• Title/Summary/Keyword: Speed Prediction

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Prediction of Agricultural Wind and Gust Using Local Ensemble Prediction System (국지앙상블시스템을 활용한 농경지 바람 및 강풍 예측)

  • Jung Hyuk Kang;Geon-Hu Kim;Kyu Rang Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2024
  • Wind is a meteorological factor that has a significant impact on agriculture. Gust cause damage such as fruit drop and damage to facilities. In this study, low-altitude wind speed prediction was performed by applying physical models to Local Ensemble Prediction System (LENS). Logarithmic Law (LOG) and Power Law (POW) were used as the physical models, and Korea Ministry of Environment indicators and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data were applied as indicator variables. We collected and verified wind and gust data at 3m altitude in 2022 operated by the Rural Development Administration, and presented the results in scatter plot, correlation coefficient, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), and Threat Score (TS). The LOG-applied model showed better results in wind speed, and the POW-applied model showed better results in gust.

A Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Through Support Vector Regression Regularized by Particle Swarm Optimization

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Seo, In-Yong
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 2011
  • A sustainability of electricity supply has emerged as a critical issue for low carbon green growth in South Korea. Wind power is the fastest growing source of renewable energy. However, due to its own intermittency and volatility, the power supply generated from wind energy has variability in nature. Hence, accurate forecasting of wind speed and power plays a key role in the effective harvesting of wind energy and the integration of wind power into the current electric power grid. This paper presents a short-term wind speed prediction method based on support vector regression. Moreover, particle swarm optimization is adopted to find an optimum setting of hyper-parameters in support vector regression. An illustration is given by real-world data and the effect of model regularization by particle swarm optimization is discussed as well.

Estimation of the Maximum Wind to Surface Using Wind Profile in Typhoon and Gust Factor (태풍 연직프로파일과 gust factor를 이용한 지상의 최대풍속 추정)

  • Jung, Woo-Sik;Park, Jong-Kil;Choi, Hyo-Jin
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.290-292
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    • 2008
  • we applied Wind Field Module of PHRLM so that disaster prevention agency concerned can effectively estimate the possible strong wind damages by typhoon. In this study, therefore, we estimated wind speed at 300m level using 700hPa wind according to the research method by Franklin(2003), PHRLM(2003), and Vickery and Skerlj(2005). Then we calculated wind speed at 10m level using the estimated wind speed at 300m level, and finally, peak 3.second gust on surface. The case period is from 18LST August 31 to 03LST September 1, 2002, when the typhoon Rusa in 2002 was the most intense. Among disaster prediction models in the US, Wind Field Module of PHRLM in Florida was used for the 2002 typhoon Rusa case. As a result, peak 3.second gust on the surface increased $10\sim20%$ in the typhoon's 700hPa wind speed.

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Fast Motion Estimation Based on Motion Speed and Multiple Initial Center Point Prediction (모션 속도와 다양한 초기의 중앙점 예측에 기반한 빠른 비디오 모션 추정)

  • Peng, Shao-Hu;Saipullah, Khairul Muzzammil;Yun, Byung-Choon;Kim, Deok-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.246-247
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a fast motion estimation algorithm based on motion speed and multiple initial center points. The proposed method predicts initial search points by means of the spatio-temporal neighboring motion vectors. A dynamic search pattern based on motion speed and the predicted initial center points is proposed to quickly obtain the motion vector. Due to the usage of the spatio-temporal information and the dynamic search pattern, the proposed method greatly accelerates the search speed while maintaining a good predicted image quality. Experimental results show that the proposed method has a good predicted image quality in terms of PSNR with less search time as compared to the Full Search, New Three-Step Search, and Four-Step Search.

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High Speed Character Recognition by Multiprocessor System (멀티 프로세서 시스템에 의한 고속 문자인식)

  • 최동혁;류성원;최성남;김학수;이용균;박규태
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.30B no.2
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    • pp.8-18
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    • 1993
  • A multi-font, multi-size and high speed character recognition system is designed. The design principles are simpilcity of algorithm, adaptibility, learnability, hierachical data processing and attention by feed back. For the multi-size character recognition, the extracted character images are normalized. A hierachical classifier classifies the feature vectors. Feature is extracted by applying the directional receptive field after the directional dege filter processing. The hierachical classifier is consist of two pre-classifiers and one decision making classifier. The effect of two pre-classifiers is prediction to the final decision making classifier. With the pre-classifiers, the time to compute the distance of the final classifier is reduced. Recognition rate is 95% for the three documents printed in three kinds of fonts, total 1,700 characters. For high speed implemention, a multiprocessor system with the ring structure of four transputers is implemented, and the recognition speed of 30 characters per second is aquired.

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Prediction of Cutting Forces in High Speed End Milling (고속 엔드밀 가공에서의 절삭력 예측)

  • Jung, Sung-Chan;Kim, Kug Weon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2005
  • Recently researches for high speed machining have been actively performed. Few analytical studies, however, have been published. In this paper, a model of cutting forces is analytically studied to predict cutting characteristics in end mill process, especially considering both feed rate and spindle speed. The developed cutting model is based on Oxley's machining theory, which predicts the cutting forces from input data of workpiece material properties, tool geometry and cutting conditions. Experimental verification has been performed to verify the predictive cutting force model using tool dynamometer. It has been found that the simulation results substantially agree with experimental results.

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A study on patterns of propagation for high speed train(KTX) (한국형 고속전철(KTX) 방사패턴에 관한 연구)

  • 구동회;김재철;박태원;문경호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.836-842
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    • 2001
  • The more sophisticated patterns of propagation model is presented in this paper, which includes three different source characteristics. The spherical, cosine and dipole radiation characteristics compared and sound event level and the maximum sound level are calculated by experiment and calculation. It is shown that patterns of propagation has dipole characteristics for low speed range(below about 150km/h) at electric multiple system. We know that push-pull high speed system(maximum speed: 300km/h) has cosine characteristics of noise propagation. For this purpose, We conduct the experiment of noise and know the empirical formula of noise level and radiation coefficient K. This model of simulation is conducted through point source array model at wheel/rail contact point by using program and experimental formula. We can guess prediction of profile, flat and wear of wheel by above modeling in near field.

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Torsional Elastic Waves Propagating in a Cylinder with a Periodically Corrugated Outer Surface (주기적으로 울퉁불퉁한 실린더에서 전파하는 비틂 탄성파)

  • Kim Jin Oh
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • spring
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    • pp.303-306
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    • 1999
  • The paper describes a theoretical study on the speed of the torsional elastic waves propagating in a circular cylinder whose outer radius varies periodically as a harmonic function of the axial coordinate. The approximate solution for the phase speed has been obtained using the perturbation technique for sinusoidal modulation of small amplitude. It is shown that the wave speed in the cylinder with a corrugated outer surface is less than that in a smooth cylinder by the square of the amplitude of the surface perturbation. This theoretical prediction agrees reasonably with an experimental observation reported earlier. It is also shown that the wave speed reduction due to the surface corrugation becomes larger for a thinner cylinder and for a bigger density of corrugation.

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A prediction of maximum operation speed for the catenary using tunnel bracket (터널 브래킷을 사용한 가선시스템의 최고속도 예측 및 검토)

  • ;;;M'hamed Matri
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.628-635
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    • 2000
  • The catenary system supported by the tunnel bracket which has been used uniquely in KNR was selected as the catenary inside narrow existing tunnel in the electrification of Kyeung-Bu Line for operation of Korea High Speed Train(KTX). It was demanded to judge the maximal operable speed of KTX in this catenary system to implement the planning. To do this, the tunnel bracket was firstly tested to obtain the characteristic data. The stiffness of this bracket are computed depending on the location which catenary installed on. Moreover, the catenary using tunnel bracket is modelled numerically respecting the bracket stiffness. Based on these, the dynamics between this catenary and KTX pantograph are simulated with the program developed by ourselves independently. The simulation result are evaluated according to the generally acceptable criteria. Consequently, the maximal operable speed of KTX in the catenary using KNR(Korean National Railroad) tunnel bracket is predicted and some items which are needed to be kept in the processing of implementation are drawn.

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Prediction of Cutting Temperature in Flank Face at High Speed Steel in Orthogonal Turning (2차원 선삭시 고속도강 공구의 플랭크면 절삭온도 예측)

  • Jun, Tae-Ok;Bae, Choon--Eak
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.222-231
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    • 1996
  • Temperature distribution on the flank face in orthogonal turning with cutting tool of high speed steel is studied by using a finite element method and experiments. Experiments are carried out to verify the validity of the temperature measurement by using a thermoelectric couple junciton imbedded in a cutting tool of high speed steel. Good agreement is obtained between the analytical results and the experimental ones for the temperature distributions on flank face of cutting tool with igh speed steel. The analytical results show that the temperature on the top flank face of a tool is higher because of the difference of the friction velocity on each face of the tool.