• Title/Summary/Keyword: Speed Prediction

Search Result 1,508, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Prediction of Iron Loss Resistance by Using HILS System (HILS 시스템을 통한 IPMSM의 철손저항 추정)

  • Jeong, Kiyun;Kang, Raecheong;Lee, Hyeongcheol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-33
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper presents the d-q axis equivalent circuit model of an interior permanent magnet (IPM) which includes the iron loss resistance. The model is implemented to be able to run in real-time on the FPGA-based HIL simulator. Power electronic devices are removed from the motor control unit (MCU) and a separated controller is interfaced with the real-time simulated motor drive through a set of proper inputs and outputs. The inputs signals of the HIL simulation are the gate driver signals generated from the controller, and the outputs are the winding currents and resolver signals. This paper especially presents iron loss prediction which is introduced by means of comparing the torque calculated from d-q axis currents and the desired torque; and minimizing the torque difference. This prediction method has stable prediction algorithm to reduce torque difference at specific speed and load. Simulation results demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed methods.

Runway visual range prediction using Convolutional Neural Network with Weather information

  • Ku, SungKwan;Kim, Seungsu;Hong, Seokmin
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.190-194
    • /
    • 2018
  • The runway visual range is one of the important factors that decide the possibility of taking offs and landings of the airplane at local airports. The runway visual range is affected by weather conditions like fog, wind, etc. The pilots and aviation related workers check a local weather forecast such as runway visual range for safe flight. However there are several local airfields at which no other forecasting functions are provided due to realistic problems like the deterioration, breakdown, expensive purchasing cost of the measurement equipment. To this end, this study proposes a prediction model of runway visual range for a local airport by applying convolutional neural network that has been most commonly used for image/video recognition, image classification, natural language processing and so on to the prediction of runway visual range. For constituting the prediction model, we use the previous time series data of wind speed, humidity, temperature and runway visibility. This paper shows the usefulness of the proposed prediction model of runway visual range by comparing with the measured data.

Prediction of Wind Power Generation for Calculation of ESS Capacity using Multi-Layer Perceptron (ESS 용량 산정을 위한 다층 퍼셉트론을 이용한 풍력 발전량 예측)

  • Choi, Jeong-Gon;Choi, Hyo-Sang
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.319-328
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this paper, we perform prediction of amount of electric power plant for complex of wind plant using multi-layer perceptron in order to calculate exact calculation of capacity of ESS to maximize profit through generation and to minimize generation cost of wind generation. We acquire wind speed, direction of wind and air density as variables to predict the amount of generation of wind power. Then, we merge and normalize there variables. To train model, we divide merged variables into data as train and test data with ratio of 70% versus 30%. Then we train model by using training data, and we alsouate the prediction performance of model by using test data. Finally, we present the result of prediction in amount of wind power.

Investigating the performance of different decomposition methods in rainfall prediction from LightGBM algorithm

  • Narimani, Roya;Jun, Changhyun;Nezhad, Somayeh Moghimi;Parisouj, Peiman
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.150-150
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study investigates the roles of decomposition methods on high accuracy in daily rainfall prediction from light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) algorithm. Here, empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and singular spectrum analysis (SSA) methods were considered to decompose and reconstruct input time series into trend terms, fluctuating terms, and noise components. The decomposed time series from EMD and SSA methods were used as input data for LightGBM algorithm in two hybrid models, including empirical mode-based light gradient boosting machine (EMDGBM) and singular spectrum analysis-based light gradient boosting machine (SSAGBM), respectively. A total of four parameters (i.e., temperature, humidity, wind speed, and rainfall) at a daily scale from 2003 to 2017 is used as input data for daily rainfall prediction. As results from statistical performance indicators, it indicates that the SSAGBM model shows a better performance than the EMDGBM model and the original LightGBM algorithm with no decomposition methods. It represents that the accuracy of LightGBM algorithm in rainfall prediction was improved with the SSA method when using multivariate dataset.

  • PDF

A study on the Conceptual Design for the Real-time wind Power Prediction System in Jeju (제주 실시간 풍력발전 출력 예측시스템 개발을 위한 개념설계 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Yoo, Myoung-Suk;Choi, Hong-Seok;Kim, Yong-Jun;Seo, Young-Jun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.59 no.12
    • /
    • pp.2202-2211
    • /
    • 2010
  • The wind power prediction system is composed of a meteorological forecasting module, calculation module of wind power output and HMI(Human Machine Interface) visualization system. The final information from this system is a short-term (6hr ahead) and mid-term (48hr ahead) wind power prediction value. The meteorological forecasting module for wind speed and direction forecasting is a combination of physical and statistical model. In this system, the WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting) model, which is a three-dimensional numerical weather model, is used as the physical model and the GFS(Global Forecasting System) models is used for initial condition forecasting. The 100m resolution terrain data is used to improve the accuracy of this system. In addition, optimization of the physical model carried out using historic weather data in Jeju. The mid-term prediction value from the physical model is used in the statistical method for a short-term prediction. The final power prediction is calculated using an optimal adjustment between the currently observed data and data predicted from the power curve model. The final wind power prediction value is provided to customs using a HMI visualization system. The aim of this study is to further improve the accuracy of this prediction system and develop a practical system for power system operation and the energy market in the Smart-Grid.

Efficient High-Speed Intra Mode Prediction based on Statistical Probability (통계적 확률 기반의 효율적인 고속 화면 내 모드 예측 방법)

  • Lim, Woong;Nam, Jung-Hak;Jung, Kwang-Soo;Sim, Dong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
    • /
    • v.47 no.3
    • /
    • pp.44-53
    • /
    • 2010
  • The H.264/AVC has been designed to use 9 directional intra prediction modes for removing spatial redundancy. It also employs high correlation between neighbouring block modes in sending mode information. For indication of the mode, smaller bits are assigned for higher probable modes and are compressed by predicting the mode with minimum value between two prediction modes of neighboring two blocks. In this paper, we calculated the statistical probability of prediction modes of the current block to exploit the correlation among the modes of neighboring two blocks with several test video sequences. Then, we made the probable prediction table that lists 5 most probable candidate modes for all possible combinatorial modes of upper and left blocks. By using this probability table, one of 5 higher probable candidate modes is selected based on RD-optimization to reduce computational complexity and determines the most probable mode for each cases for improving compression performance. The compression performance of the proposed algorithm is around 1.1%~1.50%, compared with JM14.2 and we achieved 18.46%~36.03% improvement in decoding speed.

The Development of Freeway Travel-Time Estimation and Prediction Models Using Neural Networks (신경망을 이용한 고속도로 여행시간 추정 및 예측모형 개발)

  • 김남선;이승환;오영태
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.47-59
    • /
    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to develop travel-time estimation model using neural networks and prediction model using neural networks and kalman-filtering technique. The data used in this study are travel speed collected from inductive loop vehicle detection systems(VDS) and travel time collected from the toll collection system (TCS) between Seoul and Osan toll Plaza on the Seoul-Pusan Expressway. Two models, one for travel-time estimation and the other for travel-time Prediction were developed. Application cases of each model were divided into two cases, so-called, a single-region and a multiple-region. because of the different characteristics of travel behavior shown on each region. For the evaluation of the travel time estimation and Prediction models, two Parameters. i.e. mode and mean were compared using five-minute interval data sets. The test results show that mode was superior to mean in representing the relationship between speed and travel time. It is, however shown that mean value gives better results in case of insufficient data. It should be noted that the estimation and the Prediction of travel times based on the VDS data have been improved by using neural networks, because the waiting time at exit toll gates can be included for the estimation of travel time based on the VDS data by considering differences between VDS and TCS travel time Patterns in the models. In conclusion, the results show that the developed models decrease estimation and prediction errors. As a result of comparing the developed model with the existing model using the observed data, the equality coefficients of the developed model was average 88% and the existing model was average 68%. Thus, the developed model was improved minimum 17% and maximum 23% rather then existing model .

  • PDF

Development of a model to predict Operating Speed (주행속도 예측을 위한 모형 개발 (2차로 지방부 도로 중심으로))

  • 이종필;김성호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.131-139
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study introduces a developed artificial neural networks(ANN) model as a more efficient and reliable prediction model in operating speed Prediction with the 85th percentile horizontal curve of two-way rural highway in the aspect of evaluating highway design consistency. On the assumption that the speed is decided by highway geometry features, total 30 survey sites were selected. Data include currie radius, curve length, intersection angle, sight distance, lane width, and lane of those sites and were used as input layer data of the ANN. The optimized model structure was drawn by number of unit of hidden layer, learning coefficient, momentum coefficient, and change in learning frequency in multi-layer a ANN model. To verify learning Performance of ANN, 30 survey sites were selected while data in obtained from the 20 cites were used as learning data and those from the remaining 10 sites were used as predictive data. As a result of statistical verification, the model D of 4 types of ANN was evaluated as the most similar model to the actual operating speed value: R2 was 85% and %RMSE was 0.0204.

Development of Prediction Program for the Towing Condition Associated with Various Towing Operations of a Disabled Ship (사고선박의 다양한 예인계획에 따른 예인상태 추정 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim, Eun-Chan;Choi, Hyuek-Jin;Lee, Seung-Guk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.318-323
    • /
    • 2014
  • When a disabled ship is being towed in a seaway, the speed and direction of the towed ship are estimated by using the towing force and direction of the selected tug boats at the predicted sea conditions including the wind and currents. In this paper, prediction method at the towing conditions of the various towing operations for a disabled ship are studied. The proposed calculation method suggests firstly the method to import the speed and resistance of the forward direction of the towed ship calculated by the existing computer program, second, the method to calculate the speed and resistance of the towed direction of the towed ship acquired from the selected tug boats at the initial towing conditions and lastly, the method to calculate the speed and resistance of the towed direction for the towed ship at the stable towing conditions. These calculation methods have been applied to the computer program and this program has been approved to be a useful program, capable of appropriately predicting the towed ship's conditions.

Construction of Delay Predictine Models on Freeway Ramp Junctions with 70mph Speed Limit (70mph 제한속도를 갖는 고속도로 진출입램프 접속부상의 지체예측모형 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 김정훈;김태곤
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 1999.10a
    • /
    • pp.131-140
    • /
    • 1999
  • Today freeway is experiencing a severe congestion with incoming or outgoing traffic through freeway ramps during the peak periods. Thus, the objectives of this study is to identify the traffic characteristics, analyze the relationships between the traffic characteristics and finally construct the delay predictive models on the ramp junctions of freeway with 70mph speed limit. From the traffic analyses, and model constructions and verifications for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway, the following results were obtained: ⅰ) Traffic flow showed a big difference depending on the time periods. Especially, more traffic flows were concentrated on the freeway junctions in the morning peak period when compared with the afternoon peak period. ⅱ) The occupancy also showed a big difference depending on the time periods, and the downstream occupancy(Od) was especially shown to have a higher explanatory power for the delay predictive model construction on the ramp junction of freeway. ⅲ) The speed-occupancy curve showed a remarkable shift based on the occupancies observed ; Od < 9% and Od$\geq$9%. Especially, volume and occupancy were shown to be highly explanatory for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway under Od$\geq$9%, but lowly for delay predicion on the ramp junctions of freeway under Od<9%. Rather, the driver characteristics or transportation conditions around the freeway were through to be a little higher explanatory for the delay perdiction under Od<9%. ⅳ) Integrated delay predictive models showed a higher explanatory power in the morning peak period, but a lower explanatory power in the non-peak periods.