• 대기
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.165-181
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• 2019

In this study, the regional climate model, RegCM4.0 (25 km), with the HadGEM2-AO data as boundary conditions, was used to simulate the mean climate changes in the mid and late 21st century for CORDEX Phase 2 East Asian region. 122 years (1979~2100) of simulation were performed, and RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 were used for the simulation of future climate. In the mid-21st century, the temperature is expected to increase by about 0.5 to $3.0^{\circ}C$ in all regions of East Asia, regardless of season and scenario. The increase in temperature is greater in summer and winter, especially in the northern part of simulation domain. Interannual variability (IAV) is expected to decrease by 25% in summer for RCP 8.5, while it is expected to increase by more than 30% in autumn for both scenarios. Regardless of the scenario, the precipitation in South Korea is expected to increase in late June but decrease in mid-July, with an increase in precipitation greater than $100mm\;day^{-1}$. In RCP 4.5 of the late 21st century, relatively uniform temperature increase ($1.0{\sim}2.5^{\circ}C$) is expected throughout the continent, while RCP 8.5 shows a very diverse increase ($3.0{\sim}6.0^{\circ}C$) depending on season and geographical location. In addition, the IAV of temperature is expected to decrease by more than 35% in both scenarios in the summer. In most of the Northwest Pacific region, precipitation is expected to decrease in all seasons except for the summer, but in South Korea, it is projected to increase by about 10% in all seasons except autumn.

• 대기
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.221-231
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• 2012

Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) are the latest emission scenarios recommended to use for the fifth assessment report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. This study investigates the projection of extreme precipitation in South Korea during the forthcoming 21st Century using the generalized extreme value (GEV) analysis based on two different RCP conditions i.e., RCP 4.5 and 8.5. Maximum daily precipitation required for GEV analysis for RCP 4.5 and 8.5 are obtained from a high-resolution regional climate model forced by the corresponding global climate projections, which are produced within the CMIP5 framework. We found overall increase in frequency of extreme precipitation over South Korea in association with climate change. Particularly, daily extreme precipitation that has been occurred every 20 years in current climate (1980~2005) is likely to happen about every 4.3 and 3.4 years by the end of 21st Century (2070~2099) under the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 conditions, respectively.

• 철학연구
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• 제148권
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• pp.1-27
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• 2018

1987년에 제정된 제10호 헌법은 21세기 한국 민주주의의 이론적 토대 역할을 한다. 이 헌법에 내재된 인권 존중, 불의에 대한 저항, 균등의식 등은 유가철학의 내용과 괴리되지 않는다. 이는 21세기 한국의 헌법정신이 민주주의 이념과 유가철학의 영향을 받아 형성되었음을 의미한다. 그러나 제10호 헌법은 유신헌법 때 수용되고 군부세력들이 계승했던 '자유민주적 기본질서'의 사상을 중시한다. 이는 자유와 평등의 양립보다 자유를 평등보다 우선하는 자유주의의 영향을 받은 것이다. 이 때문에 공공의 복리나 민중의 유익보다 부르주아계급의 이익을 확대하는 정책이 많이 펼쳐진다. 특히 이명박과 박근혜 정권 동안에 불균등한 현상이 많이 양산되었다. 21세기 유가철학은 이러한 불평등한 사회를 비판적으로 바라본다. 유가철학은 상대적 박탈감이 인간을 소외시키는 역할을 하는 것으로 생각하고, 균등한 관계의 중요성을 강조한다. 또한 이 헌법은 법치주의를 강조한다. 그러나 법치주의는 자연법을 함유한 헌법정신이 제도를 통해 현실에 적용될 때에 법실증주의의 실정법을 중시한다. 이는 자율적인 판단과 선택을 지양하고, 타율에 의존하도록 유도한다. 이러한 타율적인 법률은 강제성을 동반한다. 이러한 실정법은 인간을 자유롭고 창의적인 생각을 하는 능동적인 존재가 아니라, 이미 정해진 틀에 무비판적으로 적응하게 하는 수동적인 존재로 전락시킬 수 있다. 유가철학은 법치주의를 인간을 수단화하는 제도로 여기며 비판한다. 유가철학은 인간을 도구가 아니라, 도덕적인 존재로 여긴다. 유가철학은 삶의 원리를 자각적으로 깨달은 도덕성을 통해 건강한 사회를 구축하고자 한다. 유가철학은 인간을 본래 자유로운 존재로 생각한다. 따라서 인간은 타율적인 존재가 아니라, 자율적인 존재이다. 유가철학에 의하면 인간은 내면에 함유된 도덕성을 스스로 깨달아 스스로의 판단과 선택을 책임 있게 실행할 수 있는 존재이다. 따라서 인간을 불신의 대상이 아니라 신뢰의 대상으로 여기는 유가철학은 법률을 통한 형벌의 방법보다 교화를 통한 인간다움의 실현을 중시한다. 이는 실정법이라는 타율성에 의해 존엄한 가치가 지켜지지 않고, 자율적인 선택과 판단에 의해 인간의 정체성이 유지될 수 있음을 의미한다. 이처럼 제10호 헌법에 포함된 자유민주주의와 실정법의 문제에 대한 유가 철학의 지적은 현대 한국 사회의 모순을 본질적으로 해결하는 면에 도움이 될 수 있다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.175-185
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• 1994

In order to anticipate disease pattern and health problems of Koreans in the 1st part of 21st century (by the year 2020), transition of population characteristics, mortality and morbidity data during the last 30 years Koreans have experienced were reviewed. On the actual basis of epidemiologic transition process that has undergone during last 30 years since 1960 along with socioeconomic development and successful implementation of selective national health policies (family planning, medical insurance and etc.), following changes can be expected in the 21st century in Korea, under the assumption that the current rate of progress is maintained. The population of South Korea alone will be doubled the population of 1960 by the year 2013 : aged Population older than 65 years will be increased from 3.3% in 1960 to 11.4% in 2020 with increased average age of the population from 23.6 year in 1970 to 39.2 year in 2020; urban population from 28% in 1960 to 83% in 2005. GNP/capita has increased tremendously from U.S. $120 in 1970 to $6,749 in 1992, and the government estimated it would be 519,350 in 2010 and $29,460 in 2020. Growth and developmental indices of children, educational achievement and social status of women also showed a remarkable improvement and anticipated to make futher progress. Leading causes of mortality and morbidity have shown a striking change during the last 30 years, from infectious diseases to chronic degenerative diseases and man-made injuries. Occurrence of communicable diseases may become minimal although viral hepatitis, venereal diseases Including AIDS, and well adapted herpes virus infections will maintain their endemic level. Newly evolving infectious agents, however, should be carefully monitored because of rapidly changing environments and human behaviours. Tuberculosis may increase up to the epidemic level when AIDS prevails. Ischemic heart diseases may increase steadily with increasing occurrence of hypertension and diabetes mellitus whereas cerebrovascular diseases may be decreased slowly. Musculaskeletal diseases which contribute a lot to the disability of aged people may be a major health problems due to increased aged population. Mental diseases, particularly that caused by alcohol and drug abuse, and senile dementia may become a prominent health problem. On the other hand injuries caused by traffic and industrial accidents that have shown most striking increase till now may be decreased considerably by intensive intervention. The health policies in the 21st century will be oriented to the health promotion for good quality life rather than life-savings.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집(I)
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• pp.247-252
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• 2002

It is expected to confront numerous technological advancements in ter railroad technology with an opening of state-of-art Kyung-Bu High Speed Railroad that permits traveling speed in excess of 300 Km/hr. Expansions of railroad facility such as revival of silk railroad in Eurasia due to the connection of South-North Korea and modernization of rolling stock and ancillary equipment have certainly contributed to the technological development of Korean Railroad. Such technological advancements will provide of opportunities to participate in foreign projects that have been offered in past years. Thus, a comprehensive plan and R＆D policy is necessary to continuously raise and upgrade national competitiveness in the railroad industry.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.113-141
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• 2013

The main purpose of this research is to introduce PsyCap(Positive Psychological Capital) and new leadership helping ordinary people to create positive thinking and leading to social integration in South Korea. Additionally, by looking at conventional leadership theories and by applying the PsyCap to leadership based on causal loop analysis, this study is to seek new approach which political leader is able to communicate with the people and can help the people to build positive mine. Throughout this study, there are several important implications how political leader can lead to social integration and stable political development in South Korea. In particular, when political leader encourage the people to have confidence to take on and put in the necessary effort to succeed at challenging tasks, when political leader make the people a positive attribution (optimism) about succeeding now and in the future, when political leader help the people to persevere toward goals and redirection paths to goals (hope) in order to succeed, and when political leader make the people beset by problems and adversity environment to overcome these concerns, it can be expected political leader to build social integration and the people to create positive thinking which has been emphasized by political leader in South Korea. Finally, 21st century has required new political leadership that the people are able to make positive psychological capital composed by optimism, hope, confidence, and resilience.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제14권
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• pp.323-348
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• 2000

Facing the current difficulties of fisheries industry nationally and internationally, economic cooperations between South and North Korea are needed urgently. Applying the process of economic integration to fisheries sector of separated nation, cooperation processes are divided as follows; (1) indirect and direct fisheries trade, (2) reciprocal use of fishing grounds, (3) joint venture in fisheries sector, (4) free movement of production factors and common fisheries policy. Here, fisheries trade falls under economic interchange stage. Reciprocal use of fishing ground and fisheries joint venture come in economic cooperation stage. Finally. free factor movement and common fisheries policy are related with economic integration stage. This paper investigates the schemes for fisheries cooperation between South and North Korea in preparation for a unified Korea, focusing on fisheries trade. The paper is composed of 5 chapters. Chapter 2 discusses structure and characteristics of North Korea trade, and trade situation between South and North Korea. Then, the present condition of North Korea fisheries industry and fisheries trade trend between South and North Korea are presented in chapter 3. Next, chapter 4 tackles the most common problems encountered in fisheries trade between South and North Korea, and the devices and schemes to raise fisheries trade between South and North Korea. Finally, chapter 5 summarizes and concludes the research results.

• 기독교교육논총
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• 제70권
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• pp.75-106
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• 2022

일간지 사설이 생산하는 종교담론은 종교의 '신앙 정체성' 담론이기 보다는 '사회관계성' 담론이라 할 수 있다. 사회관계성 담론으로서 개신교 담론에 대한 이해는 한국적 상황에서 진행되는 사회구조적 변동을 배경으로 새롭게 접근할 필요가 있다. 언론이 생산한 공공담론은 사회현실 자체를 사실적으로 반영하기보다는 시공간적 특수성을 전제로 일정한 가치와 잣대로 해석된 현실을 보여준다. 본 연구는 일간지가 생산한 개신교 담론을 구성주의 관점으로 접근한다. 특히 사회구조적 변동으로써 한국적 상황을 세계화(Globalization)론으로 바라본다. 본 연구의 목적은 일간지 사설의 내용분석과 담론분석을 통하여 21세기 한국 상황에서 사회와 개신교의 관계성을 성찰하는 것이다. 사회언론이 생산하는 한국 개신교 담론에 대한 분석적 고찰은 사회와의 건강한 소통을 위한 기초 작업이며 하나님 나라를 추구하는 기독교교육의 실천적 역할과도 연결된다. 최근 18년간(2004~2021) 일간지 사설이 생산한 한국 개신교 담론을 분석한 결과 한국사회와 한국 개신교의 상호충돌적 만남이 광범위하게 진행되고 있음을 발견하였다.

• Strategy21
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• 통권38호
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• pp.250-286
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• 2015

The main purpose of this article is to provide an understanding on current maritime issues in the Northeast Asia, and thereby help formulating the right strategy for our national security. The article summarizes core arguments in the recently published 『The 21^st Century Maritime Strategies in the Northeast Asia: Dilemma between Competition and Cooperation』. It will help readers to comprehend historical backgrounds as well as recent updates related to maritime issues and strategies in the region. Also, readers may find guidance to conceive their own maritime strategies for the Republic of Korea. Currently, the U.S. is shifting its focus from Atlantic to Pacific, and increasing its naval presence in Asia-Pacific region. Meanwhile, the 21^st century China views the maritime interests as the top priority in its national security and prosperity. PLA Navy's offensive maritime strategies and naval building such as aircraft carriers and nuclear submarines are unprecedented. Japan is another naval power in the region. During the Cold War JMSDF faithfully fulfilled the mission of deterring Soviet navy, and now it is doing its job against China. Lastly, Putin has been emphasizing to build the strong Russia since 2000, and putting further efforts to reinforce current naval capabilities of Pacific Fleet. The keyword in the naval and maritime relations among these powers can be summarized with "competition and cooperation." The recent security developments in the South China Sea(SCS) clearly represent each state's strategic motivations and movements. China shows clear and strong intention to nationalize the islands in SCS by building artificial facilities - possibly military purpose. Obviously, the U.S. strongly opposes China by insisting the freedom of navigation(FON) in international waters as recent USS-Lassen's FON operation indicate. The conflict between China and the U.S. surrounding the SCS seems to be heading towards climax as Russia and Japan are searching for their own national interests within the conflict. Also, the neighboring small and middle powers are calculating their own economic and security interests. This is no exception for us in establishing timely strategies to maximize our own national security. Hopefully, this article leads the readers to the right direction.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.77-97
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• 2001

The 21st century is not only the knowledge-based society but also the unifie era for Korea. It implies that Korea should prepare for the unification, especially in the area of knowledge, science, and technology. Under this background, this paper deals with how we can prepare for the unification of South and North Korea in science and technology (S&T) area. There have been no sufficient theoretical studies in this area. This paper, therefore, argues that regional innovation system, which has been developed since the beginning of the 1990s, could be effectively applied to the S&T cooperation and unification between both Koreas. It argues that regional innovation systems can formulate sectoral innovation systems effectively, which lead to a competent national innovation system. According to this study, South and North Korean regions have complementary sectoral innovation systems that could effectively cooperate with each other. Such S&T cooperation could make a great contribution to the S&T integration between two Koreas in the future. This paper argues, therefore, that S&T cooperation between two Koreas should target the unification of South and North Korean regional innovation systems. This paper names it as the unified national innovation system.