• Title/Summary/Keyword: Speed Prediction

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A cavitation performance prediction method for pumps: Part2-sensitivity and accuracy

  • Long, Yun;Zhang, Yan;Chen, Jianping;Zhu, Rongsheng;Wang, Dezhong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.11
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    • pp.3612-3624
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    • 2021
  • At present, in the case of pump fast optimization, there is a problem of rapid, accurate and effective prediction of cavitation performance. In "A Cavitation Performance Prediction Method for Pumps PART1-Proposal and Feasibility" [1], a new cavitation performance prediction method is proposed, and the feasibility of this method is demonstrated in combination with experiments of a mixed flow pump. However, whether this method is applicable to vane pumps with different specific speeds and whether the prediction results of this method are accurate is still worthy of further study. Combined with the experimental results, the research evaluates the sensitivity and accuracy at different flow rates. For a certain operating condition, the method has better sensitivity to different flow rates. This is suitable for multi-parameter multi-objective optimization of pump impeller. For the test mixed flow pump, the method is more accurate when the area ratios are 13.718% and 13.826%. The cavitation vortex flow is obtained through high-speed camera, and the correlation between cavitation flow structure and cavitation performance is established to provide more scientific support for cavitation performance prediction. The method is not only suitable for cavitation performance prediction of the mixed flow pump, but also can be expanded to cavitation performance prediction of blade type hydraulic machinery, which will solve the problem of rapid prediction of hydraulic machinery cavitation performance.

Spatial Prediction of Wind Speed Data (풍속 자료의 공간예측)

  • Jeong, Seung-Hwan;Park, Man-Sik;Kim, Kee-Whan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we introduce the linear regression model taking the parametric spatial association structure into account and employ it to five-year averaged wind speed data measured at 460 meteorological monitoring stations in South Korea. From the prediction map obtained by the model with spatial association parameters, we can see that inland area has smaller wind speed than coastal regions. When comparing the spatial linear regression model with classical one by using one-leave-out cross-validation, the former outperforms the latter in terms of similarity between the observations and the corresponding predictions and coverage rate of 95% prediction intervals.

A Study on the Construction of Historical Profiles for Travel Speed Prediction Using UTIS (UTIS기반 구간통행속도 예측을 위한 교통이력자료 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Ki, Yong-Kul;Ahn, Gye-Hyeong;Kim, Eun-Jeong;Bae, Kwang-Soo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we suggests methods for determining optimal representative value and the optimal size of historical data for reliable travel speed prediction. To evaluate the performance of the proposed method in real world environments, we did field tests at four roadway links in Seoul on Tuesday and Sunday. According to the results of applying the methods to historical data of Central Traffic Information Center, the optimal representative value were analyzed to be average and weighted average. Second, it was analyzed that 2 months data is the optimal size of historical data used for travel speed prediction.

Prediction of module temperature and photovoltaic electricity generation by the data of Korea Meteorological Administration (데이터를 활용한 태양광 발전 시스템 모듈온도 및 발전량 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-min;Moon, Seung-Jae
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the PV output and module temperature values were predicted using the Meteorological Agency data and compared with actual data, weather, solar radiation, ambient temperature, and wind speed. The forecast accuracy by weather was the lowest in the data on a clear day, which had the most data of the day when it was snowing or the sun was hit at dawn. The predicted accuracy of the module temperature and the amount of power generation according to the amount of insolation decreased as the amount of insolation increased, and the predicted accuracy according to the ambient temperature decreased as the module temperature increased as the ambient temperature increased and the amount of power generated lowered the ambient temperature. As for wind speed, the predicted accuracy decreased as the wind speed increased for both module temperature and power generation, but it was difficult to define the correlation because wind speed was insignificant than the influence of other weather conditions.

Prediction of ship power based on variation in deep feed-forward neural network

  • Lee, June-Beom;Roh, Myung-Il;Kim, Ki-Su
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.641-649
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    • 2021
  • Fuel oil consumption (FOC) must be minimized to determine the economic route of a ship; hence, the ship power must be predicted prior to route planning. For this purpose, a numerical method using test results of a model has been widely used. However, predicting ship power using this method is challenging owing to the uncertainty of the model test. An onboard test should be conducted to solve this problem; however, it requires considerable resources and time. Therefore, in this study, a deep feed-forward neural network (DFN) is used to predict ship power using deep learning methods that involve data pattern recognition. To use data in the DFN, the input data and a label (output of prediction) should be configured. In this study, the input data are configured using ocean environmental data (wave height, wave period, wave direction, wind speed, wind direction, and sea surface temperature) and the ship's operational data (draft, speed, and heading). The ship power is selected as the label. In addition, various treatments have been used to improve the prediction accuracy. First, ocean environmental data related to wind and waves are preprocessed using values relative to the ship's velocity. Second, the structure of the DFN is changed based on the characteristics of the input data. Third, the prediction accuracy is analyzed using a combination comprising five hyperparameters (number of hidden layers, number of hidden nodes, learning rate, dropout, and gradient optimizer). Finally, k-means clustering is performed to analyze the effect of the sea state and ship operational status by categorizing it into several models. The performances of various prediction models are compared and analyzed using the DFN in this study.

Nonlinear Prediction using Gamma Multilayered Neural Network (Gamma 다층 신경망을 이용한 비선형 적응예측)

  • Kim Jong-In;Go Il-Hwan;Choi Han-Go
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2006
  • Dynamic neural networks have been applied to diverse fields requiring temporal signal processing such as system identification and signal prediction. This paper proposes the gamma neural network(GAM), which uses gamma memory kernel in the hidden layer of feedforward multilayered network, to improve dynamics of networks and then describes nonlinear adaptive prediction using the proposed network as an adaptive filter. The proposed network is evaluated in nonlinear signal prediction and compared with feedforword(FNN) and recurrent neural networks(RNN) for the relative comparison of prediction performance. Simulation results show that the GAM network performs better with respect to the convergence speed and prediction accuracy, indicating that it can be a more effective prediction model than conventional multilayered networks in nonlinear prediction for nonstationary signals.

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Analysis on the Propulsive Performance of Full Scale Ship (실선의 추진성능 해석기법에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Seung-Il;Kim, Eun-Chan
    • 한국기계연구소 소보
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    • s.9
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 1982
  • This report describes the analysis method of the full-scale propulsive performance by using the data of model test and the full-scale speed trial. The model test data were analyzed by the computer program "PPTT" based on "1978 ITTC Performance Prediction Method for Single Screw Ships." Also the full-scale speed trial data were analyzed by the computer program "SSTT" based on the newly proposed “SRS-KIMM Standard Method of Speed Trial Analysis." An analysis of model and full-scale test data was carried out for a 60.000 DWT Bulk Carrier and the correlation between model and full-scale ship was stuied.

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The Variation of $SO_2$ Concentration According to Wind Speed in Urban Area (도심지역에서의 풍속에 따른 $SO_2$ 농도변화)

  • 羅振均
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 1989
  • Recently, many studies on air quality prediction models have been performed to develope new ones. The purpose of the study is to obtain a method to predict $SO_2$ concentration simply in urban area using hour-to-hour meteorological data such as the wind speed, the incoming solar radiation, and the cloud coverages. The relationships between with speed and $SO_2$ concentrations are plotted in flgures. Predicted concentration curves are obtained for equation C=b/(1+au).

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Design of a Sliding Mode Speed Controller for the BLDC Motor Using the Space Vector Modulation Technique (공간벡터 변조법을 적용한 BLDC 전동기에 대한 슬라이딩 모드 속도 제어기 설계)

  • 최중경;박승엽;황정원
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.1125-1128
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a speed controller for the Sinusoidal type BLDC motor using the sliding mode. Since the sliding mode control has some practical limitations such as the chattering phenomenon and reaching phase problems, the technique of overcoming these limitations is proposed in a practical realization. This proposed speed control technique is composed of an smooth integral variable structure control(IVSC), and chattering prediction method.

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