• Title/Summary/Keyword: Slope prediction model

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Effect of rainfall patterns on the response of water pressure and slope stability within a small catchment: A case study in Jinbu-Myeon, South Korea

  • Viet, Tran The;Lee, Giha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.202-202
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    • 2016
  • Despite the potentially major influence of rainstorm patterns on the prediction of shallow landslides, this relationship has not yet received significant attention. In this study, five typical temporal rainstorm patterns with the same cumulative amount and intensity components comprising Advanced (A1 and A2), Centralized (C), and Delayed (D1 and D2) were designed based on a historical rainstorm event occurred in 2006 in Mt. Jinbu area. The patterns were incorporated as the hydrological conditions into the Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Regional Slope-stability Model (TRIGRS), in order to assess their influences on pore pressure variation and changes in the stability of the covering soil layer in the study area. The results revealed that not only the cumulative rainfall thresholds necessary to initiate landslides, but also the rate at which the factor of safety (FS) decreases and the time required to reach the critical state, are governed by rainstorm pattern. The sooner the peak rainfall intensity occurs, the smaller the cumulative rainfall threshold, and the shorter the time until landslide occurrence. Left-skewed rainfall patterns were found to have a greater effect on landslide initiation. More specifically, among the five different patterns, the Advanced storm pattern (A1) produced the most critical state, as it resulted in the highest pore pressure across the entire area for the shortest duration; the severity of response was then followed by patterns A2, C, D1, and D2. Thus, it can be concluded that rainfall patterns have a significant effect on the cumulative rainfall threshold, the build-up of pore pressure, and the occurrence of shallow landslides, both in space and time.

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Two-Phase Approach for Data Quality Management for Slope Stability Monitoring (경사면의 안정성 모니터링 데이터의 품질관리를 위한 2 단계 접근방안)

  • Junhyuk Choi;Yongjin Kim;Junhwi Cho;Woocheol Jeong;Songhee Suk;Song Choi;Yongseong Kim;Bongjun Ji
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2023
  • In order to monitor the stability of slopes, research on data-based slope failure prediction and early warning is increasing. However, most papers overlook the quality of data. Poor data quality can cause problems such as false alarms. Therefore, this paper proposes a two-step hybrid approach consisting of rules and machine learning models for quality control of data collected from slopes. The rule-based has the advantage of high accuracy and intuitive interpretation, and the machine learning model has the advantage of being able to derive patterns that cannot be explicitly expressed. The hybrid approach was able to take both of these advantages. Through a case study, the performance of using the two methods alone and the case of using the hybrid approach was compared, and the hybrid method was judged to have high performance. Therefore, it is judged that using a hybrid method is more appropriate than using the two methods alone for data quality control.

Study on the prediction of the stopping probabilities in case of train fire in tunnel by Monte Carlo simulation method (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션에 의한 화재열차의 터널 내 정차확률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Ji-Oh;Kim, Jong-Yoon;Kim, Hyo-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2018
  • The safety of tunnels is quantified by quantitative risk assessment when planning the disaster prevention facilities of railway tunnels, and it is decided whether they are appropriate. The purpose of this study is to estimate the probability of the train stopping in the tunnels at train fire, which has a significant effect on the results of quantitative risk assessment for tunnel fires. For this purpose, a model was developed to calculate the coasting distance of the train considering the coefficient of train running resistance. The probability of stopping in case of train fire in the tunnel is predicted by the Monte Carlo simulation method with the coasting distance and the emergency braking distance as parameters of the tunnel lengths and slopes, train initial driving speeds. The kinetic equations for predicting the coasting distance were analyzed by reflecting the coefficient train running resistance of KTX II. In the case of KTX II trains, the coasting distance is reduced as the slope increases in a tunnel with an upward slope, but it is possible to continue driving without stopping in a slope downward. The probability of the train stopping in the case of train fire in tunnel decreases as the train speed increases and the slope of the tunnel decreases. If human error is not taken into account, the probability that a high-speed train traveling at a speed of 250 km/h or above will stop in a tunnel due to a fire is 0% when the slope of the tunnel is 0.5% or less, and the probability of stopping increases rapidly as the tunnel slope increases and the tunnel length increases.

Development of Near-Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (NIRS) Model for Amylose and Crude Protein Contents Analysis in Rice Germplasm (근적외선 분광광도계를 이용한 벼 유전자원 아밀로스 및 단백질 함량분석을 위한 모델개발)

  • Oh, Sejong;Lee, Myung Chul;Choi, Yu Mi;Lee, Sukyeung;Oh, Myeongwon;Ali, Asjad;Chae, Byungsoo;Hyun, Do Yoon
    • Korean Journal of Plant Resources
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.38-49
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this research was to develop Near-Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy (NIRS) model for amylose and protein contents analysis of large accessions of rice germplasm. A total of 511 accessions of rice germplasm were obtained from National Agrobiodiversity Center to make calibration equation. The accessions were measured by NIRS for both brown and milled brown rice which was additionally assayed by iodine and Kjeldahl method for amylose and crude protein contents. The range of amylose and protein content in milled brown rice were 6.15-32.25% and 4.72-14.81%, respectively. The correlation coefficient ($R^2$), standard error of calibration (SEC) and slope of brown rice were 0.906, 1.741, 0.995 in amylose and 0.941, 0.276, 1.011 in protein, respectively, whereas $R^2$, SEC and slope of milled brown rice values were 0.956, 1.159, 1.001 in amylose and 0.982, 0.164, 1.003 in protein, respectively. Validation results of this NIRS equation showed a high coefficient determination in prediction for amylose (0.962) and protein (0.986), and also low standard error in prediction (SEP) for amylose (2.349) and protein (0.415). These results suggest that NIRS equation model should be practically applied for determination of amylose and crude protein contents in large accessions of rice germplasm.

Development of Random Forest Model for Sewer-induced Sinkhole Susceptibility (손상 하수관으로 인한 지반함몰의 위험도 평가를 위한 랜덤 포레스트 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Joonyoung;Kang, Jae Mo;Baek, Sung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2021
  • The occurrence of ground subsidence and sinkhole in downtown areas, which threatens the safety of citizens, has been frequently reported. Among the various mechanisms of a sinkhole, soil erosion through the damaged part of the sewer pipe was found to be the main cause in Seoul. In this study, a random forest model for predicting the occurrence of sinkholes caused by damaged sewer pipes based on sewage pipe information was trained using the information on the sewage pipe and the locations of the sinkhole occurrence case in Seoul. The random forest model showed excellent performance in the prediction of sinkhole occurrence after the optimization of its hyperparameters. In addition, it was confirmed that the sewage pipe length, elevation above sea level, slope, depth of landfill, and the risk of ground subsidence were affected in the order of sewage pipe information used as input variables. The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data for the preparation of a sinkhole susceptibility map and the establishment of an underground cavity exploration plan and a sewage pipe maintenance plan.

Application of Statistical and Machine Learning Techniques for Habitat Potential Mapping of Siberian Roe Deer in South Korea

  • Lee, Saro;Rezaie, Fatemeh
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2021
  • The study has been carried out with an objective to prepare Siberian roe deer habitat potential maps in South Korea based on three geographic information system-based models including frequency ratio (FR) as a bivariate statistical approach as well as convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) as machine learning algorithms. According to field observations, 741 locations were reported as roe deer's habitat preferences. The dataset were divided with a proportion of 70:30 for constructing models and validation purposes. Through FR model, a total of 10 influential factors were opted for the modelling process, namely altitude, valley depth, slope height, topographic position index (TPI), topographic wetness index (TWI), normalized difference water index, drainage density, road density, radar intensity, and morphological feature. The results of variable importance analysis determined that TPI, TWI, altitude and valley depth have higher impact on predicting. Furthermore, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to assess the prediction accuracies of three models. The results showed that all the models almost have similar performances, but LSTM model had relatively higher prediction ability in comparison to FR and CNN models with the accuracy of 76% and 73% during the training and validation process. The obtained map of LSTM model was categorized into five classes of potentiality including very low, low, moderate, high and very high with proportions of 19.70%, 19.81%, 19.31%, 19.86%, and 21.31%, respectively. The resultant potential maps may be valuable to monitor and preserve the Siberian roe deer habitats.

Sensitivity Analysis of dVm/dtMax_repol to Ion Channel Conductance for Prediction of Torsades de Pointes Risk (다형 심실빈맥의 예측을 위한 dVm/dtMax_repol의 이온채널 전도도에 대한 민감도 분석)

  • Jeong, Da Un;Yoo, Yedam;Marcellinus, Aroli;Lim, Ki Moo
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.331-340
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    • 2022
  • Early afterdepolarization (EAD), a significant cause of fatal ventricular arrhythmias including Torsade de Pointes (TdP) in long QT syndromes, is a depolarizing afterpotential at the plateau or repolarization phase in action potential (AP) profile early before completing one pace. AP duration prolongation is related to EAD but is not necessarily accounted for EAD. Several computational studies suggested EAD can form from an abnormality in the late plateau and/or repolarization phase of AP shape. In this sense, we hypothesized the slope during repolarization has the characteristics to predict TdP risk, mainly focusing on the maximum slope during repolarization (dVm/dtmax_repol). This study aimed to predict the sensitivity of dVm/dtmax_repol to ion channel conductances as a TdP risk metric through a population simulation considering multiple effects of simultaneous reduction in six ion channel conductances of gNaL, gKr, gKs, gto, gK1, and gCaL. Additionally, we verified the availability of dVm/dtmax_repol for TdP risk prediction through the correlation analysis with qNet, the representative TdP metric. We performed the population simulations based on the methodology of Gemmel et al. using the human ventricular myocyte model of Dutta et al. Among the sixion channel conductances, dVm/dtmax_repol and qNet responded most sensitively to the change in gKr, followed by gNaL. Furthermore, dVm/dtmax_repol showed a statistically significant high negative correlation with qNet. The dVm/dtmax_repol values were significantly different according to three TdP risk levels of high, intermediate, and low by qNet (p<0.001). In conclusion, we suggested dVm/dtmax_repol as a new biomarker metric for TdP risk assessment.

Integration of GIS-based RUSLE model and SPOT 5 Image to analyze the main source region of soil erosion

  • LEE Geun-Sang;PARK Jin-Hyeog;HWANG Eui-Ho;CHAE Hyo-Sok
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.357-360
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    • 2005
  • Soil loss is widely recognized as a threat to farm livelihoods and ecosystem integrity worldwide. Soil loss prediction models can help address long-range land management planning under natural and agricultural conditions. Even though it is hard to find a model that considers all forms of erosion, some models were developed specifically to aid conservation planners in identifying areas where introducing soil conservation measures will have the most impact on reducing soil loss. Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) computes the average annual erosion expected on hillslopes by multiplying several factors together: rainfall erosivity (R), soil erodibility (K), slope length and steepness (LS), cover management (C), and support practice (P). The value of these factors is determined from field and laboratory experiments. This study calculated soil erosion using GIS-based RUSLE model in Imha basin and examined soil erosion source area using SPOT 5 high-resolution satellite image and land cover map. As a result of analysis, dry field showed high-density soil erosion area and we could easily investigate source area using satellite image. Also we could examine the suitability of soil erosion area applying field survey method in common areas (dry field & orchard area) that are difficult to confirm soil erosion source area using satellite image.

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Settlement of Ground Surface behind Anchored Sheet-Piles in Loose Sand (느슨한 모래지반(地盤)에서 앵커로 지지(支持)된 널말뚝의 배면지반침하(背面地盤沈下))

  • Chun, Byung Sik;Kang, In Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 1990
  • The relationship between ground surface settlements and wall displacements associated with excavation is analysed by the results of model test of anchored sheet-piles in loose sand. The effect of wall restriction at the toe, anchor slope, wall rigidity, and excavation level on settlement of ground surface and wall displacement are considered for model test. The results of model test are compared with the theory and the results of field measurement of braced wall. The results of analysis are shown by fitted regression equations that may be used for prediction of ground surface settlement adjacent to anchored sheet-piles. It is found that wall displacement and ground surface settlement associated with excavation are different from the supporting methods.

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Numerical Analysis of Anisotropic Soil Deformation by the Nonlinear Anisotropic Model (흙의 변형 거동 예측을 위한 비선형 이방성 모델의 개발과 적용)

  • 정충기;정영훈;윤충구
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.237-249
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    • 2002
  • Nonlinearity and anisotropy of soil should be considered for the exact prediction of deformation before the failure state. In this study, a new constitutive model is developed in which the nonlinearity of soil is formulated by Ramberg-Osgood equation and the soil anisotropy is implemented by the cross-anisotropic elasticity. Nonlinear anisotropic model and other models for comparison are used to analyze the simple boundary value problems and the circular footing problem. In the results, the anisotropic ratio of elastic modulus is a key value for the bulk modulus of soil, the coeffcient of earth pressure at rest, and the slope of effective stress paths. Furthermore, it is found that the nonlinearity of soil considering the in-situ stresses has the great influence on the magnitude of settlements.