• Title/Summary/Keyword: Standardized normal index

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Application of Meteorological Drought Indices for North Korea (북한지역에 대한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 적용)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Jang, Min-Won;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.3-15
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    • 2008
  • North Korea is one of the vulnerable countries facing the threat of a drought, so that it is unavoidable to experience fatal damage when drought is occurred, and it is necessary to improve the drought response capability of water resources systems. However, it is still difficult to find research efforts for drought characteristics and drought management in North Korea. This study is to quantify drought duration and magnitude and to analyze drought characteristics in North Korea. In order to quantitatively identify historical drought conditions and to evaluate their variability, drought indices are commonly used. In this study, drought indices including dry-day index, deciles of normal precipitation, Phillips drought index, standardized precipitation index and Palmer drought severity index are calculated and compared monthly using the weather data for the twenty one meteorological stations in North Korea. The indices compared with the drought damage records that have reported from 1990 to present to understand how the indices can explain the drought. A comparative study was also conducted to evaluate the relative severity of the significant droughts occurred during 2000 and 2001 which were reported as the worst drought in North Korea. Drought indices calculated from this study demonstrated that those can be the effective tools in quantitatively evaluating drought severity and measures of drought. Thus it is recommended the distributed trend of drought be considered when the plan or measures for drought in North Korea are established.

Evaluation of Short-Term Drought Using Daily Standardized Precipitation Index and ROC Analysis (일 단위 SPI와 ROC 분석을 이용한 단기가뭄의 평가)

  • Yoo, Ji Young;Song, Hoyong;Kim, Tae-Woong;Ahn, Jae-Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1851-1860
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    • 2013
  • The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is widely applied to evaluate for meteorological droughts. However, the SPI is limited to capture a drought event with a short duration, expecially shorter than one month. In this study, we proposed a daily SPI (DSPI) as a way to overcome the limitation of the monthly SPI for drought monitoring. In order to objectively assess the ability of the drought reproduction of the DSPI, we performed a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis using the quantified drought records from official reports, newspapers, etc. The results of ROC analysis showed that the DSPI has an ability to reproduce short-term drought compared with other indices. It also showed that the main cause of historical droughts was the shortage of rainfall accumulated during the time period less than 90 days compared with the rainfall of normal years.

Analysis of Standardized Precipitation Index Considering the Rainfall Characteristics in Korea (우리나라의 강우특성을 고려한 표준강수지수 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyoung;Shin, Ju-Young;Seo, Jungho;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.349-349
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    • 2017
  • 표준강수지수(Standardized precipitation index, SPI)는 가장 널리 사용되고 있는 가뭄지수로, 우리나라 뿐만 아니라 세계기상기구(World Meteorological Organization)에서도 추천하고 있는 대표적인 기상학적 가뭄 지수라고 할 수 있다. 현재 표준강수지수는 2변수 gamma 분포를 적용하여 강수 부족 상황을 지수화하여 나타내고 있는데, 일부 연구에서는 다른 확률분포형의 적용하기도 하였다(Guttman, 1999; Lloyd-Hughes and Saunders, 2002; Stagge et al., 2015). 우리나라에서는 유원희(2000)에 의해 Pearson type 3, 2변수 gamma, generalized logistic, GEV, 3변수 log-normal 분포에 따른 SPI 산정 결과를 비교한 연구가 수행되었는데, SPI 산정에는 분포형별 차이가 뚜렷하지 않다는 결론을 얻었다. 그러나 이때 금강유역 내 지점에 국한하여 적용하였고, 분포형별 적합도 검정을 수행하지 않고 SPI 산정결과만을 비교하여 우리나라에 일반적으로 적용하기에는 어려움이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 강우특성을 반영할 수 있도록 다양한 확률분포형을 고려하여 표준강수지수를 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 관측기간이 30년 이상인 기상관측소의 월단위 강우자료를 구축하고, 월단위 강우자료에 다양한 확률분포형을 적용하고자 한다. 이때 적용하는 확률분포형은 2변수 gamma, Gumbel, normal 분포이다. 적정 확률분포형 선정을 위해 적합도 검정을 수행하고자 한다. 또한 각 분포형별로 산정된 표준강수지수를 기존 표준강수지수와 비교검토하고자 한다.

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The Comparisons of Eating-Related Index and Pre- and Post-Prandial Gut Hormone Patterns between Normal-Overweight and Obese Subjects of Taeemin (태음인 정상-과체중군과 비만군의 식이관련지표 및 식사 전후 Gut Hormone 비교연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Won;Park, Byung-Joo;Lee, Jun-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Medicine for Obesity Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: The purpose of this studay was to compare the eating-related index and the patterns of pre- and post-prandial gut hormone level in normal-overweight and obese subjects of Taeemin population. Methods: We enrolled healthy male participants who were diagnosed with Taeeumin by Sasang Constitutional diagnosis and who were normal-overweight ($18.5kg/m^2{\leq}$body mass index [BMI)< $25kg/m^2$) or obese ($25.0kg/m^2{\leq}$BMI< $30kg/m^2$). Eating behavior and gastrointestinal problems were assessed by using standardized scale. Subjective appetite ratings using visual analogue scales and the profiling of serum levels of ghrelin and peptide YY (PYY) were assessed before and after a standard meal (6 time points: 30 minutes pre-prandial, immediately before meal, 15, 30, 60, and 120 minutes post-prandial). Results: Tewnty two healthy Taeeumin people classified as normal-overweight group or obese group are the final subjects. External eating score of Dutch eating behavior questionaire scores is higher in normal-overweight group than in obese group. The variations of subjective appetite ratings in obese group are smaller than in normal-overweight group. The pattern of ghrelin in normal-overweight group shows a high peak at 30 minutes post-prandial point, which is contrary to existing studies. The pattern of PYY in obese group decreases from 15 minutes post-prandial point and shows lower peak level, whereas in normal-overweight group shows increasing tendency from pre-prandial point until 30 minutes post-prandial point. Conclusions: There are differences in the eating-related index and the gut hormone patterns related to obesity.

Drought Assessment of Upland Crops using Soil Moisture, SPI, SGI (토양수분, 표준강수지수, 표준지하수위지수를 활용한 밭가뭄 평가)

  • Jeon, Min-Gi;Nam, Won-Ho;Ok, Jung-Heun;Hwang, Seon-Ah;Hur, Seung-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.313-313
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    • 2022
  • 일반적으로 가뭄은 특정지역에서 평균 이하의 강수량이 발생되는 현상으로, 강수량이 감소되면 토양수분, 하천수 수위, 저수지 수위, 지하수위 등이 순차적으로 감소한다. 수문학적 가뭄은 기상학적 가뭄 및 농업 가뭄에 비해 늦게 발현되는데, 이는 강수량의 부족이 토양수분, 하천수량, 지하수 및 저수지 수위 등과 같은 수문학적 시스템에 전이되는 시간이 소요되기 때문이다. 따라서, 가뭄 피해를 경감하기 위해 지하수위 변동성을 이용하여 지하수 함양량을 추정함으로써 효율적인 수자원 관리의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 지하수위는 농촌 지하수 개발, 가뭄 및 홍수 예측 등 다양한 분야에 활용되며, 강수량에 의한 변화가 지표수에 비해 느리게 나타나고 토양을 통과하는 특성으로 인해 단기 및 장기간의 변화 경향이 나타난다. 미국 지질조사국 (United States Geological Survey)에서는 지하수위를 월 단위로 보통 이하 (Below-normal), 보통 (Normal), 보통 이상 (Above-normal) 3단계로 구분하여 분포도를 작성하고 전체 관측기간 중 25% 이상에서 보통 이하 (Below-normal)로 나타나면 가뭄으로 판단한다. 우리나라의 경우 지형, 유역을 고려한 지하수 수위 및 수질 현황과 변동성을 파악하기 위하여 전국 지하수위 관측망 688개소를 설치하고 운영 중에 있다. 또한, 농촌진흥청에서는 전국 농업기상대와 연계하여 토양수분관측망 (soil moisture monitoring network)을 구축하였으며, 표토 10 cm에 토양수분센서를 전국 168 지점에 설치하여 운영하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 강수량을 기반으로 산정한 표준강수지수 (Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)와 지하수위를 기반으로 산정한 표준지하수위지수 (Standardized Groundwater Level Index, SGI), 토양수분관측망의 토양수분의 상관 분석을 수행하고자 한다. 밭작물 가뭄의 중요 요소인 토양수분 함량은 강수에 즉각적으로 반응하는 반면 지표수 및 지하수는 상대적으로 장기간의 강수에 영향을 받기 때문에, 본 연구의 결과는 향후 밭작물 지역의 가뭄 취약성을 관리하는 지표로 활용이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

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Analysis of 2012 Spring Drought Using Meteorological and Hydrological Drought Indices and Satellite-based Vegetation Indices (기상 및 수문학적 가뭄지수와 위성 식생지수를 활용한 2012년 봄 가뭄 분석)

  • Ahn, So-Ra;Lee, Jun-Woo;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • KCID journal
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.78-88
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    • 2014
  • This study is to analyze the 2012 spring drought of Korea using drought index and satellite image. The severe spring drought recorded in May of 2012 showed 36.4% of normal rainfall(99.5mm). The areas of west part of Gyeonggi-do and Chungcheong-do were particularly serious. The drought indices both the SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index) and WADI(WAter supply Drought Index) represented the drought areas from the end of May and to the severe drought at the end of June. The drought by SPI completely ended at the middle of July, but the drought by WADI continued severe drought in the agricultural reservoir watersheds of whole country even to the end of the July. On the other hand, the results by spatial NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and EVI(Enhanced Vegetation Index) data from Terra MODIS, both indices showed relatively low values around the areas of Sinuiju, Pyongyang, and west coast of North Korea and Gyeonggi-do and Chungcheong-do of South Korea indicating drought condition. Especially, the values of NDVI and EVI at Chungcheong-do were critically low in June compared to the normal year value.

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Standar Dization and Evaluation of PDSI Calculation Method for Korean Drought Management Agencies (국내 가뭄관리 기관별 PDSI 산정방법의 표준화 및 평가)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Sohn, Kyung-Hwan;Kim, Hyun-Kyung;Lee, Joo-Heon;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.539-547
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to standardize the calculation method of Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for the three Drought Management Agencies (DMA) in south Korea, and to evaluate the PDSI applicability. For comparison and review of the method, the code and input data of PDSI are collected from each DMA. The calculation method is the same, but the used input data (number of meteorological stations, normal year period, Available Water Capacity (AWC) of the soil) are different. Through discussions with drought experts and literature review, the standardized method is determined. 61 stations which have the data period more than 30 years are selected. Also the normal year is fixed for 30 years and updated every 10 years. The observed AWC is utilized using GIS data. Empirical equation of PDSI is re-estimated according to domestic climate characteristics. For evaluating the standardized PDSI, past drought events are investigated and drought indices including the existing SPI and PDSI are used for comparative analysis. As results, although the accuracy of standardized PDSI through ROC analysis is lower than SPI, the newly standardized PDSI is better than existing PDSI from DMA, Also it reasonably explain the spatial drought situation through the spatial analysis.

Comparison of Surface Water and Groundwater Responses to Drought using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) (표준강수지수(SPI)를 이용한 가뭄에 대한 지표수와 지하수 반응 비교)

  • Koo, Min-Ho;Kim, Wonkyeom;Song, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2022
  • A correlation analysis was performed to investigate differences in the response of surface water and groundwater to drought using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Water level data of 20 agricultural reservoirs, 4 dams, 2 rivers, and 8 groundwater observation wells were used for the analysis. SPI was calculated using precipitation data measured at a nearby meteorological station. The water storage of reservoirs and dams decreased significantly as they responded sensitively to the drought from 2014 to 2016, showing high correlation with SPI of the relatively long accumulation period (AP). The responses of rivers varied greatly depending on the presence of an upstream dam. The water level in rivers connected to an upstream dam was predominantly influenced by the dam discharge, resulting in very weak correlation with SPI. On the contrary, the rivers without dam exhibited a sharp water level rise in response to precipitation, showing higher correlation with SPI of a short-term AP. Unlike dams and reservoirs, the responses of groundwater levels to precipitation were very short-lived, and they did not show high correlation with SPI during the long-term drought. In drought years, the rise of groundwater level in the rainy season was small, and the lowered water level in the dry season did not proceed any further and was maintained at almost the same as that of other normal years. Conclusively, it is confirmed that groundwater is likely to persist longer than surface water even in the long-term drought years.

The Study on Usefulness of the Standardized Information of Nuclear Medicine Scan in Function Evaluation of the Salivary Glands (침샘의 기능평가에서 핵의학 검사의 표준화된 정보제공의 유용성 연구)

  • Pyo, Sungjai;Han, Jaebok;Choi, Namgil
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.357-362
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    • 2015
  • This study was to evaluate the usefulness through the comparison of patients group and healthy control group by acquiring a variety of functional parameters index from time-activity curves of salivary gland scan using 99mTc-pertechnetate. From December 2014 to February 2015, had the targets of 30 patients with dry mouth and 10 people in healthy control group underwent the salivary gland scan. After intravenous injection of 370 MBq of 99mTc-pertechnetate, Vitamin C powder stimulation was administerd orally at 20 min and then 10 minutes were taken scan. The method of quantitative analysis was as follows, the time-activity curve was drawn after the parotid gland and submandible gland were prescribed as a region of interest, a variety of function parameters index was obtained in each position of the curve, and the patients group and the control group were compared. As for the methods applied in comparison and measurement, uptake ratio (UR), time at maximum counts (Tmax), time at minimum counts (Tmin), maximum accumulation (MA), accumulation velocity, maximum secretion (MS), maximum stimulation secretion (MSS), and secretion velocity (SV) were used. In the comparison of functional parameters index of patient group and normal group, the healthy normal group showed significant difference compared to the patient group in all indices except for the minimum radioactivity time (Tmin), and also in terms of variation over time the normal group showed significant difference compared to the patient group (p<0.05). Consequently, it was considered that the quantitative analysis that used a variety of function parameters index would be useful for evaluating the function of the salivary glands of the patients with dry mouth as an objective and standardized information.

Development of a Drought Detection Indicator using MODIS Thermal Infrared Data

  • Park, Sun-Yurp
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2004
  • Based on surface energy balance climatology, surface temperatures should respond to drying conditions well before plant response. To test this hypothesis, land surface temperatures (LST) derived from MODIS data were analyzed to determine how the data were correlated with climatic water balance variables and NDVI anomalies during a growing season in Western and Central Kansas. Daily MODIS data were integrated into weekly composites so that each composite data set included the maximum temperature recorded at each pixel during each composite period. Time-integrated, or cumulative values of the LST deviation standardized with mean air temperatures had significantly high correlation coefficients with SM, AE/PE, and MD/PE, ranging from 0.65 to 0.89. The Standardized Thermal Index (STI) is proposed in this study to accomplish the objective. The STI, based on surface temperatures standardized with observed mean air temperatures, had significant temporal relationships with the hydroclimatological factors. STI classes in all the composite periods also had a strong correlation with NDVI declines during a drought episode. Results showed that, based on LST, air temperature observations, and water budget analysis, NDVI declines below normal could be predicted as early as 8 weeks in advance in this study area.