• 제목/요약/키워드: Simulated rainfall

검색결과 432건 처리시간 0.024초

공간 분포된 강우를 이용한 유출 해석 (Runoff Analysis using Spatially Distributed Rainfall Data)

  • 이종형;윤석환
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제47권6호
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 2005
  • Accurate estimation of the spatial distribution of rainfall is critical to the successful modeling of hydrologic processes. The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of spatially distributed rainfall data. Spatially distributed rainfall was calculated using Kriging method and Thiessen method. The application of spatially distributed rainfall was appreciated to the runoff response from the watershed. The results showed that for each method the coefficient of determination for observed hydrograph was $0.92\~0.95$ and root mean square error was $9.78\~10.89$ CMS. Ordinary Kriging method showed more exact results than Simple Kriging, Universal Kriging and Thiessen method, based on comparison of observed and simulated hydrograph. The coefncient of determination for the observed peak flow was 0.9991 and runoff volume was 0.9982. The accuracy of rainfall-runoff prediction depends on the extent of spatial rainfall variability.

확률 강우에 따른 홍수 전후의 소유역 오염부하량 배출특성 연구 (A Study on the Discharge Characteristics of Pollutant Loads in Small Watershed According to the Probability Rainfall)

  • 김필식;김선주;심재훈
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this paper is to study the discharge characteristics of pollutant loads in small watershed according to probability rainfall using the Hydrologic Simulation Program-Fortran (WinHSPF). The subwatershed of Gosam reservoir watershed in Gyeonggido province was simulated and the probability rainfall of study area was estimated by recurrence interval and duration. The probability rainfalls are 156.5, 205.9 and 277.4 mm for 6 hrs, 12 hrs and 24 hrs in 10 year frequency, and each probability rainfalls is distributed by Huff's 4th quantiles method and applied to HSPF. The pollutant loads were high for initial rainfall. The concentrations of TN, TP and BOD were high as rainfall duration is shorter and rainfall intensity is higher.

NWS-PC 모형을 이용한 강우-유출 모의에서 적설 및 융설 영향 (Influence of Snow Accumulation and Snowmelt Using NWS-PC Model in Rainfall-runoff Simulation)

  • 강신욱;유승엽
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제28권1B호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • 소양강댐 유역의 관측유입량과 융설 모의의 포함 유무에 따른 모의 결과를 비교함으로써 적설 및 융설 모형의 필요성을 분석하였다. 사용한 융설 모형은 Sugawara 등의 개념적 융설 모형이고, 강우-유출 모형은 NWS-PC를 사용하였다. 모형의 매개변수는 다단계 자동보정법에 의해 추정하였고, 각 단계별로 SCE-UA 알고리즘에 의해 최적화되었다. 매개변수 추정시와 검증 모의에서 RMSE, PBIAS, NSE, PME 통계량은 융설을 포함한 모의가 그렇지 않은 모의보다 좋은 결과를 나타내었다. 소양강댐의 관측유입량은 약 두 달 이상의 자기상관성을 나타내었고, 융설을 포함하지 않은 경우에 모의된 유량시계열은 20일 정도의 자기상관성을 나타내었다. 융설을 포함한 경우의 모의유량 시계열은 관측 유량시계열과 유사하게 약 두 달 이상의 자기상관성을 나타내었다. 이와 같은 결과로 소양강댐 유역의 강우-유출 모의시 적설 및 융설 모형을 포함하여야 모형의 정확성을 향상시킬 수 있다.

지하수위 상승 자동 이벤트 감지 알고리즘 개발 (Development of Automatic Event Detection Algorithm for Groundwater Level Rise)

  • 박정안;김성배;김민선;권구흥;최낙철
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.954-962
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study was to develop automatic event detection algorithm for groundwater level rise. The groundwater level data and rainfall data in July and August at 37 locations nationwide were analyzed to develop the algorithm for groundwater level rise due to rainfall. In addition, the algorithm for groundwater level rise by ice melting and ground freezing was developed through the analysis of groundwater level data in January. The algorithm for groundwater level rise by rainfall was composed of three parts, including correlation between previous rainfall and groundwater level, simple linear regression analysis between previous rainfall and groundwater level, and diagnosis of groundwater level rise due to new rainfall. About 49% of the analyzed data was successfully simulated for groundwater level rise by rainfall. The algorithm for groundwater level rise due to ice melting and ground freezing included graphic analysis for groundwater level versus time (day), simple linear regression analysis for groundwater level versus time, and diagnosis of groundwater level rise by new ice melting and ground freezing. Around 37% of the analyzed data was successfully simulated for groundwater level rise due to ice melting and ground freezing. The algorithms from this study would help develop strategies for sustainable development and conservation of groundwater resources.

단기 강우예측 정보를 이용한 도시하천 유출모의 적용 (Application of Urban Stream Discharge Simulation Using Short-term Rainfall Forecast)

  • 양유빈;임창묵;윤선권
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제59권2호
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we developed real-time urban stream discharge forecasting model using short-term rainfall forecasts data simulated by a regional climate model (RCM). The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecasting System (CFS) data was used as a boundary condition for the RCM, namely the Global/Regional Integrated Model System(GRIMs)-Regional Model Program (RMP). In addition, we make ensemble (ESB) forecast with different lead time from 1-day to 3-day and its accuracy was validated through temporal correlation coefficient (TCC). The simulated rainfall is compared to observed data, which are automatic weather stations (AWS) data and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA 3B43; 3 hourly rainfall with $0.25^{\circ}{\times}0.25^{\circ}$ resolution) data over midland of Korea in July 26-29, 2011. Moreover, we evaluated urban rainfall-runoff relationship using Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). Several statistical measures (e.g., percent error of peak, precent error of volume, and time of peak) are used to validate the rainfall-runoff model's performance. The correlation coefficient (CC) and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) are evaluated. The result shows that the high correlation was lead time (LT) 33-hour, LT 27-hour, and ESB forecasts, and the NSE shows positive values in LT 33-hour, and ESB forecasts. Through this study, it can be expected to utilizing the real-time urban flood alert using short-term weather forecast.

SCS-CN 대표 매개변수가 분포형과 집중형 강우-유출 모형에서 유출 손실에 미치는 영향 비교 (Impact of Representative SCS-CN on Simulated Rainfall Runoff)

  • 이형근;최영선;이길하
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2020
  • The determination of soil parameters is important in predicting the simulated surface runoff using either a distributed or a lumped rainfall-runoff model. Soil characteristics can be collected using remote sensing techniques and represented as a digital map. There is no universal agreement with respect to the determination of a representative parameter from a gridded digital map. Two representative methods, i.e., arithmetic and predominant, are introduced and applied to both FLO-2D and HEC-HMS to improve the model's accuracy. Both methods are implemented in the Yongdam catchment, and the results show that the former seems to be more accurate than the latter in the test site. This is attributed to the high conductivity of the dominant soil class, which is A type.

L-모멘트법에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석 (Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall by L-Moments)

  • 맹승진;이순혁;김병준
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2002
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall in 38 Korean rainfall stations. To select the fit appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data according to rainfall stations, applied were Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO) and Generalized Pareto (GPA) probability distributions were applied. and their aptness was judged Dusing an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, the aptitude was judged of applied distributions such as GEV, GLO and GPA. The GEV and GLO distributions were selected as the appropriate distributions. Their parameters were estimated Targetingfrom the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfalls and using Monte Carlo techniques, the parameters of GEV and GLO selected as suitable distributions were estimated and. dDesign rainfallss were then derived, using the L-moment. Appropriate design rainfalls were suggested by doing a comparative analysis of design rainfall from the GEV and GLO distributions according to rainfall stations.

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3변수 확률분포에 의한 설계강우량 추정 (Estimation of Design Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions)

  • 이순혁;맹승진;류경식
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.595-598
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

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3변수 확률분포형에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석 (Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions)

  • 김병준;맹승진;류경식;이순혁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

Effects of ILFs on DRAM algorithm in SURR model uncertainty evaluation caused by interpolated rainfall using different methods

  • Nguyen, Thi Duyen;Nguyen, Duc Hai;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.137-137
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    • 2022
  • Evaluating interpolated rainfall uncertainty of hydrological models caused by different interpolation methods for basins where can not fully collect rainfall data are necessary. In this study, the adaptive MCMC method under effects of ILFs was used to analyze the interpolated rainfall uncertainty of the SURR model for Gunnam basin, Korea. Three events were used to calibrate and one event was used to validate the posterior distributions of unknown parameters. In this work, the performance of four ILFs on uncertainty of interpolated rainfall was assessed. The indicators of p_factor (percentage of observed streamflow included in the uncertainty interval) and r_factor (the average width of the uncertainty interval) were used to evaluate the uncertainty of the simulated streamflow. The results showed that the uncertainty bounds illustrated the slight differences from various ILFs. The study confirmed the importance of the likelihood function selection in the application the adaptive Bayesian MCMC method to the uncertainty assessment of the SURR model caused by interpolated rainfall.

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