• Title/Summary/Keyword: Spatial Statistical

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Urban Flood Risk Assessment Considering Climate Change Using Bayesian Probability Statistics and GIS: A Case Study from Seocho-Gu, Seoul (베이지안 확률통계와 GIS를 연계한 기후변화 도시홍수 리스크 평가: 서울시 서초구를 대상으로)

  • LEE, Sang-Hyeok;KANG, Jung-Eun;PARK, Chang-Sug
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2016
  • This study assessed urban flood risk using a Bayesian probability statistical method and GIS incorporating a climate change scenario. Risk is assessed based on a combination of hazard probability and its consequences, the degree of impact. Flood probability was calculated on the basis of a Bayesian model and future flood occurrence likelihoods were estimated using climate change scenario data. The flood impacts include human and property damage. Focusing on Seocho-gu, Seoul, the findings are as follows. Current flood probability is high in areas near rivers, as well as low lying and impervious areas, such as Seocho-dong and Banpo-dong. Flood risk areas are predicted to increase by a multiple of 1.3 from 2030 to 2050. Risk assessment results generally show that human risk is relatively high in high-rise residential zones, whereas property risk is high in commercial zones. The magnitude of property damage risk for 2050 increased by 6.6% compared to 2030. The proposed flood risk assessment method provides detailed spatial results that will contribute to decision making for disaster mitigation.

Implementation of a Weather Hazard Warning System at a Catchment Scale (집수역 규모 기상위험 경보체계 구축)

  • Park, Ju Hyun;Kim, Seong Kee;Shin, Yong Soon;Ahn, Mun Il;Han, Yong Kyu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.389-395
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    • 2014
  • This technical note describes about the base stages of technology implementation for establishing "Early Warning System for Weather Hazard Management in Climate-smart Agriculture" to national onsite service. First of all, a special weather report service at catchment was represented sequential risk of 810 units of catchment by spatial statistical methods to existing 150 counties units special weather report released in KMA. The second, chronic hazard alarm service based on daily data of 76 Synoptic stations was monitor about 810 Catchment of mid-long term lapse weather and represented as a relative risk index chronic hazard risk of this time in preparation for the climatological normal conditions in the same period. Finally, we establish the foundation for delivering individually calculated field specific in hazard risk about volunteer farmer of early warning service demonstration area in seomjin downstream watershed. These three types of information were built a near real-time map service on the VWORLD background map of Ministry of Land as superposed layers nationwide catchment and demonstration areas within the farm unit weather hazard.

Retrieval and Validation of Precipitable Water Vapor using GPS Datasets of Mobile Observation Vehicle on the Eastern Coast of Korea

  • Kim, Yoo-Jun;Kim, Seon-Jeong;Kim, Geon-Tae;Choi, Byoung-Choel;Shim, Jae-Kwan;Kim, Byung-Gon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.365-382
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    • 2016
  • The results from the Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements of the Mobile Observation Vehicle (MOVE) on the eastern coast of Korea have been compared with REFerence (REF) values from the fixed GPS sites to assess the performance of Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) retrievals in a kinematic environment. MOVE-PWV retrievals had comparatively similar trends and fairly good agreements with REF-PWV with a Root-Mean-Square Error (RMSE) of 7.4 mm and $R^2$ of 0.61, indicating statistical significance with a p-value of 0.01. PWV retrievals from the June cases showed better agreement than those of the other month cases, with a mean bias of 2.1 mm and RMSE of 3.8 mm. We further investigated the relationships of the determinant factors of GPS signals with the PWV retrievals for detailed error analysis. As a result, both MultiPath (MP) errors of L1 and L2 pseudo-range had the best indices for the June cases, 0.75-0.99 m. We also found that both Position Dilution Of Precision (PDOP) and Signal to Noise Ratio (SNR) values in the June cases were better than those in other cases. That is, the analytical results of the key factors such as MP errors, PDOP, and SNR that can affect GPS signals should be considered for obtaining more stable performance. The data of MOVE can be used to provide water vapor information with high spatial and temporal resolutions in the case of dramatic changes of severe weather such as those frequently occurring in the Korean Peninsula.

The Effect of the Consistent Presentation of Illustration about the Aligning Direction of the Axis on the Middle School Students' Acquisition and Retention of Astronomical Concepts (자전축 기울기 방향의 일관된 삽화 제시가 중학생의 천문 개념 형성과 파지에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Hyunjun;Lee, Ho;Jo, Misun;Jeong, Jin-Woo;Wee, Soo-Meen;Sohn, Jungjoo;Lee, Hyonyong;Kim, Hyeon-Jeong
    • Journal of Science Education
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.193-206
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of the consistent presentation of illustrations about the aligning direction of the Axis on the middle school students' acquisition and retention of astronomical concepts. This study was taken using the nonequivalent control-group pretest-posttest design on 116 7th middle school subjects. The same teaching and learning activities were given to both the experimental (n=59) and control groups (n=57) through three lessons. The experimental group was given a consistent presentation of the illustrations about the aligning direction of the Axis, while the control group was given an inconsistent presentation of the same illustrations about aligning direction. Two days after the three lessons, the 1st posttest was administered to compare the statistical difference of mean of both groups, using ANCOVA test. The result of ANCOVA test implicated that the consistent presentation of the illustrations about the aligning direction of the Axis had a positive influence on the experimental group's acquisition of the concepts. The 2nd posttest result for retention effect was given two month later by one-paired t-Test in each group and showed that the method had a positive effect on the experimental group, compared with control group. The results of this study implicated that paying careful attention to using the consistent illustration is highly beneficial for students' meaningful learning on astronomical concepts.

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The Community Structure of Plant at the Edge of the Oncheon River in Busan (부산광역시 온천변 식물상의 군집구조에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Sung-Gi;Huh, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.924-930
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    • 2008
  • Community structure refers to the number of species in a community and the pattern of distribution of individuals among those species. The purpose of this paper was to describe a statistical analysis for detecting a ecological biodiversity which is valid even though the assumption at the different sampling points is not violated spatial randomness of species. Counts and cover were determined from 10 ($20\;m{\times}20\;m$) plots in five sites of the Oncheon River which is located in Busan, Korea. Total 95 taxa (85 species, 9 varieties, and one form) were identified and measured in edge sides of this river. These were a total of present in the five sites. Overall across the fragments, mean number of species per plot differed significantly among the five sites (F=7.75, p<0.01). Shannon-Wiener functions differed significantly among plots (F=4.12, p<0.05), with the St. 1 having significantly higher value (2.380) than the others (2.206 for St. 2, 2.116 for St. 3, 2.069 for St. 4, and 0.637 for St. 5). The richness indices, R1 decreased from the upper stream of the Oncheon River to the lower stream. We used a novel way of representing community structure to show that abundance within closely related pairs of co-occurring species in the Oncheon River. The differences between the distributions for of congeners and pairs of non-congeners showed at the largest difference of the cumulative fractions of the data sets (x=0.85).

Principles and Applications of Multi-Level H2O/CO2 Profile Measurement System (다중 수증기/이산화탄소 프로파일 관측 시스템의 원리와 활용)

  • Yoo, Jae-Ill;Lee, Dong-Ho;Hong, Jin-Kyu;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2009
  • The multi-level profile system is designed to measure the vertical profile of $H_2O$ and $CO_2$ concentrations in the surface layer to estimate the storage effects within the plant canopy. It is suitable for long-term experiments and can be used also in advection studies for estimating the spatial variability and vertical gradients in concentration. It enables the user to calculate vertical fluxes of water vapor, $CO_2$ and other trace gases using the surface layer similarity theory and to infer their sources or sinks. The profile system described in this report includes the following components: sampling system, calibration and flow control system, closed path infrared gas analyzer(IRGA), vacuum pump and a datalogger. The sampling system draws air from 8 inlets into the IRGA in a sequence, so that for 80 seconds air from all levels is measured. The calibration system, controlled by the datalogger, compensates for any deviations in the calibration of the IRGA by using gas sources with known concentrations. The datalogger switches the corresponding valves, measures the linearized voltages from the IRGA, calculates the concentrations for each monitoring level, performs statistical analysis and stores the final data. All critical components are mounted in an environmental enclosure and can operate with little maintenance over long periods of time. This report, as a practical manual, is designed to provide helpful information for those who are interested in using profile system to measure evapotranspiration and net ecosystem exchanges in complex terrain.

Research on the Association Between Emotional Perception Bias and Deteriorated Visuospatial Attention Allocation Ability in Increasing the Level of Social Phobia (사회공포증 수준의 증가에 따라 나타난 정서지각 편향성과 시공간 주의배분능력 저하 간의 관련성 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Yub;Jung, Jae-Bum;Nam, Ki-Chun
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to investigate the changes of emotional perception biases according to the level of social phobia and the relationship with visuospatial attention allocation ability. This study used the Korean self-report assessment test (Korean version of social avoidance and distress, K-SAD) to measure the level of social phobia. Moreover, the emotional perception and useful field of view (UFOV) tasks were employed for measuring emotional perception biases and visuospatial attention allocation ability, respectively. A total of 118 participants participated in this experiment, and only 107 (males: 94, females: 13) data were analyzed due to the exclusion of response errors and other statistical problems. The average age of the participants used in the analysis was 21 years (SD: 3.64), and those participants were divided into three groups according to the K-SAD scores. Consequently, all experimental groups showed negative emotional perception biases in the emotional perception task, but the magnitudes of the biases of each group were not significantly different. Furthermore, the positive emotional perception biases were higher at higher levels of social phobia, which could be related to the tendency of interpreting positive stimuli negatively. In the UFOV task, the higher the level of social phobia, the lower the visuospatial attention allocation ability. These results suggest that the deterioration of visuospatial attention allocation ability potentially contributes to the increase of positive emotional perception biases by being difficult to perceive external stimuli. Thus, this paper discusses the potential contribution of visuospatial attention allocation ability to the increased perceptual biases of positive emotions as the level of social phobia increases.

Development of Biomass Evaluation Model of Winter Crop Using RGB Imagery Based on Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (무인기 기반 RGB 영상을 이용한 동계작물 바이오매스 평가 모델 개발)

  • Na, Sang-il;Park, Chan-won;So, Kyu-ho;Ahn, Ho-yong;Lee, Kyung-do
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.709-720
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    • 2018
  • In order to optimize the evaluation of biomass in crop monitoring, accurate and timely data of the crop-field are required. Evaluating above-ground biomass helps to monitor crop vitality and to predict yield. Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) imagery are being assessed for analyzing within field spatial variability for agricultural precision management, because UAV imagery may be acquired quickly during critical periods of rapid crop growth. This study reports on the development of remote sensing techniques for evaluating the biomass of winter crop. Specific objective was to develop statistical models for estimating the dry weight of barley and wheat using a Excess Green index ($E{\times}G$) based Vegetation Fraction (VF) and a Crop Surface Model (CSM) based Plant Height (PH) value. As a result, the multiple linear regression equations consisting of three independent variables (VF, PH, and $VF{\times}PH$) and above-ground dry weight provided good fits with coefficients of determination ($R^2$) ranging from 0.86 to 0.99 with 5 cultivars. In the case of the barley, the coefficient of determination was 0.91 and the root mean squared error of measurement was $102.09g/m^2$. And for the wheat, the coefficient of determination was 0.90 and the root mean squared error of measurement was $110.87g/m^2$. Therefore, it will be possible to evaluate the biomass of winter crop through the UAV image for the crop growth monitoring.

Modeling Traffic Accident Occurrence Involving Child Pedestrians at School Zone (공간적 특성을 고려한 어린이 교통사고 모형 개발)

  • BEAK, Tea Hun;Son, Seulki;PARK, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to develop road traffic accident model involving child pedestrian especially at school zones and its surrounding area. The analysis is based upon traffic accident data collected near sixty elementary schools in City of Cheongju during 2012 and 2014. This study results in two statistical models ; one is to predict the number of road traffic accidents involving children, and the other is to predict EPDO(Equivalent Prperty Damage Only). These models are represented as Poisson models. which are statistically significant with the likelihood ratios of 0.533 and 0.273. The common explanatory variables of these models are the ratio of road section with more than 4 lanes, the number of entrance and exit, the number of signalized crosswalk in school zone, the number of school zone signage including road surface marking, and the number of speed limit signs. The specific variables are the length of road stretch in school zone, the number of reflector mirrors, and the number of signalized crosswalk outside school zone. It is concluded that these types of road safety facilities can reduce the number of traffic accidents involving children at school zones and its surrounding area.

Comparison between the Road-based and the Parcel-based Address Coordinates for Urban Air Pollution Estimation - A Case Study of Yeongdeungpo-gu, Seoul, Korea - (도심대기오염추정을 위한 도로명주소좌표와 지번주소좌표의 비교 - 서울 영등포 지역의 사례연구 -)

  • Park, Jinwoo;Choi, Jinmu;Hong, Seong-Yun
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2016
  • The address system in Korea was changed to the road-based system in 2014, but the current address coordinates are still largely based on the old, parcel-based system. Compared to the parcel-based address system that defines the center of a parcel as its coordinates, the road-based system locates the coordinates at a certain distance away from the road on which the parcel fronts. The difference in coordinates between these two systems is small, but it can be crucial for micro-level modelling. In order to assess the impact of the discrepancy between the two address systems, this study measured the degree of air pollution exposure at two different locations, the road-based address coordinates and the parcel-based address coordinates, for each of 252 buildings in Yeongdeungpo-gu, Seoul. The air pollution values were estimated using a microscopic air pollution dispersion model, CALINE4, and t-tests and F-tests were conducted to evaluate statistical significance on the observed difference. The results showed a considerable difference in the level of air pollution exposure between the two address systems, suggesting that the on-going use of the parcel-based address coordinates could cause potentially significant errors in micro-level analysis.