Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.12815/kits.2012.11.6.040

A Study on the Construction of Historical Profiles for Travel Speed Prediction Using UTIS  

Ki, Yong-Kul (도로교통공단 교통과학연구원)
Ahn, Gye-Hyeong (도로교통공단 교통과학연구원)
Kim, Eun-Jeong (도로교통공단 교통과학연구원)
Bae, Kwang-Soo (도로교통공단 교통과학연구원)
Publication Information
The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems / v.11, no.6, 2012 , pp. 40-48 More about this Journal
Abstract
In this paper, we suggests methods for determining optimal representative value and the optimal size of historical data for reliable travel speed prediction. To evaluate the performance of the proposed method in real world environments, we did field tests at four roadway links in Seoul on Tuesday and Sunday. According to the results of applying the methods to historical data of Central Traffic Information Center, the optimal representative value were analyzed to be average and weighted average. Second, it was analyzed that 2 months data is the optimal size of historical data used for travel speed prediction.
Keywords
Historical Profile; Representative Value; Size of Historical Data; Travel Speed; Traffic Information Center;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Road E. Turochy, "Enhancing Short-Term Traffic Forecasting With Traffic Condition Information", Journal of Transportation Engineering, vol. 132, no. 6, pp.469-474, 2006.   DOI   ScienceOn
2 Steven I.J. Chien, Chandra Mouly Kuchipudi, Dynamic Travel Time Prediction With Real-Time and Historical Data", Transportation Research Board 81th Annual meeting, Washington D.C., 2002.
3 한국도로공사, "위치기반형 동적경로탐색기법 및 유통프레임워크 개발", 기술기반보고서, pp.34-49, 2004.
4 기용걸, 안계형, 김은정, 배광수, "UTIS 구간통행속도 결측치 보정모델," 한국ITS학회논문지, 제10권, 6호, pp.63-73, 2011.   과학기술학회마을
5 Stathopoulos and Karlaftis, "Temporal and Spatial Variations of Real-Time traffic data in urban areas", Transportation Research Board 81th Annual meeting, Washington D.C., 2002.
6 Park, D. and Rillet, L., "Forecasting Freeway Link Travel Times with a Multilayer Feedforward Neural Network", International Journal of Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, Special Issue on Advanced Computer Technologies in Transportation Engineering, Blackwell Publishers, Malden, MA and Oxford, UK, vol. 14, pp.357-367, 1999.
7 이의은, 김정현, "시간처짐현상을 고려한 장거리 구간 통행시간 예측 모형 개발", 대한교통학회지, 제 20권 제4호, 대한교통학회, pp.51-61, 2002.
8 김동호, 노정현, 박동주, 박지형, 김한수, "고속 도로 통행시간 예측을 위한 과거 통행시간 이력 자료 구축에 관한 연구", 대한교통학회지, 제 26 권 제5호, 대한교통학회, pp.131-141, 2008.
9 조준한, 김보성, 김성호, 강원의, "과거이력자료 를 활용한 요일별 패턴분류 알고리즘 개발", 한국ITS학회논문지, 제10권, 4호, pp.11-23, 2011. 8.
10 Smith and Turoch, "Measuring Variability in Traffic Conditions using Archived Traffic Data", Transportation Research Board 81th Annual meeting, Washington D.C., 2002.
11 Peng Wu, "Automated Data Collection, Analysis, and Archival", University of Utah, MPC Report no. 03-153
12 기용걸, 안계형, 김은정, 정준하, 배광수, 이철기, "UTIS 구간통행속도 이상치 제거 알고리즘," 한국ITS학회논문지, 제9권, 6호, pp.33-42, December 2010. 12.   과학기술학회마을