• 제목/요약/키워드: Stability assesment

검색결과 24건 처리시간 0.024초

강우-유출 모델링의 불확실성 고려한 다중 평가지수에 의한 확장형 모형평가 방법 (An Extended Model Evaluation Method using Multiple Assessment Indices (MAIs) under Uncertainty in Rainfall-Runoff Modeling)

  • 이기하;정관수;타치카와 야수토
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.591-595
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    • 2010
  • Conventional methods of model evaluation usually rely only on model performance based on a comparison of simulated variables to corresponding observations. However, this type of model evaluation has been criticized because of its insufficient consideration of the various uncertainty sources involved in modeling processes. This study aims to propose an extended model evaluation method using multiple assesment indices (MAIs) that consider not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in rainfall-runoff modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250m, 500m, and 1km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three MAIs for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. In addition, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. Numerous parameter sets could lead to indistinguishable hydrographs. This result supports that while making a model complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty. The proposed model evaluation process can provide an effective guideline for identifying a reliable hydrologic model.

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충격량에 의한 고장메커니즘을 활용한 추간체유합보형재의 신뢰성 평가 방법 및 개선에 관한 연구 (A Research on the Reliability Assessment and Improvement of Spinal Cage using by the Failure Mechanism by the Impulse)

  • 유우진;이용윤;허성용;함중걸
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.243-247
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    • 2014
  • The Spinal cage is the cage-shaped implantable medical device used to treat structural abnormalities caused by degenerative intervertebral disks. In order to secure enough space to provide the mechanical stability and the intervertebral fusion, after removing the intervertebral disc, the Spinal cage is transplanted between the intervertebral space. A hammer is used to push the spinal cage into a narrow space during the spinal cage transplant surgery. Due to the impact and pressure, damage occurs frequently on the spinal cage. In this study, a test model is constructed to measure the value of impulse generally applied on the Spinal cage. The figures of internal impulse before and after the improvement of the Spinal cage are then compared to suggest direction to improve the reliability of the spinal cage.

초전도케이블시스템 유지.보수에 따른 신뢰성 평가 시험 (Reliability Assesment Test on the Regular Maintenance of HTS Cable System)

  • 손송호;양형석;임지현;최하옥;김동락;류희석;황시돌
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2009년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.361-361
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    • 2009
  • KEPCO High Temperature Superconducting (HTS) cable system rated with $3\Phi$, 22.9kV, 1250A was laid in 2006, and the long term test is in progress. The HTS cable system with the cooling system has been operated below cryogenic temperature. That environment exposes the system to the thermo-mechanical stress due to the significant temperature difference, and the cooling system has moving parts for the forced circulation of the coolant. Therefore the HTS cable system experiences thermal fatigue and moving part such as liquid nitrogen pump need a regular replacement every 5000 hours Building the assessment criterion, the maintenance procedure was established and regular preventive maintenance was done; improvement of the termination structure and the replacement of the bearing of liquid nitrogen pump. Following the proper process, the reliability assessment test including He leakage detection and the stability of flow rate was performed. This paper describes the process and result of the first regular maintenance of KEPCO HTS cable system

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간편법에 의한 소규모저수지의 수문학적 안전성 평가 (Hydrologic Safety Evaluation of Small Scale Reservoir by Simplified Assesment Method)

  • 이주헌;양승만;김성준;강부식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2011
  • Based on the statistical annual report, there are 17,649 reservoirs are operating for the purpose of agricultural water supply in Korea. 58 % of entire agricultural reservoirs had been constructed before 1948 which indicate the termination of required service life and rest of those reservoirs have also exposed to the dam break risk by extreme flood event caused by current ongoing climate change. To prevent damages from dam failure accident of these risky small size dams, it is necessary to evaluate and manage the structural and hydrological safety of the reservoirs. In this study, a simplified evaluation method for hydrologic safety of dam is suggested by using Rational and Creager formula. Hydrologic safety of small scale dams has evaluated by calculating flood discharge capacity of the spillway and compares the results with design frequency of each reservoir. Applicability and stability of suggested simplified method have examined and reviewd by comparing the results from rainfall-runoff modeling with dam break simulation using HEC-HMS. Application results of developed methodology for three sample reservoirs show that simplified assessment method tends to calculate greater inflow to the reservoirs then HEC-HMS model which lead lowered hydrologic safety of reservoirs. Based on the results of application, it is expected that the developed methodology can be adapted as useful tool for small scale reservoir's hydrologic safety evaluation.

석회석 광산에서 폐석 적치장 사면의 안정성 평가 (Stability Assesment of the Slope at the Disposal Site of Waste Rock in Limestone Mine)

  • 이상은;장윤호
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.475-490
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    • 2010
  • L 석회석 광산에서 폐석 덤핑 투하 지점이 놓인 위치에 따라 폐석층 또는 암반층에 따라 구분하고 총11개의 폐석 적치장중 7개소를 대상으로 사면안정해석을 수행하였다. 폐석층에 대해서는 Bishop 법을 이용한 원호파괴 해석과 유한요소법을 적용하였으며, 암반층은 평사투영법에 의해 잠재적인 파괴 가능성을 분석하고 한계평형법 해석에 의해 안전율을 산정하였다. 또한 암반사면의 전체적인 거동을 파악하기 위해 유한요소법을 적용하였다. 이 때 유한요소법으로 사면의 안정성을 안전율로 표시하기 위하여 강도감소법을 이용하였다. 안정 해석결과 폐석층 사면은 D 지역에서, 그리고 암반층의 경우 F와 G 지역에서 사면의 안정성 확보가 곤란한 것으로 평가되었으며, 아울러 폐석 적치장의 해석결과를 토대로 안정성을 확보하기 위한 방안을 제시하였다. 즉, D 지역의 사면은 파괴 활동면을 벗어난 지역에서 덤핑 후 도져에 의해 Push하는 방안이 필요하며, F와 G지역은 단층대 발달이 없는 지역으로 덤핑-투하 지점을 이동하여 적치하는 방안을 추천하였다.

한계변형률 개념을 활용한 터널 안정성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Safety Assessment Technique of a Tunnel Using Critical Stain Concept)

  • 박시현;신용석
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 굴착이 진행 중인 터널 시공현장에서 계측변위를 활용하여 신속하게 터널의 안정성을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 기술을 새롭게 제안하였다. 이를 위해 먼저, 현재 국내외적으로 터널 시공현장에서 활용하고 있는 계측관리지침 사례를 조사하였다. 그러나 이들 지침은 그 근거가 뚜렷하지 못하고, 터널시공현장마다 서로 달라 통일적인 관리가 이루어지지 못할 뿐만 아니라 터널 계측과 관련된 다양한 제약으로 인해 현장 실무에서 활용도와 그 중요성이 높지 않은 것을 알 수 있었다. 터널굴착에 의해 발생하는 변위에 대한 기준 설정을 위해서 본 연구에서는 한계변형률 개념을 새롭게 도입하였으며 이를 활용하여 시공 중인 터널의 안정성 평가 기법을 새롭게 제안하였다. 또한 한계변형률 개념을 터널 실무에 활용하기 위해서, 지반굴착에 의해 발생하는 변위발생 특징을 종합적으로 검토하였으며, 터널굴착에 의해 발생하는 총변위를[굴착전 변위], [계측전 변위], [계측변위]로 구분하여 이들 각각에 대한 특성을 살펴보았다. 마지막으로 시공중인 터널에 대하여 한계변형률 개념을 도입하여 현장 계측결과를 활용하는 방안에 대하여 구체적으로 언급하였으며 이를 현재 국내의 계측현황 조사를 토대로 그 활용방안에 대해 기술하였다.

GIS 공간유형분석 모형을 이용한 경관 규모 생태계의 평가기법 (Landscape Scale Ecosystem Assessment Modelling Using Spatial Pattern Analysis of GIS: A Case Study of Yongin, Korea)

  • 손학기;김원주;박종화
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this study were to develop landscape scale ecosystem assessment model, and apply the model for the assessment of the state and change of ecosystem of the study area, Yongin, Korea. Since natural ecosystem of the site has been deteriorated significantly during recent extensive residential development, it is essential to correctly assess ecosystem of the study site. Traditional ecosystem assessment mainly utilizing intensive field survey requires high cost, but the outcome rarely represents spatial pattern of the regional ecosystems. Ecosystem assesment of landscape scale based on landscape ecology can resolve most of the shortfalls of the traditional approach. The research method can be summarized as follows. First, extensive literature review on such topics as spatial pattern of ecosystem, ecosystem assessment of landscape scale, ecological analysis was carried out. Second, a model for the ecosystem assessment of landscape scale emphasizing spatial pattern of ecosystem was developed. This model evaluates three indicators; ecological integrity and biological diversity, watershed integrity, and landscape resilience of 11 watersheds in the study area. Finally, ecological assessment utilizing two sets of indicators, enhancement of and disturbance of ecosystem stability, was carried out. This assessment method is based on Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program´s Landscape component(EMAP-L) of EPA(1994). The results of this study are as follows. First, the ecosystem assessment of landscape scale of the study area of Yongin, Korea, showed that escosystems of Tanchun01 and Chungmichun01 watersheds had the worst state in the study site in 1991. On the other hand, the ecosystems of Jinwechun01, Kyunganchun02, and Bokhachun01 watersheds had the most stable ecosystem in 1991. Second, ecosystems of Tanchun01, Shingal reservoir, and Kyunganchun01 watersheds were evaluated to be the worst state in the study site in 1996. And, ecosystems of Jinwechun01 and Gosam reservoir watersheds had the most stable ecosystem. Third, ecosystem of Tanchun01 watershed which incudes Suji residential development project site changed the most drastically between 1991 and 1996. The ecosystem of the watershed the most drastically deteriorated due to it´s proximity to Seoul and Bundang new town.

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대규모 보강토옹벽 구조물에서의 기초지반 지지력특성 평가 (Assesment on the Characteristics of Foundation Bearing Capacity in Reinforced Soil Wall Structure of Large Scale)

  • 한중근;유승경;조삼덕;이광우;홍기권
    • 한국지반신소재학회논문집
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2006
  • 국내에서는 여러 가지 형상 및 친환경적인 보강토옹벽 구조물의 시공은 최근 많이 확대되고 있다. 전체구조물의 안정과 더불어 블록에 발생되는 균열은 대부분 원인으로 기초의 침하에 의한 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 기초지반의 부등침하와 관련하여 기초지지력의 설계시 평가법 및 시공시 평가법에 대하여 고찰하였다. 현장에서 실시되고 있는 실제 시공사례를 이용하여 보강토옹벽의 안정을 기초지지력을 만족하지 못하는 경우에 대한 대책방안을 제시하고 그 방안의 활용성을 제시하였다. 보강토옹벽의 기초부분은 전체사면의 잠재적 활동면의 범주내에 있게 되므로 기초지지력을 담당하는 지반은 지반의 활동저항력에 영향을 받게 된다. 따라서, 기초지지력을 부담하는 기초지반은 지지력에 대한 안정을 만족할 뿐 만 아니라 전체사면활동에 저항하는 억지능력에 대하여도 고려되어야 한다.

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프로브 자전거 센서자료를 이용한 자전거 주행안전성 및 이동성 통합평가기법 개발 (A Methodology for Evaluating Cycling Safety and Mobility using Probe Bicycle Sensor Data)

  • 주신혜;오철
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2012
  • 자전거는 비동력 무탄소 교통수단으로써 지속가능한 녹색교통수단으로 각광받고 있으며 자전거이용활성화를 위해서는 빠르고 쾌적하며, 안전한 자전거 주행환경을 제공하여 자전거가 가지고 있는 제약을 극복하여 보다 중요한 교통수단으로서의 기능을 할 수 있도록 해야한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 자전거 모니터링의 일환으로 주행환경 평가시나리오 및 관성센서 및 자전거 속도계가 장착된 프로브자전거를 활용한 자전거 주행환경 평가기법을 제시하였다. 또한 제시된 평가기법은 신뢰성 분석기법인 FTA(Fault Tree Analysis)이론을 적용하여 자전거 주행안전성(CSI)과 주행이동성(속도)을 동시에 평가할 수 있는 통합평가지표를 제시함으로써 실효성이 높을 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구의 결과는 GPS와 관성센서가 통합된 자전거 전용단말기를 개발하여 공공자전거 시스템의 구성요소로 발전시킨다면 보다 지능적인 자전거 교통 모니터링이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

혹명나방저항성 GM 벼의 분자생물학적 특성 및 특이 마커를 이용한 검정 (Molecular biological characteristics and analysis using the specific markers of leaf folder-resistant GM rice)

  • 신공식;이시명;임선형;우희종;조현석;이경렬;이명철;권순종;서석철
    • Journal of Plant Biotechnology
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2009
  • In recent years, several genetically modified (GM) crops have been developed worldwide through the recombinant DNA technology and commercialized by various agricultural biotechnological companies. Commercialization of GM crops will be required the assesment of risks associated with the release of GM crops. In advance of the commercial release of GM crops, developer should submit the several information on GM crops for approval. In this study, we carried out to provide the molecular data for the risk assessment of GM rice containing insect-resistant gene, modified Cry1Ac (CryIAc1). Through the molecular analysis with CryIAc1 induced GM rice, we confirmed the steady integration and expression of transgene, the transgene copy number, the adjacent region sequences of inserted gene into rice genome, and the transgene stability in progenies. For the qualitative PCR detection methods, specific primer pairs were designed on the basis of integration sequences, and construct- and event-specific detection markers were developed for leaf folder-resistant rice, Cr7-1 line. From these results, we demonstrated that the molecular data and the PCR detection methods of leaf folderresistant GM rice could be acceptable to conduct the biosafety and environment risk assessment.