting Steel (9Cr-1Mo 내열강의 미세조직 및 기계적 성질에 미치는 원심주조 후 단조 조건의 영향)

  • Lee, S.M.;Kim, Y.K.;Choi, H.G.;Lee, J.K.;Cho, Y.K.;Park, Y.T.;Kang, C.Y.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 2010
  • The effect of forging condition on the microstructure and mechanical properties of 9Cr-1Mo heat-resisting steel was investigated. Microstructure of centrifugal casted 9Cr-1Mo heat resisting steel and forged heat resisting steel are consisted of martensite. With the increase of forging ratio, tensile strength and hardness increased, while elongation and impact value decreased. By increasing of forging starting temperature and finishing temperature, tensile strength and hardness increased, while elongation and impact value decreased. We obtained the optimum forging conditions as follow, forging ratio is 30%, forging starting temperature is $1200^{\circ}C$ and forging finishing temperature is $950^{\circ}C$.

비선형모형분석을 위한 탐색적 자료분석

  • Jang, Dae-Heung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.25-28
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    • 2002
  • 비선형모형분석의 초기 단계에서 초기값(starting value, initial parameter value)를 결정하는 문제는 비선형모형의 모수추정을 위한 반복기법의 수렴속도나 국소값(local minimum)문제에 영향을 주게 된다. 본 논문을 통하여 탐색적 자료분석이 초기값를 결정하는 데 도움을 줄 수 있음을 보이고자 한다.

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