• 제목/요약/키워드: Source estimation

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SP 화물수단선택을 위한 Inherent Random Heterogeneity 로짓 모형 연구 (Inherent Random Heterogeneity Logit Model for Stated Preference Freight Mode Choice)

  • KIM, Kang-Soo
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2002
  • 화물수단선택모형 구축은 화물 및 물류관련 연구에 있어서 중요한 역할을 차지한다. 그러나 이러한 화물수단 선택 모형을 구축하기 위해 실제 관측되는 자료(Revealed Preference:RP)를 이용하는 데는 한계가 존재하며 따라서 선호의식 기법을 활용한 Stated Preference(SP) 자료가 화물수단 선택 모형을 구축하는데 중요한 자료로 사용된다 SP 자료는 이처럼 화물교통 자료의 현실적인 한계를 극복할 수 있지만 SP자료를 이용하여 구축되어지는 화물수단모형인 경우 조사기법의 한계로 RP자료에는 존재하지 않는 편의가 발생한다. 본 논문은 SP 자료를 이용하여 수단선택모형 구축시 발생하는 편의 제거에 대한 연구이다. 특히 본 논문에서는 시뮬레이션 방법을 이용하여 개인의 다양한 선택행태 다양성(heterogeneity)과 이러한 다양성이 SP 다음 질문에 전이되는 문제점을 극복하는 새로운 개념의 화물수단 선택 로짓모형을 제시한다. 또한 단순 로짓모형이 갖고 있는 IIA 특성을 극복하는 화물수단 선택모형도 제시한다. 본 연구를 통해 화물교통에 존재하는 화주의 다양한 선택행태 분석뿐만 아니라 SP 수단선택 모형이 갖는 편의 극복에 본 연구가 일조하기를 기대한다.

가공식품 중 육류 함량을 고려한 일상적인 육류 섭취량 분포 추정 연구: 국민건강영양조사 자료(2009년) 활용 (Estimation of Usual Meat Intake Distribution Considering Meat Content in Processed Foods: Based on the KNHANES 2009)

  • 신윤정;김애정;김동우
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.150-158
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to estimate usual meat intake distribution, which may have been over/underestimated when estimations were made using only the third food codes of the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). Methods: For this purpose, 24-hour recall data from the 2009 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, which conducted a partial 2-day survey of food intake, were used. The Multiple Source Method (MSM) was used to estimate the distribution of the usual intake of red and processed meats. Results: The results of this study show that the mean intake of red meat was 45.07 g while that of processed meat was 4.33 g. These results are slightly higher than the consumption calculated using only tertiary food code, and the difference was statistically significant. Furthermore, characteristics of the estimated usual intake distribution were a smaller standard deviation, increased lower percentiles, and decreased upper percentiles compared to the 2-day mean intake distribution for both red and processed meats. The proportion of individuals not consuming red meat decreased substantially from approximately 37% to 0.7%. The proportion of consumption that exceeded 90 g, which is the upper limit of red meat intake recommended by the National Health Service (NHS), was only approximately 10% in the distribution of usual intake. Conclusions: As the consumption of processed foods is expected to continuously increase, caution is needed regarding the processes used to calculate food (group) intake to avoid over/underestimation. Moreover, use of KNHANES data to calculate the proportion of the population at risk of insufficiency or excess intake of certain nutrients or food (group), based on one day intake that does not address within-individual variation, may lead to biased estimates.

GIS와 SAR 영상을 연계한 근 실시간 홍수지역 분석 (Near Real Time Flood Area Analysis Based on SAR Image and GIS)

  • 손홍규;송영선;김기홍;윤공현
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2004
  • 정확한 수계영역의 분류는 홍수에 의한 피해면적을 분석하는데 핵심적인 과정으로서 매년 홍수가 발생하는 지역을 모니터링 하는데 매우 유용하다. 정확한 홍수지역의 분류는 궁극적으로 정책결정자에게 매우 유용한 정보가 될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 1:25,000 토지이용도와 1998년 8월 12일 옥천, 보은지역을 촬영한 RADARSAT 영상을 이용하여 홍수지역을 분류하고, GIS와 연계하여 대상지역의 피해상황을 분석하였다. 근 실시간 지형보정을 위해서 천체력자료와 단일기준점을 활용하였으며, 특히, 수계영역 분류시 경사도정보를 이용하여 분류정확도를 향상시키는 기법을 개발하여 적용하였다.

환경규제가 재생에너지 및 에너지절감산업의 수출에 미치는 영향 : 한국과 일본의 비교연구 (The Impact of Environmental Regulation on Korea and Japan's Exports of Renewable Energy and Energy Saving Industry)

  • 심기은;정경화
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.75-103
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    • 2009
  • 'Porter Hypothesis'는 환경규제가 강한 국가에서 재생에너지 및 환경규제 관련 산업의 기술개발이 촉진되어 해당산업의 수출이 증가한다고 환경규제와 무역의 관계를 설명하고 있다. 이점에 착안하여 수입국의 환경규제가 우리나라의 재생에너지 및 에너지절감산업의 수출에 미치는 영향을 중력모형을 이용한 실증분석을 통하여 분석한다. 또한 환경선진국인 일본의 경우에도 같은 분석을 시행하여 우리나라와 비교한다. 추정 결과에 의하면 도출된 환경변수의 계수값이 부분적으로는 유의하지 않은 결과가 나왔지만 전반적으로 한국 및 일본의 재생에너지 및 에너지절감산업에 있어 환경과 수출과의 관계에서 'Porter Hypothesis'가 성립됨을 보였다. 또한 한국과 일본의 환경변수의 계수값을 비교한 결과, 본 연구에서 적용한 세 가지 환경변수의 계수에 대한 한국의 절대값이 일본의 것보다 연도와 환경변수의 종류에 관계없이 크게 나왔다. 이는 재생 에너지 및 에너지절감 분야에서 우수한 기술력을 바탕으로 국제경쟁력을 갖춘 일본 기업들의 제품과 기술력이 환경규제가 강한 국가의 시장에서도 활용되고 있기 때문이다. 반면 한국 기업은 아직 일본에 비하여 국제시장에서 다소 경쟁력이 떨어지기 때문에 수입국의 환경규제가 강할수록 수출의 감소폭이 일본에 비하여 클 수밖에 없다. 이러 한 실증분석 결과는 우리의 기술 수준이 아직 선진국 수준에 이르지 못하고 있음을 보여주는 간접적인 증거이다.

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밭 비점오염저감을 위한 잔디초생대 적용 비용 및 활용성 평가 (Estimation of Application Cost and Utilization of Turf Grass VFS for Reduction of Uplands NPS Pollution)

  • 이슬기;장정렬;최경숙
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권2호
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2015
  • This study was aimed to estimate the total application cost and utilization of Turf grass VFS application through the field experiment. The experimental plots were constructed in an upland field of Iksan city within the Saemangeum watershed. Turf grass was transplanted at the down-slope edge of the pollution source area in each of the treated plots. Three rainfall events were monitored during the experiment period, and the rainfall-runoff relationships and NPS pollution reduction effects of the VFS systems were assessed. As results, the reduction ratio of runoff volume ranged 14.1~64.0 %, while the NPS pollution reduction ratio ranged 9.8~73.9 % for SS, 24.0~84.2 % for T-N, 31.6~80.9 % for T-P respectively. The total cost of VFS application was estimated by considering purchase cost of Turf grass sods and construction and maintenance costs of VFS system as well as the loss caused by giving up crop cultivation for the area needed to construct the VFS. The total cost of the VFS was estimated to be approximately \3,379,000/ha/year for the first year of application, and this cost could be decreased to \1,899,000/ha/year from the second year as the construction cost of VFS could no longer need to be counted afterwards. Apart from the NPS pollution reduction effects, the possible utilization of VFS was examined by detaching Turf grass within 40 % of VFS area for sale during spring time when the VFS systems fully covered. The benefit of selling the detached Turf grass sods was estimated as \1,260,000/ha/year, and also found that the VFS area successfully recovered by the time of the summer period. This benefit could attract farmers to adopt the VFS technique to manage agricultural NPS pollution.

직접유출량 모의를 위한 ArcGIS 기반의 모형 개발 및 개선 (Improvement and Application of the ArcGIS-based Model to Estimate Direct Runoff)

  • 김종건;임경재;;차상선;박찬기;박윤식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권6호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2018
  • The Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model is a quick and straightforward analysis tool to estimate direct runoff and nonpoint source pollution. L-THIA was originally implemented as a spreadsheet application. GIS-based versions of L-THIA have been developed in ArcView 3 and upgraded to ArcGIS 9. However, a major upgrade was required for L-THIA to operate in the current version of ArcGIS and to provide more options in runoff and NPS estimation. An updated L-THIA interfaced with ArcGIS 10.0 and 10.1 has been developed in the study as an ArcGIS Desktop Tool. The model provides a user-friendly interface, easy access to the model parameters, and an automated watershed delineation process. The model allows use of precipitation data from multiple gauge locations for the watershed when a watershed is large enough to have more than one precipitation gauge station. The model estimated annual direct runoff well for our study area compared to separated direct runoff in the calibration and validation periods of ten and nine years. The ArcL-THIA, with a user-friendly interface and enhanced functions, is expected to be a decision support model requiring less effort for GIS processes or to be a useful educational hydrology model.

LPG충전소에서 증기운폭발에 의한 화염의 피해에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Damage of Flame caused by the Vapor Cloud Explosion in LPG Filling Station)

  • 임사환;허용정
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2010
  • 액화석유가스 자동차는 대도시의 대기환경 개선을 위해 적용되고 있으며 대기 오염물질을 저감시키는데 효과적인 것으로 입증되고 있다. 이와 더불어 환경 친화적인 에너지원으로서 가스의 수요가 날로 급증하고 있으며, LPG 충전소도 해마다 증가추세이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 충전소에서 증기운폭발에 의한 화염의 영향으로 인간에게 미치는 영향을 알아보고자 한다. 이를 위하여 API에서 규정한 피해예측을 통하여 평가를 실시하였다. 폭발장소에서의 화염에 의해 미치는 영향 거리를 산출하여 거리별 복사열의 크기를 알게 되면 그 지점에서의 피해는 간단하게 예측할 수 있다. 또한 폭발장소 주변에 위치한 인간에게 미치는 영향을 PROBIT 모델에 적용하여 사고피해예측을 평가하였다. 프로빗 분석에 의하면 화염에서 30m 이격된 곳은 1도 화상에 의한 손상확률이 100%, 2도 화상에 의한 손상확률은 99.2%, 화재로 인한 사망확률은 93.4%로 나타났다.

Improved Differential Wavefront Sampling algorithm for efficient alignment of Space optical system

  • Kim, Yun-Jong;Yang, Ho-Soon;Lee, Yun-Woo;Kim, Sug-Whan
    • 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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    • 한국우주과학회 2008년도 한국우주과학회보 제17권2호
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    • pp.34.4-35
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    • 2008
  • The significant I&T process gain represented by reduction in overall budget expenditure can be obtained from the use of efficient alignment technique for large space optical systems. Such process gain tends to increase rapidly with an increase in aperture and/or in number of optical elements within the system. However, in practice, the alignment of multiple optical components tends to be rather difficult task because of the multiple coupling effects among the elements within the target system. In order to understand and hence identify the complex interplay of the wavefront coupling effects from the alignment process, the original differential wavefront sampling(DWS) method was presented elsewhere in recent years. DWS uses partial differential of the wavefront of optical component and perturbation value of the optical component against a particular alignment factor. The straightforward application of DWS for an off-axis optical system revealed that it tends to give incorrect estimation of the given misalignment state. In this study, we added off-axis correction terms to the original DWS algorithm and investigated its alignment performance. The performance simulation result for a Korsch type space optical system shows that the modified DWS is capable of bringing the misaligned system into the target alignment tolerance only after 3 iterations. It also shows that this new improved algorithm can be used to estimate the source misalignment as well. We are planning to apply this method for the alignment of a 800mm Korsch type telescope in the near future. We discuss the computational technique, simulation results and implications in details.

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Physico-chemical properties of green leaf volatiles (GLV) for ascertaining atmospheric fate and transport in fog

  • Vempati, Harsha;Vaitilingom, Mickael;Zhang, Zenghui;Liyana-Arachchi, Thilanga P.;Stevens, Christopher S.;Hung, Francisco R.;Valsaraj, Kalliat T.
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.139-159
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    • 2018
  • Green Leaf Volatiles (GLVs) is a class of biogenically emitted oxygenated hydrocarbons that have been identified as a potential source of Secondary Organic Aerosols (SOA) via aqueous oxidation. The physico-chemical properties of GLVs are vital to understanding their fate and transport in the atmosphere via fog processing, but few experimental data are available. We studied the aqueous solubility, 1-octanol/water partition coefficient, and Henry's law constant ($K_H$) of five GLVs at $25^{\circ}C$: methyl jasmonate, methyl salicylate, 2-methyl-3-buten-2-ol, cis-3-hexen-1-ol, and cis-3-hexenyl acetate. Henry's law constant was also measured at temperatures and ionic strengths typical of fog. Experimental values are compared to scarcely-available literature values, as well as estimations using group and bond contribution methods, property-specific correlations and molecular dynamics simulations. From these values, the partition coefficients to the air-water interface were also calculated. The large Henry's law constant of methyl jasmonate ($8091{\pm}1121M{\cdot}atm^{-1}$) made it the most significant GLV for aqueous phase photochemistry. The HENRYWIN program's bond contribution method from the Estimation Programs Interface Suite (EPI Suite) produced the best estimate of the Henry's constant for GLVs. Estimations of 1-octanol/water partition coefficient and solubility are best when correlating an experimental value of one to find the other. Finally, the scavenging efficiency was calculated for each GLV indicating aqueous phase processing will be most important for methyl jasmonate.

시멘트산업의 CO2 배출계수 개발 및 대체연료 사용에 의한 온실가스 저감량 산정 연구 (Development of CO2 Emission Factors for Alternative Fuels with Assessment of Emission Reduction in Cement Industry)

  • 윤석경;명수정;장태혁;김진수;이시형;김기현;전의찬
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2008
  • We developed emission factors for alternative fuels used in cement industries in Korea and also estimated reduction in emissions of greenhouse gas (GHG) by the use of alternative fuels. Emission factors for GHG of waste tire, waste plastic, waste oil and RDF were estimated to be about 89, 78, 77 and 95 ton $CO_2$/TJ respectively. When compared with previous studies, most of the results showed similar trends. The calorific value estimation and elemental analysis for energy source were implemented in order to estimate the exact emission factors and the reduction of GHG emissions using alternative fuel. In the case of 'A' company, $CO_2$ emission from alternative fuels was about 4% lower than that of bituminous coal only. Also in case of company 'B', $CO_2$ emission from alternative fuels was about 1.4% lower than that of only bituminous coal. In Germany and Japan, alternative fuel is not regarded to be fuel consumption in cement industry. When applying this rule, the emission reductions were about 4.3% for company 'A' and 6.3% for company 'B'. The results of this study may be considered as a useful information for developing strategies in reducing GHG emissions.