• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stable management

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A Case-Based Reasoning Approach to Ontology Inference Engine Selection for Robust Context-Aware Services (상황인식 서비스의 안정적 운영을 위한 온톨로지 추론 엔진 선택을 위한 사례기반추론 접근법)

  • Shim, Jae-Moon;Kwon, Oh-Byung
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.27-44
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    • 2008
  • Owl-based ontology is useful to realize the context-aware services which are composed of the distributed and self-configuring modules. Many ontology-based inference engines are developed to infer useful information from ontology. Since these engines show the uniqueness in terms of speed and information richness, it's difficult to ensure stable operation in providing dynamic context-aware services, especially when they should deal with the complex and big-size ontology. To provide a best inference service, the purpose of this paper is to propose a novel methodology of context-aware engine selection in a contextually prompt manner Case-based reasoning is applied to identify the causality between context and inference engined to be selected. Finally, a series of experiments is performed with a novel evaluation methodology to what extent the methodology works better than competitive methods on an actual context-aware service.

An Analysis of the Interrelationships between the Domestic and Foreign Stock Market Variations over the Depressed Market Period (주가의 전반적 하락기 국내외 증시 변동간의 연관관계 분석)

  • 김태호;유경아;김진희
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2003
  • This study Investigates the short and long-run dynamic relationships between the domestic and U.S. stock markets for the period of declining stock prices. It Is well known that the domestic stock market variations are largely caused by the U.S. stock market movements. Multivariate causal tty test Is utilized to examine the lead-lag relationships among four stock prices of KOSPI and KOSDAQ In the domestic part and DOWJONES and NASDAQ In the U.S. part. When the stock prices tend to decrease In the long run, It Is found that both KOSPI and KOSDAQ have closer relations with NASDAQ than DOWJONES. When both of domestic stock markets are severely fluctuate, bidirectional causal relationships appear to exist between NASDAQ and each of KOSPI and KOSDAQ. On the other hand. when the domestic stock markets are relatively stable, unidirectional causality Is found to exist between NASDAQ and each of KOSPI and KOSDAQ. which is explicitly validated by the analysis of variance decomposition.

Constrained NLS Method for Long-term Forecasting with Short-term Demand Data of a New Product (제약적 NLS 방법을 이용한 출시 초기 신제품의 중장기 수요 예측 방안)

  • Hong, Jungsik;Koo, Hoonyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2013
  • A long-term forecasting method for a new product in early stage of diffusion is proposed. The method includes a constrained non-linear least square estimation with the logistic diffusion model. The constraints would be critical market informations such as market potential, peak point, and take-off. Findings on 20 cases having almost full life cycle are that (i) combining any market information improves the forecasting accuracy, (ii) market potential is the most stable information, and (iii) peak point and take-off information have negative effect in case of overestimation.

Process optimization using a rule induction method based on latent variables (잠재변수에 대한 규칙추론을 통한 공정 최적화)

  • Jeong, Il-Gyo;Lee, Sang-Ho;Jeon, Chi-Hyeok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.633-636
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    • 2006
  • In order to determine new settings of key process variables optimally, a new rule induction method through a historical data is proposed without using an explicit functional model between process and quality variables. First, a partial least square is used to reduce the dimensionality of the process variables. Then new process settings that yield the best quality variable are identified by sequentially partitioning the reduced latent variable space using a patient rule induction method. The proposed method is illustrated with a case study obtained from steel-making processes. We also show, through simulation, that the proposed method gives more stable results than estimating an explicit function even when the form of the function is known in advance.

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Systematic future trading with a composition strategy of Parabolic SAR and Moving Average (Parabolic SAR와 이동평균선을 혼합한 선물시장의 시스템 트레이딩 기법)

  • O, Won-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.510-513
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    • 2008
  • As number of cyber traders are growing, the uses of technical analyzing indicators in trading increase as well. Parabolic SAR, which indicates changes of trend in the market, is one of the most used indicators by cyber traders. Especially when a market shows a specific trend, it is very useful. However, this indicator often gives late signals and shows less trustful ones in a stable market. This paper proposes a method that give more conservative signals by a composition of Parabolic SAR and Moving Average. The experiment will compare the earning rates of using only Parabolic SAR strategy and of using a composition strategy of Parabolic SAR and Moving Average.

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Nonprogressive Unilateral Intracranial Arteriopathy in Children with Arterial Ischemic Stroke

  • Yeon, Je Young;Shin, Hyung Jin
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.57 no.6
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2015
  • The nonprogressive unilateral intracranial arteriopathy known as transient (focal) cerebral arteriopathy is not a well-recognized arteriopathy among practitioners of Korea and Japan, although it cannot be easily differentiated from early moyamoya disease. This review summarizes the nomenclature, pathophysiology, diagnostic evaluation, clinico-radiological features, and management of nonprogressive (reversible or stable) unilateral arteriopathy based on the relevant literature and our own experiences. Nonprogressive unilateral arteriopathy should be strongly suspected in children presenting with basal ganglia infarction and arterial beading. The early identification of patients likely to have nonprogressive or progressive arteriopathy would ensure proper management and guide further research for secondary stroke prevention.

A Study on Demand Forecasting Model of Domestic Rare Metal Using VECM model (VECM모형을 이용한 국내 희유금속의 수요예측모형)

  • Kim, Hong-Min;Chung, Byung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2008
  • The rare metals, used for semiconductors, PDP-LCS and other specialized metal areas necessarily, has been playing a key role for the Korean economic development. Rare metals are influenced by exogenous variables, such as production quantity, price and supplied areas. Nowadays the supply base of rare metals is threatened by the sudden increase in price. For the stable supply of rare metals, a rational demand outlook is needed. In this study, focusing on the domestic demand for chromium, the uncertainty and probability materializing from demand and price is analyzed, further, a demand forecast model, which takes into account various exogenous variables, is suggested, differing from the previously static model. Also, through the OOS(out-of-sampling) method, comparing to the preexistence ARIMA model, ARMAX model, multiple regression analysis model and ECM(Error Correction Mode) model, we will verify the superiority of suggested model in this study.

The efficient management of the underground Power transmission facilities (지중 송전설비의 효율적 운영)

  • Lee, Seog-Kyu;Jo, Sung-Woo;Choi, Keong-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1385-1387
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    • 1999
  • Electric power consumption is highly increasing as the social trend requiring comfortable life, the population concentration in a big city and the industrial development. Therefore it has become to be very important to supply the stable high-quality power. As these trends, the underground power transmission facilities are unavoidable in the center of a city and are going to increase more and more. As the proportion to increase facilities, the efficient management and maintenance become more important and are going to play an important role in the high-quality of power supply.

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Structural Change in the Price-Dividend Ratio and Implications on Stock Return Prediction Regression

  • Lee, Ho-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.183-206
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    • 2007
  • The price-dividend ratio is one of the most frequently used financial variables to predict long-horizon stock return. However, the persistency of the price-dividend ratio is found to cause the spuriousness of the stock return prediction regression. The stable relationship between the stock price and the dividend, however, seems to weaken after World War II and to experience structural break. In this paper, we identify a structural change in the cointegrating relationship between the log of the stock price and the log of the dividend. Confirming a structural break in 1962, we subdivide the sample and apply the fully modified estimator to correct for the nonstationarity of the regressor. With the subdivided sample, we exercise the nonparametric bootstrap procedure to derive the empirical distribution of the test statistics and fail to find return predictability in each subsample period.

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Industrial robot programming method utilizing the human learning capability (인간 학습을 이용한 산업용 로보트의 효율적 프로그래밍 방안)

  • 김성수;이종태
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.244-248
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    • 1996
  • Nowadays, most shop floors using industrial robots have many problems such as constructing robot workcell, generating robot arm moving trajectory, etc.. In the case of programming robot-arms for a specific task, shop operator commonly use the teach pendant to record the target position and determine the moving trajectory. However, such a teaching process may result in an inefficient trajectory in the sense of moving distance and joint angle fluctuation. Moreover, shop operators who have little knowledge about robot programming process need a lot of learning time and cost. The purpose of this paper is to propose a user friendly robot programming method to program robot-arms easily and efficiently for shop operator so that the programming time is reduced and a short and stable trajectory is obtained.

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