• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2021.06a
• /
• pp.182-182
• /
• 2021

본 연구에서는 1일부터 최대 7일까지의 시간을 두고 남한 전체의 유출량에 대한 예측 모형을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 LSM (Land Surface Model) 모형을 사용하여 유출량을 모의하였고 이 과정에서 미 계측치에 대한 유출량을 예측하기 위하여 Xgboost (Extreme Gradient Boost)를 활용하여 매개변수를 지역화하였다. 이러한 지역화 기법을 통하여 남한 전체의 유출량에 대한 그리드화 된 유출값을 얻을 수 있었다. 또한 본 연구에서는 기상 예측자료를 유출량에 대한 예측으로 변환하기 위하여 Stacking 앙상블 기반의 수문학적 후처리 기법을 사용하였다. Stacking 앙상블 기법은 Base-learner와 Meta-learner의 조합으로 이루어 지는데 본 연구에서 새롭게 사용되는 패널티 기반의 분위회귀분석 방법론은 기존의 방법론과의 비교에 있어서 유용한 것으로 파악되었다. 결과적으로 본 연구에서는 총 7일의 앞선 시간의 예측에 있어서 한반도 전체의 유출량에서 비교적 짧은 시간에 대한 예측인 1일과 2일에서의 예측은 실질적으로 사용이 가능한 것으로 파악되었다.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• v.8 no.1
• /
• pp.196-212
• /
• 2014

Facial expression recognition is an important part in emotional interaction between human and machine. This paper proposes a facial expression recognition approach based on multi-classifier fusion with stacking algorithm. The kappa-error diagram is employed in base-level classifiers selection, which gains insights about which individual classifier has the better recognition performance and how diverse among them to help improve the recognition accuracy rate by fusing the complementary functions. In order to avoid the influence of the chance factor caused by guessing in algorithm evaluation and get more reliable awareness of algorithm performance, kappa and informedness besides accuracy are utilized as measure criteria in the comparison experiments. To verify the effectiveness of our approach, two public databases are used in the experiments. The experiment results show that compared with individual classifier and two other typical ensemble methods, our proposed stacked ensemble system does recognize facial expression more accurately with less standard deviation. It overcomes the individual classifier's bias and achieves more reliable recognition results.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• v.18 no.5
• /
• pp.1301-1316
• /
• 2024

In modern warfare, missiles play a pivotal role but typically spend the majority of their lifecycle in long-term storage or standby mode, making it difficult to detect failures. Preemptive detection of missiles that will fail is crucial to preventing severe consequences, including safety hazards and mission failures. This study proposes a contamination-based stacking ensemble model, employing the local outlier factor (LOF), to detect such missiles. The proposed model creates multiple base LOF models with different contamination values and combines their anomaly scores to achieve a robust anomaly detection. A comparative performance analysis was conducted between the proposed model and the traditional single LOF model, using production-related inspection data from missiles deployed in the military. The experimental results showed that, with the contamination parameter set to 0.1, the proposed model exhibited an increase of approximately 22 percentage points in accuracy and 71 percentage points in F1-score compared to the single LOF model. This approach enables the preemptive identification of potential failures, undetectable through traditional statistical quality control methods. Consequently, it contributes to lower missile failure rates in real battlefield scenarios, leading to significant time and cost savings in the military industry.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
• /
• v.18 no.11
• /
• pp.129-136
• /
• 2020

The advantages of Blockchain present the necessity of Blockchain in various fields. However, there are several disadvantages to Blockchain. Among them, the uncle block problem is one of the problems that can greatly hinder the value and utilization of Blockchain. Although the value of Blockchain may be degraded by the uncle block problem, previous studies did not pay much attention to research on uncle block. Therefore, the purpose of this study attempts to predict the occurrence of uncle block in order to predict and prepare for the uncle block problem of Blockchain. This study verifies the validity of introducing new attributes and ensemble analysis techniques for accurate prediction of uncle block occurrence. As a research method, voting, bagging, and stacking ensemble analysis techniques were employed for Ethereum's uncle block where the uncle block problem actually occurs. We used Blockchain information of Ethereum and Bitcoin as analysis data. As a result of the study, we found that the best prediction result was presented when voting and stacking ensemble techniques were applied using only Ethereum Blockchain information. The result of this study contributes to more accurately predict the occurrence of uncle block and prepare for the uncle block problem of Blockchain.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
• /
• 2021.11a
• /
• pp.566-569
• /
• 2021

전력수요는 월, 요일 및 시간의 계절성(Seasonality)을 보이는 데이터이다. 각 계절성에 따라 특성이 다르기 때문에, 전력수요를 예측하기 위해서는 계절성의 특성을 고려한 다양한 모델을 선정하고, 병합하는 방법이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 전력수요의 계절성을 고려한 다양한 예측모델을 병합하여 이용할 수 있도록 스태킹 앙상블 적용하고 실험결과를 기술한다. 또한, 162개 도시의 기상 데이터와 인구 데이터를 예측에 이용하는 방법, Regression 모델과 Time-series모델에 입력하는 특징(Feature)의 전처리 방법, 베이지안 최적화를 이용한 머신러닝 및 딥러닝 모델의 하이퍼파라메터 최적화 방법을 제시한다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.30 no.5
• /
• pp.485-499
• /
• 2023

This study aimed to predict the number of meals served in a group cafeteria using machine learning methodology. Features of the menu were created through the Word2Vec methodology and clustering, and a stacking ensemble model was constructed using Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and CatBoost as sub-models. Results showed that CatBoost had the best performance with the ensemble model showing an 8% improvement in performance. The study also found that the date variable had the greatest influence on the number of diners in a cafeteria, followed by menu characteristics and other variables. The implications of the study include the potential for machine learning methodology to improve predictive performance and reduce food waste, as well as the removal of subjective elements in menu classification. Limitations of the research include limited data cases and a weak model structure when new menus or foreign words are not included in the learning data. Future studies should aim to address these limitations.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
• /
• v.42 no.4
• /
• pp.203-210
• /
• 2019

Recently, a number of researchers have produced research and reports in order to forecast more exactly air quality such as particulate matter and odor. However, such research mainly focuses on the atmospheric diffusion models that have been used for the air quality prediction in environmental engineering area. Even though it has various merits, it has some limitation in that it uses very limited spatial attributes such as geographical attributes. Thus, we propose the new approach to forecast an air quality using a deep learning based ensemble model combining temporal and spatial predictor. The temporal predictor employs the RNN LSTM and the spatial predictor is based on the geographically weighted regression model. The ensemble model also uses the RNN LSTM that combines two models with stacking structure. The ensemble model is capable of inferring the air quality of the areas without air quality monitoring station, and even forecasting future air quality. We installed the IoT sensors measuring PM2.5, PM10, H2S, NH3, VOC at the 8 stations in Jeonju in order to gather air quality data. The numerical results showed that our new model has very exact prediction capability with comparison to the real measured data. It implies that the spatial attributes should be considered to more exact air quality prediction.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
• /
• 2024.05a
• /
• pp.846-849
• /
• 2024

다양한 분야에서 QR 코드가 급속도로 확산되면서, QR 코드를 악용하여 사용자를 악성 웹사이트로 리디렉션하는 '큐싱(Qshing)'이라는 새로운 형태의 사이버 범죄가 등장했다. 이에 본 연구에서는 일반화 성능을 향상시키기 위해 교차 검증(CV)을 활용하여 QR 코드 스캔과 관련된 악성 URL을 탐지하도록 설계된 스태킹 앙상블 모델을 제안한다. 이러한 통합은 실제 애플리케이션에서 높은 성능을 기대할 수 있도록 설계되었다. 본 연구는 이 모델이 기존의 연구보다 QR 코드 관련 사이버 위협에 대처하는 보다 효과적인 수단을 제공할 것으로 기대한다.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
• /
• v.22 no.2
• /
• pp.1-9
• /
• 2021

Traditionally, most malicious codes have been analyzed using feature information extracted by domain experts. However, this feature-based analysis method depends on the analyst's capabilities and has limitations in detecting variant malicious codes that have modified existing malicious codes. In this study, we propose a ResNet-Variational AutoEncder-based variant malware classification method that can classify a family of variant malware without domain expert intervention. The Variational AutoEncoder network has the characteristics of creating new data within a normal distribution and understanding the characteristics of the data well in the learning process of training data provided as input values. In this study, important features of malicious code could be extracted by extracting latent variables in the learning process of Variational AutoEncoder. In addition, transfer learning was performed to better learn the characteristics of the training data and increase the efficiency of learning. The learning parameters of the ResNet-152 model pre-trained with the ImageNet Dataset were transferred to the learning parameters of the Encoder Network. The ResNet-Variational AutoEncoder that performed transfer learning showed higher performance than the existing Variational AutoEncoder and provided learning efficiency. Meanwhile, an ensemble model, Stacking Classifier, was used as a method for classifying variant malicious codes. As a result of learning the Stacking Classifier based on the characteristic data of the variant malware extracted by the Encoder Network of the ResNet-VAE model, an accuracy of 98.66% and an F1-Score of 98.68 were obtained.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
• /
• v.10 no.2
• /
• pp.57-64
• /
• 2021

This study presents a method for realtime fuel consumption prediction using real data collected from OBDII. With the advent of the era of self-driving cars, electronic control units(ECU) are getting more complex, and various studies are being attempted to extract and analyze more accurate data from vehicles. But since ECU is getting more complex, it is getting harder to get the data from ECU. To solve this problem, the firmware was developed for acquiring accurate vehicle data in this study, which extracted 53,580 actual driving data sets from vehicles from January to February 2019. Using these data, the ensemble stacking technique was used to increase the accuracy of the realtime fuel consumption prediction model. In this study, Ridge, Lasso, XGBoost, and LightGBM were used as base models, and Ridge was used for meta model, and the predicted performance was MAE 0.011, RMSE 0.017.